Apple (AAPL) Breaking Higher Suggesting Further UpsideShort term view in Apple (AAPL) suggests the rally from 3.2.2023 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from 3.2.2023 low, wave 1 ended at 166.84 and dips in wave 2 ended at 159.78. The stock extends higher again in wave 3 towards 184.95 and pullback in wave 4 ended at 182.6. The stock has turne dhigher in wave 5. Up from wave 4, wave (i) ended at 185.2 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 183.07. Stock resumes higher in wave (iii) towards 187.24, and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 185.01. Final leg wave (v) ended at 187.56 which completed wave ((i)).
Pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 185 with internal subdivision as a flat structure. Down from wave ((i)), wave (a) ended at 186 and rally in wave (b) ended at 188.05. Wave (c) lower ended at 185 which completed wave ((ii)). The stock resumes higher in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 186.15 and dips in wave (ii) ended at 185.27. The stock resumes higher in wave (iii) towards 189.9 and pullback in wave (iv) ended at 188.29. Near term, as far as pivot at 182.6 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for further upside.
AAPL
APPLE ATH Fueled by Quintet PowerhousesHow did APPLE make a new ATH?
In the fiscal year of 2022, Apple Inc. amassed a staggering revenue close to $400 billion. The tech behemoth’s financial forecast predicts an even more dazzling $450 billion by 2023. What’s at the nucleus of this financial prowess? Here’s a dissection of the five products and services that are the linchpins in Apple's revenue generation.
1. iPhone: The Standard-Bearer
Since its inception in 2007, the iPhone has been the lodestar in Apple's stellar performance, consistently accounting for over half of the company’s revenue. There was a lull in the iPhone's sales during 2015-2020, but the fiscal years of 2021 and 2022 witnessed a robust resurgence. Could it be the worldwide lockdowns that reignited consumers' affinity for this beloved gadget? One wonders.
Moreover, Apple's unceasing innovation has been a catalyst in this resurgence. The company has been adept at understanding and adapting to market trends, releasing newer models with advanced features such as enhanced camera capabilities, cutting-edge processors, and improved battery life. The introduction of 5G technology in the iPhone 12 and subsequent models further bolstered its appeal. With the ever-evolving landscape of consumer preferences, Apple's commitment to innovation ensures that the iPhone continues to hold its enviable position in the market.
2. Services: A Diverse Armamentarium
Apple's services segment is a multi-pronged affair. The App Store and Apple Music are the twin pillars, but AppleCare, Apple Pay, Apple TV+, Apple Card, and iCloud storage are significant contributors as well. It's been an upward trajectory for this segment since 2013, with no signs of abating.
Additionally, the expansion of Apple's services is emblematic of the company's strategic diversification. As the digital landscape evolves, Apple has astutely tapped into the growing demand for integrated services. Its focus on user privacy and seamless integration across devices has been a strong value proposition. For instance, Apple TV+ enters a competitive streaming market but with original content and collaborations with high-profile creators. Apple’s services segment not only supplements its revenue but also enhances customer retention and creates a more entrenched ecosystem, encouraging users to invest more within the Apple universe.
3. Mac: The Unwavering Pillar
The allure of personal computers has attenuated globally, and Mac's revenue plateaued between 2011 and 2020. However, the Mac remains integral to Apple’s ecosystem, not least because of its role in keeping users within Apple's interconnected iOS operating system.
In recent times, Apple has sought to reinvigorate the Mac lineup through innovation and integration. The introduction of Apple's own M1 chip, as opposed to relying on Intel's processors, marked a significant turning point. The M1 chip has been lauded for its performance and energy efficiency, giving the Mac a competitive edge. Furthermore, the seamless integration between the Mac and other Apple devices through features like Handoff, Universal Clipboard, and Sidecar has reinforced the appeal of owning a Mac as part of the larger Apple ecosystem. This ongoing revitalization suggests that Apple is far from considering the Mac as a legacy product, and is instead positioning it for a renewed period of relevance and growth.
4. iPad: Upon their debut, iPads were an instant sensation, raking in an impressive $19 billion in the first year. There was a zenith in 2014, after which sales experienced a decline. Currently, iPad sales hover in the range of $20-30 billion, cementing their place in Apple’s revenue mix.
5. Wearables & Accessories:
The Rising Contenders Under this category, one finds an array of products including Beats headphones, AirPods, and the Apple Watch. This segment has been climbing the ladder of success since 2015. Notably, AirPods are estimated to constitute a quarter of the revenue in this category.
Apple's foray into the wearables and accessories market is indicative of its visionary approach to emerging consumer trends. The health and fitness boom, for instance, has been adeptly capitalized on through the Apple Watch, which offers features like heart rate monitoring, exercise tracking, and ECG. AirPods, on the other hand, have become something of a cultural phenomenon, merging high-quality audio with sleek design. These products are not just revenue generators; they are an extension of Apple's ecosystem, promoting brand loyalty and customer engagement. By continuously innovating and expanding in this sector, Apple ensures it remains not just a heavyweight in consumer electronics but a trendsetter in lifestyle technologies.
Conclusion: Apple's ascent to become the first company to reach $1 trillion and subsequently $2 trillion in market capitalization is hardly fortuitous. The aforementioned quintet of products and services is the bedrock of its supremacy. With consumers' unabated ardor for Apple’s innovations and the brand loyalty it commands, NASDAQ:AAPL remains a formidable player in the stock market. Is Apple part of your investment portfolio?
NVDA TSLA AAPL AMZN GOOGL MSFT | QQQ Sp500 Trend Analysis Guide- QQQ inside bar need to break yesterdays highs
- SPY hourly trend will be our guide to see if daily Lower high will be set
- NVDA stock inside bar resistance 420
- TSLA bulls likely want to re-test H&S neckline resistance
- AAPL rising wedge Resistance
- AMZN inside bar
- GOOGL still in daily downtrend
- MSFT also daily downtrend
𝗡𝗮𝘀𝗱𝗮𝗾 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: $QQQ Daily. Red flag 🚩 for bearsHolding mid-bolli after an ugly candle yesterday. Red flag 🚩 for bears ATM. Another push higher for a final wave to put divergence in before a real pullback? What do you think?
$NQ_F NASDAQ:NDX NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:SOX $ES_F AMEX:SPY SP:SPX TVC:DXY NASDAQ:TLT TVC:TNX TVC:VIX #Stocks
6 Big Tech Stocks | $QQQ Weekly consolidation Price Trend Guide- QQQ & Sp500 weekly time frame consolidation, low of consolidation likely not set yet, need hourly trend changes back to the bulls first
- TSLA stock confirmed bear break H&S pattern
- NVDA stock broke 420 support and flushed 400 psychological support break than its 394
- AAPL EMA 12 daily and 2D still full bull control
- AMZN bull break to 52 week high lack follow through
- GOOGL continuation of daily downtrend
- MSFT joined team bear with GOOGL confirming its first daily downtrend.
APPLE Still a buy inside the 4 month Channel Up.Apple isn't giving us any reasons to stop buying it as it maintains the Channel Up since the March 2nd bottom.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current Rising Support spot and when it hits the MA50 (1d) again.
Targets:
1. 194.00 (+13.93% as the previous Rising Support rise) on both entries.
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is trading inside a Rectangle while the price trades inside the Channel Up. It has two clear levels for 'soft' and 'hard' Buy, which can further aid your buying.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Price Level Trend Guide TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN GOOGL MSFT|Sp500 QQQ- TSLA stock forming daily H&S pattern
- NVDA stock 420 support needs to hold for bulls, bear would likely break this level if we even get a slight red day on QQQ
- AAPL 2D EMA 12 still full bull control although its starting to feel slowly at this ATH range
- AMZN nice bull break Thursday looking like its consolidating sideways
- GOOGL back into its chop zone after breaking both sides with no follow through
- QQQ daily EMA 12 support inside bar today forming EQ that will break monday
- SPY 4h H&S confirmed bear break.
AAPL - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]🔹Positive signal from inverse head and shoulders formation through 157 breakout.
🔹Next resistance 193 and support 175.
🔹RSI above 70 indicates strong short-term positive momentum.
🔹Technically positive for medium-term long-term.
Chart Pattern;
🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢
🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴
🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵
🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢
Verify it first and believe later.
WavePoint ❤️
TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN GOOGL MSFT | QQQ SPY Weekly Analysis- TSLA stock forming daily H&S pattern
- NVDA stock 420 support needs to hold for bulls, bear would likely break this level if we even get a slight red day on QQQ
- AAPL 2D EMA 12 still full bull control although its starting to feel slowly at this ATH range
- AMZN nice bull break Thursday looking like its consolidating sideways
- GOOGL back into its chop zone after breaking both sides with no follow through
- QQQ daily EMA 12 support inside bar today forming EQ that will break monday
- SPY 4h H&S confirmed bear break.
Stock market is going to crash as this candlestick pattern callsThere is a Bearish Harami reversal pattern in the making on the S&P 500 ETF weekly time frame. It looks perfect as a textbook sample.
Stop is above last week's top at $445
Target is just above the opening of the second candle of preceding growth at $392
NVDA TSLA AAPL AMZN GOOGL MSFT | QQQ SPY Price Level Analysis- QQQ healthy pull back last 3 days and bounced hourly uptrend will be the guide
- SPY same with QQQ hourly uptrend is the guide
- NVDA relative weaker compare to QQQ
- TSLA potential 4h head and shoulder
- AAPL ATH closed still the strongest tech , 2D EMA 12 full bull control
- AMZN bull break out of its consolidation
- GOOGL bounce back into its side ways range
- MSFT potential bear flag still need to bounce more
Cost-Benefit Analysis of Looking outside the Scope of TrendA Cost-Benefit Analysis of Looking outside the Scope of Trend:
To Peek or Not to Peek
“The trend is your friend until the end when it bends.” - Ed Seykota
Trend analysis lies at the core of technical analysis. Modern technical analysis derived from Dow Theory. In turn, Dow Theory emphasized the nature and importance of trends and their constituent parts and degrees. Many may recall Dow’s analogy of different trend degrees: the tide (primary trend), waves (secondary trend), and ripples on the waves (minor / short-term trend).
Technical analysis includes many other concepts within its scope. But within technical analysis broadly, the primary focus remains the trend structure. Before considering trends, it may help to discuss the distinction broadly between technical analysis and fundamental analysis.
A. Technical Analysis versus Fundamental Analysis
Top traders and market experts have taken each side in the debate over whether technical or fundamental analysis has the greatest efficacy. Some have straddled the line, preferring a combination of the two.
Some consider technical analysis to be not only superior but also relatively straightforward and efficient compared to other types of analysis, such as fundamental analysis or positioning analysis.FN1 Positioning analysis is beyond the scope of this post and is briefly explained in the first footnote.
Jim Rogers, a famous investor who managed a reportedly very successful fund with George Soros in the 1970s, and who had had many accurate forecasts, expressed strong disdain for technical analysis—he once told Jack Schwager, “I haven’t met a rich technician.” But some of the greatest traders and market experts stand on the other side of this debate. For example, Ed Seykota is a trader of great renown included in Schwager’s 1993 Market Wizards: Interviews with Top Traders. Seykota chose the technical-analysis camp, giving the most weight to trends, chart patterns and good entries and exits. He once described markets in a way that evokes Charles Dow’s wave analogy:
If you want to know everything about the market, go to the beach. Push and pull your hands with the waves. Some are bigger waves, some are smaller. But if you try to push the wave out when its coming in, it’ll never happen. The market is always right.
A former portfolio manager for Fidelity Management who founded several other research and investment firms, David Lundgren, described how he came to follow the principles of technical analysis even though he still expressed great value for fundamental analysis. From an interview included in a 2021 Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities magazine, Lundgren shared some of his experiences and insights on this topic. In his view, fundamentals can matter significantly over the long term especially as to stocks.
But Lundgren’s most outstanding remarks in this interview distinguished between these two conceptual approaches to financial markets. He aptly characterized fundamental analysis as being based on the view that the “market is wrong.” In other words, the valuations drawn from a publicly traded company’s financial statements (e.g., P/E ratio, enterprise value, book value) assume the market is “overestimating or underestimating value” and that the price should be above / below the current market price.
By contrast, he said technical analysis assumes the contrary view that the market is actually right in its current price and price trend. The critical distinction between technical analysis and fundamental analysis boils down to ego, according to Lundgren, because pure technical analysis “accepts the verdict of the market” whereas pure fundamental analysis “involves hundreds of hours developing an opinion of what is attractive and often with the verdict of the market.”
Much ink has and will be spilled on whether price discounts everything, and if so, how fast and efficiently (Charles Dow Theory). In any case, fundamental, technical and positioning modes of analysis are not mutually exclusive.
B. Whether to Consider Data outside the Confines of Trend
Since last year’s October 2022 lows in the S&P 500 (SPX) and other major US indices, the current equity market uptrend has been challenging and bewildering to many investors, traders and analysts. It has been especially difficult to comprehend for those who are keenly aware of the broader financial and macroeconomic environment, which includes purportedly tight monetary policy and quantitative tightening (reducing Treasury securities off the Fed’s balance sheet) as well as stubborn core inflation. Such an environment broadly speaking remains unfavorable to equities for the most part.FN2
But trends do not always move in the most sensible direction, and they do not always align consistently with the macroeconomic evidence. Sentiment or even positioning, discussed briefly in the first footnote, can affect the trend even when it may run counter to the macroeconomic evidence.
And trends can stretch into an overbought or oversold condition longer than anyone expects, a principle captured by the old aphorism, attributed to John Maynard Keynes, that “markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” Exhaustion doesn’t require a 180-degree turn but often appears more like a process, especially at market tops given the long-only nature of most equity capital.
Pure trend followers, who supposedly consider only the technical trend-based evidence, may not care whether the trend makes sense. Indeed, they place their stops and align their trades / investments in accordance with one of many trend-based strategies. And this narrowed focus may be very helpful and exceedingly profitable at times. A recent example is the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), or even some large or mega-cap tech names like AAPL, MSFT, META, and NVDA. These indices and securities could have rewarded narrowly focused trend-followers quite well on daily and weekly time frames over the past eight months, especially if discipline was used to enter positions at major uptrend supports with stops moved to breakeven or higher along the way. Such trend traders and investors may be busily counting their profits rather than being distracted with inverted yield curves and FOMC policy statements.
The question becomes whether one may look outside the trend (or technical analysis generally). This issue likely generates pages of academic argument and hours of financial media debates between experts. And it may be something for all traders to ponder for a bit.
Given how much of an influence positioning has developed on equity markets over time, as well as central-bank quantitative tightening or quantitative easing, it seems important to consider data from such sources. Such data may also include trend information that affects trends in everything else. For example, trends in the price of commodities may tell us about inflation and likelihood of tighter monetary policy / interest rate hikes by a central bank. And trends in the money supply may strengthen or weaken the case for a current trend in equities.
C. Cost-Benefit Analysis of Looking beyond the Trend
In this author’s view, it is not necessarily foolish or improper to sneak a peek or a long thoughtful gaze, outside a rigid trend-based framework. As with everything in life and trading, costs and benefits must be weighed.
The biggest drawback to going outside the confines of trend is the tendency of many traders to try to consider far too much. Our brains are only capable of processing so much at a given time. Focusing on too much data can cause dilute confidence, weaken resolve, and obfuscate trends. In addition, by the time a trader considers a macroeconomic data point, computerized systems likely have informed all the largest institutional players, or even algorithmic or high-frequency traders, who acted on it before you even had a chance to review its implications. And the market’s reaction to non-technical data points is not always intuitive.
But if one can manage understanding additional data outside the trend/price framework, one might find benefit in learning and following data on yield curves, bond-market dynamics, Fed Funds rates, macroeconomic data, inflationary measures, and volatility gauges can inform one’s outlook in useful ways. The key here is to avoid repeatedly (and blindly) fighting the trend in price—even if one fights that trend with some of the most rational, reasonable and persuasive arguments based on overwhelming macroeconomic, volatility, sentiment, positioning, or other such evidence as to why price should be going the opposite way. In short, this is the important general rule for trend-based systems—make the trend your friend until the end when it bends.FN3
D. Practical Application and Hypotheticals
Just because one should make friends with the trend does not warrant chasing extended trends (see FN3), unless the trader or investor has developed particular expertise in momentum trading, and even then, caution is greatly warranted. Every trend has its proper entries for the time frame involved. Uptrends necessarily require countertrend retracements to support whether defined as an anchored VWAP, key moving average, Fibonacci retracement, upward trendline, or standard-deviation based measures such as linear regression or Bollinger Bands. Technically, this is not peeking outside the trend, but rather it merely considers evidence of trend exhaustion and the likelihood of mean reversion.
Further, a trend-based framework should in fact include considering higher time frame trends such as a monthly chart where each price bar represents one month of price data. One of this author’s collaborators, @SPY_Master, has performed some excellent trend-based analysis on timeframes as high as monthly, quarterly (even yearly bars at times).
It is quite common, moreover, for higher-degree trends to move in the opposite direction as lower-degree trends, such as during a monthly or quarterly uptrend experiencing a corrective retracement to trend support that lasts for days or weeks. Or the hourly trend can move against the daily / weekly trend, frequently does so whenever a countertrend retracement to trend support occurs. Can one technically “fight the trend” merely by preferring a higher degree time-frame trend when it conflicts with a shorter one? The answer depends on one’s time frame, risk tolerance, position size, and rationale.
In addition, trends involving a particular stock, index, or other security can be evaluated based on their relative strength, i.e., as a ratio of the subject stock, index or security to another stock, index, security or data series. The S&P 500 can be compared to the Nasdaq 100 or 10-year Treasures. Or BITSTAMP:ETHUSD can be charted as a ratio to another cryptocurrency. This author would argue that such metrics can provide useful trend-based insights even though they incorporate data that is technically beyond the scope of trend. Below are a couple such relative-strength charts that arguably fall within trend-analysis despite relying on data that would normally be considered outside of a price trend's scope:
Example 1 shows this author's relative strength chart of NASDAQ:AAPL to OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold). This is a very long-term chart showing the outperformance trend in AAPL over two decades to the precious medal and commodity Gold.
Example 2 shows @SPY_Master's relative-strength chart of NASDAQ:NVDA , the AI-tech stock into which everyone's distant relatives are now inquiring after its meteoric rise from 2022 bear-market depths. The chart is a relative-strength chart of the ratio of NVDA to the 10-Year Treasury note, which aptly shows how overvalued NVDA is relative to a risk-free asset. It appears far too extended above the risk-free asset in terms of standard deviation on a linear regression-based model shown here. (Note that yields and bonds move inversely, so where an asset outperforms a risk-free bond, it means that the asset is extended given the level of yields produced by that bond.)
Credit: SPY_Master (used with permission)
To conclude, consider the following hypothetical scenarios as a thought experiment. Assume a stock has a monthly or quarterly chart that is extended multiple deviations above the mean (or multiple deviations as a ratio of its price to the money supply). NVDA presents a good case study for these concepts.
Scenario A: A person entered the position at $290 and took profits on this stock at $405, preferring to exercise caution and avoid this stock as a long-term investment.
Scenario B: A hedge fund with a 150-page report of deep research on NVDA and the macroeconomic backdrop has a 10-year time horizon and begins scaling into a short position to anticipate a mean reversion at the higher degrees of trend (monthly, quarterly time frames). The hedge fund will add one quarter at $450, another quarter position at $500, and the final two quarters between $500 and $600 if reached.
Should either scenario be deemed fighting the trend? Is either scenario ill-advised use of capital? Any answers are welcome in the comments provided respectful towards others.
FN1 This footnote helps explain some basics of fundamental and positioning analysis. Beyond this brief explanation, this article will defer to other educational experts for a more thorough explanation of these three modes of financial analysis.
Fundamental analysis for equity indices like SP:SPX or NASDAQ:NDX considers macroeconomic data and metrics that focus on an economy’s growth (e.g., GDP), price-stability / inflation (CPI, PCE, PPI), consumption, real estate, money supply, central-bank rate policies, central-bank QE or QT, trade deficits, and more. Fundamental analysis as to individual stocks involves the use of financial data such as revenue, earnings per share, cost of goods sold, capital expenditures, and other data available from a public company’s certified financial statements, as well as financial ratios relying on such data, e.g., earnings per share (EPS), price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios, price-to-sales ratios (P/S) and liquidity ratios (current ratio). In the US and other major economies, securities rules mandate that companies file full disclosure of their financial health, certified by CEOs and CFOs, in annual reports (10-K and quarterly reports (10-Q) on an ongoing basis.
Positioning analysis looks at a complex array of data that covers institutional market positioning and order flows for stocks, options, indices, commodities and futures. It also looks at increasingly important dealer hedging flows (volume and open interest) in options markets and the effect of implied volatility and time on such flows. It can include such insights as net positioning on each side of a given futures market or index by hedgers and speculators. This is an area where expert commentary is helpful to learn even the basics.
FN2 Yet the central-bank and US Treasury actions behind the scenes may have masked, or even partially or wholly offset, tight Fed interest rate and monetary policy at times during the first half of 2023. For example, many financial publications and analysts discussed the US Treasury’s accounting maneuvers intended to prolong its borrowing authority in light of the debt-ceiling standoff. Commentary also noted that such maneuvering, draining the TGA account (the US Treasury’s “checking account” held at the Federal Reserve), injected money / liquidity into the financial system, which likely muted Fed’s efforts to tighten policy in the short-term while those actions were ongoing.
FN3 But as is often the case with a general rule, the exceptions can dilute the rule somewhat. One prominent exception is mean-reversion analysis / trading systems. In addition, some traders and institutions are trend-reversal traders—a high risk, high reward type approach that requires immaculate risk management, timing, precision and patience, often scaling into and out of massive positions that cannot be acquired or unloaded in a period of days.
Part 2 Big 6 Tech stocks | QQQ Sp500 Detail Price Trend Analysis- QQQ and SPY shaping up that 4h head and shoulders pattern
- NVDA bear break of that rising wedge
- TSLA looking like a blow off top now
- AAPL strongest tech stock chart still looks perfect intact 2D EMA 12 full bull control
- AMZN still chopping within its zone starting to weaken
- GOOGL formed its first daily downtrend
- MSFT starting to weaken too
Part 1 Big 6 Tech stocks | QQQ Sp500 Detail Price Trend Analysis- QQQ and SPY shaping up that 4h head and shoulders pattern
- NVDA bear break of that rising wedge
- TSLA looking like a blow off top now
- AAPL strongest tech stock chart still looks perfect intact 2D EMA 12 full bull control
- AMZN still chopping within its zone starting to weaken
- GOOGL formed its first daily downtrend
- MSFT starting to weaken too
Is AAPL About To Risk-off?So basically, I have been eying Apple for a while... and I noticed today that the pattern sinjce the market top in late 2021 appears to resemble an EXPANDING DIAGONAL which is a somewhat uncommon elliot wave chart pattern.
The rally from the lows in early 2023 also is clearly a zig-zag up into the resistance zone at the all-time-high.
There also appears to be pretty strong RSI divergence down from the 2019 and 2020 highs.
So, if I am right, we have a 30% correction in NASDAQ:AAPL (and possibly stocks writ-large) about to arrive.
I am currently positioned to be market-neutral (with both longs and shorts in my portfolio), because I actually think directionality is unclear.
However, this does tie-in with what's happening on NFLX and certain other stocks.
So I think this could be the risk-off moment that people have been waiting for.
I am going to attempt to scale into a short here, and place my stop loss slightly above the all time highs.
I expect a 30% correction in the market. So this isn't a huge collapse (yet...) so don't get over-ambitious and manage your risk.
Healthy Pull Back or More Downside? QQQ SPY Big 6 Tech Analysis- QQQ & SPY potential bearish pattern H&S forming
- Still a very healthy consolidation pull back at the moment
- TSLA 4 hour time frame 12 EMA full bull control guide
- NVDA rising wedge pattern is my guide
- GOOGL daily downtrend potentially shaping up
- AMZN similar to GOOGL cant get out of its chop box zones rejected resistance again today
- MSFT starting to pull back enough that if next bounce is shallow might start to shape up more downside
- AAPL strongest of them still very shallow pullbacks and healthy at the moment, 12 EMA 2 day time frame absolute full bull control
#TradingViewPAY HOW TO EARN 💲💲 BY BECOME THE BEST AUTHOR ON TVGet rewarded for your ideas and scripts!
A month earlier, on the 20th of May, Tradingview introduced its new Rewards Program .
Sharing is powerful, right!? The TradingView community thrives on fantastic members who share their knowledge, experience, successes and sometimes even their failures. Interaction, open discussion and self-expression are the keys to understanding.
In the spirit of sharing, the TradingView team, believing it is fair that outstanding contributions are rewarded, has decided to thank their dedicated contributors. The TradingView Wizards program was recently launched to bring out the real wizards.
Inspired by this, TradingView has also launched a new pilot program that rewards authors whose ideas and scripts appear in the Editors' Choice section.
In the event that your idea or scenario becomes an Editors' Choice, your work will not only be featured to the entire TradingView community, but you will also receive a cool $100! If several of your publications are selected during the month, you will be charged for each. Learn more about the program and its terms and conditions in this Help Center article .
This pilot program is just the first step towards content monetization. TradingView promises to keep adding new ways to motivate great creators to enrich the community.
At the first stage, authors are rewarded for those ideas and scenarios that have become "Editor's Choice" in the international part of the TradingView community (only in English).
TradingView promises to tweak the features of the program and aspects of the program are subject to change as improvements are made to benefit our community!
I must confess on my own behalf that the TradingView Editors Team has A REALLY VERY GOOD TASTE. For all the time I spent on the TradingView website (that is almost eight years), I have become the author of more than 300 publications, and the best of them have rightfully become to an "Editors' Choice" column.
And so, just literally two months earlier, in April 2023, two of my publications became "Editor's Choice" again, in the international part of the TradingView community (in English).
The first one is 😀 SVB Crisis Is Over?! What S&P500 and VIX Are Talking About was dedicated to the US S&P500 index SP:SPX , while the market began to show the first signs that the Silicon Valley banking crisis was over. More details can be found on the publication page .
In the second publication - Occidental Petroleum Corp.: Bullish Bias. Continuation I've considered with technical aspects and opportunities of Value Investment Assets. Incl. NYSE:OXY - one of the legendary 92-year-old American investor Warren Buffett favorites, Occidental Petroleum corp.
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While expressing many words of gratitude to the TradingView team, I must admit that the EP selection of mentioned above publications in April to the "Editor's Choice" was a pleasant surprise for me. As well as the launch of the #TradingViewPAY motivational Program a month later, the effect of which is extended to all the ideas and scenarios that have become "Editor's Choice" starting from the second quarter of 2023!
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Ninja Talks EP 18: The FOMO ParadoxThe FOMO Paradox: Fearlessly Embrace the Joy of Missing Out
In the vast realm of trading, where fortunes are made and lost, one peculiar phenomenon reigns supreme: FOMO, the Fear of Missing Out. It is a force that tempts even the most seasoned traders, whispering in their ears with alluring promises of quick gains and overnight success. But in this whimsical journey through the tradingverse, we shall embark on an intellectual escapade to unravel the paradoxical nature of FOMO, armed with humor, wisdom, and the power of restraint.
1. The FOMO Symphony: An Ode to Irrationality
Imagine, dear reader, a symphony hall filled with traders, each playing their instruments of irrationality. The violins of impulsive buying, the trumpets of chasing trends, and the drums of unchecked greed. Amidst this cacophony, the conductor whispers, "Fear not the fear of missing out, for it is but a deceptive melody, luring you into a dance of folly."
2. The 'Emo' of FOMO: Trading with Feelings
Ah, the emotional rollercoaster of FOMO, where rationality takes a backseat and the heart commands the trades. It's like being on a blind date with the market, where you're desperate for a connection, but all you end up with is a hefty loss and a broken heart. Remember, dear trader, emotions make for terrible trading partners. As Warren Buffett wisely said, "The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient."
3. FOMO and the Illusion of Predictability
In the enchanted land of trading, FOMO whispers sweet tales of predictable trends, promising riches to those who dare not miss out. But as the legendary trader Jesse Livermore declared, "The market is designed to fool most of the people most of the time." So, when FOMO comes knocking at your door, be ready to greet it with skepticism and a firm understanding that market movements are as predictable as a cat chasing its own tail.
4. The Wisdom of the Watchful Owl
Picture yourself as an owl perched high atop the trading tree, observing the market with unwavering focus. You know that succumbing to FOMO means flying blindly into the night, destined to collide with unforeseen risks. Instead, let patience be your wings, and knowledge be your guiding light. Remember the ancient proverb, "A wise trader is one who embraces the joy of missing out, for it is the gateway to disciplined decision-making."
5. The 'FauxMO' Rebellion: Making Fear Funny
Let us unleash our inner court jesters and laugh in the face of FOMO! Embrace the power of satire and humor to disarm the seductive allure of quick profits. Create your own FauxMO index, where the most overhyped assets are mockingly celebrated. Treat it as a reminder that while FOMO may be real, it's better to join the circus of laughter than the parade of losses.
As we bid adieu to the whimsical tradingverse, let us etch these words into our trading strategy: "Fearlessly embrace the joy of missing out, for it is in patience and restraint that true market mastery resides." Remember, dear trader, the market rewards those who approach it with intellect, discipline, and a hearty dose of humor. So, resist the siren call of FOMO and embark on your trading journey with confidence and a twinkle in your eye. Happy trading, and may the FOMO be with you... or rather, may it be far, far away!
Why Apple Stock Deserves a Prominent Place in Your PortfolioApple occupies a significant position in Berkshire Hathaway's investment portfolio, with an astounding value of $165 billion, making up 48% of the allocation as of March 31. Warren Buffett, the highly regarded investor known as the Oracle of Omaha, has expressed his belief that Apple stands apart from Berkshire Hathaway's other businesses. This positive sentiment aligns with Buffett's typical investment criteria, as Apple possesses many of the qualities he looks for in a company.
Drawing inspiration from one of the greatest minds in the stock market, investors can greatly enhance their portfolios. Here are three compelling reasons why considering an investment in Apple stock is worthwhile, despite its 39% increase in value this year.
While the iPhone continues to be a major contributor to Apple's revenue in the fiscal 2023 second quarter, accounting for 54% of it, the company has been actively expanding its services line in recent years. This segment has displayed impressive growth, with revenue reaching $13.3 billion in Q2 2020 and surging to $20.9 billion in the most recent fiscal quarter. Notably, the services segment is growing at a faster rate compared to Apple's products segment.
This shift towards services brings significant financial benefits for Apple. Services enjoy an impressive gross margin of 71%, surpassing the 37% gross margin associated with products. As services contribute a larger share of the company's revenue, they are poised to positively impact Apple's overall profitability.
Beyond the financial advantage, Apple's services segment plays a crucial role in fostering stronger customer loyalty. The renowned Apple ecosystem, which seamlessly integrates the company's hardware and software offerings, enhances the overall user experience. With over 2 billion active Apple devices worldwide, owners of these products have fewer reasons to switch to competing platforms. Apple's services, such as Music, Pay, and TV+, contribute to this loyalty by providing additional value and keeping users engaged within the Apple ecosystem.
Warren Buffett has often emphasized the significance of pricing power as an indicator of an exceptional company. According to him, a truly outstanding business can consistently raise prices with minimal impact on demand, without the need for extensive deliberation. Apple, holding a significant position in Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio, demonstrates an impressive ability to command pricing power, making it an attractive investment.
Apple's flagship product, the iPhone, has seen price increases since its initial launch in 2007. Remarkably, consumers continue to willingly pay higher prices for the latest versions without hesitation. This exemplifies the strong demand and brand loyalty associated with Apple's products.
Furthermore, even Apple's services have experienced price hikes, further reinforcing the company's pricing power. Through a combination of beautifully designed hardware products and its own user-friendly software ecosystem, Apple has established a differentiated offering, allowing it to maintain and strengthen its pricing power.
The ability of Apple to consistently raise prices across its product and service lines without significant repercussions on consumer demand is a testament to the company's enduring appeal and exceptional business model. It is one of the key reasons why Berkshire Hathaway maintains a sizable stake in Apple.
In a period characterized by heightened economic uncertainty, where concerns over inflation, rising interest rates, and the possibility of a recession loom large, it becomes prudent for investors to prioritize financially stable companies. Apple is a prime example of such a company.
Over the years, Apple has demonstrated impressive financial strength and stability. The company's gross margin has expanded from 38.5% in fiscal 2017 to 43.3% in fiscal 2022, while its operating margin has risen from 26.8% to 30.3% over the same period. This growth in profitability is a remarkable trait, showcasing Apple's ability to become more profitable as it continues to grow. This success can be attributed not only to its pricing power but also to the benefits of economies of scale. Apple has optimized expenses and leveraged fixed costs more effectively, which is particularly noteworthy in the consumer hardware industry where financial challenges are common. Yet, Apple has emerged as a thriving outlier.
Additionally, Apple generates substantial amounts of free cash flow, reaching an impressive $111 billion in fiscal 2022. The company is proactive in returning capital to shareholders, as evidenced by its stock repurchases amounting to $39 billion in the past six months. Moreover, Apple offers a dividend that currently yields 0.5%, further enhancing its appeal for income-oriented investors.
Considering these compelling factors, the arguments in favor of owning Apple stock are exceptionally strong. The company's solid financial performance and stability suggest that it has the potential to be a reliable and enduring presence in investment portfolios for years to come. By following the lead of successful investors like Warren Buffett and recognizing the enduring appeal of Apple's products, services, pricing power, and financial stability, investors can make informed decisions that can enhance their portfolios in the long run.
Detail Price Level Trend Guide | NVDA TSLA AAPL AMZN GOOGL MSFT- NVDA short term 15m time frame bull break lacking follow through then weaker compare to QQQ into end of day on Friday
- TSLA still relative stronger than QQQ gap filled 4h 12 EMA still full bull control guide
- AAPL zero red flags trading around ATH, 2 day time frame 12 EMA full bull control guide
- AMZN weaker of the big tech closed right at support into end of day potentially may break below it on Tuesday
- GOOGL weakest of the big tech, may form a daily downtrend if we break prior pivot 121 level
- MSFT similar to AAPL trading in ATH range, no red flags yet need to confirm hourly downtrend for bears, for bulls still in full control.