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AAPL Signals Short Term DropOf the 71 times AAPL triggers a sell on my RSI indicator (the magenta arrow at the bottom of the chart), the stock drops 97.143% of the time in the following 25 trading days. During 37% of the successful drops, the stock moves upward for 1-4 more days after the signal occurs in what I call the delay period. What qualifies as a successful drop? The sell signal was triggered based on the closing price of AAPL stock on July 10, 2024 at 232.98. This means 97% of the time the stock will move below this closing price in the near-term. 2.85% of the time, the stock does not drop below this price over the following 25 trading days. The stock has always dropped below the signal closing price by at least 0.266% over the next 100 trading days. On the chart above, the red boxes at the top are the delay zones of interest. The larger red box contains 100% of all delayed movement. The smaller box contains the stock's top or peak of the delay for 50% of the occasions. The same holds true for the two large green target boxes on the bottom. The final downward movement bottoms in the smaller green box 50% of the time, while the much larger green box contains bottoms or valleys for all downward movement. This delay period of potential continued upward movement has historically had a maximum 3% gain before the stock eventually dropped. Regarding the bottom of the drop. Over the next 25 bars, it can occur on any day in the range with the median bottom occurring by day 8. 75% of the bottoms have occurred before day 18. The stock drops a minim of 0.266%, and median of 5.021%. 25% of the bottoms are no lower than 2.152%, while 75% of the drops are 8.3% or less. The four shallowest drops over the next 25 days have been 0.266% (September 2010), 0.312% (February 2017), 0.827% (March 2019), and, 0.868% (August 2020) while the four deepest drops have been 63.23% (August 2000), 26.58% (December 1999), 26.51% (January 2006), and 24.80% (September 1999). The most recent double-digit percentage drop was 15% in April 2019. All shallow drops occurred in the most recent strong bull market, while the largest drops were part of the dot-com bubble burst. While this current potential drop will likely avoid the sharper end of sell-offs, it is always interesting to see the strength and accuracy of signals. Historical movement is not indicative of future movement, but it is good to have as a data point.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by StockSignaler
TSMC: Chipmaker Prepares for WarRising tensions between China and Taiwan pose a significant challenge to the global technology supply chain. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), a world leader in chip manufacturing, is at the forefront of these concerns. In response to the potential for a Chinese invasion, TSMC has developed contingency plans, including the ability to remotely disable its advanced chipmaking equipment. This "kill switch" strategy is intended to prevent China from acquiring TSMC's cutting-edge semiconductor technology. Such an event could have a crippling effect on the global tech industry, with companies like Apple potentially facing significant disruptions. The article delves into the geopolitical factors driving these tensions, the ramifications of a potential invasion of the global tech supply chain, and the ongoing efforts to bolster domestic chipmaking capabilities in Western countries. These efforts aim to reduce dependence on a single source and mitigate the risks associated with geopolitical instability. While the exact timeline for a potential invasion and the effectiveness of TSMC's contingency plans remain uncertain, this situation highlights the critical need for strategic planning and technological self-sufficiency in an increasingly complex geopolitical landscape.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by signalmastermind
AAPL:A Bearish Reversal Looms with Potential Downside of -9.22%?Hi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of NASDAQ:AAPL ! On the Daily timeframe, we've spotted a significant double-top pattern , suggesting a potential bearish reversal if the neckline is breached. Also, the price has fallen below the EMA200 line, indicating ongoing selling pressure. Despite two attempts, it hasn't managed to break above the EMA200 line, indicating strong resistance. This resistance could lead to a potential downturn in Apple's stock. Recently, there was a breakout below the neckline, confirming the bearish trend. Furthermore, MACD is showing bearish divergence in the negative zone, supporting the idea of a downward movement towards our target at 149.55." It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/resistance area is reached. Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on AAPL." Please support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by financialfreedomgoals101
5
Apple Struggles in China as Huawei Stages Smartphone ComebackThe Chinese smartphone market, a crucial battleground for tech giants, is witnessing a significant shift. According to research firm Counterpoint, Apple has experienced a concerning 19.1% decline in iPhone sales during the first quarter of 2024. This slump comes in stark contrast to the impressive 69.7% surge in smartphone sales enjoyed by China's own Huawei over the same period. This news paints a worrying picture for Apple's dominance in the world's largest smartphone market. The reasons behind the decline are multifaceted. Some analysts point towards a slowdown in overall smartphone sales in China. However, Huawei's impressive growth suggests a deeper issue specific to Apple. One potential factor is the recent launch of Huawei's Mate 60 smartphone. This flagship device boasts a powerful, next-generation 5G chip, potentially enticing consumers looking for cutting-edge technology. Apple's latest iPhone offerings might not have possessed the same level of innovation in the eyes of Chinese consumers. Another possibility lies in the ongoing geopolitical tensions between the United States and China. Nationalistic sentiment could be driving Chinese consumers towards domestic brands like Huawei, especially considering the ongoing US sanctions against the company. This could be further amplified by any negative media coverage surrounding Apple. Furthermore, Apple's premium pricing strategy might be hindering sales in a market increasingly focused on affordability. While the iPhone is known for its quality and brand recognition, competitors like Huawei are offering compelling features at a more competitive price point. This could be particularly appealing to budget-conscious consumers. The decline also raises questions about the effectiveness of Apple's marketing strategy in China. Perhaps the company hasn't effectively communicated the value proposition of its latest iPhones to the Chinese market. Cultural nuances and a deeper understanding of consumer preferences might be crucial in reigniting sales. Looking ahead, Apple will need to take decisive action to address this challenge. Here are some potential strategies the company could consider: • Product Innovation: Introducing features that resonate with Chinese consumers, potentially focusing on advancements in areas like camera technology or integration with popular Chinese social media platforms. • Localization: Tailoring marketing campaigns and product offerings to cater to the specific tastes and preferences of the Chinese market. This could involve collaborating with local influencers or offering unique features specific to China. • Competitive Pricing: Re-evaluating its pricing strategy in China. While maintaining its brand image, exploring options to make iPhones more accessible to a wider range of consumers. • Partnerships: Potentially forging strategic partnerships with Chinese firms to improve brand image and distribution channels. The Chinese smartphone market is fiercely competitive, and Apple's recent decline serves as a wake-up call. While the company still boasts a loyal customer base globally, it needs to adapt and innovate to maintain its position in China. Addressing the issues discussed above could help Apple regain its footing and ensure its long-term success in this crucial market. This situation also highlights the rise of Chinese tech giants like Huawei. With a strong focus on innovation and a deep understanding of their domestic market, these companies are increasingly challenging established players like Apple. The global smartphone landscape is likely to see a fascinating battle unfold in the coming years, with Chinese firms potentially shaping the future of the industry.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by bryandowningqln
🍏💼 AAPL: Will the Price Stand Firm at $165.67?Traders, brace yourselves for a rollercoaster ride with Apple! 🍏💼 🔍 Critical Crossroads: As Apple navigates the treacherous waters of the market, all eyes are on the crucial level at $165.67. With the downtrend in full swing, will this support hold firm? The stage is set for a showdown! 💡 Bargains Ahead: While the trend may be pointing downwards, don't rush into buying those discounted Apple shares just yet. With the potential for even more iPhones flooding the market, patience may be the key to unlocking greater rewards! 📉 Navigating the Downtrend: In a market filled with uncertainty, how will you chart your course with Apple? Share your strategies for weathering the storm and seizing opportunities amidst the turbulence! 🚀 Riding the Waves: Whether you're a seasoned trader or a newcomer to the game, join the discussion and share your insights on Apple's journey through the market's ups and downs! 🎁 Unlock the Rewards: Remember, the most insightful comment could lead to lucrative rewards! So dive into the discussion, share your thoughts, and position yourself for success in the world of Apple trading! 🏆🍎
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by RICHI_CRYPTO_SIGNAL
2
APPLE $AAPL - Mar. 9th, 2024APPLE NASDAQ:AAPL - Mar. 9th, 2024 BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $174.25 - $187.15 DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $168.15 - $174.25 SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $155.65 - $168.15 (or extended from previous post, $175.40 - $181.50) Weekly: Bearish Daily: Bearish 4H: Bearish NASDAQ:AAPL price completely smashed through the bearish zone. Here are the updated zones I would be looking at when entering trades. Extended hours are displayed on the 4h to show how price moved towards the bottom and throughout the bearish zone, price went strongly through the bottom level and with no reversal insight shorts should have continued, at least partially. As a trend trader I am open to going in either direction, however; I would not consider going long until at the very least there is a close above the $174.25 level, but even then the weekly timeframe will not have enough time to label it as bullish. I labeled the start of the bearish trend and some quick thoughts as I glanced at the charts, previous post will be linked with this one. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by TonyAiello
Important Update on US Government Lawsuit Against AppleThe recent US government lawsuit against Apple has sent shockwaves through the stock market, causing many traders to reevaluate their investments in the tech giant. The lawsuit alleges that Apple has engaged in anti-competitive behavior by restricting competition in the App Store, potentially harming consumers and developers alike. As traders, it is important to proceed with caution in light of this lawsuit. The outcome of this legal battle could have significant implications for Apple's future profitability and market value. Until there is more clarity on the situation, it may be wise to hold off on investing further into Apple. It is crucial for traders to carefully monitor the developments of this lawsuit and consider the potential risks involved in holding Apple stock. By staying informed and making informed decisions, we can protect our investments and navigate this uncertain time in the market. In conclusion, I urge all traders to exercise caution and refrain from investing in Apple until more information is available regarding the US government lawsuit. Stay informed, stay vigilant, and protect your investments.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by bryandowningqln
AAPL Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaRecent rallies in AAPL have stalled, with the 1D chart indicating a possible bearish shift. Key observations: - Market Structure Break: A clear break of market structure to the downside, including a lower low followed by a lower high, signals a potential downward trend. - Fibonacci Retracement: Price action has retraced to the crucial 61.8% - 78.6% Fibonacci zone. This area often acts as a strong support or resistance level. - Trading Strategy: Consider short entry points within the Fibonacci optimal entry zone throughout February and March. This offers a short-term opportunity with a stop-loss placed above the previous high. Target the previous downswing low as a potential profit-taking point. Additional Considerations: Macroeconomic Factors: Stay informed about broader market conditions and news that could impact AAPL's price. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and risk assessment before trading.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by fxtraderanthony
🍎Apple🍎 is Ready to Fall at least ➖5%🍎 Apple is moving in the 🟡 PRZ (Price Reversal Zone) 🟡. 💡If we look at the last 4-5 Apple candles in the daily time frame , we can see some Bearish Reversal Candlestick Patterns at the same time: Evening Star Candlestick Patten, Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern, Bearish Harami Candlestick Pattern. 💡Also, another sign of the end of this upward rally can be shown to us by the Stoch RSI indicator .👇 🔔I expect Apple to have a bearish trend in the coming days and at least fall to the 🟢 Support zone($182.95_$181.30) 🟢 and fill all the 🔵 Gaps 🔵. Apple ( AAPLUSD ) Analyze, Daily time frame⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by pejman_zwin
1
Apple starting to look toppish....time for a pull back?Just got a "Sell Alert" from my customer SSG Indicator on Apple. Last 2 times this happened we saw the price quickly pull back into the direction of the 100 days EMA. Looking actually to trade this by short-selling Calls with with a strike of 200 that expire in 1 month. However, due to Thanksgiving I expect that the volatility is not going to be very high on a friday, thus I will see later if I can get a decent premium for the risk.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by CryptoForMoney
AAPL's Overbought Indicators Hint at Possible CorrectionCurrently, Apple Inc. (AAPL) shares are presenting intriguing signals for discerning investors. Two key technical indicators, Stochastic RSI and MACD, provide indications that AAPL may have reached a point of overbought conditions. Stochastic RSI, serving as a measure of market saturation, highlights AAPL's overbought condition, suggesting that the price has likely reached a level prone to correction or decline. Furthermore, MACD shows negative divergence, indicating the potential weakening of the upward momentum in prices. It is essential to direct attention to the Support and Resistance level (SNR) around 182.34. This level not only boasts a strong history as a previous resistance level but may also play a significant role as a support level. However, it is crucial to bear in mind that trading always involves risk, and trading decisions should be based on comprehensive analysis and well-calculated risk assessments.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by fardycurry