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6e1

Weekly EUR forecast. Explained. Potential entriesEUR Futures are still consolidating. Last week the Department of Labor gave instructions on how to implement the executive order that partially extends federal unemployment benefits signed by President Donald Trump. But it was not enough to get a dollar out of consolidation. Fundamentally, nothing changed for both currencies. EUR has clear support and resistance levels. To avoid higher risks, it makes perfect sense to trade breakout of the range: potential longs above 1.1920 potential shorts below 1.1690 We previously discussed EUR set up for a decline. Based on COT reports commercials are selling currency. It usually indicates the market is topping. Besides, seasonal indicator points move down. The evaluation model shows EUR is overvalued. With that in mind, we prefer to look for and take sell signals. But price action is “the king” and we will follow it whatever side it breaks. Just use proven entry techniques to open a trade and don’t rush.
by UnknownUnicorn1156963
2
Coming sell in EUR. Explained Early this week the market can test 1.1630 and later bounce for a few days to form a signal for sellers. There is no need to hurry and pick up a trade now. Let the market do its thing and form some pattern to get clear entry with a good risk/reward ratio. The main reason for potential weakness is the bullish setup in DXY. I made a post about it. Below you can see a summary of DXY analysis We have discussed previously a potential rally in the American dollar. Now we are getting really close to the potential entry. However, accumulation is weak. That means it will take another week or two to get a signal. Accumulation builds momentum. That’s why it is so important. We have very strong fundamental setup for DXY rally: COT – commercials are heavily long Evaluation model – the dollar is undervalued COTSI Index – very high Intermarket forecast – upside. We need a technical signal to confirm the coming rally. It always takes some time to get one once we have a fundamental setup. So, likely we will see a bit more of a rally coming in a few sessions, followed by a pullback. It will give the dollar enough time to build momentum and form a signal to go long.
CME:6E1!Short
by UnknownUnicorn1156963
EUR is setting for declineSome time ago we have talked about EUR COT reports. Swing traders should focus on taking sell signals. Commercials are short this market, while retailers are heavily buying. We saw almost the same in 2018 before a big decline in EUR. I believe the story repeats. However, we don’t have a good entry yet. I have a feeling price will make false breakup before the trend starts. But the market doesn’t have to follow my feelings )) Besides, the evaluation index shows EUR is overvalued. Short-term traders can continue to trade in the range with tight stop loss. But our main focus is on taking sell signals, like swing failure, etc. Many data will be released the coming week, including retail sales, Empire State, Philadelphia Fed, and June University of Michigan consumer sentiment reports scheduled along with the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book. Possibly it will be driving power to break out of the range. We have to monitor COVID cases in the USA and government response to it. At the moment it is one of the most important fundamental factors for the American dollar and it will have an impact on EUR.
CME:6E1!Short
by UnknownUnicorn1156963
EURUSD bears in full controlFX:EURUSD well, it's been a nice ride down, the bears are in full control and there is no bullish sign yet for the EURUSD to start climbing. The 6E (EURUSD futures) shows how the bearish volume is greater and greater, and when there is a retracement everyone disappears, leaving all the amateurs buying, and the next session: stops are taken and go cry to mommy... EURUSD is BEARISH until shown otherwise, so sell it and sell it and sell it... that's it. P.S.: I know it's a very small timeframe, go to daily and let me know if you see any bullish reversal sign.
Short
by Luisgonzalo
8