American Airlines Group: The Best Stock to Buy Right Now?The pandemic hit the airline industry hard, with many companies filing for bankruptcy or struggling to stay afloat. However, one company that has managed to weather the storm is American Airlines. Despite facing unprecedented challenges, American Airlines (NASDAQ: AAL) has survived and emerged stronger than ever before. So if you’re looking for a smart investment opportunity in these uncertain times, read on to discover why investing in American Airlines could pay off big time!
A new and strong weekly demand imbalance trading at $12.85 per share took control last week, in April 2023. The strength of the impulse is important. This is a long-term investment opportunity for American Airlines (NASDAQ: AAL) stock.
AAL
AAL LONG American AirlinesAAL is shown here on a one hour chart with anchored VWAP bands shown.
The anchoring is set for the beginning of the year. Based on the price action
drawn in are support and resistance zones. When price is one or more standard
deviations below the mean VWAP, the stock is undervalued and institutional buyers will
set buy orders. ( Short sellers will close there position to provide shares to
the buyers and take their profit off the table
(When the price is one or more standard deviations above the mean
VWAP, the stock is overvalued. Institutional sellers will sell their shares ( either
shares at a profit or short sell )
At present price, action has retreated to the upper part of the support zone.
AAL is getting to a buying point.
The relative volume indicator shows huge increases in volume compared with the
rolling average volume of the past 50 days. Essentially current volume is 10X
that average meaning there is extreme interest in this stock and great liquidity.
Fundamentally, AAL has had two prior quarters of earnings reports and the upcoming
earnings could be fueling volatility and potential price surge.
I see this as reversal setup for great entry for a 45-60 DTE call option at or in the money or a
long swing trade targetting just below the resistance zone or one standard deviation
above the VWAP.
AAL3.14.23 I decided to post American Airlines because I think it could open and have A two-bar reversal for a long trade. This will be the first of two or three videos because I'd like to show similar reversal patterns in oil potentially,the ES which is already had a reversal pattern, and I will show that to you as well. I am going to make these videos Shorter today... so if I didn't make too many mistakes I won't have to do it over again... so there should be at least one and maybe two more videos showing you reversals for today.
American Airlines showing strong upside to R18.19 W Formation formed earlier with AAL
The price broke up and out of the neckline and then the price came back down to test the levels.
We then recently had a Falling Flag form which is coming to the end.
We now need the price to break up and out of the flag formation.
Once this happens, the momentum will be well on the way up.
7=21
Price>200
RSI>50
Target $18.19
Decaying IV and stagnant marketsThe airlines have been pretty quiet lately with the year being primarily sideways trending and relatively unchanged.
Although earnings have been well the IV has remained low all year long. With potential to the upside remaining plausible there is not currently a push of buyers entering new positions.
Remaining neutral with a slight negative bias for the next few weeks based on current market conditions
American Airlines (AAL) Elliott Wave View Favoring the UpsideCycle from 10.3.2022 low in American Airlines (AAL) is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 10.3.2022 low, wave ((i)) ended at 15.18 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 12.23. The stock resumes higher in wave ((iii)) towards 17.64 and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 15.73. Internal subdivision of wave ((iv)) unfolded as a zigzag structure as the 45 minutes chart below shows. Down from wave ((iii)), wave (a) ended at 16.01, bounce in wave (b) ended at 16.74, and wave (c) lower ended at 15.73 which completed wave ((iv)).
Wave ((v)) is currently in progress but the stock still needs to break above wave ((iii)) at 17.64 to rule out a double correction. Up from wave ((iv)), wave (i) ended at 16.81 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 15.91. Stock then resumes higher in wave (iii). Up from wave (ii), wave i ended at 16.45, and dips in wave ii ended at 15.92. Stock resumes higher in wave iii towards 17.32, and pullback in wave iv ended at 16.79. Final leg higher wave v is ongoing to end wave (iii) before a pullback in wave (iv) and higher again. Near term, as far as pivot at 15.73 low stays intact, expect the stock to resume higher again.
AAL American Airlines Options Ahead Of EarningsI you haven`t bought my last call on AAL:
the you should know that Looking at the AAL American Airlines options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $16 strike price Puts with
2023-1-27 expiration date for about
$0.36 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
AAL INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDER ON PLAY WITH A MINOR PULLBACKAAL did a nice neckline breakout after the inverted head and shoulder formation. We are expecting a minor pullback towards the highlighted zone to retest and accumulate more buying pressure. If the pullback range holds the sell-off above the level which can support a nice bullish reversal, then we can expect the trend to continue upside down and complete the structure.
Thanks for visiting my tradingview profile. Hope the chart update helps you out. If you like the content do hit the thumbs up and follow me for future updates. 🙌🏻😎
📌For more details regarding this chart update, please message me on tradingview chat. Thank you!
Widow Makers Airline Stocks Beat the Market by the New YearSince the beginning of the new year, airline stocks have performed exceptionally well despite the very chaotic condition of the US airspace and travel market. Here is the year-to-date performance of a few well-known airline stocks, along with the Boeing stock and the U.S. Global Jets ETF:
● U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS): +18.56%
● United Airlines (UAL): +37.53%. Zacks EPS estimation: 2.07. Earning release: 1/17/23.
● American Airlines (AAL): +33.62%. Zacks EPS estimation: 0.60. Earning release: 1/26/23.
● JetBlue Airways (JBLU): +26.40%. Zacks EPS estimation: 0.17. Earning release: 1/26/23.
● Alaska Air (ALK): +18.16%. Zacks EPS Est. 0.88. Earning release: 1/26/23.
● Delta Air Lines (DAL): +16.31%. Reported EPS: 1.48 vs 1.29 estimated.
● Southwest Airlines (LUV): +13.15%. Zacks EPS estimation: 0.25. Earning release: 1/17/23.
● Spirit Airlines (SAVE): +6.83%. Zacks EPS estimation: 0.04. Earning release: 2/6/23.
● Boeing (BA): +10.01%. Zacks EPS estimation: 0.29. Earning release: 1/25/23.
● S&P 500: +4.60%
American Airlines Group flying up to $16.93 Inv Head and Shoulders has formed on Daily chart
We are just waiting for the breakout which will send the price to Target $16.93
With the bull market across the board with investors moving their money back to stocks and out of crypto, we are seeing global upside to come for stocks.
2X $AAL 1D Tech. Analysis!AMERICAN AIRLINES is a patient play for 2 reasons! If it breaks out this channel, we are looking for a retest and confirmation for the drop to continue with volume. Then if it bounces off the bottom and price heads to the top of the channel then we get a even better entry on this setup! Be patient and execute!
AAL short - UPDATEUpdating my AAL earnings idea:
As you can see, we got a confirmation of the described scenario.
It was acceptable to sell intraday using the VWAP pullback point.
Also on the second day we got something similar to a flag, which has worked out.
But of course, being in a position already on the first day, I would not add on the second day.
AAL: Travel is Back!American Airlines
Short Term - We look to Buy at 13.78 (stop at 12.30)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. The trend of higher highs is located at 13.40. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited. Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 13.40 level.
Our profit targets will be 17.89 and 19.00
Resistance: 18.00 / 21.00 / 25.00
Support: 13.40 / 11.00 / 9.00
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’) . Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
AAL - 3 Long scenarios - Fly little bird, fly 3 Long scenarios
Fundamentals
-
General
One scenario developing doenst invalidate the other. Would trade one after another if it should happen - or all at the same time.
Scenario 1 (Green arrow)
Target
Next resistance level (level 1).
Confluence with the 50% level of a monthly range.
Requirements
- Price closes above buy zone 1
Invalidation / SL
- No break under buy zone 1 AND creating lower swings
Time duration
Days, weeks, months, years... ;)
Scenario 2 (Orange arrow)
Target
Next resistance level (level 1).
Confluence with the 50% level of a monthly range.
Requirements
- Price dto buy zone 2
Invalidation / SL
- None, this is a possible longterm hold
Time duration
Days, weeks, months, years... ;)
Scenario 3 (Blue arrow)
Target
Next big resistance level
Requirements
- Break above level 1
Invalidation / SL
- None, this is a possible longterm hold
Time duration
Days, weeks, months, years... ;)
Good luck