APPLE: Strong buy on oversold technicals.APPLE turned oversold on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 31.524, MACD = -4.390, ADX = 40.988) as it hit the S1 level and got just $8 away from the 1W MA50. The latter is intact since May 2024 and is the core support level of the 2.5 year Channel Up. Apart from hitting the S1 level, the 1W RSI is entering the S1 Zone and the first bounce after a HH has been a strong buy signal inside this Channel Up (resembles October 23rd 2023 and June 13th 2022 lows). We are bullish (TP = 255.00) expecting an immediate reversal.
Once this breaks, we espect a rally of similar proportions to November (TP = 5.500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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AAPL
Apple: As Expected…Apple has made progress as part of our primary scenario, gradually edging lower toward our magenta Target Zone between $209.57 and $196.05. In this price range, we anticipate the low of the magenta wave (2) and, subsequently, a reversal to the upside. On the other hand, we consider it 37% (previously 40%) likely that AAPL will stage an immediate breakout above the resistance at $260.10 without first reaching our Target Zone.
$AAPL Bounce Setup: Key Levels to Watch & 2-1-2u Reversal PotentThis is a strong setup for NASDAQ:AAPL to bounce as it held its 200-day EMA again today. Above $225, watch for targets at $227, $228.22, and the bearish gap fill at $230. Keep NASDAQ:AAPL on watch for a potential 2-1-2u reversal here.
However, if it loses support at $219.79, expect a possible retest of $216.39. Keep an eye on these levels, fam.
AAPL 1.22.2025 IdeaMy assessment is a fair price on the stock of $230 per share. AAPL now sitting at $222.5, I believe there is a high probability for a 5% up move within a few months.
Entry would be favorable if AAPL =< $220. I would enter direct shares here.
AAPL is of those companies that will be affected by tariffs. However, AAPL has benefitted from expanding its services economy. In other words, AAPL is not reliant on iPhone sales to drive their FCF. This opportunity is one for those looking for a discount on a MAG 7. Just be patient! But be flexible and anticipate further disruptions.
Apple Stretched Too FarNow that's a heck of a stretch.
Price has reached the U-MLH of the white Pitchfork and is nearing the yellow Center-Line.
What's it mean?
White U-MLH = Upper Extreme
Yellow CL = Price got back to balance, in the context of the yellow path/traction.
All this means, that the Air get's very, very thin!
Waiting for a short Signal with a target back to the white CL (Center-Line).
NVDIA vs APPLE Which one reached $4 Trillion first??With NVIDIA surpassing APPLE as the worlds largest company in terms of market cap, we want to get your opinion on which one you think will reach $4 Trillion first.
NVDA looks to have the momentum over AAPL but of course anything can happen. Fundamentals/ technicals aside, which do you think will become the world's first 4T dollar company?
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
Apple - The Path For 2025 Is Clear!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) is reversing towards the downside
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of months Apple rallied more than +50% without showing any weakness on the smaller timeframes. Some profit taking is totally expected and with market structure perfectly aligning, this could develop into a significant correction.
Levels to watch: $250, $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Apple (AAPL) Breaking Below Bullish Channel?Chart Analysis:
Apple's stock price has broken below a long-standing ascending channel, signaling a potential shift in its bullish structure.
1️⃣ Ascending Channel (Green Shaded Area):
Price has decisively broken below the lower boundary of the channel.
This breakdown suggests increasing bearish pressure, especially as the price approaches key support levels.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at $239.23, now acting as immediate resistance.
200-day SMA (red): Rising at $217.27, providing potential dynamic support.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 28.27, indicating oversold conditions, which could lead to a short-term bounce.
MACD: Bearish momentum persists, with the MACD line trending below the signal line in negative territory.
What to Watch:
Reactions near the 200-day SMA, as a bounce from this level could halt further declines.
If bearish momentum continues, further downside towards $210-$215 is possible.
A recovery above the 50-day SMA is needed to negate the bearish breakdown and restore confidence in the uptrend.
Apple's break below the ascending channel warrants caution, but oversold conditions and proximity to key support levels could spark short-term volatility.
-MW
1/20 Weekly Watchlist + NotesWeekly Watchlist and Market Analysis Using #TheStrat
Indexes - SPY went failed 2D week following the previous week going 3 and we nearly went 3 on this last week, but came up short with little room to go to previous week highs. This week we look to go 3-2-2U to confirm the month being failed 2D that has now retraced more than 50% of the previous months range, meaning we are now closer to taking out previous month highs than we are to reclaiming previous month lows. With full timeframe continuity green, we know that buyers are full in control at the moment, and this upcoming week looks to confirm that further as we look to target previous weekly highs on our way up to ATH levels. No daily actionable signal and a couple daily gaps to the downside, so we will see what happens Tuesday pre market whether we gap down to give last weeks buyers some corrective activity, whether we gap up, clear weekly magnitude (at the high of the weekly 3 from the week prior to this last week) before seeing if we expand further to confirm the month attempting to go 3 or begin reversing back through last weeks range. Finally, we may just open flat and see where intraday signals and continuity take us.
(Slightly pressed for time at the time of writing so I apologize for the lack of detail like my normal posts)
Watchlist:
Bullish:
NVDA - 2-1-2U Daily, 2-2 Weekly. Daily BF looks interesting
PLTR - 3-2-2U Weekly. High rVOL
WMT - Hammer 2-2 Week, MoMo Hammer Daily. Inside green Month which isn't great this late in the month, but not bad enough to ruin this setup for me
DLTR - Hammer 3-2-2U weekly after month went 3. Looking to go back through the months range now. Note: DG full FTFC red so no sector support
IONQ - 3-1 Week at M Exhaustion. MASSIVE range on this one. Nearly 30% underlying move from weekly trigger to magnitude
HIMS - Hammer failed 2D, Weekly 3-1, Failed 2D month attempting to go 3
Bearish:
DOCU - Weekly 3-2-2 Shooter. Daily Big red 3 following double inside day so potential 3-2D daily to trigger shooter week down. Filling in massive gap from the last earnings report
Neutral:
DAL + UAL: Both have inside weeks. DAL at exhaustion risk. UAL bright green. Relative strength in the airline industry
APPLE Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
APPLE looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 229.96 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 224.52
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 239.93
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SPY Mid week analysis 1/14/25SPY - Monthly reversal is now being negated as we moved back above the monthly 2-2d trigger at Prev Month Low. We are also now failed 2D coming back through previous week range. The daily went 2-2 rev, but closed failed 2u as we made higher highs, but closed red near mid range of the day. The question for tomorrow is do we continue pushing back through last weeks range to expand the BF created by the 3 from last week, or do we take the failed 2u - 2D reversal, reconfirm the Monthly reversal down as well as the weekly 3-2D. We have a 3-1 setup on the 4HR as well as an inside bar 60 which is what I will be watching going into open tomorrow assuming no gap up or down. Should be an exciting rest of the week as we look to see if bears can reclaim control on the W and M, or if Bulls are setting up for a recovery back to ATH.
Levels to watch: Current 60 inside bar High and Low, Current 4HR bar high and low, Prev month low, 585.96 for upside which is the 2-2U rev target we did not get to today, but may compound 2Us tomorrow to get to if the bull scenario is playing out.
Apple Inc. (AAPL) Comprehensive Market Analysis and StrategyGreetings traders and investors! Denis Mikheev here with an in-depth analysis of Apple Inc. (AAPL) using advanced tools from TheWaved™. Buckle up as we dive into the technical, fundamental, and price action analysis to forecast price movements and provide actionable trading strategies.
Current Market Overview
Apple’s current price stands at $235.43, approximately 9.48% below its absolute high of $260.10 reached on December 26, 2024. Despite this pullback, the stock shows strong resilience, supported by robust fundamentals and technical setups.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support Zones:
$228.75
$224.05
$217.13
Resistance Zones:
$237.05
$242.41
$244.67
Key Levels for Monitoring:
Powerful Resistance at $258.55
Critical Support at $217.55
Technical Indicators Analysis
Moving Averages (1-hour interval):
MA50: $238.39
MA100: $241.09
MA200: $247.59
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
1-hour RSI: 49.41 (neutral zone)
Daily RSI: 34.6 (oversold zone suggests potential reversal)
Volume Indicators:
MFI60 (Money Flow Index): 49.28 (neutral, no divergence noted).
Key Patterns and Historical Analysis
From recent pattern sequences:
January 13, 2025: Increased Sell Volumes with a 6.84% movement, indicating short-term bearish pressure.
January 10, 2025: Multiple “Sell Volumes Take Over” patterns with mixed buy and sell signals.
January 8, 2025: VSA Buy Pattern Extra suggests a medium-term bullish rebound pending confirmation.
These patterns align with a potential range-bound movement in the near term before a decisive breakout.
Price Action Analysis
Apple’s price action over the past week has formed a consolidative structure near key support levels. Observations include:
Lower highs and consistent testing of the $228.75 support.
A potential inverted head-and-shoulders pattern forming on the 1-hour chart, with a neckline at $237.05.
Price tightly correlates with the 50-day MA, suggesting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.
Fundamental Insights
Apple’s upcoming quarterly results are projected to beat consensus estimates, driven by robust iPhone and service segment sales. Furthermore, macroeconomic conditions, such as softening interest rate hikes, could favor tech stocks in the medium term.
Trading Strategy
Short-Term Strategy:
Entry: Buy near $228.75 support level.
Stop Loss: $224.05 to minimize downside risk.
Targets:
$237.05
$242.41
Confirmation: Look for RSI divergence or a bullish engulfing candle.
Medium-Term Strategy:
Monitor breakout above $237.05 for long positions.
Resistance to Watch: $244.67 and $250.34.
Use trailing stops to secure profits.
Long-Term Strategy:
Accumulate near $217.13 if tested, considering its historical significance as a strong support level.
Target: $258.55 with a 6-12 month horizon.
Risk Management
Employ disciplined risk management:
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Maintain a minimum of 1:2.
Position Sizing: Limit exposure to 2% of your trading capital per trade.
Stop-Loss Placement: Use dynamic stop-loss levels based on ATR (Average True Range).
Market Outlook
1. Short-Term: Expect consolidation between $228.75 and $237.05, with potential for a breakout.
2. Medium-Term: A bullish continuation is likely if $242.41 resistance is cleared.
3. Long-Term: A test of the $258.55 resistance is probable, contingent on broader market sentiment.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
How to Use Rays
Historical Analysis: On historical charts, observe how price interacted with rays. This helps evaluate how often levels defined by rays led to significant movement changes.
Real-Time Monitoring: By observing current price behavior relative to rays, you can highlight key points where scenarios such as reversal or continuation are likely.
Confirmation Tool: Rays do not replace other analysis methods but enhance them, adding a structured perspective on market behavior.
Conclusion
Apple remains a solid investment with clear technical setups and a favorable long-term outlook. Utilizing TheWaved™ tools, we’ve pinpointed actionable strategies to navigate its price movements effectively. Remember to follow your trading plan and adapt to market conditions.
For any queries or further clarifications, feel free to reach out via direct messages. All our professional-grade indicators are accessible via the link in our profile. Let’s trade smarter, not harder!
Stay disciplined and trade safely,
Denis Mikheev
TheWaved™
Apple (AAPL) Stock Price Drops Below $240Apple (AAPL) Stock Price Drops Below $240
The last time Apple (AAPL) stock traded below the $240 mark was in late November last year.
Bearish sentiment is being driven by negative news surrounding the company:
→ CNBC reports analysts' views that the excessively thin design of the new iPhone SE 4 models will complicate sales in China. The analysts also note a decline in the appeal of the Apple Intelligence feature.
→ Investment firm Moffett Nathanson downgraded Apple’s stock rating from "Neutral" to "Sell" and lowered its target price for AAPL from $202 to $188. According to analysts, the 30% growth in Apple stock for 2024 is largely unjustified.
→ Criticism from Mark Zuckerberg, who believes that Apple has not invented anything groundbreaking for a long time.
As we mentioned on 27 December, Apple’s stock appeared overbought and vulnerable to a correction.
Technical analysis of the AAPL chart today shows that the price has dropped to:
→ The median of the current channel (marked in blue);
→ The $235 level, which previously acted as resistance.
Therefore, it is plausible that in the short term, this block formed by these two lines may provide support to the falling price. This hypothesis is supported by the long lower wick on Friday’s candle, indicating increased buyer activity.
According to TipRanks:
→ Analysts' 12-month price target for AAPL stock averages $244.77;
→ Of 29 analysts surveyed, 19 recommend buying AAPL stock, while 3 recommend selling.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
APPLE Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on APPLE and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 236.93 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 244.38
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AAPL/USD: Potential Bullish Opportunity!AAPL/USD: Potential Bullish Opportunity! 📈
Here’s what I’m seeing:
Buyer/Seller Activity: Buyers seem to be gaining the upper hand.
Blue Box: A promising correction zone where I believe the dip may end.
My approach:
I’ll monitor the lower time frames (1H) for market structure breaks bullish for confirmation, bearish as a caution signal.
Keep your eyes peeled for action in this zone. Boost, comment, and follow for sharper insights! 🚀
Let me tell you, this is something special. These insights, these setups—they’re not just good; they’re game-changers. I've spent years refining my approach, and the results speak for themselves. People are always asking, "How do you spot these opportunities?" It’s simple: experience, clarity, and a focus on high-probability moves.
Want to know how I use heatmaps, cumulative volume delta, and volume footprint techniques to find demand zones with precision? I’m happy to share—just send me a message. No cost, no catch. I believe in helping people make smarter decisions.
Here are some of my recent analyses. Each one highlights key opportunities:
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🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
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🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
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📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
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⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
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📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
This list? It’s just a small piece of what I’ve been working on. There’s so much more. Go check my profile, see the results for yourself. My goal is simple: provide value and help you win. If you’ve got questions, I’ve got answers. Let’s get to work!
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