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AAPL

AAPL Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-16AAPL Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-16) Below is a synthesized analysis of the AAPL data and the five model reports: ────────────────────────────── SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS • Grok/xAI Report  – Observes a slightly recovered 5‐minute bounce but a generally volatile, declining daily trend.  – Notes bearish technicals (price below EMAs, RSI recovering from oversold levels but MACD still below signal) and mixed sentiment (max pain at $202.50 with heavy put volume).  – Recommends a trade on the $190 PUT given its attractive liquidity and proximity (–2.60% from current price). • Claude/Anthropic Report  – Highlights AAPL trading below key EMAs with persistent bearish momentum on both short and daily timeframes and a downtrend of –17% over 30 days.  – Points out oversold conditions on the 5‑minute chart with continuing bearish pressure on the daily charts, alongside caution from negative news.  – Chooses the $190 PUT as the best blend of risk and reward given its liquidity and technical setup. • Gemini/Google Report  – Emphasizes AAPL’s price below intraday and daily EMAs, with the short-term bounce near the lower Bollinger Band offering a minor contradiction.  – Underlines strong bearish sentiment supported by high VIX and negative news, while noting resistance at the call side.  – Recommends a bearish pick – the $187.50 PUT – though with a similar rationale as the others (i.e. trading just out‐of‐the‐money to capture a move). • Llama/Meta Report  – Notes bearish indicators including price under moving averages, low RSI, and MACD below the signal line.  – Recognizes key support and resistance levels (supports near $194 and resistance near $197) and the opposing pressure suggested by max pain.  – Ends up favoring a moderately bearish setup with the $190 PUT given its attractive liquidity and risk profile. • DeepSeek Report  – Reviews the technical and sentiment picture and concludes a moderately bearish position, underscored by negative news and broad put interest.  – Emphasizes that a break from near-term support (around $194) could steer the price toward the $190 area.  – Also recommends the $190 PUT, noting that its setup offers a reasonable risk/reward profile. ────────────────────────────── 2. AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT • Agreement:  – All reports agree that AAPL is trading in a bearish environment overall, with price below key moving averages and a downtrend on daily charts.  – There is a common focus on the options chain, where puts at or below $190 are highly liquid and carry significant open interest.  – Every model, despite minor nuances, leans toward buying a naked PUT as the trade idea for this weekly options expiry.  – All analysts recommend an entry at market open. • Disagreement:  – One model (Gemini/Google) slightly deviates by suggesting a $187.50 PUT as an alternative to $190, while the majority favor the $190 strike.  – The exact profit target and stop‐loss levels differ somewhat between models, but all align on the general risk controls and short-term nature due to weekly expiration. ────────────────────────────── 3. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDED TRADE Overall Market Direction: • Consensus is moderately bearish. Despite a brief short-term bounce noted on the intraday charts, the dominant trend and negative news sentiment favor further downside. Recommended Trade: • Trade: Buy a single-leg, naked PUT option on AAPL • Expiration: Weekly (April 17, 2025) • Strike and Price: The $190 PUT (with an Ask around $0.83; it is about 2.60% below the current price) • Strategy Rationale:  – This strike is liquid (high volume and open interest) and is supported by the bearish bias from momentum indicators and negative sentiment.  – Although the premium of ~$0.83 is a bit above the preferred $0.30–$0.60 band, it is justified by the sharper risk/reward setup in this environment. • Entry Timing: At market open • Proposed Risk/Reward:  – Profit Target: Approximately a 50% gain on the premium (target near $1.25)  – Stop-Loss: Approximately a 50% loss on the premium (stop-loss near $0.42) • Confidence Level: 70% • Key Risks and Considerations:  – A brief intraday bounce (short-term oversold recovery) could push prices above support, triggering the stop-loss.  – Any unexpected news or a reversal in overall market sentiment may rapidly alter the risk profile given the short-dated expiration.  – Monitor price action closely at open, as weekly options are particularly sensitive to early volatility. ────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format) { "instrument": "AAPL", "direction": "put", "strike": 190.0, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 1.25, "stop_loss": 0.42, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.83, "entry_timing": "open" } Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. 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NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by henryzhang99
Apple – More Pain to come? Apple’s NASDAQ:AAPL chart right now? Honestly, it’s a mess. It’s one of those setups where you can’t confidently say much with conviction , but one thing feels clear to me: it should go lower before it gets better. Zooming out to the 3-day timeframe , you can spot something interesting: the downtrend from 2022 to 2023 looks almost identical to the one we’ve seen from July 2023 to April 2024 — same structure, same slow bleed, and almost the exact same duration. That kind of symmetry doesn’t happen by accident. After that, we had a massive rally from April/May 2024 , but now we’re already seeing a sharp retracement — down over 35%. My take? We probably need one more leg lower to really shake things out before Apple makes a meaningful move higher, maybe toward $250–$260 . To get there, I think we still need to retest the $160–$150 zone. If we break below that and head toward $120, then we’re in real trouble structurally — that would shift the whole outlook. Yes, the recent bounce from the VWAP level was clean , and it looked strong — but I wouldn’t rule out one more flush before we get the real recovery. Apple is in no-man’s-land right now, and until we hit key levels or reclaim broken structure, it’s caution over confidence.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by stromm
3
$PLTR Trade: Buy $90.86 , Target $101.35Beep Beep. Hope everyone is taking care of their trading accounts during this volatile phase in the markets. I noticed an identical setup on the weekly from back in August 24' and I'm looking to take advantage. We have a trend reversal on the Tom Demark sequential that helps identify trend exhaustion through a 9 Count. Currently on a 2 Count, we're testing the gap while simultaneously testing the 10WMA at 90.86.There is also a weekly gap at 101.35 ... Entry would be the 10WMA. Target the weekly Gap. Trade is as follows: Trade Idea - Swing NASDAQ:PLTR $95 Calls 4/25 Entry - 10 WMA @ $90.86 Target - Gap on Weekly at $101.35
NASDAQ:PLTRLong
by TazmanianTrader
6
APPLE On The Rise! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 198.05 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 214.26 Recommended Stop Loss - 187.76 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by AnabelSignals
1
AAPL LTF Wave count ( 40 years!) My long term wave count for apple completes. It has got a mind-blowing and exponential growth over the 40 years and has it come to THE end? Elliot waves can't tell really because wave analysis can always yield multiple scenarios based on waves and sub-wave counts, that's why Elliot wave is an amazing tool regardless you agree or not. I always prefer not use log chart when wave counting because it will distort the trend line which is important for wave analysis. My conclusion: APPL has either finished its long-term ascending wave or it still has two more huge waves up till a few years later.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by figolwrzs
Microsoft Regains Top Spot as Most Valuable Company Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) has reclaimed its place as the world’s most valuable public company. The tech giant now holds a market capitalization of $2.64 trillion, surpassing Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AAPL ), which fell to $2.59 trillion. Apple’s sharp decline followed a major 23% sell-off over four days. This came after President Trump announced sweeping new tariffs. These tariffs hit countries like China, India, Vietnam, and Brazil. Apple’s heavy reliance on these regions for manufacturing intensified investor concerns. Meanwhile, Microsoft appears less exposed to tariff risks. Analysts say the company remains a stable large-cap stock during ongoing market volatility. Microsoft previously held the top spot briefly last year but was overtaken by Apple and Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ), now ranked third at $2.35 trillion. Technical Analysis Microsoft’s stock is trading at $383.15, up 8.06%, with a high of $387.07 so far today. The price rebounded sharply from the support level near $345. This zone had previously acted as resistance in late 2021 and early 2022. It now serves as strong support. The volume spike confirms buyer interest at this level. The projected path shows a potential bounce toward $468, the recent high. If the trend holds, Microsoft may attempt a new all-time high.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by DEXWireNews
APPLE Best buy opportunity of the last 6 years.Back in August 02 2024 (see chart below), we introduced this model on Apple Inc. (AAPL) that had high probabilities of success at predicting Cycle peaks: We may have not hit $280 but $260 is close enough especially if you are a long-term investor that values buying low and selling high. Now that the price has corrected by -35% and just hit the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in almost 10 years (since July 2016), it is time to revisit this macro-model once again. As you can see, -35% corrections have been present on every Cycle since the January 2009 bottom of the Housing Crisis. The pattern that the stock follows is very specific and it starts with a prolonged correction, the Bear Cycle essentially, which is a lengthy correction phase, such as the 2008 Housing Crisis, the 2015/16 China slowdown and the 2022 Inflation Crisis. Then a very structured uptrend phase starts in the form of a Channel Up that leads the market to its first peak, followed by a shorter, quicker correction phase that tests the 1M MA50 and rebounds. The rebound is the final bull phase of the Cycle, usually strong and sharp and leads to the eventual Cycle Top and then starts then new Bear Cycle (prolonged correction). Right now the current 4-month correction is technically, based on this model, the new shorter correction. Being more than -35% in size, the last one larger than this was the previous short correction of the last Trade War in October 2018 - January 2019 (-38%). The similarities don't stop here but extend to the 1M RSI as well, which just entered its 25-year mega Buy Zone that has been holding since December 2000 and the Dotcom Crash! In fact the last time Apple's 1M RSI was this low was in June 2013, which was the bottom of the 1st short correction on our chart. This remarkable symmetry just shows how similar the current phase is with its previous ones and if the symmetry continues to hold, we should be expecting a strong recovery to start. Even if the price makes a slightly deeper low as -38% (like the January 2019 bottom), we may still expect the minimum rise that it had all those years shown on the chart, +145%, which translates to a potential $390 Target long-term. It is in times like this, that patient long-term investors filter out the news noise, make their unbiased moves and maximize their profit. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TradingShot
1
QQQ: Tariff ReactionNASDAQ:QQQ As China strikes back with a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting April 10, the global trade landscape could see some serious turbulence. This follows Trump's tariff moves, and the market's already feeling it: QQQ’s daily chart shows capitulation volume on the table, suggesting a potential bounce— IF tariffs ease. But until these trade tensions subside, it's likely to be a rocky ride. Tariffs push prices up, inflation lingers, and the Fed finds itself boxed in. The outcome? A market crash, recession, and stagflation—yet, there's still hope for a bounce, depending on how these factors play out. Manage the levels with us at ChartsCoach.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by KobesyTrades
AAPL Trade Plan – 2025 Outlook📊With global markets reacting to renewed tariff talk from Trump, Apple (AAPL) NASDAQ:AAPL could face short-term volatility—but that’s also opportunity. As fears of a trade war ripple across Asia and Europe, AAPL may temporarily dip, especially with supply chain exposure in China.🍏📉📈 📌 Entry Zones (Buy the fear, not the panic): 1️⃣ 194 – Light entry as weakness sets in 2️⃣ 180 – Strong support historically 3️⃣ 166 – High-conviction zone if macro panic escalates 🎯 Profit Targets (Scale out as strength returns): ✅ 209 – Quick recovery zone ✅ 230 – Pre-fear valuation ✅ 260+ – Full macro recovery with bullish momentum 📈 Strategy: Let the news create emotion. You trade the levels. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my personal trading plan based on current macro trends and technicals. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Robert_V12