West Texas Crude(WTI )....Positive Swans, Bats and Wolfves Picking bottoms particularly recently in the oil (WTI) complex, sometimes produces sticky fingers.
That said, one could build a technical analysis case for a bottom formation at current levels.
A) Longer term we have a completion of a Harmonic Bat. (insert)
B) Shorter term turn we have :
1) A completed Wolfe Wave
2) Black Swan harmonic formation
3) An ABCD formation going back to last August.
4) Oct/Nov double top target hit
5) Mildly positive momentum divergence
So how do you play this.
I would certainly give WTI a chance to find a bottom and advance upward
A penetration of 3 of the Wolfe Wave provides an entry point at $73.65(marked)
Then a Wolfe Wave Target is set up for late January at the $85 area.
Using the Black Swan harmonic we get targets as marked.
If this the best way to play bottoming oil ? Probably not but its a signpost to play your favorite horse.
Please note... Fed activity next week, year end illiquidity and Eastern European events should magnify WTI's volatility going forward.
Good Luck and I will update as needed.
Not investment advice, do your own due diligence.
S.
Abcdchartpattern
LTTSHello & welcome to this analysis
LTTS from May 2021 lows formed a Bullish Harmonic Bat in July 2022. From there it has almost given a 62% retracement to now form a Bearish ABCD Pattern suggesting some consolidation to pullback till 3900 until it starts sustaining above 4400.
Not an area to go aggressive fresh long right now, more of a pullback for entry and then a likely rally for 5400 and more.
Hope this analysis is of help to both traders and investors
Why I opened BTC short when price rejected at 17.4K. Hi everyone, in this analysis I will explain why I opened short position when BTC was rejected at 17.4K level which was upper band of rising wedge/diagonal resistance and 4h 200 EMA. Before that I noticed ABCD pattern which started forming at 15.5K swing low in 22 November/ A point/ and finished at 17256 in 01 December/ D point/. BTC rejected at the mentioned zone with liquidity hunt above D point then strong rejection with bearish engulfing candle=RSI bearish divergence + momentum losing+ rising wedge pattern breakdown. My first target will be at 0.618 fib level /16.5K/ which is horizontal+ diagonal support at the same time. If price can't hold 16.5K C point will be my 2d target for ABCD pattern and 100% projection of CD wave. I don't expect BTC to go lower. If you pay attention to the volume bars, there is no buying pressure. Let's see how BTC reacts at 16.5K support level. Don't forget to put always stop losses.
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Don't forget to check my other analyses bellow related ideas.
GOLD:BUY From Pullback 1757.500 For a New LONG Setup GOLD as predicted yesterday still in a Bullish momentum where today the breakout and pullback of the 1757.500 areas can help the price to grow more inside the bullish channel after the rebound on the 61.8% FIBO level. Today the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and the JOLTS Job Openings with negative forecast for USD can help the price to grow in its favor. We are looking for a new Long impulse.
Gold.... a new Dawn or just another Sunset ??An update of my October 14th note.
Two Harmonic patterns still remain in force after recent challenges. (ABCD and Crab)
Possible triple bottom in place around the $1620 area.
We have effectively reached the first ABCD target.
An arc has been added to give context and show support levels
I should expect some retreat from Fridays $50+ rise, $1670 remains critical support for longer term appreciation.
Supply resistance levels are $1680 and $1732.
Miners should lag as their margins are under pressure and I expect year-end tax selling. But pay attention to the HUI, GDX and GDXJ.
Jury is till out if this is a major reversal. If it is the there is no need for FOMO.
Stay cautious and nibble.
As always not investment advice and DYODD
Good trading.
S.
SPX- surprise Rally aheadThe 5 th wave fall on 3rd Nov'22 had not moved down the index significantly.
hence we must recall the wave count that ,the correction (5 wave downfall ) is completed in the form of a neutral triangle abcde.
Provided the low of 3rd Nov'22 (3698) respected(should not break).
If this is so, until 11th Nov, all 5 waves of Expanding triangle A,B,C,D,E has been completed, and a new recovery wave ABC (3 waves)will start.
This may begin with a santa claus rally from 14th Nov'22
GOING LONG IN XAUUSDI am taking a long position in the Gold pair because it created a new Higher Low (HL) after Higher High (HH) also according to the fib tool it takes a retracement of 0.236 level.
It also makes an AB=CD Harmonic Pattern so hopefully, it will make a new Higher High (HH) by creating a CD Pattern with the same length as AB
It also creates an Elliot Wave Cycle as a 0 to 1 Point is formed and from Point 1 to Point 2 it takes a 0.236 retracement now it will pump again to make a new Point which is 3
NZDCAD || GOING LONG || W7LONG-TERM BULLISH TRADE
Time Frame : 4H
1. DOW Theory >>> UPTREND
2. UPWARD TRENDLINE
3. AB=CD
4. HL @ 0.236 of fab retracement
TRADE PLAN >>>
Placing Buy Stop Order above the S&R Level
SL will be just below last HL
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck 💪
Always Remember!
All strategies are GOOD if managed Properly
Trend is your FRIEND
Too much analysis leads to paralysis
LINKUSDT 2nd Bear LegAfter a recovery rally that reaches the upper trendline of the descending triangle, the price action appears to be printing a Head and Shoulders formation, the right shoulder can be formed after a possible reaction from the green box area (local support), then the price can turn to react to volume POC Level @ USDT6.4 which is the same level as the low of the September 1M inside bar Candlestick pattern. The decreasing breakout of the ascending micro wedge has placed the Fisher Transform oscillator in a bearish crossover, which suggests a possible 2nd leg swing below the entry POC. The previous swing made an ABC retracement of 0.549, which AB=CD (0,548 ==> 1,825) reciprocal points to a harmonic target @USDT4.9, being TP2 previously speculated with a 14.6% Fibonacci retracement at the key level.
Bandhan BankHello and welcome to this analysis
Upon completing a Bearish 5-0 Harmonic pattern it has formed a Bullish Harmonic AB=CD (62/162) at 225 and at the same time activated another Bullish Harmonic AB=CD (38/224) 225-215 PRZ.
Bullish reversal is being seen today. As long as its above 215 it can do 250/275. Accumulate in the zone of 225-235
Good risk reward set up at current level
Happy Investing
Worries for XAUUSD BullsGood day traders,
We see the XAUUSD/ #Gold respect our previous analysis , we now have a clear undrstanding of where the Gold commodity is headed. We believe that our next target is 1567 from which the price will begin to grow again. We are currently slightly oversold on the lower timeframes thus we anticipate a minor retracement. We can not confirm this retracement but can confirm that XAUUSD will remain bearish on the daily timeframe below 1600.
What are your thought on this? Please share your thoughts below.
Disclaimer
NASDAQ Guru offers general trading signals that does not take into consideration your own trading experiences, personal objectives and goals, financial means, or risk tolerance.
Spiked Neckline from this bearish pennantLINKUSDT spiked closely @ TP1 which is a harmonic AB=CD pattern target from a breakdown of the prior low 1M candlestick inside bar. Reacting now from the volume POC. A complex Head and Shoulders can be validated after a pullback to neckline. Plus potential bullish Butterfly target.