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Strongest Recession Signal EverThe yield curve has inverted to the most extreme degree ever, which is a warning that a recession is coming. In this video, I analyze the charts for the AMEX:SPY S&P 500, NASDAQ:NVDA Nvidia, NASDAQ:AAPL Apple, and the yield curve on U.S. Treasurys to see what they're telling us about future price action. In the video, I mention that the bull rally following the Great Recession was primarily due to the Fed's monetary easing. The chart below shows evidence of this. When the value of the assets added to the Fed's balance sheet is compared against the value of the S&P 500, the stock market appears to have essentially moved horizontally. This shows that the primary reason for the stock market's rally is the central bank's extreme expansion of its balance sheet. If you enjoyed this post, I would greatly appreciate it if you leave a boost! If you have any questions or would like to share your thoughts, feel free to leave them in the comments below. Important Disclaimer Nothing in this post should be considered financial advice. Trading and investing always involve risks and one should carefully review all such risks before making a trade or investment decision. Do not buy or sell any security based on anything in this post. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any financial decisions. This post is for educational purposes only.
TVC:US10Y
by SpyMasterTrades
97
Nasdaq Futes - You Wanted a Dip For That 'Santa Rally,' Aye?The equities markets have spent the last three months liquidating bulls, and then liquidating bears, and then liquidating bulls, because the markets are primarily a scam for big money to sell options and have them expire worthless. No matter what system you use or whose ideas you follow, you're always just guessing, because the computers can take price and do whatever they want at any time, because there's more stocks than there are money and more money than there are stocks, all concentrated in the hands of a few select banks and funds that are really just running crowdsourced cloud algos that communicate with time stamps and decimal fractions. It's just another scam to bankrupt people and then blame you for being bankrupt. There's nobody this society hates more than poor people and depressed people, and no Communist Party-funded causes are paid to campaign on behalf of the poor and sad, unless it's to lead them to "Medical Assistance In Dying" (MAID; see Canada). 2023 started off uppy in a straight line, and there's no reason to believe that's going to correct until the timestamp on the market making algorithms has a year date of 2024. Which means that this bearish impulse is just that, a bearish impulse, that may be seeing its likely finale as early as this coming week to end the October monthly bar, as the next FOMC rate decision is October 31 and November 1. I'll provide my warning to bears and bulls alike at the early stage of the post, because I know social media and drugs have given people the attention span of children addicted to sugar and cartoons. Did you know that Li Keqiang, former Premier of China and second in command of the Chinese Communist Party behind Xi Jinping died on October 27, "of a heart attack"? I have been warning for years of two things: 1. The CCP is actually about to fall, and is almost entirely certain to take Xi, an idiot, to its grave with it. 2. The death toll from the Wuhan Pneumonia pandemic (not to be confused with SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) is insanely scary and completely covered up by the regime. And now we're seeing public evidence that even the Xi Faction's main network are being dropped. Keqiang was only 68 years old, which is not very old for a CCP member. Former Chairman Jiang Zemin, the architect of the persecution and organ harvesting genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million students, allegedly lived to 96, by comparison, before turning to a pile of crematorium ashes and being thrown out of the very Cosmos by the Wind itself. All of the above is to say that the year end rally is likely arranged by "the controllers," and yet they're just mice and men, and what can actually unfold before we see 2024 is entirely in the hands of Heaven Himself. Let's look at monthly bars: Three mediocre red months after a series of bigly big green months isn't bearish. To the contrary, it's bullish, but it's a question of how you can finance your timing to stay solvent while the market is irrational. Weekly bars give us more clarity: What we're really dealing with is a meagre 12% dump over 15 weeks. And you're going to say to yourself that 12% is actually a lot on the indexes, and I will agree with you. However, it's really not when you take a look at a pair of twin 6-7% bounces that occurred over the span of 6 and 10 trading days in the mix. And when you pair this with the reality that the market turning around and taking out the July high is just a paltry 17% rally from the 13,750 potential reverse point, over the course of two months, bears are set up to get absolutely annihilated before the real show starts in 2024. Nothing about the way the markets have traded indicated we have bottomed *yet*. So what we do is, instead of GoInG LoNg oN ThE DiP and getting into the same trap as Disney, Paypal, and AT&T longtards, we simply look for reversals at 13,750, because it's the August of 2022 high, and 13,480-13,550, because 13,500 is a psychological number, and go long on a reversal pattern. If this theory pans out, not only will the indexes take out the July high, but, the Nasdaq especially, may very well take out the All Time High. If you were to have bought a QQQ $380 call on Friday expiring January, it would have cost you ~$3.25 ($325) with a 19% delta. If we get another 4% dump on the indexes, you can pick one up for a little more than $2 and be looking at $9-12~ after theta decay for it to be merely at the money by the end of November. That's equivalent to going long on some penny garbage like MULN or Gamestop and lotterying into a 4 bagger on the MoThER oF aLl ShOrTSqUeEzEs. The above is to tell you to stop following Wall Street Bets, Wall Street Silver, Stocktwits, and other public relations firm/marketing department-managed dumpster fires, stop gambling on 0DTEs, make less trades, go outside more, and enjoy your life while this planet still lasts. Once everything is gone, it's gone forever. Just like Atlantis, the Mayans, and the Dinosaurs.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by LordWrymouth
APPLE Hit the MA50 (1w). Will it hold?Apple hit the MA50 (1w), the strongest long term Support, for the first time in more than 7 months. The pattern is a Falling Wedge and last time such formation tested the MA50 (1w) from above was on March 14th 2022, and the level held and rose over the 0.786 Fibonacci. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 191.00 (Fibonacci 0.786 like the 2022 fractal). Tips: 1. The RSI (1w) is also on the same level as March 2022. An additional bullish signal. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TradingBrokersView
part 2 NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN GOOGL META TSLA Price ForecastNASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:TSLA Price Forecast 00:00 Economic Data Psychology, AAII Sentiment Data, Earnings, Fear & Greed Index 04:00 QQQ Stock Price Forecast 07:18 Sp500 ETF Price Forecast 11:43 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis 13:45 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis 15:48 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis 17:02 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis 20:03 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis 24:42 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis 27:19 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by ArcadiaTrading
NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN GOOGL META TSLA Price ForecastNASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:GOOGL NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:TSLA Price Forecast 00:00 Economic Data Psychology, AAII Sentiment Data, Earnings, Fear & Greed Index 04:00 QQQ Stock Price Forecast 07:18 Sp500 ETF Price Forecast 11:43 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis 13:45 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis 15:48 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis 17:02 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis 20:03 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis 24:42 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis 27:19 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by ArcadiaTrading
Apple: Trend-setting battle 🔥📈📉The bears have once again pushed Apple down to the lower border of the green target zone between $170.89 and $185. We continue to believe that the stock is in an overriding uptrend, but for that to be the case, it now needs to climb higher. In this scenario, the white wave (III) is expected to end well above the resistance at $198.23. However, it is important to note that our alternative now has a relatively high probability of 41%. If the price were to fall below $167.62, the first task would be the grey wave (IV).
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by MarketIntel
APPLE Last BUY opportunity before a new 18 month expansion.Last time we looked into Apple (AAPL), it was still trading within the 2023 Channel Up (see chart below) and gave us an excellent technical pull-back buy opportunity: This time the stock is after a 3-month pull-back that is testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since the week of March 13. On the wider picture of Apple in the last 10 years (1W time-frame), such pull-backs have been nothing more that consolidation phases before the next Expansion (usually 18 month - green arrows) that leads to the eventual peak and a new yearly correction (red arrows). Those consolidation phases find Support on the 1W MA50 (even the COVID crash broke it just marginally), unlike the yearly corrections which find on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). What's astounding is the frequency of the consolidation pull-backs, which can be very effectively displayed with the use of the Sine Waves. As you can see on our chart, in the last 10 years, all pull-backs to the 1W MA50 after a 1W MA200 rebound, are located at the bottom of the Waves. This indicates that most likely the current one is over and investors are expected to 'ride' the new 18-month Expansion wave to the new All Time High. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TradingShot
1
APPLE rebounding on the MA200 (1d). Eyes on 190.Apple is trading inside a Falling Wedge pattern, which yesterday met its MA200 (1d) and rebounded. This put a stop to the bearish leg's downtrend and as long as the MA200 holds, the wave count can break over the top of the Wedge. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 190.00 (September 5th High, Fibonacci 0.786). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is on a Rising Support throughout the course of the Falling Wedge. This is a strong Bullish Divergence. 2. The MA200 (1d) has been intact since March 2nd. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TradingBrokersView
AAPL Announces New Event for Upcoming Mac Computers Apple Inc. (AAPL) has recently announced an upcoming event that promises to unveil a groundbreaking range of Mac computers, and I couldn't wait to share this thrilling development with you. As an avid trader, you're well aware of the immense impact Apple has had on the tech industry, consistently pushing the boundaries of innovation. With this new event on the horizon, AAPL is poised to once again redefine the landscape of personal computing, and the potential for extraordinary growth is undeniable. Apple's unwavering commitment to excellence, coupled with its ability to capture the imagination of consumers worldwide, has consistently propelled its stock to new heights. This event is expected to be no different, and I firmly believe that now is the perfect time to consider a long position on AAPL. By investing in AAPL, you'll be positioning yourself at the forefront of this exciting wave of innovation. Apple's Mac lineup has long been revered for its sleek design, powerful performance, and seamless integration with the broader Apple ecosystem. The upcoming event promises to introduce cutting-edge advancements that will undoubtedly captivate consumers and drive significant demand for these new Mac computers. As an astute trader, you understand the importance of staying ahead of the curve. By long AAPL, you'll not only be capitalizing on the imminent surge in demand for these revolutionary Mac computers but also positioning yourself to benefit from Apple's robust ecosystem, which includes an array of complementary products and services. So, let's seize this opportunity together! I encourage you to carefully consider a long position on AAPL as we eagerly await the unveiling of these new Mac computers. By doing so, you'll be leveraging the potential for substantial gains while aligning yourself with one of the most innovative and influential companies in the world. If you have any questions or require further information, please don't hesitate to reach out by commenting below. I'm here to assist you in any way I can.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by bryandowningqln
AAPL | Day Trading | 10-24-2023NASDAQ:AAPL Trend & Moving Averages: Trend: The general trend appears to be bearish, as prices are descending over the duration of the chart. Moving Averages: There's a clear crossover of the short-term orange moving average below the longer-term blue moving average, further confirming the bearish sentiment. Support & Resistance: Bearish Line: The chart shows a bearish trendline that the price is attempting to break above. Bullish Line: A bullish trendline also exists, indicating levels where the price has found support in the recent past. Support: The stock appears to have solid support at the "Target Price 2" level around 169.93 USD. Resistance: Resistance seems to be at the "Target Price" level around 174.72 USD. Candlestick Patterns & Price Action: The last few sessions demonstrate a mix of bullish and bearish candlesticks, suggesting volatility and indecision. The latest candle (on 24th) is a small bullish candle. If it's followed by another strong bullish candle, it could signal a potential short-term reversal. Volume: Volume Profile: The volume appears to be relatively stable with some spikes. Notably, there is a significant volume spike on the last day. High volume accompanying a price movement can be a strong indicator of the strength of that movement. The most recent bullish candle is accompanied by a notable increase in volume, which could indicate strong buying interest. Notable Price Levels: Bullish Line: The stock is trading close to this line. A break above this line could suggest a short-term bullish sentiment. Bearish Line: If the stock moves downward and breaks this line, it could indicate further bearish sentiment. Target Prices: These are potential price points where the trader expects the stock might move to. It's important to watch these levels as they can act as psychological levels of support or resistance. Summary: The Apple Inc. chart portrays a bearish trend with potential signs of a short-term reversal, given the recent bullish candle with high volume.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by shkspr
Back to 4400 Before Christmas, Down to...Assuming Minor wave C finished Intermediate wave 4 on Tuesday, next stop is the end of Intermediate wave 5 down. All models and the derivative analysis points to a very quick drop. Preliminary target bottom is 4179 before the Fed meeting. The full, yet narrow target bottom is the white box below. Once Primary wave 1 is finished (Intermediate wave 5 ends it), the market will see-saw upward for possibly a month and a half. The projected up and down is more of a perfect world scenario. The actual ABC waves will likely vary. The endpoint of Primary wave 2 is actually based on Primary wave 1 ending at 4179.50 on October 26th. I was surprised to see the models limit the Primary wave 2 high at 4400. That is basically where the market just was and it will drop about 200 points en route to 4400. The Primary wave 3 drop after 4400 should be pretty significant with lows likely below 3700 over 5-8 months. I will continue to updates the forecasts as each micro wave completes. It is most interesting to see if Intermediate wave 5/Primary wave 1 complete in the target box as this was based on the new derivative analysis modelling I created. The standard deviation of historical data was very small, which hopefully means relatively accurate. I currently have AAPL 170 and SPY 431 puts for November 3rd expirations as a test of these new models. METHODOLOGY: I operate a modified wave theory composed of Dow Theory and Elliott Wave Theory. All data is determined from comparing current wave locations with historical wave relationships. The listed percentages are based on previous movement extensions and retracement quartiles of the data. There is too much data to list all points but overlap of the quartiles based on specific relationships tends to point to more likely targets. The light pink levels are based on most specific data, light blue is slightly broader, and yellow levels are the broader set of data used. A red level typically indicates maximum historical move for the current wave throughout the historical data. Derivative models take the annotated waves from the above methodology and compare specific ratioed-relationships to predict future movement based off of smallest standard deviations in processed models. ***Currently in beta testing to determine efficacy***
SP:SPXShort
by StockSignaler
3
NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN GOOGL META TSLA Price Forecast00:00 Economic Data, AAII Sentiment Data, Earnings, Fear & Greed Index 02:59 QQQ Stock Price Forecast 07:08 Sp500 ETF Price Forecast 08:59 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis 11:09 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis 12:35 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis 14:52 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis 16:40 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis 17:43 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis 18:36 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by ArcadiaTrading
7 Mega Cap Tech Stocks Forecast part 2 00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide 04:39 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast 05:16 USO Oil Stock Forecast 06:27 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast 07:21 Silver XAGUSD forecast 06:37 US dollar DXY Stock Forecast 10:37 QQQ Stock Price Forecast 13:36 Sp500 ETF Price Forecast 15:00 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis 17:14 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis 18:10 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis 19:00 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis 19:59 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis 21:43 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis 24:09 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by ArcadiaTrading
Natural Gas Price Forecast & 7 Mega Cap Tech Stocks Forecast00:00 Natural Gas stock Bulls NatGas Support & Resistance Guide 02:34 AMEX:UNG Stock Forecast 04:04 USO Oil Stock Forecast 05:34 Gold XAUUSD Stock Forecast 06:37 US dollar DXY Stock Forecast 07:47 Silver XAGUSD forecast 09:22 QQQ Stock Price Forecast 11:28 Sp500 ETF Price Forecast 13:25 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis 14:50 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis 17:14 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis 18:00 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis 18:57 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis 19:46 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis 21:29 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by ArcadiaTrading