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50ma-200ma

SPY: The Most Important Technical Turning Points (D&W analysis).The SPY is once again hitting a new all-time high today, with the market looking optimistic. As long as it continues to show the pattern of higher highs/higher lows, bullish sentiment will prevail. Last month, I made several warnings that we shouldn't try to guess the top, and that the trend is upwards. The only thing that could reverse the situation would be a clear reversal signal. The link to my last public study on SPY is below this analysis, as usual. For now, I still don't see any technical evidence suggesting a correction or a pullback, but we should pay attention to some key points, especially its medium-term support levels, because if the SPY loses them, the bullish momentum could become weaker. Despite leaving a gap below the price, today's candle is small, revealing a contained intraday movement. If this gap closes this week, it could be classified as an Exhaustion Gap, a technical piece of evidence that the trend is losing momentum. However, the most important key point for the SPY is the yellow area in the chart above. This point is the area of the previous all-time high at $479.98, and a secondary top at $477.55. In addition, we see the 21 EMA rising, and it will probably enter this area soon, forming a triple support level. A pullback to this triple support level is acceptable, and it's not a technical reason to believe in an immediate reversal; after all, pullbacks in an uptrend are buying opportunities most of the time. But if the SPY loses this point, the medium-term trend could reverse, in which case the next targets will be on the weekly chart. We can see that just below the yellow area, we have support around $466, a previous bottom, and a point near the 50-MA (red line), which is set up for the daily chart, even though we see the weekly chart. This makes the area around $466 the next area of support should SPY begin a sharper correction. Since SPY has materialized a Golden Cross pattern (when the 50-MA breaks through the 200-MA, the black line, upwards), we can say that the official trend is upwards, but it is important that SPY keeps prices above these support levels in order to maintain the long-term uptrend. For now, we have to be aware that the trend is upwards, and we don't see the SPY losing any support levels yet, so there are no signs of a correction, let alone a reversal in sight. We'll proceed very cautiously, paying attention to its key points. In the absence of a clear bearish reversal structure, the SPY should continue to rise, until it reaches $500, which, although not a technical resistance, is more of a psychological resistance, as we know that the market has a soft spot for round numbers. Of course, I’ll keep you updated on this, so consider supporting this idea if you liked the content, and follow me to keep in touch. What's more, keep in mind that the idea described above reflects my humble opinion. It is not investment advice, use it for educational purposes and to improve your own thesis about the market. All the best, Nathan.
AMEX:SPY
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
6
TSLA: Has finally reached its critical support (D & W analysis)!TSLA shares have corrected to the support level we identified in our last public analysis, in the vicinity of the green line at $230, between the 50ma and the 200ma. In fact, it looks like the 200ma is serving as our last support, since the price is bouncing right back after hitting this indicator. The link to my previous public analysis is below this post, as usual. Volume has fallen sharply and TSLA's shares are very weak, as it is the only one among the "magnificent 7" that is not showing any signs of recovery this week. In two weeks the company will release its earnings report, and this will be an important event, but until then, we don't see any technical signs suggesting a bottom. Yes, the price has reached an extremely important support point, but we need to see confirmation of a bottom signal to believe in a decent recovery. Despite the signs of weakness, the price is not in a downtrend yet, for that we need to see LHs/LLs. Now, let’s look at the weekly chart: From a technical point of view, the next resistance is around $300, the previous top. Can TSLA get there? In theory yes, but in practice we need to see a clear bottom signal, as mentioned in the analysis of the daily chart. You have to admit that if TSLA were going to react, now would be the perfect time, we just need confirmation. On the other hand, if the price loses the critical support point on the daily chart, nothing would prevent a sharper correction on the weekly chart, perhaps to its next support around $207, or even to the support line of its Descending Channel. This would frustrate the breakout of the previous resistance of this channel, characterizing a false breakout, a powerful bearish signal. If you ask my personal opinion, I wish to see TSLA making a bottom around this support area, as the Risk/Reward ratio for a long trade would be attractive, however, we see no confirmation yet, and there is no meaningful bullish reaction suggesting a possible recovery yet. I’ll keep you updated on this, so consider following me for more analysis like this, and support this idea if you liked it. All the best, Nathan.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
9
TSLA: Approaching a major turning point.TSLA's shares are collapsing, even though the company is beating vehicle delivery expectations. This can be explained by the fierce competition coming from China, as TSLA lost its position as the world's biggest seller of electric cars to BYD in the last four months of 2023 - even though the American company managed to beat its own expectations. This not only affects TSLA, but also the shares of RIVN and LCID, the former of which also managed to exceed expectations for vehicle production. From a technical point of view, the price could fall to the next support level in the next few days, around $230 . The price is already entering a short-term downtrend , as it has lost the 21 EMA, and in the absence of a clear bullish reaction that could reverse sentiment, this is the most likely scenario. What should the price do so it can reverse this bearish sentiment? It would be nice to see a clear reversal candlestick, closing above the 21 EMA again . So far, there are no technical buy signals in my view. Are there any other possible support points? Yes, we see the 50-period and 200-period averages very close to each other, also in the $230 area mentioned earlier, reinforcing the idea that $230 could be an important support for TSLA . It would be important to see the price react above this area to avoid a Death Cross (when the 50MA breaks the 200MA downwards). A warning sign is the divergence between the RSI and the price. While the price was making higher tops, the RSI was already making lower tops, as evidenced by the red arrows in the chart above. In addition, the RSI is already losing its support levels, while the price is still above them (green lines). This can be characterized as an Advanced Breakout (when an indicator anticipates a breakout in price). For now, TSLA shares are in correction territory, and although we see a promising support zone near $230, I don't see any technical evidence that convinces me of a bullish reversal at the moment. I'll keep you updated on this, so remember to follow me for more daily analysis like this, and support this idea if you like it or learn something new here. All the best, Nathan.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
3
Predict Bitcoin's Price with "W" pattern from the 50 and 200 MA 50 MA in blue, 200 MA in green. There is a "W" pattern where the 50 MA also crosses under or over the 200 MA. It can be useful in short-term and long-term trading. If the pattern repeats itself, with your ruler you can see that there should be a correction for the next 2 months (according to the previous corrections in the bull run which are about the same length). It’s also interesting to look at how deep the second correction, or “V”, will go. In the W pattern of End 2019 (October) - Middle 2020 (May), the 2nd dip was deeper than the first and it resulted in a bull market. We could argue that it also happened back in July/August 2014 – October 2015. In the W pattern of Middle 2021 (May) - End 2021 (October), the second dip was higher than the first and it resulted in a bear market. We therefore have to wait to see if there will be a correction and how deep it will be, continue to use indicators, and find patterns.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by YanakTrading
BTC/USD 1 Week ChartOn Monday, BTC had finally crossed above and broke through its major resistance area located on this 1 week charts at $32,415 - $27,785. Note: BTC is still in a Rising Wedge Pattern as well as an Upwards Channel Pattern. BTC is still in a massive Megaphone/Broadening Wedge Pattern otherwise known as an Ichimoku Y-Wave Pattern. Take Note of the Liquidity Voids. Note that the 50MA is moving upwards so if we continue having positive momentum, we will eventually see a Golden Cross on this BTC/USD 1 Week Chart when the 50MA (Yellow Line) crosses back above the 200MA (Red Line). Here is a closer look at this BTC/USD 1 Week Chart. RSI: Note that the RSI has crossed into the Overbought Zone. Don't panic! The RSI Line can continue continue going further upwards as well as range sideways in this zone. Up/Down Volume:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
3
Have You Considered A Ride Down IWM 170? AMEX:IWM 50 MA crossed down the 200 MA on the daily and 4H timeframe. The daily chart shows a lot of sellers. IWM also made lower highs on the weekly timeframe. Also, the exchange traded fund is resting on a trendline that it's maintained since March 2020! If we break down below 170 and it holds, IWM should see more downside. The weekly chart shows an increase of sellers between last week and this week. Last but not least, the etf shows a shooting star candle that printed on the weekly chart (March 13-17, 2023). Therefore, my plan is to short IWM below 170! I will ride down IWM 170 (provided price gets there of course). *This is not financial advice Peace & Harmony, MrALtrades00
AMEX:IWMShort
by MrALtrades00
Link breaking above last potential top trendline of triangleIt’s still unclear whether or not link’s macro pattern is more valid as a falling wedge or a symmetrical triangle, however it seems now that we are finally closing daily candles above the last potential top trendline for that pattern. That trendline is most valid on the weekly chart so we still need to close the current weekly candle above the white trendline..after that we should see the follow up weekly candle confirm the white trendline as support on a retest ….if the follow up weekly candle closes above the white trendline odds are very good at that point the breakout will be validated…it may wait until the 3rd weekly candle to start the bullish impulse…or it could come as early as the current weekly candle…will have to see how the next few weekly candles play out. I chose to show this chart on the daily time frame instead of the weekly to illustrate how price action is also now back above both the 1 day 50 and 200 moving averages. If it can hold the daily 200ma as support during the next few weekly closes then the breakout will be confirmed. *not financial advice*
COINBASE:LINKUSD
by DrDovetail
XRP | Unlocking the Secret Bonus LevelWelcome XRP friends! Wondering where we're going? Here are some things to consider : As we come out of our US Thanksgiving Day food comas, we're looking at some decent gains on the most recent run BUT, you're asking if this is it? Honestly, I think it still has legs for the 0.45 area where we find resistance at the 200 EMA Look at the fork and see if it makes sense to go there, I think the Fibonacci's all suggest it's possible. Remember, XRP ALWAYS pumps before mad dumps and there's still a ton of overhead selling pressure if you look at the VPFR, Look at all the volume that went into the 0.50+ range before the most recent selloff. Check out recent statements by Ripple CTO regarding ETH looking more and more centralized as a result of much of the network relying on AWS servers. What a comedy show and Vitalik looks more tarded with each passing day. Bitty is also having plenty of negative light being cast, I can't see us NOT having more down. Anyway, see you at the bottom . . eventually
by FudBox
11
BTC/USD - is BTC still in a downtrend?Let’s have a look at the BTC/USD 1 week chart and see what this chart and indicators are telling us. BTC is still in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern. BTC is also still in a massive Ichimoku Y-Wave pattern. Note that the 50MA is still traveling DOWNWARDS towards the 200MA so we still might see a Death Cross on this 1 week timeframe. At the moment of typing this, BTC has crossed back under its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 week timeframe. A successful close below the LSMA and successful re-test as resistance will indicate that the direction of travel will most likely continue downwards. BTC is still way under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 week timeframe. Looking at the Descending Pitchfork Pattern, we can see the Support and Resistance levels that BTC has been hitting on this indicator. Here is a closer look at this 1 week chart: BTC is still in the Bearish Zone of all 3 of its major Ichimoku Clouds. Looking at BTC’s most important Ichimoku Cloud: The Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that mid-point the short-term momentum is downwards at the moment. The Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment. The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum, at the moment is starting to slope downwards. Using the Negative V Calculation from the 1 Month Chart, and using the Ichimoku Timespan Numbers of 65-Bars and 76-Bars starting from the ATH at $68,789.63 back in Nov 2021, we have 2 potential timeframes for the price target $9,916. V Calculation Negative (from 1 month chart) V = B - (C-B) = D C $25,160 - B $17,538 = $7,622 B $17,538 - (C-B) $7,1622 = $9,916 D1 = $9,916 The week of 6th Feb 2023 D2 = $9,916 The week 24th April 2023 Note that this is NOT a bottom for BTC but is a PRICE TARGET using the Ichimoku V Calculation (Negative). Looking at the Up/Down Volume, we can see that the Volume Traded since around June 2021 has been nothing when compared to what has been previously traded in the past. Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that the RSI is pointing downwards and still has plenty of room to move downwards before becoming Oversold on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the RSI is getting very close to crossing under is 9 Period EMA. From my opinion, before anyone can start talking or preaching about bottoms, reversals and bull-runs, we need to talk about fundamentals and what is happening to the world economy. We also now know that the Crypto world isn’t yet a hedge against inflation and we also need to accept the fact that the world is already in a recession and possibly heading into a depression in 2023. From my opinion BTC is still in a mid to longterm downtrend. That is NOT going to change unless BTC crosses back ABOVE and more importantly CLOSES ABOVE its 200MA on the 1 Day Chart for Mid-Term and 1 Week Chart for Long-Term. If/when this happens, be on the lookout for any successful re-test as support on these timeframes. Once this world wide recession fully bottoms out be it in 6 months, 1 year, 2 years, 5 years or 10 years and when the powers that be have had their fill of transferring wealth from the Middle Class and the Poor to the elites, then true opportunities WILL ARISE for those who are ready. Again this is all my opinion so I hope this post is helpful.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
10
BTC/USD - Will we see a Death Cross on the Bitcoin 1 week chart?Looking at the BTC/USD 1 week chart, we can see that the 50MA (Yellow Line) is now getting really close to the 200MA (Red Line). A crossover would signal a Death Cross on this 1 week timeframe. Looking at the entire history and available data on this BTC/USD 1 week chart, we can see that the 50MA has never crossed under the 200MA on this 1w timeframe. Note that the 50MA did come very close to crossing under the 200MA around the week of the 30th Nov 2015 but in the end, it didn’t happen. Other notes: BTC is still in a Massive Ichimoku Y-Wave pattern. BTC is also still in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern. BTC is still under all 3 of its major unique Ichimoku Kumo (Cloud) patterns. BTC is still under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow, we can see that we are still in the Distribution Zone traveling slightly upwards but would say more like 'sideways within a range' on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is still under its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) (Blue Line) which is a sign of continued weakness on this 1 week timeframe. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still above its Signal Line (Orange Line) but has starting to slope downwards. Note that both the MACD Line and Signal Line are still deep in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line. Note that the last green histogram had also decreased in size and this weekly one looks like it will also close smaller than the last indicating upwards momentum is weakening on this 1w timeframe. Interesting times and potential opportunities ahead once this World Recession bottoms. I hope this quick chart is helpful.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
1
VET/USD - 1w chart Update and my opinionLet’s have another quick look at the VET/USD 1w chart. Here is a closer look at this 1w chart. VeChain is still in its Descending Wedge Pattern on this 1w chart. Note that VET failed to close a weekly candle above its upper descending trend line of its Descending Wedge Pattern at around $0.0286. $0.0286 was also the previous high from Mon 23rd Jul 2018. VeChain is still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1w chart. VET is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1w chart. Note that the Lower Band has started to curve downwards indicating volatility for the downside on this 1w chart. Note that the 50MA (Orange Line) is getting really close to the 200MA (Red Line). If the 50MA crosses under the 200MA on this 1w chart that will create a death cross on this 1 week timeframe. VET is now fighting to stay above its support area located at $0.01978 and $0.0181. If VET closes a weekly candle below $0.0181 then we should drop to around $0.0120. VET is below its 1 ($0.01845) Trend Based Fib Extension Level. Failure to close a weekly candle above this level will lead to further drops. Looking at the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) we can see the area i which the most Volume was traded on VET/USD. Note that VET is close to dropping under its 78.60% Fib Retracement Level at $0.01811. I have added a Modified Schiff Pitchfork pattern and you can clearly see that VET has a long way togo before crossing back above its Median Line. Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is still weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 16.34 and still under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line). Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 16.39. Negative Momentum has Increased with the -DI (Red Line) rising to 24.32. Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that there is still plenty of room for VET to drop before becoming Oversold on this 1w chart. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is still under its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a sign of downwards strength on this 1w timeframe. So what does all this tell me: This is all just my opinion but this tells me that there is plenty of room for VET to drop further on this 1w timeframe especially if it closes a weekly candle below its 78.60% Fib Retracement level. Once this world wide recession fully bottoms be it in a 1 year, 2 years, 5 years or 10 years and the powers that be have had their fill of transferring wealth from the Middle Class and the Poor to the elites, then opportunities will arise for those who are ready. My crypto of choice is obviously VET and a few others that have use cases but this goes for all Crypto’s so soon your crypto of choice will be available at an even lower bargain price. Especially if/when BTC drops to the $12k-$9k range. Please see the chart below. I hope this is helpful with your trading or hodl-ing.
BINANCE:VETUSD
by entertheroach
Tools to assess SPX for potential bear and bull marketsIndicators - • CM_Ultimate RSI Multi Timeframe • CM_Stochastic Multi Timeframe • CM_Stochastic Highlight Bars Ticker - QUANDL:MULTPL/SHILLER_PE_RATIO_MONTH – Now I cannot seem to find the ticker through the search of Trading view. However, I found this by clicking on a post made about this ticker, opening the full chart, and adding it to your watchlist. (If any knows this ticker, please post it in the comments) (If you want to add it to your watchlist I suggest clicking on the ticker link above this post and adding it through there) Possible Ticker - QUANDL:MULTPL/SP500_PSR_QUARTER – This is a price to sales ratio of the SPX. This does not have as much history as the Shiller ticker on TradingView however may just be as useful in the future. This is the Shiller Cape Ratio and first a little about it. The Shiller P/E was created by Nobel Prize winner Robert J. Shiller. This ratio helps investors understand whether stocks are overvalued or undervalued while also correcting for short-term volatility. This analytical tool is most used to evaluate the overall U.S. stock market. It is also known as the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio (CAPE) or the Shiller P/E 10, due to the 10-year data it uses. As much as these indicators can be used directly on the SPX, I find It cancels out the noise and gives you a strategy and indicator that helps you feel more confident about your decision knowing it is backed by fundamentals. A lot of people had compared the similarities between this crash and the 2008 and this current bear market. The similarities of the point of crossover of the stochastic in the exact position of the 2008 bear market. Not to mention, with the RSI still not having reached oversold territory this indicate that the market has a way to go. Technical analysis can work great on these indicators as using support and resistance levels in the same way you would use them on any other security. Using them to look for potential bounce or resistance levels in bear a bull markets can work wonder. Another ticker that these indicators work lovely on is the S5FI and the S5TH for look for oversold levels as well as divergence a momentum. I will be completely honest, as I am only new to technical analysis. However, I find that similar to crypto using of chain analysis, that trading of fundamentals or underlying key figures give me loads more confidence in making more accurate decisions and better precisely timed decisions and a better understanding of what drives markets.
SP:SPX
by Ryan1993
1
BTC/USD - Is it a Rising Wedge or a Falling Wedge?Quick BTC/USD 1 week chart update: BTC is in a massive Rising Wedge Pattern. BTC is also in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern. At the moment of typing this, BTC is still back above its 200MA on this 1 week timeframe. At the moment of typing this, BTC is still way below its 50MA on this 1 week timeframe. At the moment of typing this, BTC is still way below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 period SMA. Note that the Upper Band is curving downwards and the Lower Band is starting to curve around slightly. At the moment of typing this, BTC is still back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 week timeframe. BTC is still in its Descending Pitchfork Pattern above the Median Line and back above its Upper Green Resistance/Support line. It will probably be some time before we see BTC back above the Ichimoku Cloud Equilibrium Zone and back in the Bullish Zone on this 1 week timeframe but that doesn't mean profit cannot be made while the Price is still in the Bearish Zone under the Equilibrium Zone, that is why it's always best to check multiple timeframes for any potential breakouts on those. Looking at the Average Directional Index Indicator (ADX DI), we can see that Negative Momentum has continued to drop with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 31.45. Positive Momentum has dropped slightly with the +DI (Green Line) at 15.01. The Trend Strength has increased with the ADX (Orange Line) at 32.18 note it is still above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) which is at 28.89. Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence Indicator (MACD), we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line but it has risen sharply with Red Histograms decreasing in size and it looks like we could soon see the MACD Line (Blue Line) crossing back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) creating a Buy Signal on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since the 10th Jan 2022. For the mid to longterm upside, be on the lookout for a successful weekly close above the 28.60% ($24,314) Fib Re-tracement level and any successful re-test as strong support. For the mid to longterm downside, be on the lookout for a weekly close back under the LSMA and 200MA with any successful re-test as strong resistance. So a Rising Wedge or a Falling Wedge? Which will it be?……. only time will tell. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing. Notes: 200MA = Red Line on chart 50MA = Yellow Line on chart LSMA = Cyan Line on chart
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
6
$0.50 ??????? XRPUSDT possible short move before the 14/01/22Hi everyone Daily" XRP broke trend a strong trend line, while leaving behind a Death Cross like many other currencies. Following BTC Also I see the formation of a Head and shoulders that has sent the price down to the next local support level. XRP has to over come selling pressure to keep it self above the current support $$0.76, If failing to do so we could see another drop down to the $0.50 support or lower like many believe is the case. 'I believe we could see a $0.50 xrp but no further than before the 14' ALWAYS look for extra confirmation on any trade, Happy trading people (No financial advice) DISCLAIMER The trading ideas, analysis, and comments above should not be considered financial advice or recommendation to trade or invest in any financial product. Your personal situation has not been taken into consideration in the trade ideas. This page is for general educational purposes only. Do not buy or sell any product discusses on this page before doing your own research. Always do your own analysis and research and be aware of the risks involved in trading any financial product :)
Short
by CryptoTraderRetired
1
SOLUSDT Long to retest 50Ma Hi everyone Daily" Rebound up from trend line. Stoch RSI crossed up on over sold area. Strong sign of having had reached bottom daily looking to come back up and retest 50Ma. Possible price target $190 if gone over this resistance we can see a long move all the way to $240 if bulls keep on our side. ALWAYS look for extra confirmation on any trade, Anything like a bullish or bearish candles such as the one we can see here "Grave stone Doji' for this small short. Happy trading people! (No financial advice) DISCLAIMER The trading ideas, analysis, and comments above should not be considered financial advice or recommendation to trade or invest in any financial product. Your personal situation has not been taken into consideration in the trade ideas. This page is for general educational purposes only. Do not buy or sell any product discusses on this page before doing your own research. Always do your own analysis and research and be aware of the risks involved in trading any financial product :)
Long
by CryptoTraderRetired
ADAUSDT Break + Retest 50Ma SHORT PHi everyone Daily" Going short ADAUSDT RSI still has a long way to get down to over sold area, had confirmation from red DOJI and second long Red candle. + Price fail to cross up 50 MA ALWAYS look for extra confirmation on any trade, Anything like a bullish/ bearish candle such as the one we can see here "Red Doji' Possible drop to $1 If bears stay strong, then look for rebound up to retest $1.50 Area " I would personally hold on any long positions until we ether confirm a new strong new trend or buy at $1.5 area" Happy trading people (No financial advice) DISCLAIMER The trading ideas, analysis, and comments above should not be considered financial advice or recommendation to trade or invest in any financial product. Your personal situation has not been taken into consideration in the trade ideas. This page is for general educational purposes only. Do not buy or sell any product discusses on this page before doing your own research. Always do your own analysis and research and be aware of the risks involved in trading any financial product :)
Short
by CryptoTraderRetired
2
November 16, 2021 USDMXN 1 HOUR 50 MAI have been leaning towards a MA retest strategy that has been panning out pretty well these past few months. Here is a setup from a trade last week. I primarily look for candles closing at the 4 hour closes and also around the 1 hour closes around the NY session open. There are three MA's I use. The 20 MA (blue), 50 MA (red) and the 200 MA (gold). Not only does the candle have to close on the 20 or 50 MA but the moving averages must be positioned correctly. I use the 4 screen layout. The daily chart on the top left, 4 hour on the top right, 1 hour on the bottom left, and 15 min on the bottom right. This is my Moving Average Correlation Strategy In using this strategy, I review all major and minor forex pairs including indices and metals. If I see a pair closing on a moving average, I will flag it and set an alert above the high (buy) or low (short) on the timeframe where the 200 MA resides. Each week there are at least 4-6 setups. A) IF Price closes on the 4 hour 20 MA, I need price to also close on the 50 MA on the 1 hour, and the 200 MA on the 15 min. B) IF Price closes on the 4 hour 50 MA, I need price to also close on the 200 MA on the 1 hour. C) IF Price closes on the 1 hour 20 MA, I need price to close on the 15 min 50 MA, and 5 min 200 MA. D) IF Price closes on the 1 hour 50 MA, I need price to close on the 15 min 200 MA. These are the primary correlations I use to trade. I also check the daily, but I find more setups with the above for IF, THEN criteria. Remember, the moving averages must be ALSO positioned correctly. From here, I wait for a candle stick confirmation. I will either get in an engulfing candle on the 50 MA or the 200 MA. TRADE ABOVE: In the above chart, scenario (D) occurred. Price closed on the 1 hour 50 MA at 4 AM PST (one hour before the NY session). At the same time, price also closed on the 200 MA on the 15 min timeframe. Next, I saw an engulfing candle form creating a morning star on the 200 MA on the 15 min. I did a quick check and saw this more clearly on the 30 min timeframe for additional confirmation. The buy was entered above the high with stop loss below the low. Profit levels at RR of 3 and at a daily resistance. Does anyone else trade this way? Is this your first time seeing this? Please respond so I know I"m not the only one here. Looking for all of your feedback! @MDFX_TRADES
Long
by MichaelDForex
BTC - Will history repeat itself for a 3rd time?The big question is..... will history repeat itself for a 3rd time? If we look at the BTC Daily Chart, at the moment, it looks like BTC is in a massive Descending Triangle, its apex is around October - Dec 2022. For those that don’t know, a Descending Triangle is a Bearish Chart Pattern. BTC needs to CLOSE back ABOVE its Descending Trend-line! If BTC cannot manage this, then BTC will continue to create Lower Highs pushing the price closer to the Horizontal Support Line that is the Base of the Descending Triangle. As we have seen twice before, a break below the Base of the Descending Triangle leads to around a 47% drop for BTC. Now, I am not saying that this is going to happen, but what i am saying is that i know what BTC needs to do to keep it from happening a 3rd time……. which is a successful CLOSE ABOVE the Descending Trend-line, and then the price needs to stay ABOVE it and continue making Higher Highs and Higher Lows. It’s as simple as that. I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by entertheroach
6