GOLD → Retest of 2926 before a possible breakout. CPI aheadGold is rising after long-squeeze and consolidating at the top of the 2926 - 2893 range, which is generally a hint that the market is getting ready to break resistance. But it all depends on CPI
Traders awaiting US CPI data. The dollar is partially recovering before the news, which is holding back gold, which continues to consolidate in front of 2921, but weak inflation data may push prices up again.
New trade measures as part of Trump's tariff war and geopolitical tensions are having an additional impact. The negative part for the markets presents the lack of a clear position of the leaders of the countries and constantly changing opinions: then they specify tariffs, then cancel them. Inadequate swings in the markets.
Resistance levels: 2920, 2926
Support levels: 2910, 2905, 2893
Emphasis on 2926, breakdown of this level will trigger a bullish rally. Now the price is trying to get out of the local consolidation to test 2926, from which a small correction is possible before another breakout. The focus on CPI, weak data may support further price growth.
Regards R. Linda!
AB
QUICKUSDT → Pending a false breakout of resistanceBINANCE:QUICKUSDT is forming counter-trend movement to the resistance of the range - 0.02957. A false breakdown of the key level is formed against the background of the downtrend
The cryptocurrency market is experiencing bad times. While bitcoin is testing new lows - 76K, altcoins are cutting through to find another bottom.
QUICK stands out in this picture, testing a strong resistance (liquidity) zone 0.02845 - 0.02957 and forming a false breakout.
BUT! in the morning session bitcoin strengthens after a strong fall and can pull the whole market up with it. Thus, before the further fall another attempt to retest 0.02953 or update the tail of the false breakout at 0.03000 (0.7fibo) is possible.
Resistance levels: 0.0285, 0.02953, 0.0300.
Support levels: 0.0243, 0.02118
If the next resistance retest ends in a false breakdown and price consolidation under 0.02957, QUICK coin may continue its decline in the short and medium term.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Long-sqeeze (double bottom) before breakout 2926FX:XAUUSD is forming the maneuver we need regarding the previously mentioned consolidation. False break of support on the background of the rising market, we discussed it with you yesterday. The reaction is the formation of a reversal set-up and bullish momentum
This week the markets are awaiting the JOLTS jobs report (today) and CPI data (Wednesday), which could provide fresh impetus to prices.
Additional pressure comes from expectations of US-Ukraine peace talks, a possible mineral agreement and ongoing trade tensions related to Trump's protectionism. However, a weaker dollar and lower bond yields are supporting gold, limiting its losses
Gold may test yesterday's high and after a slight pullback continue to rise with a target of retesting the 2926 consolidation resistance. The market structure is bullish at the moment and it plays to our advantage....
Resistance levels: 2918, 2926, 2942
Support levels: 2905, 2893.5, 2880
At the moment the price is still in consolidation, but the price is forming a bullish rally due to the collected liquidity in the Asian session. The local pattern “double bottom” is formed (false breakdown of support) and the next target is the resistance of consolidation 2926. Also focus on 2918 - possible retest and pullback to 0.5 fibo before the price will storm 2926.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Strong consolidation. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 2926 - 2890. The market is generally bullish, but there is a high probability of a short / long-squeeze before the strong news, which will be on Wednesday.
Markets are waiting for data on inflation and employment in the U.S., which may affect the Fed's decisions. Despite a weaker dollar and expectations of monetary easing, Fed chief Jerome Powell remains cautious.
Gold demand is supported by China, which is increasing purchases, as well as growing fears of stagflation in the US. However, traders are keeping an eye on new economic data and the impact of Chinese tariffs on US goods
Technically, the focus is on 2926 - 2890. The ideal scenario in a bull market would be a false break of the support at 2893 - 2890 and further growth due to the change of imbalance in the market after liquidation and liquidity capture. But, based on the current situation (strong range) there is a high probability of short-squeeze or long-squeeze.
Resistance levels: 2926, 2942
Support levels: 2893, 2890
At the moment the emphasis is on 2926. Formation of pre-breakout consolidation, further breakout and price consolidation above the resistance can provoke a bullish impulse.
But the difficulty is that the support has not been tested yet. If the price approaches 2926 very quickly, a false breakout could be made and in that case the price could go down to 2890 to retest the liquidity zone before storming 2926 for further upside.
Regards R. Linda!
POPCATUSDT → False breakout of bearish trend resistanceBINANCE:POPCATUSDT.P is testing trend resistance on the 4H timeframe. A sharp approach and a false breakdown of the upper boundary of the channel may provoke a correction or continuation of the decline
The global trend is downtrend, the locational trend also coincides with the global trend. Bitcoin cannot become a bullish driver for altcoins yet. Yesterday's economic news also had a negative impact on the market. In addition, the cryptocurrency community was betting big on Trump, but he has put cryptocurrencies on the back burner.
Technically, POPCAT is testing the channel resistance with a false breakout within the downtrend. Consolidation of the price below 0.322 could trigger further selling.
Resistance levels: 0.322, correction resistance
Support levels: 0.2386, 0.1596
I do not exclude the possibility of retesting the resistance of the correction channel, but due to bearish pressure and weak market the decline may continue.
Regards R. Linda!
SOLVUSDT → Retest of resistance in a bearish trendBINANCE:SOLVUSDT is strengthening within a neutral range, which is formed amid a downtrend. Cryptocurrency market quickly sells off potential after Sunday's news
Bitcoin is back to the selling zone, under the 90K area. A subsequent decline in the flagship could negatively impact the entire market.
SOLV is forming a range of 0.044 - 0.0292. The price is strengthening and tends to the zone of interest and liquidity. Against the background of key preconditions (downtrend, weak market, absence of driver, falling bitcoin) we can assume that the coin has no potential for further growth and the current maneuver may end up with a false break of resistance followed by a fall.
Resistance levels: 0.0436, 0.0439, 0.0494
Support levels: 0.0369, 0.0345
From the opening of the session, the daily ATR will be exhausted by the time resistance is reached, thus there will be no potential for resistance breakout. High probability of a bounce from 0.0436-0.0439 with the purpose of further fall to the key zones of interest located below.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPAUD → Correction to strong support before continuing growthFX:GBPAUD is forming a range with a consolidation target after breaking the base of the ascending triangle. The pound is correcting due to the dollar
Technically, on the daily timeframe we have a strong bullish structure, the price is trying to accelerate after breaking the trend resistance, but against the background of the dollar correction the pound sterling is also making a small pullback. There are no strong fundamental changes and the general direction may continue.
At the moment the focus is on ob, located in the zone of 2.0285, as well as the liquidity zone, which is located below 2.0285 + weekly low - 2.015, which also hides a huge pool of liquidity that can be tested.
Resistance levels: 2.05088
Support levels: 2.0285, 2.0151
On the background of the uptrend and the correction to the support after the update of the maximum, we can consider the strategy - false breakdown of the support with the purpose of continuation of the growth. Emphasis on 2.0285 - 2.015
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → The fall continues... 82K → 76K → 73KBINANCE:BTCUSD is in a sell zone. Trump's comments on the federal reserve, crypto summit failed to impact the crypto market other than a global shakeup and liquidation...
The market has failed to see a proper bullish driver, so far. Trump's comments on the Fed ended in a global shakeup (liquidation). Yesterday's summit went so far as to prevent the cryptovalt market from turning green.
Technically. Global growth is temporarily halted, the flagship is moving into a deep correction phase, with 73K still the primary target. The market needs liquidity, as it will not be possible to grow at the expense of buyers and only bullish leverage all the time.
Price is forming a 90K - 82K range in the short zone after exiting the global consolidation. False break of 91K resistance ( global consolidation support ) ended with a fall, which may continue to both 82K and 73.5K.
Resistance levels: 89400, 91K, 93K
Support levels: 82K, 78K, 73K
The key zone of interest and liquidity is 73-66K. The price is working on a false break of resistance, the imbalance of forces in favor of bears, thus the first stop may happen in the zone of 82K ( lower boundary of the range ). Further it is necessary to observe the reaction to the support. Consolidation, breakdown and consolidation below 82K will provoke a fall to lower targets.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of NFP. What can happen?FX:XAUUSD is heading for resistance after a false breakdown of 2895. The market continues to test 2926 with the aim to break this zone. There is news ahead and the risks of increased volatility are growing.
Markets remain jittery over Trump's tariff plans, which supported gold demand. Trade tensions and mixed U.S. jobs data are adding to inflation risks, which could weaken the dollar. All eyes are on the NFP report.
Based on the analysis of the last few reports, a rough conclusion is that on average in the first 15 minutes, weak data led gold to rise 60 points and strong data led gold to fall 50 points
However, other factors such as inflation and data revisions may dampen the market reaction. The final effect depends on investors' assessment of the Fed's future policy.
Resistance levels: 2926, 2942
Support levels: 2912.5, 2909.5, 2895
Before the news, the price may test 2926 with a false breakout (MM trap for liquidity) and roll back to the nearest support.
But further prospects depend on the news. Gold is in consolidation 2926 - 2895. On the background of possible weak data gold may overcome 2926 and accelerate to ATH. Strong data may provoke profit taking and correction to 2895 - 2875
Regards R. Linda!
AUDUSD → Retest of the imbalance zone before growth FX:AUDUSD on the back of strong dollar decline has all chances for further growth, but today, Friday, the risks are quite high, as NFP is ahead...
The currency pair is forming a local uptrend, in tandem with the falling dollar the Aussie may continue its strengthening course.
On the 4H a local correction to the imbalance zone is forming, where a rather strong support line 0.63 is just passing. The price is forming a false breakout and after capturing liquidity is trying to consolidate higher. If the bulls can keep the defense above 0.63 - 0.633, the price will be able to continue the growth phase in the short and medium term.
Support levels: 0.63, 0.6255
Resistance levels: 0.633, 0.6363
Consolidation above 0.63, subsequent rise and consolidation above 0.633 is an ideal scenario that could confirm the bulls' intentions to go higher. But, NFP and other news are ahead. Risks are rising and we should expect high volatility in the markets
Regards R. Linda!
Do you think GOLD will go up or down today with the Nonfarm newsDo you think GOLD will go up or down today with the Nonfarm news?
In the Asian and European sessions, gold will still have a sideways range, but the range will be smaller than yesterday.
The price reaction will be from the 2916-2919 area down to 2900. And it's likely that today's Nonfarm news will be a liquidity sweep of buy orders to the 38.2% Fibonacci level, which is the 2970-2980 price range
-In summary, this analysis predicts that:
+ Before the Nonfarm news is released, the price of gold may trade within a narrow range.
+When the Nonfarm news is released, there is a possibility that the price of gold will make a temporary sharp move up to around 2970-2980 to "sweep liquidity" from buy orders, before potentially reversing downward.
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of Friday's NFP. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD stops and forms consolidation within the range 2926 - 2894.9. A false break of support may bring the market back to its senses amid the bearish dollar rally
A weaker dollar and expectations of Fed policy easing are supporting demand for the metal despite a pause in Trump's tariff measures.
Traders are waiting for key NFP data that could determine the future trajectory of the dollar and Fed policy. For today, all eyes are on Initial Jobless Claims.
Technically, gold within the 2926 - 2894 range is looking to test the liquidity zone on the support side as there is an unfilled fvg below 2894.9. Against the backdrop of gold's bullish trend and falling dollar, the chances of a rebound are quite high
Resistance levels: 2926, 2942
Support levels: 2894.9, 2878.7
Price may test the daily low or fvg, form a false breakdown of one of the mentioned support zones and continue to rise after capturing liquidity within the global uptrend
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Readiness to break the daily support levelFX:USDJPY is testing strong key support at 148.64 for a breakdown. A falling dollar could affect further movement
The falling dollar is supporting the Japanese Yen, thus we may see the currency pair falling.
The price is trying to break the support of the daily level. A pre-breakdown consolidation of 150.3 - 148.64 is formed relative to this support. The last retest of the level ended with a small false breakdown, indicating that there is no one to defend the support anymore, there was no reaction except for another local consolidation, the purpose of which is to accumulate the potential to break the support.
Resistance levels: 150.3, 150.95
Support levels: 148.64, 147.17
The focus is on the level of 148.64 concerning which the market is struggling. The bulls have little chance to hold this level, as the dollar's fall exerts quite a lot of pressure.
The breakdown and fixing of the price below 148.64 may provoke a fall to 147 - 144.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Consolidation v. 2921. Ready for a breakthroughFX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen on the background of growing economic risks and also on the background of aggressive fall of dollar. The metal is at resistance at 2921 and is preparing to go even higher....
The dollar breaks the bullish structure on the background of comments of the U.S. Ministry of Finance on the reduction of rates. The verbal intervention as manipulation is affecting the markets quite aggressively. Further decline in gold is unlikely due to trade war risks and expectations of soft Fed policy.Additional impetus to gold may be given by weak ADP employment data and PMI data
Gold has two important liquidity zones. 2913 and 2903, the closest area has already been tested (liquidity zone reached) and now all eyes are on 2920.7. If it holds, gold will return to 2913-2903 support, if resistance is broken, momentum will be formed.
Resistance levels: 2920.66, 2942, 2954
Support levels: 2913, 2903, (0.5) fibo)
Gold is testing 2913.34 at the moment, a rebound is forming due to the liquidity collected. In the short term, the focus is on 2920.7. Breaking the level and fixing the price above the trigger will most likely provoke the continuation of growth to 2942-2954
Regards R. Linda!
CAKEUSDT → False breakout of resistance. Return to the trendBINANCE:CAKEUSDT is forming a false breakdown of key resistance as part of a bullish rally. Further altcoin decline may be influenced by bitcoin's decline, the flagship looks rather weak
Technically, the move in Cake looks like a counter-trend maneuver to gather liquidity before a further, possible fall. The altcoin market is weak and most coins continue to look for a bottom, while bitcoin is consolidating but with a hint of a decline to 91-90K.
CAKEUSDT is focusing on 2.6144 - 2.7288. If the bears keep the price below these zones, the coin could head down in the short to medium term
Resistance levels: 2.6144, 2.7288, 2.2964
Support levels: 2.420, 2.0634
Statistically, a false breakdown provokes the strongest movements, often even trend changes. In this case, it is a counter-trend movement and if the price reverses locally, the coin will be under the pressure of the trend again. A price fixing below 2.6144 may strengthen the fall to 2.42, 2.06, 1.04.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Correction before bullish trend continuationFX:GBPUSD has been rising for the last month and a half as the market sentiment and the behavior of the dollar, which is gradually updating lows.
The tariff war by trump is just in full swing. The dollar continues its correction on the back of US politics as well as inflation data.
GBPUSD at this time is trading in the bullish zone, above the support at 1.262 - 1.2576. Thus, within the framework of the correction, which has been observed since the opening of the European session, the price may test the liquidity area before further growth.
Resistance levels: 1.2718, 1.2678
Support levels: 1.262, 1.2576
The local trend is bullish and the price is forming a local correction. In this case, it is worth looking for strong support zones with the purpose of rebound and continuation of growth. Targets in this case are intermediate highs: 1.2718, 1.2811
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Local downtrend, price under bearish pressureFX:XAUUSD has been strengthening since Friday. Standard reaction to the false break of the support at 2834. Price is still in a selling zone and heading for resistance before a possible pullback to the downside.
The $ has strengthened strongly over the past week and looks poised to continue its rise, but it all depends on the tariff war, economic risks and regulatory policy in the US.
Markets are reacting to attempts to regulate the war in eastern Europe. Ahead are Fed statements and US economic data.
On 4H, gold is trading flat 2881 - 2834. Below 2881 gold is under bearish pressure (selling zone). But, due to the liquidity created in the 2878 - 2881 area, gold may test the area of interest before returning to the downside.
Resistance levels: 2869, 2877, 2881
Support levels: 2859, 2834
At the moment consolidation is forming below 2869 (0.5 fibo) after a false breakdown. If the bears keep the price under the level, the decline may start earlier. We also have another trigger - 2859. A breakdown of this support will trigger a sell-off and liquidation, which may lead to a fall to 2834.
Regards R. Linda!
EURCHF → Bears increase pressure to lower the priceFX:EURCHF breaks trend support and overall bullish structure. The rising dollar is putting negative pressure on the forex markets
The fundamental background for the Eurozone is extremely negative due to Trump's policy and the US in general, especially when it comes to the tariff war. The dollar is strengthening, which generally creates a negative background for the markets.
Technically, after breaking the support of the uptrend, the bears are confirming their dominance by keeping the price in the selling zone.
Resistance levels: 0.93807, 0.94179
Support levels: 0.93299, 0.92945
A retest of the reversal zone 0.9400 is possible, but at the moment we can focus our attention on 0.93800. Consolidation of the price under this level will provoke further sell-offs.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → The “90K” door opened a corridor to $75,000BINANCE:BTCUSD is changing its market structure to bearish after the 90K breakout. A deeper correction is forming and in my opinion this is a logical and technically correct structure for a healthy market
I think it is a wrong siutation when the market is only going up and solely due to buying (injecting huge amount of funds on a HYIP).
A bitcoin correction or even a trend reversal can bring a drop of life to this market.
Fundamentally, traders have not waited for any active support for cryptocurrencies from the US as stated in Trump's election campaign. Crypto exchange hacks, scam coins and bitcoin dominance are negatively affecting altcoins.
Bitcoin's current decline and possible drop to 75-73K could give fundamentally valuable altcoins a chance, provided the flagging dominance index also starts to decline. As the simultaneous flow of funds from bitcoin to altcoins and bitcoin's rise from strong support could renew the chances of an altcoin season
Resistance levels: 88150, 90700
Support levels: 75К, 73570, 66830
A small correction to resistance 88.1 - 90.7 is possible before price starts its decline. BTC may try to go deeper, but based on the situation with the market imbalance, lack of driver and support, the price may descend in the medium term and reach the zone of interest and liquidity 75-73.5K.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → False breakdown and pullback before the fallFX:XAUUSD is updating lows within the framework of the changed local trend. The price is testing the liquidity zone of 2852. Possible rebound before further decline
Gold traded near two-week lows below $2,900 in Asian markets on Friday, breaking an eight-week run of gains. The metal is being pressured by a strengthening U.S. dollar amid Trump's new tariff threats and the U.S. economy.
Trump confirmed 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods from March 4 and an additional 10% on Chinese imports. Weak US GDP data (2.3% in Q4) and rising jobless claims also support the dollar.
Traders are waiting for the PCE core price index data to gauge the Fed rate outlook and the impact on gold
Resistance levels: 2869, 2877, 2885
Support levels: 2852, 2834
A false break of 2852 could trigger a pullback to the imbalance zone (2869-2877) or to the liquidity zone (2885) before a further decline. Fundamental and technical background is weak, gold may try to renew the low.
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → A rebound following a rising dollarFX:USDJPY is growing following the dollar. A local reversal is being formed due to US politics and economy
The price stops in the zone of 149.4 - 148.6 after a strong fall. Long-term consolidation is forming a reversal setup, the situation is also supported by the reversal and strengthening of the dollar. Against this background, the Japanese yen is losing positions.
The focus is on the resistance 150.3, if the bulls can keep the defense above this zone, then in the short to medium term the price may strengthen to the trend resistance.
Resistance levels 150.3, 150.95
Support levels: 149.4, 149.15
At the moment we have a downtrend and the potential for counter-trend correction. Everything depends on the dollar and the upcoming news. If the outcome is positive for us, the price may reach 152.3
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Retest of risk zone 2880. A pullback is possibleFX:XAUUSD is breaking the local trend and is testing the panic and risk zone of 2880 as part of the correction. A retest of this area will increase the chances of a trend change
Gold is losing growth due to uncertainty of Trump's tariff plans and economic problems in the US. Contradictory statements from the president are supporting the dollar, while rising bond yields are holding back gold prices.
Markets are waiting for US GDP data: if the figures are lower than forecast (2.3%), gold may rise. Fed speeches are also important, but the key will be Trump's statement, which may change the market sentiment
Technically, locally we have a bearish market structure and in this case we expect the decline to continue after a small correction.
Support levels: 2878, 2888
Resistance levels: 2890, 2907
False breakdown of the above support, after such a strong fall, may form a correction. Initially, the price may head towards 0.5 Fibo, after a small pullback we may test 0.7 Fibo. But then we will have to watch the price reaction.
If the gold will go down, the focus will be on 2880.
If the movement will be difficult and the price will start to test the resistance, then in this case, against the background of high risks, we can return to the growth phase.
Regards R. Linda!
OPUSDT → There's still a chance for an alt seasonBINANCE:OPUSDT is showing positive momentum relative to what bitcoin has put up this night. The coin is in consolidation and testing trend resistance
The main reason for the lack of an altcoin season is bitcoin's huge dominance of the cryptocurrency market. The fall of BTC (open channel to 75K) and further growth after the formation of an intermediate bottom in the 75-80K zone may reduce the dominance phase, which in general will give a chance to the altcoin market, which is going through bad times.
I like OP in the fact that it is not falling in the wake of the flagship, but stands in consolidation, where we have clear boundaries for strategy formation. Focus on resistance: 1.212.
Resistance levels: 1.212
Support levels: 1.044, 0.983
Thus, a break of the resistance at 1.212 could trigger a rally and an attempt to change the trend.
It may happen after correction to 0.5 fibo, or after formation of pre-breakdown consolidation on H1-H4.
The structure of the setup will be broken if the coin starts to break 1.044-0.983.
Regards R. Linda!