AAPL
QQQ: Tariff ReactionNASDAQ:QQQ As China strikes back with a 34% tariff on U.S. goods starting April 10, the global trade landscape could see some serious turbulence. This follows Trump's tariff moves, and the market's already feeling it: QQQ’s daily chart shows capitulation volume on the table, suggesting a potential bounce— IF tariffs ease.
But until these trade tensions subside, it's likely to be a rocky ride. Tariffs push prices up, inflation lingers, and the Fed finds itself boxed in. The outcome? A market crash, recession, and stagflation—yet, there's still hope for a bounce, depending on how these factors play out.
Manage the levels with us at ChartsCoach.
AAPL Trade Plan – 2025 Outlook📊With global markets reacting to renewed tariff talk from Trump, Apple (AAPL) NASDAQ:AAPL could face short-term volatility—but that’s also opportunity. As fears of a trade war ripple across Asia and Europe, AAPL may temporarily dip, especially with supply chain exposure in China.🍏📉📈
📌 Entry Zones (Buy the fear, not the panic):
1️⃣ 194 – Light entry as weakness sets in
2️⃣ 180 – Strong support historically
3️⃣ 166 – High-conviction zone if macro panic escalates
🎯 Profit Targets (Scale out as strength returns):
✅ 209 – Quick recovery zone
✅ 230 – Pre-fear valuation
✅ 260+ – Full macro recovery with bullish momentum
📈 Strategy: Let the news create emotion. You trade the levels.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my personal trading plan based on current macro trends and technicals. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
Apple (AAPL) Shares Plummet Over 9% Following Trump's TariffApple (AAPL) Shares Plummet Over 9% Following Trump's Tariff Announcement
Many stock indices declined after the US President announced the introduction of tariffs for multiple countries, as we reported yesterday morning. During yesterday’s trading session, the sell-off in equities intensified.
According to media reports, market participants had hoped that the tariff threats were mere rhetoric and a negotiation tactic. However, many were shocked by both the number of countries affected and the scale of the imposed tariffs. Several well-known technology companies led the market downturn.
How Do Trump's Tariffs Impact Big Tech Companies?
Significant tariffs were imposed on Chinese imports, yet Apple manufactures around 90% of its iPhones in China. Many affordable products sold on Amazon are also set to become more expensive, as they are sourced from China.
Meta Platforms' advertising business could suffer considerable losses as companies worldwide cut advertising budgets. Nvidia and Broadcom may also struggle, given that the tariffs apply to many electronic devices incorporating their chips.
As a result, shares of Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Meta Platforms (META), Broadcom (AVGO), and Nvidia (NVDA) fell by approximately 9% by the close of trading yesterday.
Microsoft (MSFT) shares, however, proved more resilient, dropping just 2.3%, as software products are not easily subject to tariffs. Moreover, software developers do not rely on international supply chains.
Technical Analysis of AAPL Chart
Apple’s stock price fluctuations have formed a trend channel (shown in blue), with:
→ The upper boundary acting as resistance since last autumn, although bulls managed to push the price above it during the Christmas rally. We previously highlighted Apple’s overbought condition and the possibility of a correction on 27 December 2024.
→ New data indicates that resistance has now shifted to the median at around $225.
This puts the lower boundary of the trend channel at risk of a bearish breakout. In the coming days, AAPL’s chart may see a bearish assault on the psychological $200 level, which proved significant in August 2024.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
WILL APPLE (AAPL) BREAK SUPPORT ON 1 HOUR CHART? CRASH INCOMING?The California based AAPL is down nearly -18% since March. It appears to be approaching some key support trend lines. Will the support prices hold for this tech giant? Are Trump Tariff's fueling a sell off?
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
Apple - All This Was Expected!Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) perfectly plays out:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Just a couple of months ago, Apple perfectly retested the rising channel resistance trendline and has been creating the expected bearish rejection. This could perfectly form the next all time high break and retest, which would eventually lead to another significant move higher.
Levels to watch: $190
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Calibrating Trading Indicators for Different MarketsCalibrating Trading Indicators for Different Markets: A Beginner's Guide
(Simple Steps to Adjust RSI , MACD , and Other Tools for Better Results)
Key Idea : Just like you'd tune a guitar differently for rock vs. classical music, trading tools like RSI or MACD need adjustments depending on what you're trading (stocks, crypto, forex) and how it moves. This guide shows you how to tweak these tools using price swings (pivot points) to make them work better for your specific asset.
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Why "One Size Fits All" Doesn't Work
Most traders use default settings for indicators (like RSI's 14-day period). But these defaults were created for "average " markets. Real markets aren't average!
Example:
- Crypto ( CME:BTC1! ) : Super volatile → Needs faster, more sensitive indicators.
- Blue-Chip Stocks ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) : Less wild swings → Needs slower, smoother indicators.
If you use the same RSI settings for both, you'll get bad signals. Calibration fixes this.
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The Pivot Point Method for Calibration
One effective approach to calibration is measuring the natural rhythm of price swings between high and low points. Here's how to do it step by step:
Step 1: Find Pivot Points on Your Chart
Pivot points are like "price turning points." Use TradingView's ZigZag indicator (or draw them manually) to spot these swings.
How to Add ZigZag on TradingView :
1. Open your chart.
2. Click "Indicators" → Search " ZigZag " → Select it.
3. Adjust settings (defaults work fine for starters).
The ZigZag will draw lines between significant highs (peaks) and lows (valleys).
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Step 2: Measure the "Rhythm" of the Market
Count the bars (candles) between pivot points to find the market's natural cycle.
Example :
- If Bitcoin swings from peak to peak every 14 bars on average, its "cycle" is 14 bars.
- If Apple does this every 16 bars, its cycle is 16 bars.
In the picture above, we used the Williams Fractal to identify pivots.
Formula for Indicator Settings :
- RSI Period = Half the average cycle → If cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days.
- MACD Settings : Fast EMA = ¼ cycle, Slow EMA = ½ cycle → Cycle = 16 → Fast EMA = 4, Slow EMA = 8
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Step 3: Test Your Calibrated Indicators
Backtest on TradingView :
1. Add your indicator (e.g., RSI) with the new settings.
2. Use the Strategy Tester (click "Add to Chart" → " RSI Strategy ") to see if signals improve.
Look For :
- Fewer false signals (e.g., RSI saying "oversold" too early).
- Clearer trends (MACD crossovers matching price moves).
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Calibrating Popular Indicators (Simple Rules)
1. RSI (Relative Strength Index)
- Default : 14 days.
- Calibrated : Half the average cycle length.
- Example : Cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days.
Why It Works : Shorter RSI reacts faster to volatile markets (like crypto).
2. MACD
- Default : 12, 26, 9.
- Calibrated :
- Fast EMA = ¼ of cycle.
- Slow EMA = ½ of cycle.
- Signal Line = ⅙ of cycle.
- Example : Cycle = 20 → Fast = 5, Slow = 10, Signal = 3.
Why It Works : Matches the asset's natural momentum shifts.
3. Williams %R
- Default : 14 days.
- Calibrated : Same as RSI (half the cycle).
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How to Avoid Common Mistakes
Mistake 1 : Overfitting (Making It Too Perfect for the Past)
- Problem : If you calibrate too precisely to old data, it might fail in the future.
- Fix : Test on 2 types of data:
1. Training Data : First 70% of your chart (to calibrate).
2. Testing Data : Last 30% (to check if it still works).
Mistake 2 : Ignoring Market Changes
- Problem : What works today might not work next month.
- Fix : Recheck your settings every 3 months or after big news (e.g., Fed rate hikes).
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Free Tools to Help (No Coding Needed)
1. TradingView's "Auto-Detect Cycle" Scripts
Search for indicators like "Cycle", "RSI Adaptive" or " Rainbow Adaptive RSI " in TradingView's public library. These automatically calculate cycle lengths (Not tested).
2. Adaptive MACD/RSI Indicators
Try pre-built adaptive indicators like:
- Adaptive MACD : Adjusts itself based on volatility.
- Dynamic Pivot : Uses pivots to set stop-loss and take-profit levels.
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Building a Simple Pivot Calibration System
Basic ZigZag Calibrator Method :
1. Add ZigZag to your chart.
2. Manually count the bars between 5 recent swings.
3. Calculate the average → Divide by 2 → Use that number for your RSI/MACD.
Example :
- Swings: 12, 14, 16, 10, 8 bars → Average = 12.
- Calibrated RSI = 6 days.
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Why This Works (Without the Math)
Markets move in waves. By matching your indicator's speed to the wave length, you "surf" the trend instead of fighting it. Research shows adaptive methods like this beat default settings.
The Science Behind It
When you calibrate to an instrument's natural rhythm:
- Oscillators (RSI, %R) catch extremes at the right time
- Trend indicators (MACD) signal changes faster
- Volatility bands (Bollinger Bands) expand and contract appropriately
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A Step Further: Multi-Timeframe Calibration
For even better results, calibrate across timeframes:
1. Calculate cycles on daily charts for swing trading
2. Calculate cycles on 4-hour charts for day trading
3. Use both calibrated indicators together for confirmation
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Final Tips for Beginners
1. Start Small : Calibrate one indicator (like RSI) first.
2. Use Free Tools : TradingView has thousands of free scripts to automate calculations.
3. Keep Records : Document what settings work for which assets.
4. Be Patient : Finding the right calibration takes time, but the results are worth it.
Calibration isn't about being perfect—it's about making your tools work better for specific markets . Happy trading!
$KRE CRASH COMING ... Not yet tho..we'll find out..Regional Banks seem to be heading on a slippery path identical to the most previous crash pattern back when they needed all the loan Bailouts. Now that all the loans have stopped, I'm sure some banks may be heading towards loan restructuring perhaps, maybe defaults, I'm not sure honestly. I just know that the chart never lies and I've been watching and waiting for a long while. I predicted the first crash back then and I currently have no doubts with the current chart ahead of me. As always, I will do my best to provide the best insight possible into these speculations. Currently we have the Daily breaking trend and the bar count getting close to the previous 141 bars. The only difference is that we bounce off the 100% retracement. If we continue to lose the 1.27, we'll be headed for the 1.61..... updates soon.
$KRE REGIONAL BANK Crash? Identical Setup to March 23'Identical Setup to 23' Regional Bank Crash. As always, not sure what the trigger will be, but I will do my best to keep everyone updated as usual. Target of $58 from $60s reached. I'll be expecting a bit more come June. Watch for the sideways movement and rally until then.
APPLE My Opinion! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for APPLE is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 218.33
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Point sHigh anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 229.62
My Stop Loss - 213.08
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
$BABA on its way to $120s into AprilI would honestly be surprised if it doesnt gap down this Monday before the open. The weekly imo, looks like a mess atm and could gap into $120s easy. If it doesn't, I would expect some consolidation for a fall into the First week of April. We're right at the golden pocket retrace at the .618, very common retracement level, if we look at Fibs with a bearish perspective and measure a retrace back to the lower golden pocket at 1.61 fib from highs, $112.30 would be my ultimate target if we can break $126. $126 opens the flood gates to our ultimate target at $112.
#MSFT - HTF Distribution - Waiting for key levels to be taken.Clear HTF distribution. There’s a potential pullback (if it occurs) into the 1W PHOB before a downward continuation.
Personally, I’d like to get involved between the HTF Demand zone and the 1M PHOB + 4W HOB, which, in my opinion, could serve as a potential reversal level, so keep an 👀 out
APPLE: Long Signal Explained
APPLE
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy APPLE
Entry - 218.33
Stop - 212.02
Take - 231.04
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Will AAPL temporarily go below 205 this week?My overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I have been wrong many times before so I will just take this thing in stages and see if it plays out. After this massive decline, we should be in for a great market rally of many decades. While the market has seen a brief rally, the primary question is when will the rally end? Friday turned in mix answers to that question. The next step in my opinion will be a decline, possibly sharp with a quick bottom in some sectors AHEAD of the reciprocal tariff deadline on April 2.
My wave 3 indicator tends to signal wave 3s and 3 of 3s with additional end of wave (overbought/sold) conditions. See my scripts for the specifics of the indicator. It currently signaled 3 of 3 based on the bottom in mid-March meaning another drop is likely soon.
While the other stocks I have studied mainly topped at all-time highs in mid to late February, AAPL topped at the end of 2024. The movement of AAPL may be a leading indicator of future market movement as the market appears to be trading as a micro wave structure inside of AAPL's more macro movement.
My market expectations are for their first semi-major wave 1s to end within the next few weeks. Each wave 1 will be followed by a multi week wave 2 up. AAPL may end its wave 3 structure (yellow 3) when the others finish their wave 1s. AAPL would then experience wave 4 up, when the other stocks and S&P 500 index experience their second wave.
This chart applies select movement extensions based on wave 1's movement on the left and then another based on wave 3's movement on the right. I keep the values between 0%-100% on the chart for wave 2s and 4s retracements of the preceding wave's movement for reference even though the retracement values would be inverted.
I will refer to the yellow waves a Minor waves and the green as Minute waves. The extension/retracement data on the left is based on Minor wave 1's movement and is applicable to Minor waves 2 and 3. It provides a rough location of levels for Minor wave 3 to end. The extension on the right attempts to determine Minute wave 5's end points based on Minute wave 3. An intersection of Minor wave 1 extension levels and Minute wave 3 extension levels are general targets for bottoms. One of these is between 203-204 for AAPL.
Lastly, I apply similar levels to determine Minor wave 3's length based on Minor wave 1's length of 45 bars (on the 3 hour chart). Minor wave 3 is currently longer than 45 bars. The vertical dashed bars provide similar locations with the next vertical bar occurring on the morning of Monday March 31. I am therefore watching to see if the next bottom for AAPL occurs at this time.
If this bottom truly comes into focus, I will then attempt to forecast Minor wave 4 for AAPL which could occur in late April.
Apple (AAPL): -50%. According to the planElliott Wave Analysis of Apple stock
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● NASDAQ:AAPL |🔎TF: 1W
Fig. 1
The long-term wave markup has not been adjusted for the past three years. Except that the orthodox tops and bottoms and targets for third waves are slightly refined.
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● NASDAQ:AAPL |🔎TF: 1W
Fig. 2
Earlier, at the end of 2023 , we have already suggested wave ((iv)) in 3 in the form of a running flat. As we can see, the attempt was unsuccessful, the formation of a sideways correction continues to this day. It can be a running flat or an expanded flat, the latter of which assumes a break of the 124.17 low.
Sharp reversal in US marketsAmid market volatility and uncertainty, US stock indices experienced a sharp decline last week. The Dow Jones Index (#DJI30) fell by 3.5%, the S&P 500 (#SP500) dropped by 4.1%, and the Nasdaq-100 (#NQ100) lost 5.5%.
Investors reacted nervously to new economic data, including rising inflation and expectations of interest rate hikes, leading to a sell-off in stocks and a decline in key indices. The drop was particularly significant in the technology and consumer sectors, where companies like Apple and Tesla lost around 6-7% of their value.
However, starting March 13, 2025, the indices began to recover: #DJI30 gained 2.3%, #SP500 rose by 2.5%, and #NQ100 increased by 3.1%.
The recent rebound in US stock indices has been driven by several factors that restored investor confidence. Let’s take a closer look at the main reasons:
• Improvement in unemployment data: Labor market statistics played a crucial role in the market recovery. The US unemployment rate fell to 3.4% in February 2025, marking a record low in recent decades. This indicates strong employment levels and economic resilience, boosting investor optimism and supporting stock market growth.
• Stabilization of inflation and interest rate expectations: Although inflation in the US remains high, recent data showed a slowdown in its growth. Reduced inflationary pressure gave investors hope that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might slow down the pace of interest rate hikes. This was perceived as a sign of potential economic stabilization, positively impacting stock indices.
• Growth in consumer spending: One of the key drivers of the recent market recovery has been the increase in consumer spending. In Q1 2025, consumer demand in the US showed strong performance, serving as an essential indicator of economic activity. Increased spending on goods and services supports business stability and enhances corporate revenues, which, in turn, stimulates stock growth.
• Absence of new geopolitical risks: In recent weeks, there have been no major geopolitical crises or new threats on the international stage. This helped financial markets stabilize, as investors could focus on economic data and corporate earnings reports, contributing to stock index growth.
• Positive corporate earnings reports:
• #Microsoft (MSFT): Microsoft shares rose by 4.2% after reporting strong quarterly results, driven by growth in cloud services and software revenue.
• #Google (GOOGL): Alphabet’s stock increased by 3.7% due to higher advertising revenue and improved forecasts for upcoming quarters.
• #Apple (AAPL): Apple shares climbed 2.9%, supported by strong sales of new products and rising revenue from services.
• #Tesla (TSLA): Tesla stock surged 5.6%, fueled by strong electric vehicle sales growth and optimistic profit projections for the next quarter.
These companies demonstrated significant growth on the back of improved financial performance, strengthening investor confidence and aiding the stock market’s recovery amid volatility.
So despite last week’s market downturn, the current situation in the US stock market signals a potential recovery and a more positive trend in the coming weeks.
10D Chart shows Falling 3 , Pullback to 3/18!! $SPYAMEX:SPY shows 10D trend very clear. It is my hidden gem. We, by my charting, Should pullback until 3/18 ... not sure how far but I have plenty of targets on the way down to my ultimate target at 5200... I think we could flush to $560.. Good Luck yall. Gems I tell ya... sorry I'm so bad at explaining things..