GOLD → The northbound train continues to make its way to 3KFX:XAUUSD continues its aggressive rally. The reasons for growth are the same as before - high economic risks. The price is getting closer and closer to the cherished goal of $3000.
Gold exceeded $2,850 at the beginning of the week in the U.S., but its growth is limited by the strengthening of the dollar due to increased trade risks.Trump announced new 25% tariffs on imports of steel and aluminum.
Gold is further supported by rising PBOC reserves and expectations of stimulus from China. However, the dollar may continue to strengthen ahead of US inflation data, limiting gold gains. Expectations of a dovish Fed and trade risks will help contain gold's decline.
Technically, the next two levels are important for us: the psychological level of 2900 and the key support of 2882.
Resistance levels: 2900 (not confirmed)
Support levels: 2882, 2870, 2855
The bulls can consolidate above 2900 without a pullback and continue the rally, but the most likely scenario is a false break of 2900, correction to 2882 to accumulate liquidity before continuing the rally northward
Regards R. Linda!
AB
BITCOIN → Down to $90,000. Downside risks are risingBINANCE:BTCUSD feels the change of mood and continues to form set-ups hinting at a possible continuation of the correction. Another retest of the 90K risk zone is possible.
On the medium-term timeframe bitcoin failed to hold near ATH, in the upper consolidation range and entered the local selling zone, under the level of 99800. A negative note is felt in the cryptocurrency market, as well as a change in sentiment. Altcoins continue to break through bottom after bottom without any positive prospects. Bitcoin at this time is most likely resentful of the US governing apparatus due to the fact that no promises from Trump have been kept so far, and the price is moving into a protracted correction in the local perspective
Briefly, here's what's going on:
Expectations: Bitcoin reserve, cryptocurrency market support, transparent regulation, pumping the market ...
Reality: new scam coins created before the US election that sucked all liquidity, market manipulation, trade war with almost every country on the planet, dumping the market into the abyss.
Support levels: 95.8 (trigger), 91300, 90K
Resistance levels: 100.2, 102.67
Technically, the situation is that bitcoin may continue its decline and test 90K again, from which the risks around 90K will grow.
At the moment, the price is in consolidation between 95.8 - 100.2. A pre-breakdown consolidation is forming near the support, foreshadowing the support breakdown and further fall to 90K. But, due to the dependence of the asset before the actions of politicians in the U.S., the price may shake out to 100.2 before further falling
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Price enters buying zone ahead of NonFarmsFX:XAUUSD resumes gains Friday after brief pause, retesting liquidity accumulation support, but traders cautious ahead of US NFP release
NFP decline may support gold - if the actual NFP comes in below forecast (169K), it will reinforce expectations of an imminent Fed rate cut.
Weaker labor market → pressure on the dollar → gold rises.
Fed and policy:
At 15:00, the Fed's monetary policy report will be released, which could clarify the regulator's future course.
If signaling easing → gold up. If there will be hawkish notes → pressure on XAUUSD, but we should also take into account Trump's policy on economic risks
Conclusion on XAUUSD:
In the medium term there is every chance to reach $3,000, locally it all depends on the news: weak NFP and lack of wage growth could send gold above $2,900.
If the data turns out to be strong → a downward correction is possible
Resistance levels: 2870, 2882
Support levels: 2858, 2848
Technically, the focus is on the 2870 resistance. If the price can break this resistance and consolidate above, this maneuver will open the way to further upside. I do not rule out a retest of the channel boundary or 2858 before further upside.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The trend is not broken, gold could go even higherFX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen after a small correction. There is a zone of interest ahead and the price may form a correction to the support before it starts to storm ATH
Gold is rising due to the growing risks on the background of the tariff war started by Trump. Despite the risks posed by the US residents as well, he is willing to continue to do so. In addition, his comment about the Fed, “The Fed made the right decision last week to hold off on cutting rates” gave aggressive support to the dollar, but that didn't break gold, which is heading for the highs. The trend is not broken and interest in the metal due to growing risks is also growing. The focus is on US and Chinese economic data as well as Fed statements.
Technically, the support in the form of the previous ATH - 2790 plays a key role and gold may test this area once again before continuing its growth. But, in the short term, it is worth keeping an eye on 2800.
Support levels: 2795, 2790
Resistance levels: 2802, 2808
There may be a small correction from 2802 or from 0.7-0.79 fibo before the price decides to storm this area again to consolidate above the support before rising further.
Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF → The bullish trend may get its continuationFX:USDCHF is entering the realization phase after a prolonged correction. A favorable background is created by the uptrend and rising dollar...
The technical outlook on the daily timeframe is very good. The price after breaking the trend resistance tested the previously broken line. The currency pair after the false breakout managed to consolidate above the key point, marking an interim bottom and further prospects.
Technically, the focus is on the resistance at 0.911, if the bulls can overcome this area and consolidate above this level, the currency pair will be able to realize a rise to 0.918 - 0.93.
Resistance levels: 0.911
Support levels: 0.90555
Before breaking the resistance, the currency pair could test 0.90555 due to the liquidity generated below this area. But, the trigger that can provoke further growth is 0.911
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → What are the chances of a fall after a FB?FX:GBPUSD is testing the resistance of the downtrend, but the price does not have the strength to go beyond this range. Ahead of the news that can strengthen the downward movement....
On D1, the price is also forming a false breakdown, but relatively important level, thus confirming that the price is still in the selling zone. Ahead is the Fed rate meeting, where the interest rate is likely to remain at the same level. But the most important thing will be Powell's speech. If the official's tone is hawkish, which is the most likely scenario at the moment, the dollar will get support, which may negatively affect the GBP.
Technically, the strongest moves occur after false breakouts.
Resistance levels: 1.24887
Support levels: 1.2414, 2.2377
A retest of the trend resistance ends with a false breakout and consolidation of prices below the line... A break of the support at 1.2414 will trigger further selling. If there is no unexpected news, the currency pair may fall to 1.224
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD → Since the trend is still intact, gold may rise evekeeps getting stronger following a minor adjustment. A zone of interest is ahead, and before the price begins to storm the ATH, it can correct to the support.
The escalating risks associated with Trump's tariff battle are driving up the price of gold. He is prepared to keep doing so in spite of the dangers that the US citizens also present. The dollar also received strong support from his statement regarding the Fed, "The Fed made the right decision last week to hold off on cutting rates," while gold, which is on its way to the highs, was unaffected. The tendency is continuing, and as the risks associated with the metal increase, so does interest in it. The Fed announcement and US and Chinese economic data are the main topics.
Technically, the preceding ATH-2790 serves as a crucial support, and gold may test this region once more before extending its upward trajectory. However, it is worthwhile to monitor 2800 in the near future.
Support levels - 2795, 2790
Resistance levels - 2802, 2808
Before the price decides to attack this level once more to consolidate above the support before rising further, there can be a slight correction from 2802 or from the 0.7-0.79 fibo.
USDJPY → Trump crashes the market, dollar ralliesFX:USDJPY breaks downtrend structure. Monday started unexpectedly for traders with Trump's actions, which gutted localized situations not only in the forex...
The imposition of tariffs, another batch of statements about the Eurozone, BRICS, and also this: “Trump said that the Fed made the right decision last week to suspend rate cuts” produced a corresponding reaction in the market. On the back of inflation expectations, the dollar is accelerating its growth, thus provoking a rally in USDJPY.
Technically, the focus is on the resistance at 155.95 and the support of the previously broken channel, which can be tested before further growth.
Resistance levels: 155.95, 156.6
Support levels: 155.0, 153.6
The price is trying to consolidate in the buying zone, but the resistance at 155.95 is holding the price back from active strengthening. Breakdown and consolidation of the price above this area may provoke growth to the trend resistance.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → The new ATH is not the limit. What are the new targets?FX:XAUUSD updates ATH to 2800 and at the same time bulls are consolidating above the previously broken high, trying to form a base for continued gains
Gold updates all time high to $2800, amid a weaker US dollar and the threat of high tariffs from Trump, who again warned of possible 100% duties against BRICS countries, as well as a 25% tax on imports from Canada and Mexico, which boosted demand for protective assets. Investors are waiting for the US PCE Core Price Index data to gauge the Fed's next steps.
Technically, now the focus is on 2 levels: 2798.5, which is a trigger for the continuation of growth and support at 2785, behind which there is a huge pool of liquidity. Gold needs to overcome 2798.5 to continue rising, but before that a retest of the support may be formed due to the liquidity under the level.
Resistance levels: 2798.5, 2800, 2810-15
Support levels: 2790, 2785, 0.5 fibo
In general, gold has a bullish price movement. There are no hints of a trend breakdown, so the chance for the continuation of the growth is quite high and it can happen either when the trigger is broken or after a small consolidation or correction before the news. Emphasis on the previously mentioned levels and news.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Buyers are serious about retesting ATHFX:XAUUSD on the background of yesterday's news played both ways. The dollar could not win from this situation, which as a whole favorably affects the price of metal. ATH as a target is still relevant.
All attention is focused on the US GDP data for Q4. Slowdown in economic growth may increase interest in gold as a protective asset, especially against the background of possible trade tariffs of Trump and ambiguous reports of techno-giants. The Fed kept the rate, but tightened the rhetoric, which temporarily weakened gold, but the weak dollar and understanding of economic risks helped the metal to partially recover.
Technically, the rebound from the support of the ascending channel is forming, the price is passing resistance levels on its way.
Resistance levels: 2784, 2790
Support levels: 2771, 2766
Technically, from these support zones we should continue to wait for the growth towards 2790. But, based on the manner of price approach to the historical maximum, there is a probability of a small correction from 2790, after which the market will show either readiness to go even higher, or to form a deeper correction.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of Fed rate meetingFX:XAUUSD is recovering ahead of Fed rates and Powell's speech. The price is consolidating as traders are not ready for premature action. What could happen?
Gold is holding near $2,770 in Asian trading in anticipation of Wednesday's Fed decision. Investors are cautious as the regulator may pause rate cuts and give hints on future policy. Markets expect two 25bp cuts this year, but Powell's rhetoric will determine the way forward.
Factors supporting gold: dollar correction, risk stabilization and holiday season in Asia. However, Trump's trade policy may increase inflation, forcing the Fed to keep high rates longer, which is negative for gold.
But! Further movement depends solely on Powell's rhetoric.
Resistance levels: 2765, 2771
Support levels: 2759, 2745
Technically, after breaking the bullish structure and updating the lows, the price is recovering in search of resistance and liquidity to continue the probable decline. But it depends on economic data. Possible false break of 2771 resistance before further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
XRP → Resistance retest before correction BINANCE:XRPUSDT over yesterday evening bought back the previously formed fall, but faced strong resistance, which delimits the descending channel. A correction could possibly form...
After a strong rise (on D1) XRP is going into a correction, the remarkable thing is that the correction is within a descending channel, or flag, the essence of which is the continuation of the trend. Let me remind you that the global trend is bullish.
Technically, on the local , a false resistance breakout and correction may be formed, for example, to 3K or 0.5 fibo before the market starts to form the potential for a breakout of the channel resistance in order to continue the growth.
Support levels: 3000, 0.5 fibo (2.900)
Resistance levels: 3.144, 3.2
The liquidity formed in the zone 3.14 - 3.2 may not let the coin up the first time. In the short term, I expect a false breakout and correction to the targets indicated on the chart.
Regards R. Linda!
LONG TERM BULLISH - AB=CDAs illustrated, im visualizing what could be an AB=CD Pattern as a continuation structure.
We saw a strong bullish weekly candle that shows momentum and strength to the upside, and this might be our clue.
Keep in mind inflation data is likely to come in hot during JAN, which might lead the yellow metal to re-test its ATH within the next couple of weeks.
Also, geopolitical conflicts are escalating, which leads to nations to protect their economies by hedging gold.
Lastly, with China continuing its purchasing of Gold since mid NOV, the demand for gold continued growing.
It is likely we see $3.000 within the next couple of months.
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GOOD LUCK!
Honestly, I don't feel like explaining, the chart says it all !!the POPCAT is in a ascending triangle now which means the price will increase and also It is expected that the price would at least grow as good as the measured price movement(AB=CD)
Note: we should wait for the breaking of the triangle and than make a move!
✨Traders, if you liked this idea or have your opinion on it, write in the comments, We will be glad.
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Short-Term Resistance Calling for Attention on USD/JPYSince topping at ¥156.77 on 14 May, short-term price action on the H1 chart for the USD/JPY has exhibited a downside bias. Of late, as you can see, recent flow chalked up a pullback from a low of ¥153.60 and has initiated the process of forming the D-leg of an ‘alternate’ AB=CD bearish formation at ¥154.95 (marked by a 1.618% Fibonacci projection ratio). The rationale behind selecting this alternate pattern, and not the 1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio (or the equidistant AB-CD), is simply down to the confluence that the 1.618% Fibonacci projection attracts: a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratio at ¥154.97 and a nearby 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ratio at ¥154.81.
ETHUSDT: Possible Swing Target Towards $4500! BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Price is in process of making ab=cd pattern where we have a possible order block placed too at the point of D which is our area of entry. Our initial target is at $3500 and then $4000 and lastly it will at $4500. We can achieve this target by end of this month or next one depending on how other Economic factors interfere with the price movement.
good luck.
GBPUSD🗝️ LEVELS TO WATCH 👀AND WHY🤔🐲Hello Awesome Traders!
I trust you're having a fantastic trading week so far. Let's dive into an exciting opportunity presented by GBPUSD on its 1-hour chart. This setup is worth exploring as it offers potential for profitable trades.
GBPUSD has formed a double bottom pattern around the 1.2529 level, with striking similarities between the first and second bottoms.
Examining the CD leg, we observe two sets of equal downward swings, indicating symmetry in length. This setup is conducive to buying low and selling high, offering opportunities for traders.
For pattern enthusiasts, there are two notable formations: a flat AB=CD pattern and a dragon pattern. These patterns provide additional confluence and increase the setup's reliability.
I've drawn a trendline marked as 'E,' which the price should ideally break with a surge in volume to confirm market participation.
Targets:
For intraday traders, consider targeting the 62% Fibonacci retracement level of the AD leg at 1.25944.
Another target to watch for, especially for those eyeing the dragon pattern, is the 78% Fibonacci retracement level of the AD leg at 1.26125, which aligns with the 127% extension of the CD leg.
Trading Strategy:
Swing traders can monitor the chart over the next few days for potential long opportunities.
Keep an eye on price action and volume dynamics for confirmation before entering trades.
Set appropriate stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively.
For intraday trades, consider taking partial profits at key Fibonacci levels to lock in gains.
Happy trading, and may the pips be with you!
GBPJPY - AB=CDAn AB=CD pattern setup could be used in this manner too. I'm waiting for a shorting opportunity at 167.03.
Aggressive traders could consider an instant shorting opportunity the moment when the market opens, whereas conservative traders could wait for a double top with rsi divergence to engage the trade.
Alliance Bernstein touched bottom. ABIt's going to be a limited recovery.
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Confirmation level, where relevant, is a pink dotted, finite line. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe.