Abcdchartpattern
XAUUSD 121 BULLISH (PATTERNS CONFLUENTS) XAUUSD has formed a 121 bullish pattern on the hourly chart formed from X: 1727.511-23 Nov 22 to D 1773.17 15 Dec 22.
The price is trading above the support area 100% AX: 1809.508, resistance level 38% AX: 1841.010
Target1
62% AX: 1861.811
79% AX: 1874.862
Target2
127% XA: 1915.055
162% XA: 1943.284
A Cautious Trend Continuation Idea Bullish Indications
• As per DOW’s theory Price action is registering Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
• Candle Stick pattern show Inverted Hammer is followed by Bullish Engulfing candle which indicates Bulls are in control.
• Support zone is at 1.23386 which can help price bounce up to continue bullish trend.
• Linear Regression Channel with standard deviation 2 is used as trend line Support and Resistance. It is evident Price has respected
median line and moved back up.
• Support Zone confluences with Fib Level 78.6% and price has respected it.
• Formation of Bullish Pennant , which indicates continuation of current trend.
• As per Seasonal Analysis, BXY remain Bullish until closing of 2nd week of January 2023 with an increment of
2.35% from December 2022. It is
safe to say it can sustain to close bullish for January Month.
• On the other hand, as per last 10 years seasonal BXY remain slightly bearish in January month.
• Macro Analysis on 1 Day Time-Frame trend is Bullish.
• Micro analysis on 15 Minutes Time-Frame Trend remains Bullish.
• Hidden Bullish Divergence spotted on RSI oscillator.
• Average Directional Index , which measures the trend direction strength and its value is at 31.96 which indicates trend is strong.
Bearish Indications
• Price action is approaching Resistance zone at 1.24103 which can bounce back.
• DXY index analysis shows it to be testing a major support area which can provide a cushion for a bounce back which can result in trend
reversal upon confirmation.
• AB=CD Harmonic Pattern indicates a reversal in trend is possible in area of 1.24526. But we can be only sure of reversal of trend if DOW’s
theory is valid for the trend.
• 10 years Seasonal analysis of DXY show it remain Bullish in January.
• BXY index analysis shows it to be approaching a major resistance zone which can bounce back the trend.
Analysis Takeaways:
As per facts available to us and projections we can assume that it is quite possible that trend will continue to be bullish with a short-term bounce back from resistance area and again will continue as biased. However, we can’t reject the possibility of trend reversal into a bearish trend as per market sentiments so we need to be cautious and safely take what we can until that happens.
Bias : Long
Plan (Long)
Entry Long: 1.23677 (Fib Lvl 88.6%)
TP: 1.24543 (Fib Lvl 100%)
TP2 : 1.25936 (Fib Lvl 1.27%)
Stop Loss: 123.066 (Fib level of 78.6%)
Risk/Reward: 1:3.94
Manage your Risk Accordingly and Remember Stop Loss is your friend.
If this post was useful to you, do not forget to like and comment.
🔠 The ABCD PatternThe ABCD is a basic harmonic pattern. All other patterns derive from it. The pattern consists of 3 price swings. The lines AB and CD are called “legs”, while the line BC is referred to as a correction or a retracement. AB and CD tend to have approximately the same size. A bullish ABCD pattern follows a downtrend and means that a reversal to the upside is likely. A bearish ABCD pattern is formed after an uptrend and signals a potential bearish reversal at a certain level. The rules for trading bullish and bearish ABCD patterns are the same, you will just need to take into account the direction of the pattern you trade and the movement of the market it predicts.
🔷Classic ABCD
The point C should be at 61.8%-78.6% of AB. The point D, in its turn, should be at the 127.2%-161.8% Fibonacci expansion of BC.
Notice that a 61.8% retracement at the point C tends to result in the 161.8% projection of BC, while a 78.6% retracement at the C point will lead to the 127% projection.
🔷AB = CD
Here CD has exactly the same length as AB. In addition, it takes the market the equal time to travel from A to B as from C to D. As a Result, AB and CD have the same angle. This type of ABCD pattern is seen quite often and is popular among traders.
🔷ABCD Extension
ABCD extension refers to when CD is the 127.2%-161.8% extension of AB. CD can be even 2 times (or more) bigger than AB. There actually are some signs that can hint that CD will be much longer than AB. They are a gap after point C or big candlesticks near point C.
📊Trading with ABCD pattern
The key thing you should remember is that you can enter the trade only after the price reached the point D.
Study the chart looking at the price’s highs and lows. It may be helpful to use ZigZag indicator (Insert – Indicators – Custom – ZigZag) that marks the chart’s swings.
Watch the price as it forms AB and BC. In a bullish ABCD, C must be lower than A and should be the intermediate high after the low at B. Point D must be a new low below B.
When the market arrives at a point, where D may be situated, don’t rush into a trade. Use some techniques to make sure that the price reversed up (or down if it’s a bearish ABCD).
The best scenario is a reversal candlestick pattern. A buy order may be set at or above the high of the candle at point D.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
USDJPY: A Bullish reversal ideaBearish Indications
• As per Dow’s theory trend is bearish.
• Key resistance is at 129.570
• 4H Time-Frame overall trend is bearish.
• Seasonal Analysis of USDJPY remain Bearish in January.
• However Seasonal Analysis of JXY for past 10 years January remain bearish.
Bullish Indications
• 4H Time-Frame Higher Low is formed and confirmation of Bullish trend can be ascertaining once Higher High is established.
• On 15M Time-Frame a bullish trend of Higher Highs and Higher Lows is clearly evident.
• Bullish Engulfing/ Three White Soldiers candles are visible.
• Next Support is at 126.459
• Formation of AB=CD indicates a reversal is possible in area of 128.096 and signs of bullish candles put weight to this theory.
• Seasonal analysis of DXY for past 10 years indicates it to remain bullish in January.
• No Divergence is Spotted on RSI Oscillator.
Biased: Long
Plan A (Long)
Entry Long: 1.06255 (Fib Lvl 61.8%)
TP: 130.089 (Fib Lvl 38.2%)
TP2 : 131.937 (Fib Lvl 61.8%)
Stop Loss: 127.826 (Point D of ABCD Pattern)
Risk/Reward: 1:1.18
Manage your Risk Accordingly.
If this post was useful to you, do not forget to like and comment.
SUNTECK REALTYHello and welcome to this analysis
In the monthly time frame it formed a Bearish Harmonic ABCD in JAN 2022 near 590 and since then has retraced 62% of its last leg.
In the weekly time frame it has formed a Bullish Harmonic Gartley around 315 suggesting the correction is most likely over.
It can be a good stock to accumulate between 330-370 for upside levels of 420-500-650. The view would be considered invalid below 285.
Good risk reward set up for medium to long term at the current level.
Happy Investing
BTCUSDT short up-to-dateSome correlations between Fibonacci ratios on retracement and AB=CD with oscillators Ehler's Smoothed Stochastic and Even Better Cinewave . Price action below weekly Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA-20) is a strong bearish signal to look forward to a bear trend continuation, assuming that we have an intraday upthrust (distribution) movement and a potential bearish breakout That's a very good point of entry for shorts in the crypto market. I'm maintaining my 14.6% Fibonacci target to the expected Head and Shoulders correction.
GOING LONG IN AAPLBullish Indications (BIASED LONG)
1. Morning Star Formation at the Point D
2. Bounced back from major support which was tested before 2 times
3. Bullish Divergence
4. Bullish AB=CD Pattern found
5. Price will go up for correction
Bearish Indications
1. Lower Highs and Lows
2. Price will continue its bearish trend if it breaks the support level
Tesla...Do dead cats ever bounce ?Looking for Tesla (TSLA) to produce a Wolfe Wave bottom in the mid to low $130's over the next several days.
(That said this is so oversold it may not get there.)
This achieved I have an early February 2023 target of $190.
Not investment advice ... do your own due diligence.
Momentum oscillators in the bottom pane should give an early warning.
Seasons Greetings Merry Xmas.
S.