EURUSD Short-Term Bearish Analysis This expectation is a framework to look for a potential trading setup; I don't just execute based on these levels, I always wait for confirmations on lower timeframes
This Analysis was done using my complete Strategy which includes:
- Smart Money Concepts
- Multi Timeframe Liquidity and Market Structure
- Supply And Demand
- Auction Theory
- Volume Analysis
- Footprint
- Market Profile
- Volume Profile
- WYCKOFF
- ETC
6e
EURUSD Short-Term Bullish Analysis/ExpectationThe price is building liquidity (Equal Highs). The Smart Money might break more structures to the downside to induce sellers before going after the equal highs.
Or it could just take that liquidity without breaking structures first. It will depend on lower timeframes orderflows
Click on Boost (like) to support these free analyses!
This Analysis was done using my complete Strategy which includes:
- Smart Money Concepts
- Multi Timeframe Liquidity and Market Structure
- Supply And Demand
- Auction Theory
- Volume Analysis
- Footprint
- Market Profile
- Volume Profile
- Wyckoff
- Etc.
EURUSD Short-Term Bullish AnalysisClick on Boost (like) to support these free analyses
This expectation is a framework to look for a potential trading setup; I recommend you to not just execute based on these levels. I always wait for confirmations on lower timeframes
This Analysis was done using my complete Strategy which includes:
- Smart Money Concepts
- Multi Timeframe Liquidity and Market Structure
- Supply And Demand
- Auction Theory
- Volume Analysis
- Footprint
- Market Profile
- Volume Profile
- Wyckoff
- Etc.
EURUSD Short Term Analysis/ExpectationClick on Boost (like) to support these free analyses
This expectation is a framework to look for a potential trading setup; I recommend you to not just execute based on these levels. I always wait for confirmations on lower timeframes
This Analysis was done using my complete Strategy which includes:
- Smart Money Concepts
- Multi Timeframe Liquidity and Market Structure
- Supply And Demand
- Auction Theory
- Volume Analysis
- Footprint
- Market Profile
- Volume Profile
- WYCKOFF (IS THE KING)
- ETC
Euro ready to continue decline - according to COT Data COT Data is pointing to the Euro ( CME:6E1! ) to continue its fall after seen a brief rally
For the last couple months, the large speculators have been accumulating so much Euro that is is becoming over-crowded (See the green line in the NET COT FO graph on the weekly chart). A small catalyst could send this currency back into a downward spiral, fueled by the speculators being overly long. I will be looking for my proprietary reversal signal to enter the trade and use sound risk management thereafter
Notes on My Trading Methodology and What I'm Even Talking About
COT Definitions:
- COT: Commitments of Traders Reports - A weekly report published by the government (CFTC) that shows long and short positions of the below 3 groups (As well as much more data I don't look at). We look at the NET positions of these 3 groups and compare them to historical levels to signal trade opportunities
1- Commercials: Hedgers - We want to trade with them when they're at extreme levels (Think Tyson, Cargill, General Mills, etc)
2- Large Speculators: Hedge funds and large institutions - We want to fade them when they are at max positions (Think suits in NYC and commodity funds)
3- Small Speculators: People/institutions trading small lot sizes not big enough to report to CFTC - We want to fade their max positions as well since they represent the public (Think dude in his PJs trading and small trading firms)
Indicators on Chart:
- The first indicator shows the net positions of the 3 groups above plotted over time
- The second indicator is an index of the relative buying/selling of commercials over a certain lookback period. Anything above 95 is looking for buy, look to sell when it hits 0
- Note: Just because the Commercial's net position is negative doesn't mean it can't be relatively net long and signal a buy (same in the opposite scenario)
Trade Setup - Both Must Happen:
- When commercials are at max levels we are alerted to buy or sell (Depending on the criteria above)
- On a daily chart , use technical indicators, candlestick patterns, news, etc to enter the trade (not shown here)
- Added bonus when the trend is your friend (I use a Multiple Moving Averages indicator to visualize)
eurusd daily : dont pick sell ,looking for buy in 1.010 and holdin 1-3 day eurusd can go down but we are in start of up trend , dont sell and wait above green arrow pick low size buy and hold it 20-30 day minimum to 1.0000
personaly i belive eurusd main trend will go up ,,, upper long term target is fibo61 :1.12222 so strongly advice dont pick sell, looking for buy in deep and hold to new high
wish you win
EURUSD daily : trend will be up to 1.09000eurusd try touch fibo50 near 1.09000
for coming days eurusd little can go down but trend will +up and technical say it can go to fibo61 1.120000
so above green arrow on chart,after pinbar come on higher timeframe 1h-4h-daily chart dont fear pick buy and hold it 30-40 day to fibo50 near 1.09000
strongly advice dont pick sell and looking for buy in deep
wish you win
6E1! Futures Ideas for the next daysSome ideas of possible operations on Future FX 6E for the next few days. I intend to apply them as intraday hedging positions, as an alternative to my usual scalping.
Specifically, before carrying out my possible operations, I will need to have volumetric confirmation and volatility indications that reflect the previous conditions to determine a real interest in those price areas
Let's see how the situation will evolve.
Please do not take any of these ideas as a possible operational invitation.
These are personal impressions, and do not want to give rise to any kind of investment
EURUSD 4hour = 3angel pattern , buysop on yesterday highon daily chart i belive eurusd will see 1.08500 soon
but for short term , dont close your buys sooner than fibo 61% 1.03600
SL= last clear low (4hour)
good luck , if eurusd go up , dont open reverse sell , it can go up wild , only under red arrow we can pick sell
Dollar - DX DXY DOLLAR WEF Summit in DAVOS Began today, May 22, 2022.
World Economic Forum members are face to face
\as opposed to Virtual.
Topics include Ukraine, Energy, Nato, and Climate.
Government Policies will be shaped this weekend
for the next 18 months.
Volatility & Stability will be addressed with strategy
sessions will be addressed in breakout groups to present
a composite solution.
This meeting has been postponed as it is usually held in
January.
Acceleration of Policies and Agenda are to be anticipated.
The result will have broad-reaching Market implications.
Bullish Divergence in Euro FuturesBasically the same idea that I posted last week about the Bearish Divergence in $DXY but more time has passed, and it looks even more pronounced in the Euro itself.
Pick your poison: /6E, /M6E, EURUSD are all good Long candidates to play this idea. Another good option could be to short /SFX - which is the Small Exchange's US Dollar Futures contract. If you don't know about The Small Exchange, I'd highly recommend looking into their products.
community.thesmallexchange.com
dont fear buy eurusd now SL= last low target 1= fibo 61% 1.1440 target 2= fibo 161% 1.19000 (close 50% of your buy in tp1 then close rest in tp2 reach tp2 can take 20 day)
dont close buy soon with little profit, give minimum 7-8 day time for grow
ADVICE= eurusd break red trend line =buy signal for pro traders ,,so until fibo 61% dont open sell (it can fly up wild) , instead sell, looking for buy in deep for hold to new high
alert=if low break,eurusd can little go downer
if you have old buys,dont panic ,hold them until fibo 61%,dont close sooner
if you have old sells,close all now and pick buy (under 1.340)
on eurusd keep monitor AC on daily and 1 hour chart (if you are new on accelator occilator,(created by Bill williams) dont trade with it , it need min 8 month watch ,has many secrets)
euro futures net open orders by larg banks and fund managers
prnt.sc
my desktop ,i update it each morning
www.tradingview.com
6E EURUSD Possible Areas of OpportunityIn the chart published, the marked area with a green box is a great area to look for long opportunities as long as price shows us a confirmation for a trade. It is rather a big zone so lowering to the smaller timeframes would be wise in order to get a better entry. 1hr must first form bullish market structure or reject multiple times the marked area in order for a trade to be considered. Good luck on your trading.
EURUSD - From Market Maker Zones (4th Week of November)Hello,
Risky buys (Reason EU and DXY passed monthly zones , and pull back chance is 75%)
Conformation for buys will be: DAY close above balance zone.
After it will happen we will share best zones where to buy (or add) more long in mid-term perspective.
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Always look for reactions on this levels before you execute the trade
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--------------------------------------- DISCLAIMER ---------------------------------------------------
Any and all commentary, research, analyses, or other information published by me on this website are provided as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice nor a solicitation and there are no guarantees associated with them. I am not liable for any loss or damage, including without limitation, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
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EURUSD SHORT - From Market Maker Zones (3nd Week of November)Hello,
Our previous trading idea hit all the targets!
EU (also GU) now in potential reverse zone, in order to confirm that we need to close a DAY above Balance.
But since we are still in BEARISH mood, we will try to take shorts :)
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Always look for reactions on this levels before you execute the trade
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EURUSD SHORT - From Market Maker Zones (2nd Week of November)Hello,
We are still in BEARISH Momentum UNTILL we set above Market Maker Balance Zone,
So now we look ONLY for SHORTS from:
1- Market Maker Balance
2- Market Maker Defend
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Always look for reactions on this levels before you execute the trade
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ES - ALL Overhead Targets completedMarkets will see the lower end of the Range - Trade and Fail.
Wall Street always get their Fills.
The DXY as indicated will put immense pressure on everything
with the 9465s heading our way.
We will continue to PRESS GBP and 6E positions - which remain
our largest single SELLS.
Into the close we close 12/20 GBP / 12/20 6E.
Nice to see this trade perform as anticipated as there is a
large disruption coming to FX as we alluded.
It has arrived :)
6E - Whom do you trustThe European Union is setup for yet another series of Defaults.
After the Cypress Test, the Greek Crisis and Italy, France, Spain
and all members of this dysfunctional Union.
It can hardly be referred to as Economic as it remains the most
dysfunctional series of entanglements ever created.
Nationalism - is gaining traction once again, having failed miserably
to find harmony.
Incompatibility - Centuries of Mistrust has reemerged in varying forms.
Different Economies, Different Cultures, the twain has not met and nor
will it.
Merkel, a Former Communist turned "Social Democrat" failed to impose
her brand of Austerity upon other Members - The BIS asked her to exit
stage left.
The European Parliament has been side stepped since Day One. Useless
series of attempts to reign in their Sovereignty - Democracy failed within
the European Union.
A bureaucracy with no accountability - None. Perhaps the most wasteful
nascent form of insidious "Devil May Care" attitude in recorded History.
Structure - Glacial Policy implementations - Wandering Bishops unable to
preside over Crisis after Crisis. Lack of Unity, Decision process as Glacial
as Policy.
Absorption of Eastern Europe - Oil meet Water. Authoritarianism never goes
quietly into the night.
Convergence of Economic Interest - The wide ability to Tax and Spend.
Yeah, Naw it failed.
Germany - Unacceptable Dominatrix. Sieg Heil, Without the a Big Smile.
Cooperation was never intended, Members declined to be dominated by
their Mistress.
CONsensus - Yeah, Naw, Never happened.
Labor migration within the EU created immense arbitrage and Social Distrust.
Protectionism - Let those other Nations "Eat Cake" we'll protect our own.
NATO vs. Russia - Protecting as Deals are being made... A waste of Money
which leaves the inability to pay, a non-issue. Peace preferred with
Mamayev Kurgan is recognized as far more effective, not to mention
the energy Indpendence.
OSFA - Again - Yeah, Naw as OzzyMan would suggest - One Size Does Not Fit All.
A dozen or more reasons the 6E is doomed to the dustbin of History.
LaGarde is quickly moving to provide a BIS Solution in the form of Digi _______
Fill in the blank, it certainly isn't money.
108s will trade into August - October timeframe.
DXY could get serious busy to the upside.