AAL
AAL POSSIBLE SHORT OPPORTUNITYWe can see the price touch the horizontal resistance and 200 EMA. Stochastic oscillator shows overbought market conditions. Therefore, we are expecting the price to drop and make another lower low, however we recommend taking profit at 12,71 $ .
Invalidation above 19,60 $
AAL will show up breakout now on this key level and channelMarket Instrument: AAL
Timeframe: DAILY
Analysis: Technical
Structure: Key Level, Descending Channel
Prediction: Bullish
AAL is running inside a strong descending channel where it requires a breakout on both the key level and upper boundary of the channel formed to continue its bullish run ahead.
American Airlines (NASDAQ: $AAL) Wicks Through Golden Pocket! 🎯American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a mainline fleet of 865 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
3/6/22 AALAmerican Airlines Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAL )
Sector: Transportation (Airlines)
Market Capitalization: $9.471B
Current Price: $14.59
Breakdown price: $14.70
Sell Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $15.40-$17.00
Price Target: $11.20-$10.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 112-116d
Contract of Interest: $AAL 6/17/22 15p
Trade price as of publish date: $2.26/contract
Technical analysis update: JETS (8th February 2022)The airlines sector has been strongly impacted during the Covid 19 crisis which resulted in slump of most aviation related stocks. Over the past two years, this sector has been lagging behind the rest of the economy as a result of persisting lockdowns, travel restrictions and other health related mandates. Although, some countries such as Italy, Great Britain, Denmark, Norway and Switzerland are already seeing restrictions on social life being eased. We expect this phenomenon to continue globally and strengthen over time as the Omicron variant poses lower health risk when compared to previous strains of the virus. We view this as a very positive development for the airline sector and as one that will bring air travel back to life over time. Additionally, we think this will act as a catalyst which will result in a revival of the bullish trend. At the moment, the JETS ETF remains approximately 36% below its all time high value which is attractive pricing in our opinion. Further, we are becoming increasingly bullish on the JETS ETF; because of that we would like to set a short-term price target to 23 USD and medium-term price target to 25 USD. Additionally, we would like to set a long-term price target to 30 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration above shows the weekly chart of combined market cap of AAL+DAL+LUV+BA. It is 45% below its all time high value from February 2019.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration above shows the weekly chart of combined market cap of LHA+AF+RYAAY. It is approximately 17% below its all time high value from November 2017.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is bullish. MACD is due to perform a bullish crossover which strongly bolsters the bullish case for JETS. Stochastic is bullish too. DM+ and DM- show bullish conditions in the market. However, ADX contains low value which suggests that the prevailing trend is either neutral or very weak.
Illustration 1.03
Picture above shows the daily chart of JETS. It also shows the downward moving channel where upper bound acts as resistance and lower bound as support. We expect an eventual breakout above the resistance. Breakout setup for this trade would involve entry above the resistance and stop-loss below it.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is bullish. MACD remains in the bearish area; though, it is flat and trying to turn to the upside. Stochastic is neutral. DM+ and DM- are bearish with ADX showing presence of weak or neutral trend.
Support and resistance
Resistance 1 lies at 22.94 USD and Resistance 2 at 25.20 USD. Resistance 3 sits at 28.98 USD. Support 1 can be found at 19.28 USD.
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
AAL Short-term price movement LONGWe could see AAL moving back back to the previous POC as indicated in the chart before moving to the upside there is a a lot of positive news surrounding the stock and then downside movement is somewhat of a divergence.
There is also news of large whales making large bullish options plays on the stock.
Expecting price to move back to the $19 price range before possibly going higher.
Will add likely update more information at a later date
Short term bounce, that's itWe have been getting a consistent Faithful down trend since 2018 well actually since 2015 it just got faked out and came right back in line. With that in mind it'd be wise to assume we'll just continue till the stock possibly reach single digits.
1. With the pandemic, travel has been affected as such airlines can't get the customers to sell their products to in which they get the most of their revenues from.
2. With monetary tightening or interest rate hikes. This will further be tapered as we receive a hawkish fed's response to the economy.
Buy the rip in this one and sell afterwards.
AAL is bouncing off on support with a bullish setupMarket Instrument: AAL
Timeframe: D1
Analysis: Technical
Structure: Falling Wedge and Support
Prediction: Bullish
ALL has formed a nice falling wedge pattern on this correction period on the daily timeframe. The price is bouncing strongly on the picked / highlighted support formed. If the following bullish pressure remains strong enough we might see a nice bullish trend to the upside crossing above $20
American Airlines Record Revenues Failed to Impress InvestorsAmerican Airlines (AAL) delivered its Q4 2021 report on Thursday showing that its revenue reached its highest point since the beginning of the pandemic. Nonetheless, the company saw an overall loss in 2021 for the second consecutive year. The airline’s management said that it clearly saw a rise in demand for airline services in 2021, which was partially offset by new spikes of COVID-19.
The airline had a loss of $931 million in the fourth quarter on a revenue of $9.43 billion, which was down from $11.3 billion in sales over the last three months of 2019, before the pandemic. American Airlines’ adjusted per share loss was reported at $1.42 a share, compared with analysts’ estimate of a $1.48 per-share loss. For the first quarter of 2022, American Airlines expects revenue to be up 20% to 22% from the same period in 2019 when it generated $10.6 billion in sales. The company expects that the overall spending, excluding fuel costs, will rise by 15% this quarter, while projected capacity for the first three months is expected to be 8-10% less than it was during the comparable period of 2019. Rising fuel costs and personnel shortage are considered by the company as risks for its further development.
Technically, we may witness a downward trend that started in January 2018. American airlines stocks dropped to the bottom end of $8.25 per share in 2020. The stock price rebounded to $26.04 but dropped back down, failing to perform any significant upside correction to the overall drop from $59.08 to $8.25 per share. This means that stock prices are likely to drop to their lows and even further down.The nearest support level is at $16.15-16.27, or December 2021 lows. If this support is broken through, the next targets could be at $14.50 and within the $12.70-12.75 area.
We may resume that American Airline stocks should be put aside and left out of investors’ long-term portfolios as the company is clearly continuing to suffer from the COVID-19 pandemic and its consequences. The technical picture suggests that bears will continue pressuring stock prices. The time for American stocks is yet to come.
American Airlines (NASDAQ: $AAL) Ready To Fly High In 2022 ✈️American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2020, it operated a mainline fleet of 855 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
Airlines landing once again?!Pandemic + jet fuel prices + selling pressure will take a toll on the airlines!
In these weekly charts, it is clear that major airlines already are in a Downward channel, and they will retest their previous supports which could be another 10-15% correction in the coming weeks!
You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels.
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
AAL Bearish inclined Naked Calls 14 Jan Expiry (Jan Track 2)Whats The Plan/Trade/Thought
AAL was one of the shortlisted companies from the shortlisted sectors that did not recover after the Omicron news and the Feb Interest Rate decisions. Their prices stayed below the Omicron gap. Further more with the increasing infections rates countries are getting more cautious and this will impact the sentiment of travel
I Feel
I do feel good about my bearish ranging stance especially for Travel. What surprises me is that while the other travel related counters are declining. AAL on the 20 Dec just locked a positive price move.
Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side
Imagine Yourself Taking The Other Side
Imagine Yourself As A Neutral Observer
Trade has been thought through and AAL was a shortlisted sector. Happy with it’s entry
Look For New Information
No new information
How Do I Feel Now
One day after my entry had AAL moving up while most Travel companies fell. I’m abit confused. But I think I have this feeling of anxiousness from my tough early Dec. It really was a terrible trading period.
Trade specs
Sold 400 Calls @ 0.22 - Strike 20
% to Strike 17%
ATR % is around 97% (High)
BP used 68k
Max Gain: est $8.8k
AAL, 15 minAmerican Airline Group, AAL 15 min
Buy @ 16.83 - 16.84
Sell at Target 1 : 16.96, Target 2: 17.03
Stop Loss @ 16.78
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DISCLAIMER:
I am not a financial /investment advisor. All information i am sharing here is for entertainment purposes only and should not be considered personal investment advice. While the information provided is accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. Please, do your diligence when it comes to investing or trading in the market. You are responsible on your choice. Thank you
Is this the beginning of the long waited move?Although "almost" every single sector moved ATH's, the travel stocks are still at their lows. I have been keeping eye on CCL AAL BA for their long waited move. Looking at the daily chart:
1. Made the first higher low
2. Stayed above the 0.236 Fib line
3. RSI 14 crossed RSI 50
Looking CCL to move to the 0.382 Fib line and hoping it will either:
1. Stay above
2. Make a higher high and create a bullish trend.
PS. This is not a financial advise nor I am a financial advisor.
American Airlines Analysis 06.12.2021Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
AAL BuyI'm looking at a potential buy on AAL with two potential entries. This is following my strategy requirements and this company is a very good long-term hold, in my opinion, if you get in at a discounted price it will be worth it as long as you sell before the potential market crash. This stock should go back up as vaccination rates climb, so it should be decently safe for a long-term hold if you decide to do that. You can also look at this for the short term and treat it as a day trade because it should just continue ranging until it breaks up higher (if the market agrees with my analysis.) I'm simply going to enter when I see proper price action, if I can get something like a bullish engulfing pattern to show me confluence with my entry then ill go for the trade. If not I might just leave this thing alone. This is just my opinion and idea for a stock, and this is not financial advice. Let me know what you think and let's see what happens with the trade tomorrow.
My AAL IdeaHello again,
You know I like to keep things simple
I just trade on Price Action.
Airline stocks are still risky but it's worth a shot here.
As you can see 19-20$ is holding as support.
For me that's a buying opportunity.
Below 18.30 I would cut it
I'm going for a HH here so $30-31 would be my target
low risk entry!Entry: 19.35
Stop loss: 18.93
Reward/Risk: 6.36
Target range: 22
Time Frame: 4 wks
Possible gain: 13.18%
Possible loss:2.17 %
Position size: 5% of trading capital
You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.