EUR/JPY Possible M Formation at the .786Here we have a possible Extension to the 1.272 from the .786 Retracement. I will not take the trade until I see it come back up and test the .786 retracement and there is obvious TDI divergence. We shall see what happens after Monday. I wouldnt be surprised if Monday the market rallies up a bit to trap more buyers, then drop it quickly in London.
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786 Fibonacci Retracement
Advanced Harmonic Setup Cypher AUDUSD has been ranging in between .76960 and .76000, also at the .786 retracement level which is currently right under our key supply zone. Daily support is @ .76813 and price has been consolidated there for many days now. With the halt in price at this level the harmonic pattern is looking that much more validated and the daily resistance along with the supply make this a very strong confluence area for price to possibly turn bearish.
Target for bearish move would be .75600 -.75175
AUDUSD Simple SellAUDUSD is going back to structure and it is also at the .786 retracement level. It is also at the top of a channel, therefore shorting at the current levels is a good setup in my opinion.
*These are not trade calls, just my personal view.
as always comment or message me if you have any questions.
EURUSD Short, breaking the wedgeYesterday we broke out of the wedge in EURUSD pair. We just had a retest, and a .618 retracement. Looks good for a short.
Targets and stops on the graph.
I want you to look at the graph, instead of just seeing my stops and targets in numbers, becouse you can may spot something that I didn't.
Happy trading!
My latest Short Term Sell Trade Explained #forex In response for your requests guys to explain the rational behind the live trade we took on GBPCHF. Here is the explanation.
On the left hand side daily chart, the price started the bearish behavior on the 78.6 retracement level for the overall bearish wave as shown on chart. As it formed two major bearish shooting star candles.
That was not enough for me to initiate the trade so i moved to the lower time frame(4-hour) for the final confirmation. The price has indeed broken back below the prior high at 1.2868 and below the hanging man candle. That was accompanied by bearish divergence on RSI and that assured that the trade is a high probability one.
If you were following my updates on the channel, you would know that i put a limit short order as shown on chart. The targets was just reached minutes ago for 157 pips gain. Adding to my account 4.37% gain this month.
Best of luck and keep posted.
KIWI may resume bullish behaviourNZD/USD has retested 0.6500 today closing as a low test bar and just shy of trend line support. Price has also reached the 0.786 Fibonacci level closing above it. Stochastic and RSI show hidden bullish divergence.
entry - above high of low test bar
stop loss - below low of low test bar
target - at previous resistance at ~0.6880
Short KiwiReasons to short USD/NZD:
- high test bar close
- 20 ema rejection and close below
- resistance (~6700)
- downward trend line rejection (third bounce)
- 0.786 Fibonacci level rejection and close below
- Stochastic and RSI hidden bearish divergence
entry - below low of high test bar
stop loss - above high of high test bar
target - previous swing low or lower
Selling EUR/USDLooking at the following to sell EUR/USD:
- inside bar
- 50 ema rejection
- resistance at @1.1100
- Fibonacci cluster:
- 0.786 Fibonacci level rejection from previous swing high to swing low and closes below
- 50% retracement between first swing high at the top of the trend line and closes below
- trend line rejection
- Stochastic and RSI convergence
entry - below low of inside bar
stop loss - above high of mother bar
target - previous swing low or lower
Sell sign on EUR/GBPUsing the following to back a short entry on EUR/GBP on the daily chart:
- inside bar
- resistance at ~0.7120
- mother candle rejects:
- 50 ema and closes below
- 0.786 Fibonacci level and closes below
- Fibonacci cluster
- falling trend line for the 4th time closing within the downward trend channel
- Stochastic hidden bearish divergence (comparison of swing highs), and Stochastic and RSI convergence
entry - below low of inside bar
stop loss - above high of mother bar
target - previous swing low or lower
A trade I've taken on GoldAlthough looking a bit choppy, the bigger picture on Gold still shows an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. Price has touched the floor at ~1180 and rejected the trend line for a third time giving a bullish engulfing and doji bar yesterday, together with rejecting the 0.786 Fibonacci level and closing above it. Stochastic and RSI are in convergence and are just about hooking up to rise after being in oversold territory.
AT MARKET GARTLEY SHORT ON THE USDCADAs we come to the close of the week, the markets have been extremely quite. However the has been a few trading opportunities this week despite the calm. I want to look at the USDCAD bear gartley pattern that is currently on market. Personally due the risk factor i can't trade it. Stops on this one line up pretty well close to structure giving you a good reward to risk ratio. My motivation is if we see resistance hold then i would look to short this bad boy all the way down.
Good Trading Guys