Get started

AAPL

2024 Investment OutlookIntroduction The current economic landscape is marked by higher interest rates and increased volatility, a departure from the stability observed in the decade following the global financial crisis. Unlike before, central banks face challenges in stabilizing economies due to production constraints and tougher trade-offs in addressing inflation versus supporting growth. The evolving economic environment is shaped by structural factors such as shrinking workforces, geopolitical fragmentation, and the low-carbon transition. The prevailing uncertainty has led to a disconnect between cyclical narratives and structural realities, contributing to market volatility. Despite apparent U.S. economic growth, it reflects a recovery from the pandemic shock rather than robust expansion. The key implication is persistently higher interest rates and tighter financial conditions, prompting a need for a more active portfolio approach. In this new regime, macro insights are expected to be valuable, with greater volatility and return dispersion creating opportunities for investment expertise. Context is everything In 2023, hopes for a soft landing in the U.S. economy have been fueled by robust growth in the third quarter, a significant decline in core inflation, and the creation of nearly 7 million jobs since January 2022. However, taking a broader perspective reveals that the economy is still recovering from the pandemic, with job gains largely recouping those lost during the initial impact. Despite strong job growth, overall economic activity has been below pre-pandemic expectations, averaging less than 1.8% annual growth since the pandemic. The key insight is that a structural change has occurred, leading to a weaker growth path accompanied by higher inflation, increased interest rates, and elevated debt levels. The advice for investors is to focus on how the economy and markets are adjusting to this new regime rather than relying on a typical cyclical playbook, as the traditional approach may be misguided. Managing Macro Risk Investors are advised to neutralize macro exposures or, with high conviction, deliberately choose exposures. Analyst estimates for S&P 500 equity earnings show increased dispersion, emphasizing the potential rewards for macro insight. Despite the adjustment to structurally higher inflation and policy rates, markets vary in their response. The uneven adjustment is highlighted by factors such as surging U.S. 10-year yields compared to relatively unchanged DM equity earnings yields. This adjustment is considered more critical than the possibility of a technical recession, warranting caution on broad exposures. The long-term risk of higher inflation increases if borrowing costs remain elevated, potentially surpassing spending on Medicare in the future. A rise in term premium and expectations of increased yield volatility led to a tactical neutral stance and a strategic underweight position in long-term U.S. Treasuries. The preferred strategic overweight is in inflation-linked bonds. Harnessing mega forces The concept of mega forces offers a strategic approach to steering portfolios, focusing on building blocks that go beyond traditional asset classes. These forces, seen as independent drivers of corporate profits, provide potential opportunities that may be uncorrelated with macro cycles. Mega forces, such as digital disruption and artificial intelligence (AI), are already reshaping markets, as demonstrated by the outperformance of U.S. tech compared to the broader market. The winners and losers in the mega forces landscape can influence tactical views, impacting stances on developed market equities even in less favorable macroeconomic conditions. Embracing mega forces is presented as a means for investors to outperform static allocations, leveraging the far-reaching consequences that create new investment opportunities. Examples include private credit filling the lending void due to capital pressures on banks, demographic shifts shaping production and growth limitations, and the emergence of climate resilience as an investment theme within the low-carbon transition. AI intelligence revolution Advances in computing hardware and deep learning have marked an inflection point for Artificial Intelligence (AI) since late 2022, with expectations of exponential progress in innovation. While tracking AI investment opportunities across geographies and sectors involves high uncertainty, a technology "stack" approach is suggested to assess these opportunities. The stack includes cloud infrastructure and chips as the foundational layer, followed by models, data, and data infrastructure, and finally, applications that harness innovation. The tech industry, particularly led by major tech firms, is seen pivoting toward AI, indicating the potential for an intelligence revolution. The current position is perceived to be between the first and second layers of the technology stack, with the last layer anticipated to follow. This shift has implications beyond near-term productivity gains. Early research suggests a positive correlation between increased AI patents and broad earnings growth, indicating rising economic value attributed to these patents. Despite uncertainties surrounding the future value of AI patents and their translation into profitable enterprises, there is an overweight recommendation on the AI theme in developed market stocks for the next six to twelve months. The tech sector's earnings resilience is expected to persist, serving as a significant driver of overall U.S. corporate profit growth in 2024. Investing in climate resilience The emphasis of this chapter is on helping investors navigate the risks and opportunities associated with the energy transition. Beyond renewables, traditional energy companies can also outperform, especially during supply-demand mismatches. While the energy transition often dominates headlines, a related and crucial investment theme is climate resilience. This involves preparing for, adapting to, and withstanding climate hazards, as well as rebuilding after climate damage. Climate resilience encompasses various solutions like early monitoring systems, air conditioning to address heatwaves, and retrofitting buildings for better weather resistance. Given the anticipated increase in climate damages, significant investment is required to enhance society's resilience. The economic impact of climate damages is growing rapidly, and there is a rising demand for products and services that contribute to climate resilience. This theme is identified as potentially becoming a mainstream investment theme over time. The three sub-themes within climate resilience—assessing and quantifying risks, managing risk, and rebuilding physical infrastructure—create a framework to identify opportunities across sectors (such as industrials and technology) and asset classes. Deepening fragmentation Cascading crises have accelerated global fragmentation and the emergence of competing geopolitical and economic blocs. Countries like Vietnam, Mexico, the Gulf states, India, and Brazil are seen as potential beneficiaries of supply chain diversification, establishing ties with multiple blocs, and possessing valuable resources. In this more competitive global landscape, a surge of investment in strategic sectors such as technology, energy, defense, and infrastructure is expected. Opportunities also exist in firms specializing in managing and reducing cybersecurity risks. Increased geopolitical risks stemming from conflicts in the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine tensions, and structural competition between the U.S. and China are acknowledged. The current global situation is characterized by the highest number of volatile situations in decades, according to the UN. The year 2024 is anticipated to be the biggest election year in history, with the U.S. and Taiwan elections deemed particularly significant. Navigating this new world order requires holistic portfolio strategies that aim to both seize opportunities and mitigate risks, rather than focusing solely on avoiding risks or positioning for specific events. Conclusion Our core conviction is that investors need to be more dynamic with portfolios in the new regime. The outlook for 2024 suggests that investors should take a proactive stance, avoiding autopilot investing. The advice is to be intentional in managing portfolio risk, with an expectation of deploying more risk over the next year.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by financialflagship
APPLE My Opinion! BUY! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for APPLE is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 192.49 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 195.12 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by AnabelSignals
1
AAPL: The Ultimate Bearish Shark Scenario Pointing Towards $33There is already an Active Bearish Shark Trade going on with AAPl that is targeting $152.24, which would be a 0.618 retrace of the local range, but there are much bigger bearish patterns and signals in the long term that could be hinting at an elevated probability of AAPL completely undoing the uptrend it's been in since 2018 and returning to those 2018 lows at $32.99. Apple has been trading within an Ascending Broadening Wedge since 2018 and has recently topped out at the PCZ of a Bearish Shark it formed at the highs with PPO Confirmation and MACD Bearish Divergence. The target of this local top would take it to $152-$124, but if we zoom out to the bigger picture, we can see that if it hits the macro Demand Line from here, it will confirm the Partial Rise of this Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern and the measured move of this pattern would take it back to the pattern's inception, which is around $35. In addition to that, a break of this channel would also align with a break of a potential Harmonic B point, which would put us in a Shark BAMM and the PCZ of that Shark would land anywhere between the 0.886 retrace and 1.13 extension. Due to this confluence, I find it very likely that if we break below the wedge, we will then see the price of Apple take a Harmonic dive to the $35 area.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by RizeSenpai
1
APPLE Buyers In Panic! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for APPLE is below: The market is trading on 195.71 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 188.70 Recommended Stop Loss - 199.42 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by AnabelSignals
1
APPLE My Opinion! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the APPLE next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 197.11 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 190.66 My Stop Loss - 201.03 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Beating SP500 with SP500: Outperformed The Index Its Own WeaponsHi, all. Hope you're doing well. Looks like a good time to share a summary of a post I made almost a few years ago about SP500 stocks, 23.02.2022. Back then, I relied solely on technical analysis. Fast forward two years and the majority of my picks have proven to be quite accurate, showcasing the effectiveness of technical analysis in investing. While the SP500 gained around 10%, my selected stocks outperformed with an impressive 35% gain. Out of the 75 stocks I handpicked, 51 are currently in profit, 12 are in the red, and the rest didn't reach enough close to the zone or haven't made a breakout yet. So 63 has triggered and it will give a winning percentage of more than 80%. I'm okay with that. These results show the importance of technical analysis in making informed investment decisions. It's a clear example of how understanding market trends and patterns can lead to substantial gains, even when ignoring company fundamentals. These results challenge the notion that picking individual stocks is fairly difficult to beat market averages. Instead, it demonstrates that with the right skills and a strategic approach to technical analysis, it's not only possible but achievable. I'm excited about these outcomes and look forward to further refining my strategies in the ever-evolving world of finance. Results are calculated by purchasing with an equal amount of money from every area that I drew and holding these until today (started to make this post quite a few days ago so it can add a bit of variation). If the price falls through the box and comes back afterward then I always calculate from the middle of the box that purchase price. If I had done it at the best possible price then these results would have been significantly better. I did it the optimal way, you will see yourself... 1. AAPL - a load-it-up type of thing has worked out nicely. Used previously worked resistance levels. If the stocks performing well and the market cap is big then these levels can help you to get on board. Current profit 42% Before: After: 2. ADBE - came down quite roughly but it found support and back above fairly quickly. Current profi 67%. Before: After: 3. AMD - round nr., strong resistance level becomes support and the climb can continue. Current profit 80% Before: After: 4. AMZN - split. Came down from high prices to the marked levels and those who were patient enough got rewarded nicely. Current profit 34% Before: After: 5. ANET - retest of the round nr. worked perfectly, as a momentum price level, after the strong breakout. Current profit 143% Before: After: 6. APTV: Came down quite sharply and it will take some time to start growing from here, if at all. Current loss -2% Before: After: 7. AXP - firstly the round nr. 200 worked as a strong resistance level. Another example is to avoid buying if the stock price approaches bigger round numbers the first time. Came to a previous resistance level and rejection from there… Current profit 34% Before: After: 8. BIO - in general I like the price action, kind of smoothly to the optimal zone. It might take some time to start growing from here but also fundamentals need to look over. Current loss 13% Before: After: 9. BLK - kind of flawless. Worked perfectly. Current profit 48% Before: After: 10. BLL - a perfect example of why you should wait for a breakout to get a confirmed move. No trade. Before: After: 11) Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) - Buy the dip. Again, as Apple, a big and well-known company - all you need to do is to determine the round numbers and small previous resistances that act as support levels. Current avg. profit from two purchases 28% Before: After: 12) Cardinal Health (CAH) - the retest isn't as deep as wanted but still a confirmed breakout and rally afterward. Before: After: 13) Ceridian HCM Holding (CDAY) - found support from the shown area but not much momentum. Current profit 33% Before: After: 14) Charter Communications (CHTR) - technically speaking it is a quite good price action but kind of slow momentum from the shown area. So, it can take some time if the fundamentals are ok. Current loss -14% Before: After: 15) Comcast Corp. (CMCSA) - got liquidity from new lows, pumped up quickly, and is currently fairly solid. Current profit 16% Before: After: 16) Cummins (CMI) - close one, got rejected a few points before my shown area from the first role reversal (old resistance becomes support) Before: After: 17) Salesforce.com (CRM) - perfect. 50% drop, strong horizontal area, and mid-round nr did the work. Current profit 74% Before: After: 18) Cisco Systems (CSCO) - worked and slow grind upwards can continue. Current profit 18% Before: After: 19) Caesars Entertainment (CZR) - not in good shape imo. It has taken too much time and the majority of that is sideways movement. Current loss 4.8% Before: After: 20) Devon Energy (DVN) - inside the area and actually active atm. Still, now I’m seeing a bit deeper correction than shown. Before: After: 21) Electric Arts (EA) - waiting for a breakout. It will come and it will be strong afterwards! Before: After: 22) eBay (EBAY) - inside the area but yeah, looks like not much power there. Before: After: 23) Enphase Energy (ENPH) - got a breakout, got a retest, and did ~70% rally after that! If you still hold it, as I do statistics, then… Current loss -30% Before: After: 24) Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD) - kind of worked but didn't reach. No trade. Before: After: 25) Meta Platforms (META) - one of the best examples that you want to be in the markets and technical areas should give you the confidence to make your move! Run through the area but very quick and consistent comeback. Current profit 86% Before: After: 26) FedEx (FDX) - I love the outcome of this. Very solid price action and multiple criteria worked as they should. Perfect. Current profit 65% Before: After: 27) First Republic Bank (FRC) - firstly got a solid 30 to 35% gain from the shown area but...we cannot fight with the fundamentals. Current loss 99% Before: After: 28) General Motors (GM) - slow but has started to show something. Before: After: 29) Alphabet (GOOG) - load it up 3.0, a good and strong company, and use every previous historical resistance levels to jump in. Current avg. profit after three different price level purchases 32% Before: After: 30) Genuine Parts (GPC) - rallied quite strongly without a retest but now has started to approach my shown level. Before: After: 31) Goldman Sachs (GS) - really close one but still count it in. Current profit 33% Before: After: 32) Hormel Foods (HRL) - quite bad performance here. Two trades, two losses. The current loss combined these two together is 35% Before: After: 33) Intel (INTC) - one of my favorites again. Looks like the zone is in the middle of nowhere but the rejection came exactly from the box with good momentum in it. Current profit 64% Before: After: 34) Ingersoll Rand (IR) - sweeeet! Current profit 87% Before: After: 35) Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) - the trendline, 50% drop, strong horizontal area. Ready, set, go! Sweeet 2.0 ;) Current profit 62% Before: After: 36) Johnson Controls International (JCI) - the retest worked quite nicely but did not have enough momentum. So probably it moves sideways for a while. Current profit 14% Before: After: 37) Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) - Buy the dip and we had only one dip :) Before: After: 38) CarMax (KMX) - the area is strong but not enough momentum in it so I take it as a weakness. Before: After: 39) Kroger Company (KR) - breakout occurred, retest also but nothing more to say. Current loss -6% Before: After: 40) Lennar Corp. (LEN) - strong resistance level becomes strong support. Current profit 133% Before: After: 41) LKQ Corp. (LKQ) - haven’t reached yet but still, it should be solid. Before: After: 42) Southwest Airlines (LUV) - no breakout = no trade! Don’t cheat! Your money can be stuck forever but in the meantime, other stocks are flying as you also see in this post. If there is a solid resistance, wait for the breakout and possibly retest afterward! Before: After: 43) Las Vegas Sands (LVS) - channel inside a channel projection ;) TA its own goodness! Current profit 60% Before: After: 44) Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) - nice one! Current profit 67% Before: After: 45) Altria Group (MO) - got a decent break but lacked momentum after that and sideways movement can continue. Current loss -11% Before: After: 46) Moderna (MRNA) - still inside a quite wide zone but nothing too exciting from my point of view. Before: After: 47) Morgan Stanley (MS) - the first stop has worked, and got some movements. Current profit 27% Before: After: 48) Microsoft (MSFT) - Load it up 4.0, buy the dip has worked again with well-known stock. Three purchases and avg. return from these are amazing 54% Before: After: 49) Match Group (MTCH) - if I look at it now then I don’t really like this chart at the beginning but it is what it is and we accept the loss. Current loss -57% Before: After: 50) Netflix (NFLX) - almost the same as Meta. Came quite sharply but the recovery has been also quick. Another proof that you want to be on the market if these rallies occur. Current profit 62% Before: After: 51) NRG Energy (NRG) - wait for the retest Before: After: 52) NVIDIA (NVDA) let this speaks for itself! Current profit 200% Before: After: 53) NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) - usually the sweet spot stays in the middle of the box, and also as I look over these ideas quite a few have started to climb from the first half of the box. Current profit 72% Before: After: 54) Pfizer (PFE) - yeah, got rejected after it came to retest the area the first time to around 30% but after that - slow death. Current loss -29% Before: After: 55) PerkinElmer - “after” is EUR chart but you get the point. Before: After: 56) Pentair (PNR) - worked correctly, 50% drop combined with the horizontal area, easily recognizable, and the result is quite okay. Current profit 65% Before: After: 57) Public Storage (PSA) - slowly has fallen to the zone and first impressions are on the chart already. Current profit 20% Before: After: 58) PayPal (PYPL) - the area just lowers the speed of dropping :) Current loss -29% Before: After: 59) Qorvo (QRVO) - it can be a “late riser”, let’s see. Current profit 24% Before: After: 60) Rockwell Automation (ROK) - sweet, worked again like a charm. Current profit 52% Before: After: 61) Rollins (ROL) - after posting it didn’t come to retest the shown area. Being late for a couple of weeks. Worked but cannot count it in, the only thing I can count is that my bias was correct ;) Before: After: 62) Snap-On Incorporated (SNA) - same story! Before: After: 63) Seagate Technology (STX) - firstly it came there! Look how far it was, the technical levels are like magnets, the price needs to find some liquidity for further growth and these areas can offer it. I like this, and the climbing can continue. Current profit 42% Before: After: 64) Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) - one of the textbook examples of how trendline, 50 drop, round nr. and strong horizontal price zone should match. A bit slow but oohhh boy I want this will play out. I have talked about this idea in several presentations and it is kind of a perfect example of how these criteria can determine the strongest zone on the chart! Before: After: 65) TE Connectivity (TEL) - came down, and got a rejection. “Simple” as that. Current profit 34% Before: After: 66) Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) - mister Ranging Market. Nothing but last month got a bit of volume from the liquidity zone and let’s see what it can do. Before: After: 67) Trimble (TRMB) - currently up but the price action signs that it can stay ranging for some time. Current profit 19% Before: After: 68) Tesla (TSLA) - made a split. Have been successfully recommended many times after that here and there but two years ago was these price levels and.. The current profit after two purchases is 16% Before: After: 69) Train Technologies (TT) - dipped the box and off it goes! Current profit 91% Before: After: 70) Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) - I like this analysis a lot. Worked as a clockwork. Current profit 60% Before: After: 71) United Rentals (URI) - scam :) have some closest calls counted in and here is another one. Current profit 128% Before: After: 72) Waters Corp. (WAT) - came to the box as it should be slow and steady. As the plane came to the runway. Current profit 33% Before: After: 73) Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) - another escaped winner. Didn’t come down to retest my retest area so, missed it. Before: After: 74) Xylem (XYL) - nice to see that the majority of these areas are working very nicely! Current profit 49% Before: After: 75) Autodesk (ADSK) - slowly, slowly but worked and climbing from the shown area. Current profit 42% Before: After:https://www.tradingview.com/x/qRJaz6rI/ As we summarise this journey through the past two years of market analysis and stock picking, it's clear that the power of technical analysis has been a guiding force in achieving remarkable results. As said, these chartings are made solely based on technical analysis but if you add here a bit of fundamentals then these results can be much better. Probably would have avoided some losses. If possible, always use both analyses. Let this post prove to you that technical analysis works in most cases and helps you find good entry points. These areas act like magnets. Sooner or later the price will still reach these levels. I like this saying a lot and I will end my post with it: fundamental analysis tells you what to buy, technical analysis tells you when to buy! Hopefully, you liked this post, learned something from it and if it isn't too much to ask then which one was your favorite? Take care & happy trading, Vaido
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by VaidoVeek
2
What’s now, $AAPL ? [ Short-term Analysis]AAPL is currently facing a significant challenge: the 0.382 Fibonacci level in wave C, the resistance zone at the old peak, a Mean line of the W1 Channel, all converging at the current moment. On the bullish side , one of the most encouraging signs is that the B-wave correction is not deep. This is an indication of strong upward momentum. Additionally, the momentum across M, W, D timeframes is in harmony—a reassuring signal. We cannot assert that @Apple is incapable of breaking through the confluence of resistance. What about the bearish scenario? NASDAQ:AAPL is not responding well to this resistance confluence. Not well at all. The weekly candle couldn't close above the old peak, volume at the peak is increasing significantly, and there are signs of distribution here. This is a delicate situation! If forced to speculate, I would choose to SELL; however, I would prefer to stay put at this time. Whether Bull or Bear prevails for NASDAQ:AAPL , there is always a retest to give us an opportunity. Let's wait for it to happen! WHAT A WISE TRADER DOES? If you're holding a Buy position : Move the stop loss to a safe point to preserve profits. If you're holding a Sell position : Set the stop loss carefully. If you haven't done anything yet? Well, just continue not doing anything!
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by AnalystLyn
APPLE Technical top at $210.Apple (AAPL) hit on Friday our $195.00 short-term target which we called on our latest November 12 analysis (see chart below): The rally seems far from over as the recent pull-back turned out to be only a Bull Flag pattern, which typically prompts to a continuation of the trend. Being within a long-term Rising Wedge pattern, this pull-back resembles, even on 1D RSI terms, that of March 02, only on weaker strength (reasonably as the sequences get narrower towards the end of the pattern). That first rally of the Wedged peaked just above the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. The current sequence's 1.382 Fib is at $210.00, which falls perfectly at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Rising Wedge, and that is our medium-term target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by TradingShot
MSFT headed previous swing highs?NASDAQ:MSFT pullback and consolidation seems to be over and breaking out to the upside. Targeting towards the previous swing highs around $385 area and possibly to a new all-time high after that? IF prices manage to breakthrough the previous swing highs. I'd say possibility is high. These are my views and analysis and is only used for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor. Nothing in the information posted here is intended to be or should be interpreted as trading advice.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by Richkierich
Know Sure Thing: Navigating Trends and Volatility EffectivelyIn the realm of technical analysis, the Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator stands out as a robust tool for traders seeking to decipher market trends and manage volatility effectively. This momentum-based oscillator amalgamates multiple moving averages to offer a comprehensive perspective on market momentum across various timeframes. Introduction to the Know Sure Thing (KST) Indicator The Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator is designed to unveil the market's underlying momentum, encompassing both short and long-term trends. The KST is a dynamic momentum oscillator rooted in the Rate of Change (ROC) principle. It amalgamates four distinct ROC timeframes, smoothing them via Simple Moving Averages. Consequently, the KST generates a fluctuating final value, oscillating above and below a Zero Line. Additionally, it incorporates a signal line, derived from an SMA of the KST line itself. The moving average methodology of KST empowers traders with a tool capable of identifying both bullish and bearish trends, providing an encompassing view of market momentum shifts. Fundamentally, this indicator gauges momentum using the ROC across four price periods, aiding analysts in detecting divergences, overbought or oversold market conditions, and crossovers. Understanding Trends with KST The KST indicator is predominantly used to discern the strength and direction of market trends. When the KST line crosses above its signal line, it signifies a bullish trend shift, indicating a potential upward price movement. Conversely, when the KST line dips below the signal line, it suggests a bearish trend shift, signaling a potential downward price movement. Similar to the MACD, when a crossover happens and the KST line crosses over the zero the overall signal can be considered to have a greater degree of confirmation. Moreover, traders rely on crossovers and divergences within the KST indicator for confirming trend reversals or continuations. Bullish and bearish divergences between KST and price action can provide valuable insights into potential market movements, offering opportunities for traders to enter or exit positions. Managing Volatility Using KST Beyond trend identification, KST also assists in measuring market volatility. It enables traders to gauge the degree of volatility present in the market at any given time. Sharp spikes or fluctuations in KST readings often coincide with periods of increased market volatility. This information is crucial for traders as it aids in adapting their strategies to accommodate varying market conditions, thereby managing risk more effectively. Practical Applications of KST A practical application of KST involves combining its signals with other technical indicators, such as Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) or Relative Strength Index (RSI), to strengthen trade setups. For instance, if KST indicates a bullish crossover and MACD confirms the same, it enhances the confidence of a potential uptrend. Additionally, traders use KST to identify bullish or bearish signals in conjunction with chart patterns. A bullish KST crossover alongside a bullish chart pattern like a "falling wedge" could reinforce the conviction for a long position. Tips for Effective Utilization: Effective utilization of the KST indicator requires a clear understanding of its strengths and limitations. Traders should consider experimenting with different settings and timeframes to find the optimal configuration that aligns with their trading strategies. Always implement some form of backtesting or paper trading to confirm that your strategy is in fact profitable. The strengths of the KST indicator lies in its ability to offer a more complete view of market momentum. However, like any technical indicator, KST has limitations. During choppy or ranging markets, it might generate false or contradictory signals, leading to potentially misguided trading decisions. Traders should exercise caution and supplement KST readings with additional forms of analysis to mitigate the impact of its limitations. It's paramount not to rely solely on a single indicator like the KST, but to corroborate KST signals with signals from other indicators or methods of analysis. A fortified approach involving multiple confirmatory signals, fundamental analysis, and risk management strategies strengthens trading decisions and minimizes potential false signals from any single indicator. Conclusion: The journey to mastering the Know Sure Thing (KST) indicator involves continuous learning, experimentation with settings, and adapting to evolving market conditions. By staying adaptable, open to new strategies, and consistently refining trading methodologies, traders can harness the full potential of the KST to navigate trends and volatility effectively. In summary, the KST serves as a valuable addition to traders' toolkits, empowering them to make better trading decisions. Remember, while the KST enhances market analysis, prudent risk management and a comprehensive trading approach remain pivotal for sustained success in the dynamic world of financial markets. Good luck and happy trading!
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by LeafAlgo
APPLE My Opinion! SELL! My dear friends, My technical analysis for APPLE is below: The market is trading on 191.24 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 187.18 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by AnabelSignals
1
Nvidia Tesla Microsoft Google Apple Amazon Meta AnalysisNvidia Tesla Microsoft Google Apple Amazon Meta Analysis | Support & Resistance Guide 00:00 QQQ Forecast 05:46 Sp500 ETF analysis 08:03 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis 09:23 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis 11:12 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis 13:03 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis 14:00 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis 15:49 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis 17:32 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by ArcadiaTrading
🍂Fall – Fell – Fallen. S&P500 Technical Perspectives over Q3'23The US government is well on its way to going into lockdown and shutting down the economy as policymakers are deadlocked over the national budget for the next fiscal year. While leading stock market strategists are not yet terribly concerned about such perspectives, and entertain hopes that investors have a high probability of "getting away with it" with strong performance, in reality the facts tell a different story. S&P500 SP:SPX is suffering losses, and has already lost about half of its annual growth since the beginning of 2023, and the Nasdaq-100 index NASDAQ:NDX reduced 2023 growth approximately by 30 percent. To avoid a shutdown, Congress needs to pass all 12 spending bills for the next fiscal year by Sept. 30, something it has historically done rather poorly. This could create problems for the market, which could immediately, that is, on the same day, be seriously affected by a US Government shutdown, considering SPX seasonality where September is one of the worst calendar month for investments into S&P500. S&P500 Seasonality Chart Meanwhile historical back test analysis says, in the past 20 government shutdowns, the S&P 500 stayed relatively flat, with the benchmark index losing an average 0.4% the week before a shutdown and gaining .1% by the end of a shutdown, according to a Reuters analysis of CFRA Research data. And in some cases, stocks actually ended the shutdown period higher, with the market gaining a net 10% following the 2018-19 shutdown, according to Renaissance Macro. Shutdowns lasting five days or more have also been known to see a quick market rebound, according to a 2021 Dow Jones analysis. On average, the S&P 500 had already moved into positive territory within one month of the shutdown. Shutdowns themselves are also relatively short. The last government shutdown, which was the longest-ever, lasted for 35 days. Anyway everything could happened. To stay away, or look beyond the market's twists and turns in the weeks before, during, and immediately following a potential shutdown - this is could be very, very individual investment decision. Technical pictures illustrates that weekly SMA(52) - 12 months simple moving average near 4150/4200 pp in SP:SPX or Dec'23 Futures CME_MINI:ESZ2023 (depends what are you looking for) could be quite strong support in any cases.
CME_MINI:ESZ2023
by PandorraResearch
3