Apple -> Break And RetestMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only focus on price action and market structure 🖥️
I am trading the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Apple.
Looking at Apple stock you can see that Apple just perfectly broke above the previous all time high which was at the $175 level and is now retesting this previous structure so I simply do expect another push higher from here and the creation of a new all time high soon.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
AAPL
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18:15 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
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BULLISH AAPL? KEEP YOUR CHARTS CLEAN.
As you can see, we have bounced off of the bottom Bollinger Band and the YTD VWAP. I am waiting for the Heikin Ashi RSI to turn green, and the regular chart to have a strong green Heikin Ashi candlestick before entry. We have already made a lighter red candle on the MACD and bounced off on the regular candlesticks. We have just broken out of a falling wedge on the 2 hour chart as well. This would be a great swing trade. I would look to target the top of the Bollinger Band for my Take Profit. Keep your charts simple!
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12:52 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
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AAPL Downgraded by KeyBanc: Weak Sales Outlook Raises ConcernsIntroduction:
In a recent development, KeyBanc has downgraded Apple Inc. (AAPL) due to a concerning weak sales outlook. This downgrade has sent shockwaves through the market, prompting traders to reevaluate their positions and consider potential shorting opportunities. In this article, we will delve into the reasons behind the downgrade and discuss why traders should exercise caution when dealing with AAPL.
Understanding the Downgrade:
KeyBanc's downgrade of AAPL stems from their analysis of the company's sales outlook. They have identified certain factors that indicate a potential decline in sales, thereby raising concerns about the stock's future performance. As traders, it is crucial to pay attention to such expert opinions and assess the potential impact on our investment strategies.
Reasons for Weak Sales Outlook:
Several factors contribute to the weak sales outlook for AAPL. KeyBanc highlights the following key concerns:
1. Slowing iPhone Sales: The iPhone has been Apple's flagship product, accounting for a significant portion of its revenue. However, KeyBanc predicts a potential slowdown in iPhone sales due to market saturation and intense competition.
2. Trade Tensions: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China have the potential to disrupt Apple's supply chain and negatively impact its sales. Any escalation in these tensions could further hamper AAPL's growth prospects.
The Call-to-Action: Consider Shorting AAPL with Caution
Given the weak sales outlook and KeyBanc's downgrade, traders should approach AAPL with caution. While shorting AAPL may present an opportunity for profit, it is essential to consider the following factors:
1. Conduct Thorough Research: Before initiating any short position, conduct comprehensive research to understand the potential risks and rewards associated with shorting AAPL. Analyze the company's financials, market trends, and competitor performance to make informed decisions.
2. Diversify Your Portfolio: Shorting AAPL should be part of a well-diversified investment strategy. Avoid placing all your bets on a single stock, as this can expose you to unnecessary risks. Diversification helps mitigate potential losses in case the market responds differently than anticipated.
3. Monitor Market Sentiment: Keep a close eye on market sentiment and news updates related to AAPL. Any positive developments or changes in the company's outlook can quickly impact stock prices. Be prepared to adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
Conclusion:
KeyBanc's downgrade of AAPL based on the weak sales outlook highlights potential challenges for the company in the near future. While shorting AAPL may offer profit potential, traders should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Diversification and monitoring market sentiment are essential for managing risks effectively. Stay informed and adapt your trading strategy accordingly to navigate the uncertainties surrounding AAPL's future performance.
AAPL WILL CONTINUE TO FALL BELOW THE RESISTANCEAAPL showed up a fake rally above the resistance formed and the price moved back below the resistance once again confirming a fake out happened earlier. Here with the weekly pull back formed after the breakout, we believe that the price will continue to fall and go on a bearish momentum in the near future.
NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN GOOGL META TSLA Price ForecastWelcome to the daily how to make money online with stock market Mega Cap 7 Tech stock, Nvidia Microsoft Google Apple Amazon Meta Tesla Stock, Technical Analysis Show where I break down the price action and let you guys know what the most likely scenario I think will be going forward.
00:00 Heatmap, QQQ Stock Price Forecast
06:52 Sp500 ETF Price Forecast
09:02 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
10:02 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
12:13 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
13:55 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
15:32 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
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18:06 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
Longest Consolidation Period Since 00's | 1D, 1W ChartsAAPL Tech Giant vs The World
AAPL has had a rough couple of weeks so to speak. With Treasury yields, to their new iPhone 15 overheating issue, there is much to be said about how this will playout in the long run for AAPL stock. Tech giants 12 month price-to-earnings ratio fell to 27 from 34, but APPL is forecasted to reach higher earnings in Q4 and beyond. September could be said to be a messy month for The Magnificent 7, but hopefully this is the calm before the storm.
1W Chart
- Moving Average: Let me explain why this is such an important indicator. As you can see I have labeled the number of times AAPL ducked bellow the 50 D SMA, and after every duck came a rally to the upside, as soon as it broke through the average. This has been a 15 year trend. Now if it were to duck under the 50 D SMA again, after it already had, then this would be a very bad sign . Expect to be consolidation for God knows how long.
- RSI: In every bull rally, I have shown the average support levels in the RSI, this is to make sure we are staying on trend. Now there is a red line that can be seen at 37, this indicates the lowest level the RSI has gone during a Bull Rally, if it were to break this level, we are now in the longest consolidation period since the 00's.
1D Chart
- Moving average: Nothing fancy, it's there just in case, However, there are important levels that need to be discussed. There are 2 potential levels of support that AAPL needs to hit in order for it not to be considered consolidation. 164 and 157, with 157 being the lowest. Obviously not these exact same numbers but around this area is what we need to be looking at for a couple of days.
- Stoch RSI: Is at a level where we can start breaking higher.
Extra
- Make sure to look at other Tech Giants and Treasury Yields for any correlation, as I did not have the time to include them in this Idea.
Please let me know your thoughts in the comments, if you liked this Idea, give it a boost as it helps he out in making more charts for you guys!
AAPL, Crucial Views, Massive Triangle-BREAKOUT Emerges!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis of AAPL on the 4-Day Timeframe Perspective. Within the recent stock market, there are many stocks that show huge bearish inclinations and major downside accelerations as investors became much more conservative because of recession, inflation, stagflation, and war economy events through which investors are rather looking for save heavens such as GOLD or Sector Stocks that really can unfold their potential, either up or down. In this case, it is highly necessary and inevitable to pick those stocks that have a breakout and more importantly target zone completion potentials as I have spotted the most worthwhile setups within the market these times.
When looking at my chart now AAPL within this whole chart has completed a gigantic formation which is the most prevalent channel formation, In this formation AAPL completed the wave count before attempting a crucial breakout above the upper boundary as it is marked in my chart. Now, as AAPL continues with the range channel breakout it is forming a highly important formation because AAPL has several major levels within the zone above which AAPL is forming this crucial formation. The most important levels are the supports above which AAPL is now trading determined by the Pre-All-Time-High Support-Zone, the Ascending-Channel Lower-Boundary Support-Zone, the 40-EMA in blue as a major support, the 20-EMA in orange as a major support.
Above these levels, AAPL now continues with forming the primary triangle formation which is about to be completed within the next time. As it is market in my chart the triangle formation is going to complete with a final breakout above the upper boundary which is going to mark the final Triangle-Breakout Confirmational Setup from where AAPL is likely to continue into the breakout direction with an overwhelmingly high possibility.
Currently, a major consideration is how fast AAPL continues with the breakout and how the momentum is going to accelerate finally reaching the determined target zones. Especially when institutional open interest increases here pumping a load of fresh liquidity into the market this is likely to provide the necessary fuel for the price action to accelerate much faster than the underlying price action is actually determining.
In all cases, once the breakout has shown up as it is marked this is going to activate the target zones as they are marked within my analysis chart. The only thing that could invalidate such a scenario is a massive supply shock rolling in because of major supply chain disruptions and increased inflation that is accelerating above all expectations. This, however, is not the most likely scenario currently, and therefore I am keeping the symbol in the data dashboard to determine further re-evaluations once they changed.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching my analysis of CHFAUD. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
SPY 30th Sep,2023 WEEKLYThis is my weekly analysis for SPY.I have clearly explained what price is willing to do and trust me there is no rush to push trades on yourself. Just wait for the right opportunity.
If you have any doubts feel free to shoot me a text.
NOTE: STAY AWAY IF YOU ARE NOT SURE ABOUT THE MARKET
AAPL Targets Lower, Be SmartWe are at an interesting zone when it comes to AAPL. It's holding strong above the most relevant pivot low as you'll see in the chart. There is a chance that it can go up fro here so if you would like to long, I would place a stoploss elow the recent wick low. I would also manage my position size so the its a 1% risk on the trade it your stop was to hit.
In the end, when zooming out, I think AAPL will retrace back to the bottom of the channel before pumping higher. There are a few key levels on the way dwn where we can expect a reaction and other trade set ups to play out.
I'm currently long, anticipating a small bounce at these levels, with a 1% stop under the current wick low. Lets see how it all plays out.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
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This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN GOOGL META TSLA Price ForecastNVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN GOOGL META TSLA Price Forecast
Welcome to the daily how to make money online with stock market Mega Cap 7 Tech stock, Nvidia Microsoft Google Apple Amazon Meta Tesla Stock, Technical Analysis Show where I break down the price action and let you guys know what the most likely scenario I think will be going forward.
00:00 Economic Data, AAII Sentiment Data, Rate hike Data.
02:12 QQQ Stock Price Forecast
06:57 Sp500 ETF Price Forecast
08:14 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
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11:35 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
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14:20 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
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aapl → two short targetshello guys...
as evident, this stock breaks down the ascending channel with a GAP!
The price action wisdom sets two targets:
Target 1: 170.95
Target 2: 163
it is another chance that the price retraces to "the area after the gap" and then starts another correction.
______________________________
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Couple of Plays & TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN GOOGL META Price ForeWelcome to the daily how to make money online with stock market Mega Cap 7 Tech stock, Nvidia Microsoft Google Apple Amazon Meta Tesla Stock, Technical Analysis Show where I break down the price action and let you guys know what the most likely scenario I think will be going forward.
00:00 Why Market Bounced, Sentiment Data, Rate hike Data.
02:51 My trade Review, SOXL, YINN, LABU
06:58 QQQ Stock Price Forecast
09:33 Sp500 ETF Price Forecast
11:00 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
11:49 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
12:50 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
14:53 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
16:05 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
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APPLE Is pricing the new long term bottom. Don't miss the chanceApple / AAPL is completing the 2nd Low of the Bull Flag pattern started on its All Time High. So far that represents a -15% fall.
It has almost hit the 1day MA200 today and the more powerfull (on a Cycle perspective) 1week MA50 is just under it.
Considering that the market recovery and bottom started on the Head of an Inverse Head and Shoulder's pattern which exceeded the 2.0 Fibonacci target and its neckline was on 157.50, while the Bear Cycle's Falling Resistance is right in the middle of the two MAs, we are technically very near a big Support Zone.
It remains to be seen if indeed it is a demand level. The 1day RSI is low enough to justify a bottom formation.
Start buying and target 205.00 (Fibonacci 1.236 extension) on the long term.
Previous chart:
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Apple Inc.: A Timeless Investment OpportunityApple Inc.: A Timeless Investment Opportunity
Apple Inc. holds a prestigious title in the world of finance as the most valuable company by market capitalization. Its remarkable journey over the past 47 years has seen it achieve unprecedented milestones, showcasing an unparalleled ability to capture the consumer market. One of its standout achievements is the iconic iPhone, which has not only amassed a user base exceeding one billion individuals but has also acted as a catalyst for driving consumer interest across its extensive product lineup.
A Remarkable Trajectory
Apple's impact on its stock performance is staggering, with its shares having surged by an astounding 135,000% since its initial public offering in December 1980. While some might assume that the prime window for Apple investments has long passed, the company's trajectory suggests otherwise. Notably, even the revered Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway has continued to bolster its holdings in this tech giant, further underlining the enduring appeal of Apple's stock.
Consistent Growth and Innovation
Renowned for its consistent and reliable growth, Apple remains a compelling addition to any investment portfolio. It's worth noting that Apple may not always be the pioneer in entering new markets, but it has consistently demonstrated a remarkable ability to leverage existing technology and infuse it with its unique design sensibilities. This approach has allowed Apple to attract fresh users and establish dominance within various industries, including smartphones, tablets, smartwatches, and headphones.
Resilience in Challenging Times
Even in times of economic adversity, Apple's products have continued to resonate with consumers. While many tech companies grappled with reduced consumer spending, Apple's performance stood out. For example, during the second quarter of 2023, while the PC industry saw a 13% decline in shipments year over year, Apple's MacBook shipments increased by 10%. In the smartphone market, where there was a 24% decline in shipments during the same period, Apple exhibited a more modest 6% decline.
The Power of an Ecosystem
One of Apple's key strengths lies in its ability to foster an interconnected ecosystem among its products, encouraging consumers to remain loyal over the long term. Exclusive apps like Messages and FaceTime serve as additional incentives for users to stay within Apple's ecosystem.
A Bright Future Ahead
Although Apple has faced macroeconomic challenges this year, it is poised to benefit as the market rebounds. The company consistently delivers attractive profit margins, with products yielding 35% and digital services boasting an impressive 71% as of Q3 2023. With its commanding position in the tech industry, Apple is well-positioned for potential growth in the coming five to ten years.
Resilience in the Face of Challenges
Apple's recent stock performance, marked by an 11% decline since the release of its Q3 2023 earnings report in early August, may seem concerning at first glance. However, this marks only the third consecutive quarter of revenue reduction, with a 1% year-over-year decrease in revenue. These setbacks were influenced by a broader consumer retreat in several product segments.
The Services Segment: A Beacon of Growth
Amid these challenges, Apple's services segment remains a bright spot. In Q3 2023, this segment recorded an impressive 8% year-over-year expansion, contributing significantly to the company's revenue, which reached $21 billion. The services business encompasses earnings generated from subscription-based platforms like Apple TV+ and Apple Music, as well as income from the App Store.
An Ongoing Growth Story
Considering Apple's historical growth patterns, it becomes evident that seizing opportunities during market downturns can be advantageous. With its commanding position in the consumer technology sector and a flourishing services division, Apple offers the potential for significant returns over the long term.
Conclusion
In light of these factors, it is abundantly clear that the window of opportunity to invest in Apple stock remains wide open. Apple's resilience, innovation, and ability to adapt to changing market dynamics make it an excellent choice for long-term investors. As it continues to evolve and innovate, Apple holds the promise of delivering substantial gains in the future.
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TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN GOOGL META Price Forecast00:00 QQQ Stock Price Forecast
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09:50 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
11:28 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
13:06 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
16:01 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
17:38 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
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NASDAQ NQ (QQQ, NDX) Gap Fill LongQuick take here before signing off. We’re already seeing a buy side reaction in US equity indexes as the ES (S&P 500) came very close to filling its downside futures gap. We captured the S&P 500 idea in a post several hours ago (). If equities retest lower, which we believe they’re likely to, the NQ has a couple solid demand/buy zones (green lines) not too far away. Per usual, we’ll have to see how prices approach the levels – hopefully we don’t get too much of a methodical grind lower, forming clean supply/resistance to immediately challenge buyers @ our demand areas; if this happens, the trade’s profit margin/risk-reward could be truncated.
We’ll do a more thorough check later and will update this post, but wanted to give you all something to think about. Comments welcome!
Jon @ LionHart Trading
AAPL, Major Trend-Dynamics, Volume, Momentum and Targets!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about AAPL on several timeframe perspectives. As AAPL has shown up with this huge bearish price-action to the downside testing the remaining supports at 175 this has been a crucial dynamic from where AAPL should determine further dynamics of its future price-action because if the breakout below the previous supports settled this would trigger a lot more bearish positions to the downside as even already seen before since the pullbacks from the all-time-high area.
The fact that AAPL firstly formed the reversal lows here now does not mean AAPL is completely bullish forever however with the formational structure within the local 4-hour timeframe perspective AAPL could setup the major reversal to determine initial target-zones within the structure from where the momentum should be measured once they are reached. If the momentum moves on as it already established before this will provide the price-action for a much larger formation to be completed here.
The much larger formation which will be completed once AAPL shows up with the appropriate momentum is a massive ascending triangle formation within the channel and once it has been completed with the necessary momentum it will activate the target-zones mentioned. The final confirmation is going to setup once AAPL formed the breakout out of the boundary into the trend-direction. Especially, if the establish Consumer Demand Expenditures do not decrease further this is likely to accelerate the price-action-dynamics.
Thank you for watching my analysis. Support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP