#AAVE/USDT#AAVE
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 12-hour frame and is sticking to it well
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel and we are now touching this support at a price of 134
We have an upward trend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 152
First target 164
Second target 182
Third target 203
Aave
AAVE is going to reach 200$Now, as you can see, AAVE is in a cup and handle pattern on the weekly timeframe. This can be an incredibly strong signal for a price increase. If the breakout happens, AAVE's price could reach $243 in the new year, which is not far-fetched, just like the AB=CD pattern.
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard .💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
US Government Makes First AAVE Transaction in 8 Months—$5.4 MlnIn a significant turn of events, the U.S. government has executed its first AAVE transaction in eight months, pulling out $5.4 million in funds seized from the Bitfinex hacker. This move, as recorded by Arkham Intelligence, has spurred concerns across the crypto community, fueling speculation about a potential selloff and its implications for the DeFi space.
The U.S. Government and AAVE—An Unclear Move
The $5.45 million withdrawn was paid out in USDC, the stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar. The origin of the funds traces back to the notorious Bitfinex hack, one of the largest crypto heists in history. However, the exact strategy behind the transaction remains unclear, and this lack of transparency has added to market uncertainty.
A possible explanation is that the U.S. government had locked the funds on AAVE ( EURONEXT:AAVE ) , one of the leading decentralized finance (DeFi) lending platforms, earning interest as a liquidity provider. While this is speculation, it raises questions about how the U.S. is managing its seized digital assets.
Notably, the U.S. government holds other major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin and Ethereum, with significant amounts linked to past seizures like the Silk Road founder’s BTC stash. Given the government’s history of selloffs, traders are now left wondering whether more liquidation could be on the horizon.
Impact on AAVE and Broader Sentiment
AAVE ( EURONEXT:AAVE ) has been facing the ripple effects of this transaction, with the token’s price declining as traders brace for a potential selloff. The transaction sparked a bearish engulfing pattern on AAVE’s charts, signaling continued downward pressure. The selloff fears are amplified by the government’s influence in the market, as its holdings carry substantial weight, particularly in Bitcoin and other altcoins.
Meanwhile, this move comes amidst broader trends of nations warming up to crypto strategies. Bhutan, for example, ranks as the 4th largest Bitcoin holder by country, while Germany recently sold off thousands of Bitcoins earlier this year, shaking the market.
Technical Outlook for AAVE
At the time of writing, AAVE is trading at a decline of 2.05%, sitting below its 50-day moving average but above the 100- and 200-day MAs. This positioning shows short-term bearish sentiment as the token struggles to find stability.
The bearish engulfing pattern triggered by the government’s transaction suggests further selling pressure could follow in the coming days. However, with AAVE ( EURONEXT:AAVE ) still trading above its longer-term support levels, there’s potential for a bounce back—especially if broader market conditions improve or if DeFi use cases continue to expand.
Immediate resistance for AAVE lies at the $70.50 level, with support seen at $60.60. Investors should watch closely for volume changes as the market absorbs the government’s actions.
Significance of AAVE in DeFi
AAVE ( EURONEXT:AAVE ) has remained a vital player in the DeFi ecosystem, allowing users to lend and borrow crypto assets without intermediaries. The platform’s success hinges on its liquidity, and a government selloff could impact both market sentiment and liquidity availability.
However, AAVE continues to innovate, offering features like flash loans and unique borrowing options. Even in the face of external shocks, the long-term fundamentals of AAVE, with its established position in DeFi and strong user base, remain solid.
Conclusion
The U.S. government’s recent AAVE transaction has raised eyebrows and triggered speculation of a larger selloff in the crypto market. While this move has spurred short-term bearish trends, the broader significance of AAVE in DeFi and its solid technical indicators suggest a potential recovery once the market digests the impact.
As always, investors should keep an eye on macroeconomic trends and government activity in the crypto space, as large-scale transactions like this have the potential to ripple through the market.
ALTCOINS Q4 2024 | Ideal Entries | GOOD BUYSHere's an updated list of 10 altcoins that have good chart setups and longer term prospects.
Note that for some, you may have to dollar-cost-average (buy little bits on the way down).
1) NEARUSDT
2) TAOUSDT
3) LTCUSDT
4) TIAUSDT
5) FTMUSDT
6) GRTUSDT
7) AVAXUSDT
8) INJUSDT
9) AAVEUSDT
10) SOLANA / SOLUSDT
___________________________________
AAVE analysis : from Tokenomics to Technical analysisAAVE projet is on of the strongest projects in crypto space.
The whales present in this project count for 70% and the majority of them holds their wallets at least 2 years from now.
The analysis of the supply demonstrates that during the accumulation phase 3% of the total supply have been added to the market without any major impact on the price , that means that the whales have intention of accumulating this token.
The anchored volume profil also demonstrates that we are near the value zone.
From my technical analysis I expect a first target of $400. Then we will begin to see the first distribution movement of the whales.
I Cannot Short This !!! situation+next targets.Now, as you can see, AAVE is in a cup and handle pattern on the weekly timeframe. This can be an incredibly strong signal for a price increase. If the breakout happens, AAVE's price could reach $243 in the new year, which is not far-fetched, just like the AB=CD pattern.
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard .💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
AAVE retesting cup&handle breakout, 300% to ATHAAVE is looking bullish after breaking out of some key technical patterns. First, we had a large descending wedge, which is a textbook bullish reversal pattern. The breakout from this wedge was followed by a cup and handle formation, another strong bullish signal.
Now we’re moving toward some key Fibonacci levels. The 0.382 Fib level at $289 is the first major target, representing an 80% gain from the breakout. Then, we have the 0.5 Fib level at $354, a 118% profit mark, and finally, the 0.618 Fib at $427, which signals a potential 135% gain. If the momentum stays strong, the final stretch would be a test of the all-time high (ATH) near $667, a 300% move from the entry point around $162.
AAVE has momentum, but we should watch closely as it approaches these Fib levels, especially the $289 and $354 marks.
In summary: AAVE has made a powerful breakout, but keep your eyes on those key Fibonacci levels for potential resistance. Always manage your risk as this could be an exciting, but volatile, ride.
Disclaimer: Trading is like surfing—fun, but you might wipe out. This isn’t professional advice—always do your own research and consult a pro before diving in!
AAVE Triangle BreakoutAAVE has successfully broken out of a triangle pattern, confirmed with strong volume, signaling a potential bullish continuation.
🎯 Target: The next major target is the resistance level. This aligns with historical price action and provides a solid opportunity for further gains.
DreamAnalysis | AAVEUSDT Key Triggers and Potential Trends📚 Welcome to Today’s Analysis
Today, I’m going to analyze the AAVE coin for futures and review the potential entry triggers and probable trend. The analysis will be conducted in daily and 4-hour time frames.
📊 Daily Time Frame
In the daily time frame, we see a strong bullish move with a healthy trend. During this movement, volume has also increased, indicating the strength of the trend.
Additionally, the movement is parabolic, and each time the price corrects less and continues with greater momentum.
After breaking the 117.65 resistance, the price moved up to the next resistance at 149.59 and is currently in a correction phase.
If the price finds strong support from the curved trendline or breaks through the 149.59 resistance, we can expect the start of the next move, targeting the next resistance at 186.82.
The RSI indicator, if it breaks above 64.88, will confirm the entry of momentum into the market. Additionally, a volume increase during the break of 149.59 will confirm volume strength.
On the other hand, if the price breaks the curved trendline and we see a confirmation of Dow Theory (Lower Low) or a break of 117.65, it will signal the end of the uptrend. The target for this bearish move could be 77.66, which is currently AAVE's key support.
For the RSI, confirmation of bearish momentum will require it to not only break the trendline but also fall below the 50 zone, indicating that downward momentum is entering the market.
📉 4-Hour Time Frame
In the 4-hour time frame, after reaching the 154.32 resistance, the market has entered a correction and consolidation phase. Since the higher time frame trend is bullish, the volume of corrective candles has decreased, and the uptrend remains strong.
In this time frame, we have two long position triggers at 146.88 and 154.32, with the RSI confirming momentum if it breaks 60.71.
For a short position, the risky trigger is at 138.14, and the confirmed trigger is at 117.65. The RSI will confirm momentum if it breaks below 42.70.
🚀 Current Market Outlook
In the short term, the trend for AAVE appears to be corrective, and it may even make a downward move. However, in the long term, the outlook for this coin remains bullish.
9/15 Weeks Overview. Rate Cut Volatility or Bullish Opportunity?Overview:
The VANTAGE:SP500 closed the second week of September with a strong green candle, completely retracing the previous week's red candle. The precision of this price action is impressive: the 1st week's open was at 5623, and the 2nd week's close was at 5626. The 1st week's close was at 5408, and the 2nd week's low was 5406. So, is this a bearish or bullish signal? Neither—it's volatility. There's uncertainty around whether we're headed for a recession or a soft landing. Will the Fed’s rate cut ignite a bull run or crash the market?
One factor contributing to this week’s positive performance is favorable macroeconomic data, such as the CPI and PPI, which came in lower than expected and weren't revised down multiple times. Next week, all eyes will be on the Fed's interest rate decision, scheduled for Wednesday at 2 PM EST. This announcement will overshadow other key macro data, including US retail sales (trending up), building permits (trending down), and the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (trending upward since January 2024). Current expectations are split, with a 48% chance of a 0.25% rate cut and a 52% chance of a 0.50% cut. The expectation of a two-basis-point cut has doubled in just a month. If the odds were skewed more heavily (90/10), the market could avoid volatility as the move would be priced in. However, in the current scenario, even a 0.25% rate cut could trigger a sell-off.
Historical Context for Rate Cuts and Risky Assets:
Looking back at how NASDAQ:QQQ performed after past rate cuts provides valuable insight:
• July 31, 2019 to April 2020: Rates dropped from 2.40% to 0.05%. In the next three trading days, QQQ dropped 6%. However, it reached a new all-time high in 86 days and gained 22% in 202 days. This was supported by a strong labor market, with unemployment falling for eight consecutive years. The temporary decline was due to COVID shutdowns.
• September 18, 2007 to December 2008: Rates fell from 5.25% to 0.15%. QQQ soared 1.9% on the day of the cut and gained 12.2% over the next 42 days. However, the Subprime Mortgage Crisis ensued, leading to a 52% drop in 380 days. The labor market was weak, with unemployment rising for four months before the cut.
• January 3, 2001 to July 2003: Rates declined from 6.5% to 1%. This marked the collapse of the Dot-com bubble. QQQ had already corrected by 56% over 280 days. While it rallied 32% in the next 21 days, the downtrend resumed, dropping another 61.4% over the next 645 days. Unemployment had bottomed eight months before and started rising one month before the cut.
More weight should be given to the 2007 scenario, as the current labor market resembles both 2007 and 2001. The 2001 rate cut holds less relevance since QQQ tracks tech stocks, which were uniquely impacted during the Dot-com bubble.
Strategic Outlook:
Based on historical data, one could allow the market correction to finish on Monday or Tuesday, then take a long position on your favorite altcoin for 1–2 weeks—but no longer than that.
In terms of ETF flows, historically, if weekend was red, Monday opens with more sell off driven by ETFs.
BTC Timeframes:
W: Needs to stay above $58.4 to maintain short-term bullishness. However, given the upcoming volatility, the chances are slim.
D: As of Sunday evening, whales started selling off, likely anticipating next week’s volatility. As mentioned in Friday's forecast, "Short-term correction to $58.4, then volatility during the rate cut week." The current correction from Friday’s highs is 3.5%.
4h: The sell-off began at 4 PM EST and has now corrected to the weekly level of $58.4.
1h: The price has just reached the weekly level, and RSI is oversold, presenting a short-term bullish opportunity back to the $59.8 level.
Altcoins Relative to BTC:
The divergence continues, with altcoins correcting more than BINANCE:BTCUSD . While BTC has corrected 3.5%, BINANCE:ETHUSD is down 6.7%, and BINANCE:SOLUSDT is down 6.4%.
Bull Case: We are in a 2019-like scenario, where speculative assets rise for several months after a rate cut.
Bear Case: We are in a 2007-like scenario, where the labor market continues to weaken, corporate revenues shrink, and the recession plays out over a couple of years.
Fear and Greed Index: Currently at 35.64 and trending down. As long as the index remains below 40, it's a good time to start dollar-cost averaging into top altcoins like ETH, SOL, BINANCE:NEARUSDT , BINANCE:BNBUSDT , and BINANCE:AAVEUSDT .
Prediction:
We’ve already corrected to a relatively strong weekly level. The only prediction that can be made is a short-term bounce, followed by more volatility.
Opportunities:
BINANCE:FTMUSDT has reached a higher price on the 4-hour chart, but its RSI and MACD are trending down, signaling a bearish divergence. This could be invalidated by a sudden spike in BTC.
Aave into ApexAave has moved into newly appeared weekly 200ma
This beautiful structure we refer to as an apex setup. While first test may need a bit of support.. the technical setup looks great for aave to eventually breakout above this apex and run very nicely.
Aave fundamentally is obviously performing incredibly well relative to the space. As eth experience influx of money from larger entities like blackrock.. theres a good chance Aaves presence and protocol will become much more well known and respected.
Perhaps mitigate with other chain competitors
If other chains like solana surge again which seems quite likely.. then lending platforms there can offer quite a bit of competition esp for retail users. May be best to look for good entries into competitors there like Kamino.
Floor of the descending channelAAVE is currently moving within a descending channel, with the price correcting after hitting the channel’s ceiling. This movement indicates a continuation of the downtrend and an attempt to break out of this descending channel.
The possible scenario is that the price continues to move downwards, reaching the floor of the descending channel. This movement could continue the fluctuations within the channel and strengthen the downtrend.
AAVE Analysis and Long Trade SetupGo through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Trade Setup
AAVE
(114.56-109.6)
Long
Lev 5x
SL 4h below 108
Tp: 117/120/123/128
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of the principal to follow any position.
Please support us by liking and sharing the post.
AAVE/USDT: 10X POTENTIAL TRADE SETUP!!Hey everyone!
If you're enjoying this analysis, a thumbs up and follow would be greatly appreciated!
AAVE looks good here. It breaks out from the symmetrical triangle in the weekly time frame and is currently, retesting it. Buy some here and add more in the dip.
Entry range:- $100-$120
Targets:- $250/$420/$740/$1020/$1320
SL:- $69
What are your thoughts on AAVE's current price action? Do you see a bullish pattern? Share your analysis in the comments below!
AAVE - Textbook Failures (BULLISH)From my August 15, 2024 Interim Market Update:
As mentioned in reports #53 and #54, watch for a potential upside move in AAVE. The interlocking Head and Shoulders pattern hints at a breakout if prices can close above $120 after rejecting the downside. 🚀
AUGUST 22, 2024 UPDATE
The market broke $120 and charged 10% higher to its current price around $134. My price target is $200 based on the depth of the interlocking H&S pattern, but AAVE has traded much higher in the past.
AAVE Surges by 5% - Is This the Start of a Bullish Trend?
AAVE, one of the leading DeFi protocols, has seen its price surge by 5% today, signaling a potential bullish trend. This price movement is not just a random spike; it coincides with a significant increase in weekly borrowers on the AAVE platform, hitting a new all-time high (ATH). In this analysis, we'll dive into AAVE's price action, on-chain activity, and what this could mean for the future of the token. For more details, check out the full article on crypto.ro.
Price Analysis
Looking at the daily chart, AAVE has broken through a key resistance level, which previously acted as a strong barrier. This breakout is accompanied by higher-than-average trading volume, suggesting strong buying interest. The next resistance level to watch is around , while the support is likely to be found at .
The recent 5% increase aligns with a bullish trend that has been forming over the past week. If AAVE can sustain its momentum and close above the moving average, we could see a continuation of this uptrend.
Borrowers and On-Chain Activity
A notable factor behind this price movement is the surge in weekly borrowers on the AAVE platform, reaching a new ATH. This increased borrowing activity often indicates higher demand for the token, as borrowers are leveraging AAVE for its lending and borrowing services. The correlation between on-chain activity and price action is strong, and this uptick could be a leading indicator of further price appreciation. For more in-depth insights, visit the AAVE page on crypto.ro.
Comparative Analysis
When compared to other DeFi tokens, AAVE appears to be outperforming its peers. While many DeFi tokens are experiencing sideways movement or slight gains, AAVE's 5% surge stands out. This outperformance could attract more investors looking for the next big move in the DeFi space.
Indicators to Watch
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently trending upwards but not yet in overbought territory, indicating room for further growth.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is crossing above the signal line, which is a classic bullish signal.
Moving Averages: Watch the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for potential support or resistance zones.
These indicators can help identify potential entry points if you're looking to capitalize on this momentum.
AAVE's recent price action, coupled with the surge in on-chain activity, suggests that we might be at the beginning of a bullish trend. However, as with any market, it's crucial to keep an eye on key support and resistance levels, as well as relevant technical indicators. Do you believe AAVE will continue its upward trajectory, or is a correction on the horizon? Let us know your thoughts in the comments!
AAVE looks bearish (4H)After the recent pump, AAVE has reached the premium range of the previous wave and hit a supply.
We have a bearish CH on the chart, which is preferable to a bullish iCH.
AAVE can drop to the specified targets on the chart.
Closing a daily candle above the invalidation level will violate the analysis
Note that the financial market is risky, so:
Do not enter a position without setting a stop and capital management and confirmation and trigger.
When we reach the first TP, save some profit and try to move the stop continuously in the direction of your profit.
If you have any comments please post them, comments will help us improve our performance
Thanks