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618 Fibonacci Retracement

THIS IS HOW YOU TRADE THE FIBThese are 4 confirmations for me to enter a trade. IF I DONT SEE THE ENGLUFING PATTERN THE TRADE IS RISKY.. Just because it hits the 61.8 doesnt mean its going to reverse. What youre looking for is a breakout after the 61.8 hit,, 1. Did it hit the 61.8 2. With-in the high and low did a engulfing pattern happen on the 30m or 1hr 3. find a nice clean breakout, and enter on the 5 minute. 4. Set the SL about the wick that hit the 61.8 and set the TP at the 1.27 WALA
Short
by rellis281
USDCAD a turn at the 0.618 Fibonacci 🦐USDCAD on the 4h chart after the recent low retraced over the weekly structure at the 0.618 Level. The market is now trading above the support and according to Plancton's strategy IF the price will break below we will set a nice short order according to Plancton's strategy rules. --–– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger
by InkyGrip
8
SP500 CASH - Another Bear market Rally??SP:SPX is in the process of another Bear market rally after yesterdays CPI data gave us one of the biggest one day rallies of all time. But if we look at the previous rally with time and price that gives us an upside target area of between 4150-4200 for around early December. If we get there earlier and go through 4200 then a major low could be in and we head to new ATHs again. The FED is in there again giving us the higher interest rate story but helping the market at the same time. This is also a seasonly bullish time for the market so it will be an interesting few weeks going into the end of the year. I hope this helps.. Enjoy the day.
TVC:SPXLong
by L_F
BTC Bullish Cypher Update #3: A Falling Wedge AdditionSince first identifying this Cypher on the weekly I have noticed that BTC seems to have been trading within this huge Falling Wedge and now this week after bouncing up from a much Smaller Daily Timeframe Bullish Shark for the second time, it is attempting a weekly Breakout of the more prominent Falling Wedge. The Measured Move for this wedge breakout would be around a $29,580 upside move to which would take us very close to the 61.8% Retrace from high to low at $49.6k. We currently have Multiple Harmonic Supports between $18.5k and $17.5k along with an Equally as strong Price Action Support Floor at around $18.5k based off of some weekly candle closes we got in 2017 and in 2020. A screanshot of the much smaller Daily Bullish Shark can be seen here on the CME chart but can also be seen on the Bybit chart underneath the CME screenshot in the Related Ideas tab below:
CME:BTC1!Long
by RizeSenpai
EURAUD a bull flag on the 0.618 🦐EURAUD on the 4h chart is creating a bull flag, with the price that perfectly tested with the lower spike the 0.618 Fibonacci level over a daily support. The price has bounced over the structure and is now trading below the upper trendline and a resistance area. How can i approach this scenario? I will wait for the EU market open and IF the price will break the area i will look for a nice long order according to the Plancton's strategy rules. ––––– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger
Long
by InkyGrip
4
BTC's Downward Breakout May Trap BearsChart 1 : BTCUSD's Downward Breakout From Bear-Flag Channel (Chart 1 also includes a hypothetical price path showing one probable way that price could retest the channel and the downward trendline that has held as resistance since November 2021. BTC's Downward Breakout from Parallel Channel/b] On August 19, 2022, BTC fell over -10%, breaking out below its upward sloping bear-flag channel. This parallel channel has contained price since the June 18, 2022, low at $17,592. The breakout below the channel was also decisive with a taller bearish candle that closed very near the low for the day. As price has continued to rally, volume has dwindled. This represents lack of conviction in the rally when volume does not support each subsequent push higher. Potential Retest of the Parallel Channel In weighing the likelihood of a potential retest of the parallel channel that has defined this bear rally, consider the following points: 1. No one can say with certainty whether the bear rally is finished or whether the downtrend is complete. However, the bear rally may not be complete, and bears opening shorts on this breakout may be trapped in the coming days / weeks. Bull and bear traps have been a common occurrence in this bear market. Note that this is a short-term view only—the longer-term price action and trend structure remain quite bearish, and this author does not advocate a long investment strategy at this time in BTC . 2. Even though the macroeconomic environment remains poor with sticky inflation and tightening financial policy likely to continue in the intermediate term or long term, corrective rallies can push higher and longer than most expect. Markets can remain irrational longer than traders can remain solvent. Market research studies have shown that some of the strongest, sharpest rallies in equity markets have occurred during prolonged bear markets. Look no further than the recent rally: the macroeconomic picture has remained relatively unchanged, but equity indices and cryptocurrencies have rallied significantly in the past two months. 3. While the bear rally may constitute an upward correction within the downtrend, consider that the recent decline on August 19, 2022, may simply constitute a correction within a correction. Stated differently, today's decline may represent a retracement within an ongoing bear rally that has already pushed over 40% higher from June 2022 lows. And the ongoing bear rally is itself a larger-degree retracement within a ten-month downtrend. 4. Breakouts above / below trendlines or channels commonly lead to short-term reversals that (at a minimum) retest the breakout point. In this case, a retest of the channel would lead price to the $23,000 to $24,000 range. Like every common price pattern, whipsaws involving retests of breakout points do not always occur. 5. Currently, price has declined to just above the .618 retracement of its entire rally off the June 2022 low near $17,592. This .618 retracement level frequently holds as initial support or resistance when price corrects a recent price move. The zone between the .618 retracement and the .786 retracement should be watched carefully over the coming week. If it holds firmly as support, this could indicate that the decline is part of a correction within an ongoing larger bear rally off June 2022 lows. (Note that the .618 retracement can be important both during corrective rallies within uptrends and corrective bounces within downtrends.) Supplementary Chart: BTC's Recent Decline May Pause or Reverse at the Zone between the .618 and .786 Retracement Levels Potential Test of the Ten-Month Down Trendline Corrective price patterns frequently work havoc on bears and bulls who want to see consistent trendlike price action in one direction or the other. Note that corrective patterns can be upward, as in the current bear rally within BTC's downtrend, or they can be downward, as the In the short term, price has chopped back and forth within the corrective parallel channel shown in Chart 1. Further, corrections can unfold in complex combinations as Elliott Wave theory teaches. For BTC, the current bear rally is an upward correction. This upward correction And a two-month bear rally could be the first segment of a complex correction—alternatively, it could be the end of the corrective retracement. The primary chart, Chart 1, shows in blue the major down trendline that has defined this downtrend in BTCUSD. This down trendline has contained price since early November 2021 may still be tagged in the coming days or weeks. Important levels of support or resistance tend to act as a magnet for price when price approaches them. The retest of the parallel channel could in theory coincide with a test of the down trendline in early September 2022. If this happened, the test would occur at a price of approximately $23,500 to $24,000. Finally, while many have concluded the final lows were made and others see this as a bear rally, this bear rally still constitutes an upward correction within a downtrend until the weight of the evidence proves otherwise . So this article posits that price could continue the upward correction (retracement) higher or sideways over the next few weeks, and that today's decline might be a downward correction within the corrective bear rally. And any rally may trap bulls with another sharp move lower. After all, markets in equities and crypto have continued to confound bears and bulls alike leaving market makers with bulging pockets full of profits. NOTE: This article is intended to present a relatively objective view of BTC's current price action and key levels using technical analysis. The author has no open position at the time of publication (August 19-20, 2022) on BTCUSD or BTC-related investment products such as BTC futures , BTC ETFs (BITO) or BTC derivatives. DISCLAIMER: This post is published solely for educational / entertainment purposes and does not constitute financial advice or an investment recommendation and cannot account for any person's particular financial circumstances. The author would not want other investors / traders to lose money by relying *solely* on this idea rather than doing their own due diligence. Before entering any trade, please evaluate the risks of (i) the instrument / security being traded, (ii) the type of trade and its timeframe, (iii) risks inherent in that type of trade and its time frame, (iv) the inherent risks of shorting securities (presenting unlimited risk without hard stops in place), (v) the inherent risks of trading options, leveraged ETFs, and cryptocurrencies, and (vi) all financial risks arising each person's personal financial circumstances. CME:BTC1! BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT FTX:BITOUSD SP:SPX OANDA:SPX500USD VANTAGE:SP500
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SquishTrade
12
Is it ripe to sell USTech100? | New perspective for the weekFrom a technical perspective, I have identified a simple setup in the form of a trend continuation pattern where there is the possibility of either a breakout or rejection of this trendline to send price, either way, this new week. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
UShort
by darcsherry
GOLD can move higher? 🦐XAUUSD on the 4h chart after the test of the daily resistance retraced exactly at our beloved 0.618. The market is now testing the 0.5 Fibonacci level and we can expect some further bullish move after the EU market open. How can i approach this scenario? If the price will break above the 0.382 resistance level i will look for a nice long order according to the Plancton's strategy rules. --–– Follow the Shrimp 🦐 Keep in mind. 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure. 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure. 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure. 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure. ⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure. Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any questions. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by InkyGrip
8
GBPJPY | Perspective for the new weekHeading into the new week, it is obvious that the GBPJPY overstepped its two-day high and has crossed the critical resistance of 164.00 towards the latter part of last week's trading session to set the tone for a bullish expectation. Coupled with the key level @ 161.5, the bullish trendline identified on the daily timeframe shall be my guide to a bullish potential in the new week. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
GBPUSD | New perspectiveA simple set-up is identified on the 4H timeframe as we looked forward to the culmination of the retracement of the previous impulse leg to take advantage of a potential bearish momentum. To guide our actions going forward, we have a key level @ 1.23 area where we shall be looking forward to taking selling opportunities only below the key level. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
Elliott Wave Analysis: Uranium Looks PromisingHello traders and investors, today we will talk about Uranium in which we see pretty nice and clean bullish development from Elliott wave perspective. Uranium made strong and impulsive rally from March 2020 lows, clearly within a five-wave cycle which suggests a bullish reversal at least in three waves A/1-B/2-C/3. After a completed five-wave cycle into wave A/1 at the end of 2021, Uranium slowed down into a wave B/2 correction, which looks like a complex w-x-y corrective decline that can be now approaching the end soon. From technical point of view, ideal support is around former wave "iv" and 61,8% Fibonacci retracement that comes around 17-15 support area. So, once current wave B/2 correction fully unfolds, we believe that Uranium will be headed higher into wave C or maybe even wave 3. All the best! If you like what we do, then please like and share our idea! Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
AMEX:URALong
by ew-forecast
GBPAUD | New perspective The identification of a strong bearish impulse leg on the 4H time frame which was followed by a retracement into the 61.8/78.6% appears to be a clue into the strength of the sellers at this juncture in the market. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
GBPUSD | New perspectiveI have just identified a similar scenario to that which we saw in the EURUSD ( this was shared earlier): With a key level at 1.255000 sharing a confluence with the bearish trendline identified in the 1H timeframe, I am looking forward to selling the British Pound going into the New York session... Stay tuned in as regular updates will be shared on my tradingview account. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
EURNZD | New perspectiveThe identification of a strong bearish impulse leg on the daily time frame which was followed by a retracement wave that appears to have culminated around 61.8-78.6% ( 1.68000 zone) is a signal that the risk of further decline in price is imminent. So, this video explains how I intend to take advantage of the bearish move if it happens. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
1
BTCUSDT Price ActionAfter an swing upward, price fail to reach at least 33k region. Candlesticks inverted hammer & doji consecutive after an peak, bearish. Neckline: the priceaction will reaction from this and pullback to test. Expected a head in formation. Head and Shoulders correction in confluence to triangle. I've wright in baloon 'if price... breaks down... confirm reversal', but this is not a uptrend as the ordinary people may have think. All is BEARISH. Volume: show of weakness. If price action breaks down 61.8% of Fibonacci retracement, then one more confirmation to remains bearish and maintain short. 30k is the region of the neckline of the major double bottom to pay attention. The price action can form a wide range. But I'm expected dump.
Short
by firmestudio