$AAPL APPLE Stock Bearish to Bullish Reversal NASDAQ:AAPL APPLE Stock Bearish to Bullish Reversal trend line break. Now we wait for algorithm to give us a buy alert to go long.
AAPL
APPLE $AAPL - Mar. 9th, 2024APPLE NASDAQ:AAPL - Mar. 9th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $174.25 - $187.15
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $168.15 - $174.25
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $155.65 - $168.15 (or extended from previous post, $175.40 - $181.50)
Weekly: Bearish
Daily: Bearish
4H: Bearish
NASDAQ:AAPL price completely smashed through the bearish zone. Here are the updated zones I would be looking at when entering trades. Extended hours are displayed on the 4h to show how price moved towards the bottom and throughout the bearish zone, price went strongly through the bottom level and with no reversal insight shorts should have continued, at least partially. As a trend trader I am open to going in either direction, however; I would not consider going long until at the very least there is a close above the $174.25 level, but even then the weekly timeframe will not have enough time to label it as bullish. I labeled the start of the bearish trend and some quick thoughts as I glanced at the charts, previous post will be linked with this one.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
Apple: Two ways to the same goal 🛣️We primarily assume that Apple shares will swing higher again in the short term with a countermovement and then extend the high of wave X in turquoise. It should then later enter our green Target Zone ($161.90 – $140.32) with the subsequent wave Z. If, however, the price chooses our alternative scenario (35%) our Zone will be targeted directly.
[AAPL] Apple downside now ?Apple Inc. (AAPL) has recently undergone a significant development as it broke a crucial support level around $180.0. This breach occurred following the formation of a double top pattern on a long timeframe, signaling a notable shift in market sentiment.
The current price action shows a slight pullback around the $177.8 level, indicating potential rejection of the price at this level. However, it's important to note that this particular entry point may not be optimal for establishing new positions due to the inherent uncertainty and risk associated with the recent breakdown of support.
Given the less-than-ideal nature of this entry, risk management becomes paramount. Consequently, any positions initiated at this stage should be kept at minimal size to mitigate potential losses. Moreover, a strategy of being prepared to exit swiftly is advisable, especially if the price fails to gain momentum or starts to exhibit further weakness.
It's crucial to remain vigilant and closely monitor price movements, particularly around the $177.8 level. Should the price dynamics change, and $177.8 begins to play a significant role again, there may be an opportunity for re-entry with a more favorable risk/reward profile.
In summary, while the recent breakdown of support presents a notable development in AAPL's price action, caution is warranted in entering new positions at this juncture. Maintaining strict risk management protocols and readiness to adapt to changing market conditions will be essential for navigating the evolving landscape of AAPL's stock.
Great Trade !
AAPL MIGHT BREAK THIS KEY LEVEL NEXTThe price has once again found its support on the highlighted key level where I believe the price will further continue to fall with a clean bearish breakout on the highlighted level. For this to happen, we are required to confirm a bearish breakout first before attempting to do any sell-off. Also on the bigger picture, the price has created a double top formation.
The price breakout on the key level is expected to revisit the bottom support highlighted at $145 region.
AAPL ranging into support and resistanceAAPL can hold support below and the same with resistance above.
Breaking out higher could retest the recent lower, higher placed / the prior lows slightly above.
Breaking down could seek a convergence of support below.
Breaking down would signify a double top, neckline break of a larger picture suggesting continuous downward pressure.
Apple: Target Zone in Sight
Apple is nearing our target zone, showing the weakness we wanted to see. Today, we've observed a 3% drop. We expect a few more percentage points to fall before reaching the target zone for Wave 2, which is between 50 and 78.6 percent. Looking at our 2-hour chart, we're now seeing the 5-wave structure we anticipated. This entire scenario would likely be incorrect if we exceed the invalidation line. However, we should continue to see this downward trend, ideally towards Wave (b), around $165.67. Then, we should form Wave (iv), followed by Wave (v), with our entry between $161.55 and $140.45. After this, we should continue with the overarching Wave (5), eventually completing it. If we get stopped out here we anticipate Apple to fall significantly lower as said in the past, but for now we hold this scenario.
APPLE CALLThere are signs the price is bottoming out and appears to be forming a double bottom formation. Expecting the price to reverse from this demand zone and test previous zones of interest at $178. If the trend continues, we can expect the price to test the next zone at $188.
Looking AAPL bullish very soon. 🔉Sound on!🔉
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Confluence of Indicators Pointing Towards Imminent Trend Shift?Apple Inc. (AAPL) stock is currently showing mixed signals on the daily timeframe when assessed with the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator. The price is trading below the cloud, indicating a bearish bias in the market. The conversion line (blue) is below the baseline (red), which often suggests that bearish momentum is present. However, the lagging span is above the price from 26 periods ago, which can sometimes indicate weakening bearish momentum or a potential reversal.
The Fibonacci retracement drawn from the swing low at approximately $165.61 to the swing high at $182.61 reveals that AAPL recently bounced off the 61.8% retracement level at $172, which is commonly known as the 'golden ratio' and considered a critical support zone. This level often attracts buyers and can be seen as a potential turnaround point for the price.
Volume patterns show some increased activity on down days, with a notable red volume bar indicating selling pressure. However, the lack of consistent high volume on the downtrends suggests that there may not be a strong conviction behind the sell-offs, which could lead to a potential stall or reversal in the downtrend.
The RSI is currently hovering around the 41.60 mark, which is neither in the oversold nor overbought territory, indicating room for the stock to move in either direction. However, it is worth noting that the RSI has been rising recently, hinting at increasing bullish momentum and a potential shift in sentiment.
In the short term, investors may look for a confirmation of a trend reversal if the price can close above the Ichimoku cloud with increasing volume. Additionally, a sustained RSI move above 50 could further validate bullish momentum. For now, the 61.8% Fibonacci level appears to be acting as a robust support, suggesting a cautious approach for both buyers and sellers until a clear directional bias is established. As always, traders should consider the latest news and market conditions before making any investment decisions and be mindful of potential risks involved.
Traders may want to keep an eye on the $172 support level. A definitive break below could see further downside with the next level of interest at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement near $168. Conversely, a rebound off this level with accompanying bullish indicators may present a buying opportunity, with initial resistance likely at the baseline of the Ichimoku cloud.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Always do your own research and consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before participating in the market.
✅APPLE NEXT MOVE|SHORT🔥
✅APPLE is going down to retest a horizontal support of 165.79$
Which makes me locally bullish biased
And I think that we will see a rebound
And a move up from the level
Towards the target above at 172.00$
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
So goes Apple so goes the market? The old wall street adage! so goes apple....
Were at a pretty interesting level.
Are market makers going to make this breakdown in apple easy?
A head & shoulders breakdown is now on watch for a confirmed break.
This does imply a decent down move and will undoubtedly weigh on markets if it happens.
Keep an eye on the second largest company in the world.
✅STOCK REVIEW: $AAPL General explanation:
- I have shorted the NASDAQ:AAPL yesterday
- Textbook perfect short, stage 3 topping
- It is forming a ledge and rolling over
Beware:
- AAPL can easily come back and be supported by institutions (e.g. move to the 200D SMA and still be shortable)
Some nuances:
- On the week of the 18MAR it couldnt even come to the 10WK MA and rolled over.
My style:
- Swing Style with holding periods of 4d to 1month. This is important in order to understand what I see.
AAPL: Time for PutsFirstly I'm a huge NASDAQ:AAPL fan when it comes to their products, however, I believe the time has come to buy some Put Options.
Trend Analysis
Utilizing the 1D chart, I found a double-top "M" pattern and at the time of this idea we are currently sitting a little under the second peak. The descent can be steep according to a macro-Fibonacci tool where the $125 share price rests around a 50% retracement level. Support at this level has been strong since May 2021.
I used two micro-Fibonacci tools to identify areas of minor support during the descent. I believe the use of both is necessary as some traders will be using the uptrend retracement (green) and others will use the downtrend retracement (red). I believe that there is a good possibility for reversal at the 61.8% downtrend Fib retracement as this level has been a key area of support and resistance since August 2021; see image below. It goes without saying that by the time the share price reaches this level, the double top pattern will already be considered valid so it's my opinion that a catalyst in the form of bad news will be required to see further declines.
Fundamental Analysis
According to the Q3 Earnings Call (Annual Report), Apple has only utilized 17.67% of its $90 billion dollar share repurchase program authorized in May '23. According to a later footnote, Apple repurchased $76.6 billion of its shares during 2023 which leads me to believe there is either a mistake in the report or that most of the $76.6 billion satisfies an earlier repurchase program. On the 10K form, see bottom of page 18 - note 1 and bottom of page 20.
Cash on-hand has increased by 27% since September 2022.
Current ratio (current assets/current liabilities) is 0.99 which is concerning from a financial standpoint. However, this is an improvement from September 2022 when its current ratio was 0.88.
Retained earnings, while still in a deficit, has improved by 93% since September 2022. These deficits were self-inflicted as Apple spent most of its net income on stock repurchases the last three years.
Sentiments
I didn't find anything that changed my opinion on the current market trend for Apple. While the company does appear to be improving it is still in a rough spot. The aggressive repurchasing of its own stock and placing itself into a deficit doesn't make sense to me as a long-term plan. I understand that companies will do this to raise their EPS and benefit their shareholders but it also says that the company doesn't plan on expanding in the foreseeable future.
APPLE Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
APPLE is going down
But the stock will soon
Hit a horizontal support of 166.24$
From where I will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
AAPL on a wide view continues SHORTAAPL on the weekly continues to fall from a double top put in at 195 in July 23 and this past
January. China issues are looming with competition domestically within China, factory issues
and the recession. The hart shows an established trend down seeking support at the Fibonacci
level in blue. The predictive algo looking back an the regression line pattern forecasts a
continued fall through the fib zone into the 125 area. Indicators are all consistent with the
same. I have a deep respect for advanced mathematics and will comply with the forecast.
AAPL is a short and the little retrace up is an opportunity to add to my positions.
APPLE Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators.
* Trend is Based on TrapZone Color
* Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves.
* Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand
--------------------
1-16-2024
GREEN TrapZone with RED UMVD. Price sliding as US MSI also points to weakening in the market. Hold On to You Hats I Say :)
Apple - Go Long NowHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Apple.
--------
Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2019 Apple prefectly retested the previous all time high and started creating a solid rising channel formation. As we are speaking Apple stock is once again retesting the lower support of the channel which is perfectly lining up with previous resistance now turned support. If we see bullish confirmation on the smaller timeframes, I am looking for new long setups on Apple.
--------
I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
Apple and Berkshire: Understanding the Dynamics of a StrategicUnveiling the Magnificent Seven: Analyzing Berkshire's Relationship with Apple and the Tech Giant's Future Prospects
The term "Magnificent Seven" encapsulates a prestigious group of megacap companies valued collectively at around $13 trillion. These titans represent approximately one-quarter of the S&P 500 index and over one-tenth of all publicly traded stocks by market capitalization.
Among the illustrious members of the Magnificent Seven are Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla. Remarkably, Berkshire Hathaway holds a stake in only one of these esteemed companies. Under Warren Buffett's stewardship, Berkshire initiated its investment in Apple during the first quarter of 2016, gradually elevating it to the conglomerate's largest holding. Nevertheless, Berkshire divested approximately 10 million shares of Apple in the fourth quarter of the preceding year, sparking speculation about potential further sell-offs in 2024.
Despite the recent reduction in Berkshire's Apple holdings, Warren Buffett's favorable sentiment toward the tech giant remains steadfast. He previously lauded Apple as a "better business" compared to any other company within Berkshire's portfolio. Such sentiment likely endures, as evidenced by Berkshire's substantial 43% allocation to Apple within its $372 billion stock portfolio as of the fourth quarter's conclusion, indicating a resolute conviction in the investment.
However, Berkshire's decision to trim its Apple shares may be influenced by concerns raised by analysts like Jordan Klein at Mizuho. Issues such as sluggish iPhone sales in China and the introduction of the Digital Markets Act (DMA) in Europe have cast shadows of uncertainty over Apple's future revenue streams. The DMA mandates digital platform operators to accommodate third-party app stores and alternative payment options, potentially impinging on Apple's revenue channels.
Investors eagerly await Berkshire's first-quarter trading activities, slated for disclosure no later than May 15th through a Form 13F filed with the SEC. Until then, investors must contemplate whether Apple remains a compelling investment opportunity at its current valuation amid prevailing market conditions.
Apple boasts a significant advantage in brand authority, a testament to its engineering prowess. By seamlessly integrating captivating hardware with exclusive software, Apple crafts a distinctive user experience highly sought after by consumers. This allure is further heightened with the proliferation of Apple devices, endowing the company with considerable pricing power. Notably, last year, the average iPhone commanded three times the price of the average Android smartphone, according to eMarketer.
This brand authority has propelled Apple's dominance across various consumer electronics segments. Leading global smartphone shipments last year, Apple also clinched top positions in tablet and smartwatch shipments, alongside a noteworthy fourth place in personal computer shipments. Recognizing the intermittent nature of hardware purchases, Apple strategically diversified its offerings with a suite of complementary services, effectively capitalizing on its expansive user base, which now exceeds 2.2 billion devices.
However, Apple encountered a setback in the first quarter of fiscal 2024, ending Dec. 31, 2023, reporting lackluster financial results. While revenue edged up 2% to $119.5 billion, robust services performance was offset by declining sales in the iPad and Wearables categories. The services segment witnessed notable expansion, propelled by robust advertising, streaming video, and cloud storage revenues. Additionally, bolstered by share buybacks and the ascendancy of high-margin services, gross margin surged by 290 basis points, with GAAP earnings spiking 16% to $2.18 per diluted share.
Despite these gains, a concerning trend emerged in China, where sales plummeted by 13% in the December quarter, with iPhone sales slipping further by 24% in the subsequent six weeks of 2024. This contrasts sharply with Huawei's remarkable 64% surge in sales, posing a formidable challenge in the region. CEO Tim Cook remains sanguine about China's long-term prospects but acknowledges the need for vigilance, given its significant contribution, constituting about 17% of Apple's revenue.
Looking ahead, Grand View Research anticipates a 6% annual growth rate in the consumer electronics market through 2030. Moreover, mobile application sales, mobile wallet revenue, and digital ad spending are forecasted to experience substantial growth rates of 14%, 28%, and 15% annually, respectively, during the same period. These markets present pivotal opportunities for Apple, with the App Store alone contributing about one-third of its services revenue.
Despite Wall Street's bullish outlook, forecasting a 5.8% annual sales growth and 8.3% annual earnings per share growth over the next five years, concerns linger regarding Apple's current valuation, standing at 27.4 times earnings. Moreover, challenges such as dwindling iPhone sales in China and potential regulatory impacts on App Store sales in Europe inject further uncertainty. Given these considerations, prudent investors may opt to exercise caution with Apple's stock, with a potential inclination towards reducing exposure if already invested.
AAPL - 190 17 MAY 24 CALLs Looking into this continuation back to retest $182 for quick profit taking/exit on the AAPL 190 17 MAY 24 Calls.
Follow for more and live updates on this chart!
Important Update on US Government Lawsuit Against AppleThe recent US government lawsuit against Apple has sent shockwaves through the stock market, causing many traders to reevaluate their investments in the tech giant. The lawsuit alleges that Apple has engaged in anti-competitive behavior by restricting competition in the App Store, potentially harming consumers and developers alike.
As traders, it is important to proceed with caution in light of this lawsuit. The outcome of this legal battle could have significant implications for Apple's future profitability and market value. Until there is more clarity on the situation, it may be wise to hold off on investing further into Apple.
It is crucial for traders to carefully monitor the developments of this lawsuit and consider the potential risks involved in holding Apple stock. By staying informed and making informed decisions, we can protect our investments and navigate this uncertain time in the market.
In conclusion, I urge all traders to exercise caution and refrain from investing in Apple until more information is available regarding the US government lawsuit. Stay informed, stay vigilant, and protect your investments.
AAPL weakerIn Hindsight; using log scale. AAPL didn't reach it's longterm trend; so - weakness in price.
