China A50, riding the PBOC stimulus IF the monetary stimulus keep pushing Chinese stocks, we could be building a new impulse to retest the 16,500 area. If broken, it could speed up to 20,500 points.
What I find positive: lots of shorts still pressing the price to the downside, that could be gone if the price squeezed to the upside.
What I find negative: movement has been too fast, no rise-consolidation-rise patterns.
For confirmation, breakout above 14,500 (upper Mogalef band)
A50
China A50 prints important swing lowThe China 50 row traced over 7% from a high to the June low. But a triple bottom formed at the 12,000 level, just above the 200 day average. A Bullish divergence also formed on the two-period RSI whilst the triple bottom formed.
On Tuesday we saw clear range expansion to the upside and a daily close above the 200 day exponential moving average. This suggests an important swing low has formed around 12,000.
On the hourly chart, a bullish divergent formed on the 14-period RSI. Resistance was met at the monthly pivot point and RSI became overbought on the daily and hourly chart, and prices now retracing lower. But with a significant low likely forming around 12,000, the prices to buy dips towards 12,100 and target 12,500 near the monthly R1 pivot point.
CHINA A50 on the 1W MA100 after 2.5 years! Ultimate Bull test!When we looked at the China A50 index (CN50) last year (December 21 2023, see chart below), we got the best buy entry possible on more than 1 year span:
Our long-term Target at the time of 13000 is almost hit but it now time to re-evaluate our perspective as the index not only hit the top of its almost 2-year Falling Wedge but more importantly made contact with the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time in almost 2.5 years (since the week of December 28 2021).
This is the ultimate test for the Chinese market. A closing above that Resistance cluster, will turn us bullish again, targeting the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) at 14250. Until that closing happens, we turn bearish on the medium-term, targeting 11850 (just above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level).
It has to be mentioned that the 1W RSI has already made a bullish break-out above its 3-year Lower Highs trend-line, potentially hinting finally towards a long-term trend change to bullish.
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CHINA A50: Chinese stocks are the buy opportunity of a decade.The China A50 index (CN50) is trading within a Falling Wedge pattern and on the larger picture a Channel Up with its Higher Highs being on June 09 2015 and February 16 2021. The price is now closer to the Channel Up bottom and the pricing of a new long-term Higher Low (bottom), which already makes it a great buy opportunity. Of course the most optimal level to enter would be as close to the bottom as possible, especially of the 1W RSI makes one more Higher Low on its Triangle.
We have seen the very same 1W RSI Triangle in November 2012 - February 2014, when the index was within a similar Falling Wedge. The same RSI Bullish Divergence (Higher Lows against the price's Lower Lows) eventually caused the March 18 2014 rebound. This is why the most optimal level to buy would be on the (current) RSI Higher Lows. If that isn't materialized, we will enter when the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) breaks, which will be a bullish break-out confirmation. In either case, our long-term target is the 2.382 Fibonacci extension level at 23000.
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China A50 holds 12400 with conviction. Bullish breakout pending?The China A50 trades within a bearish channel on the daily chart, although we strongly suspect it wants to break out of it to the upside.
If you look at the steady stream of weak data coming out of China over the past few months, why is the China A50 not breaking to new lows? In fact, each time the market has pulled back to the 12,400 area since early June buyers have stepped in. And they returned in force yesterday to produce a strong bullish engulfing candle at support.
Bulls could either wait for a break of the 12,857 high to confirm breakout. But if confident that some sort of ‘plunge protection team’ is defending the 12,400 level, any pullback towards it may prove to be a gift for bulls who are anticipating a countertrend breakout.
china A50 (bottom here)hello dear trader
this price action of (chinaA50)
FTSE China A50 Index is a stock market index by FTSE Group, the components were chosen from Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange, which issue A-share; B-share were not included. Other similar product were CSI 300 Index by China Securities Index Company and "Dow Jones China 88 Index" by S&P Dow Jones Indices
price can reverse in this area because : PRZ fibou 0.618 + priceaction level
good luck
China A50 hello traders
i am looking for buy zone in chinna A50 , you can see this head and shoulder ... you can buy in the price reversal zone on fibo 0.618 + and dynamid supourt ...
what is A50????
The FTSE China A50 Index is the benchmark for investors to access the China domestic market through A Shares – securities of companies incorporated in mainland China and traded by Chinese and institutional investors under the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor and Renminbi Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII & RQFII) regulation. It is a real-time, tradable index comprising the largest 50 A Share companies by full market capitalisation of the securities listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges.
The FTSE China A50 Index is a free-float adjusted, liquidity-screened index. It is reviewed quarterly in March, June, September and December to ensure the index remains representative of the underlying China market. The index offers the optimal balance between representativeness and tradability for China’s A Share market. It can be used as the basis for on-exchange and OTC derivative products, mutual funds and ETFs.
A50 ready to test 15k To celebrate the new year, here some TA on the China A50 index:
The breakout of the descending triangle led to a powerful rally that is still in full place and will most likely bring us to 15k. The golden cross (50 SMA crossing 200 SMA from below) could be the fuel to propel us there. 15k represents a major resistance, if broken on the first attempt (unlikely), it will bring us to Valhalla.
Most likely we will get a retracement and form a nice shoulder for an inverse head&shoulders formation (bullish pattern). From there we will start to raise and visit the moon once the neck (likely 15k) is broken.
ChinaA50 - Bias for higher levels.CHN50 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 12540 (stop at 12380)
Selling pressure from 13067 resulted in all the initial daily gains being overturned. The current move lower is expected to continue. The bias is still for higher levels and we look for any dips to be limited. We, therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 13005 and 13140
Resistance: 13140 / 13615 / 14200
Support: 12660 / 12075 / 11120
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China A50 index to fall below the 500-week moving average?China A50 index ( CN50 ), a measure of the Chinese onshore market that keeps track of 50 of the biggest Chinese A-share companies listed on the Shenzhen and Shanghai stock exchanges, broke a major upward trend that had been in place since 2016.
The technical picture sees the A50 index currently dominated by a descending channel pattern, having fallen 42% from its peak in February 2021, with prices now approaching a remarkable 500-week moving average.
Given the slowdown in the Chinese economy caused by the government's Zero covid policy, the downward trend in Chinese stocks has been ongoing for a while. However, the most recent sell-off has been triggered by a crumbling confidence among foreign investors as a result of Xi Jinping's reelection as president for a third term and a leadership reshuffle within the Politburo Standing Committee during the 20th National Congress.
The A50 index may not have reached its bottom yet, if the Zero-Covid policy and growing doubts about the new policymakers' plans for the country's economic future continue to dampen Chinese growth prospects. Even though the weekly RSI is beginning to exhibit extremely oversold conditions, which is extremely unusual for this market and hasn't happened since August 2011, bears still have total control over the index. But, given the wild price swings of the past few days, some technical and short-term price bounces could still happen.
The psychological 11,000 point level, which is down 7% from here, and the 10,200 point level, which was the low of January 2019 (down 14% from here), provide the next significant supports. The A50 will have dropped 50% from its peak if it reaches levels from January 2019, which might encourage some dip buying there.
CHINA A50 - Asia led the recent Decline, it will againThe WMP - Chinese Wealth Management Product system is quite possibly the grandest Ponzi Scheme
within recorded history of the world.
Investors have adopted the belief - WMPs' are identical to a Bank Deposit, backed by the Bank that sells them.
China's CCP uses the WMPs as a funding mechanism for it's Agenda in Business - Funding Projects with the
Peoples Money... China holds $1.81 Trillion in Foreign Reserves, it could provide a level of Fractional assistance,
but it cannot.
The Capital or more accurately the WMP Ponzi is well over $12 Trillion in creation at this moment.
Evergrande... slammed the breaks on the effort, the loss of confidence placed a serious doubt in Chinese
Investors' minds as to whether or not their WMP "Deposit" is Safe.
Clearly, it is not as the CCP had to step in with guarantees, originally $20 Billion.
It has ballooned to $300 Billion.
As these projects were securitized and sold... Foreign Investors wanted in on the Pyramid.
Everyone from Wells to BoA to Crypto "Tethers" purchased these Instruments.
GSCO is only too happy to provide a market in the JUNK as is JPM and a great many other US
Firms.
The attendant effects of this disruptive failure to deliver on Loan Payments created a large
amount of Selling within US Markets as the Losses began to accumulate.
The A50 will provide us clear indications as to the next downturn for US Equities as well. ASIA
and the US does not diverge for very long when it comes to Capital Markets...
One to Watch - contagion risks.
Many of you are probably born after the 1987 Crush. I was at my Desk @ Drexel, it began in
Germany and ended up here in mere seconds, watched it LIVE.
Contagions can be quite nasty and arrive at any moment.
- HK