🔠 The ABCD PatternThe ABCD is a basic harmonic pattern. All other patterns derive from it. The pattern consists of 3 price swings. The lines AB and CD are called “legs”, while the line BC is referred to as a correction or a retracement. AB and CD tend to have approximately the same size. A bullish ABCD pattern follows a downtrend and means that a reversal to the upside is likely. A bearish ABCD pattern is formed after an uptrend and signals a potential bearish reversal at a certain level. The rules for trading bullish and bearish ABCD patterns are the same, you will just need to take into account the direction of the pattern you trade and the movement of the market it predicts.
🔷Classic ABCD
The point C should be at 61.8%-78.6% of AB. The point D, in its turn, should be at the 127.2%-161.8% Fibonacci expansion of BC.
Notice that a 61.8% retracement at the point C tends to result in the 161.8% projection of BC, while a 78.6% retracement at the C point will lead to the 127% projection.
🔷AB = CD
Here CD has exactly the same length as AB. In addition, it takes the market the equal time to travel from A to B as from C to D. As a Result, AB and CD have the same angle. This type of ABCD pattern is seen quite often and is popular among traders.
🔷ABCD Extension
ABCD extension refers to when CD is the 127.2%-161.8% extension of AB. CD can be even 2 times (or more) bigger than AB. There actually are some signs that can hint that CD will be much longer than AB. They are a gap after point C or big candlesticks near point C.
📊Trading with ABCD pattern
The key thing you should remember is that you can enter the trade only after the price reached the point D.
Study the chart looking at the price’s highs and lows. It may be helpful to use ZigZag indicator (Insert – Indicators – Custom – ZigZag) that marks the chart’s swings.
Watch the price as it forms AB and BC. In a bullish ABCD, C must be lower than A and should be the intermediate high after the low at B. Point D must be a new low below B.
When the market arrives at a point, where D may be situated, don’t rush into a trade. Use some techniques to make sure that the price reversed up (or down if it’s a bearish ABCD).
The best scenario is a reversal candlestick pattern. A buy order may be set at or above the high of the candle at point D.
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Abcdchartpattern
USDJPY: A Bullish reversal ideaBearish Indications
• As per Dow’s theory trend is bearish.
• Key resistance is at 129.570
• 4H Time-Frame overall trend is bearish.
• Seasonal Analysis of USDJPY remain Bearish in January.
• However Seasonal Analysis of JXY for past 10 years January remain bearish.
Bullish Indications
• 4H Time-Frame Higher Low is formed and confirmation of Bullish trend can be ascertaining once Higher High is established.
• On 15M Time-Frame a bullish trend of Higher Highs and Higher Lows is clearly evident.
• Bullish Engulfing/ Three White Soldiers candles are visible.
• Next Support is at 126.459
• Formation of AB=CD indicates a reversal is possible in area of 128.096 and signs of bullish candles put weight to this theory.
• Seasonal analysis of DXY for past 10 years indicates it to remain bullish in January.
• No Divergence is Spotted on RSI Oscillator.
Biased: Long
Plan A (Long)
Entry Long: 1.06255 (Fib Lvl 61.8%)
TP: 130.089 (Fib Lvl 38.2%)
TP2 : 131.937 (Fib Lvl 61.8%)
Stop Loss: 127.826 (Point D of ABCD Pattern)
Risk/Reward: 1:1.18
Manage your Risk Accordingly.
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VIB/USDT Long AnalysisAscending Triangle
There is a 90% difference between A-B at the beginning of the ascending triangle, and after the triangle is broken, there is a 90% probability of rising between C and D. Maybe more later.
SUNTECK REALTYHello and welcome to this analysis
In the monthly time frame it formed a Bearish Harmonic ABCD in JAN 2022 near 590 and since then has retraced 62% of its last leg.
In the weekly time frame it has formed a Bullish Harmonic Gartley around 315 suggesting the correction is most likely over.
It can be a good stock to accumulate between 330-370 for upside levels of 420-500-650. The view would be considered invalid below 285.
Good risk reward set up for medium to long term at the current level.
Happy Investing
BTCUSDT short up-to-dateSome correlations between Fibonacci ratios on retracement and AB=CD with oscillators Ehler's Smoothed Stochastic and Even Better Cinewave . Price action below weekly Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA-20) is a strong bearish signal to look forward to a bear trend continuation, assuming that we have an intraday upthrust (distribution) movement and a potential bearish breakout That's a very good point of entry for shorts in the crypto market. I'm maintaining my 14.6% Fibonacci target to the expected Head and Shoulders correction.
GOING LONG IN AAPLBullish Indications (BIASED LONG)
1. Morning Star Formation at the Point D
2. Bounced back from major support which was tested before 2 times
3. Bullish Divergence
4. Bullish AB=CD Pattern found
5. Price will go up for correction
Bearish Indications
1. Lower Highs and Lows
2. Price will continue its bearish trend if it breaks the support level
Tesla...Do dead cats ever bounce ?Looking for Tesla (TSLA) to produce a Wolfe Wave bottom in the mid to low $130's over the next several days.
(That said this is so oversold it may not get there.)
This achieved I have an early February 2023 target of $190.
Not investment advice ... do your own due diligence.
Momentum oscillators in the bottom pane should give an early warning.
Seasons Greetings Merry Xmas.
S.
Aurora Cannibis (ACB) Is the Bad Trip Over Yet ?Its hard to believe this stock has lost over 99% from its 2018 high.
Early, mid and even recent cannabis adopters have been crushed.
Was it hype, hubris or too much indulgence of the product ? Who knows .
Ours is to find a profitable trading plan with the odds in our favour.
There have been many points along the way to establish long positions, but like the product, they quickly wore off. (The most recent was this October.)
I am suggesting another such situation exist here.
The weight of evidence suggests a recent short term bottom and a long side opportunity.
Harmonically the confluence of a Gartley, Cypher and ABCD patterns should signal at least a reversal.
Additionally selling pressure may be abate once yearend tax loss selling is over.
I have clearly marked a roadmap for entry, stop and target points.
Additionally I need my or your momentum indicator to "roll up".
Once in, manage the trade.
I will follow up and advise of any action.
Not investment advice, do your own due diligence.
Peace
S.
p.s. Let the price re-challenge the $1.17 area for entry and ignore todays wide range.
West Texas Crude(WTI )....Positive Swans, Bats and Wolfves Picking bottoms particularly recently in the oil (WTI) complex, sometimes produces sticky fingers.
That said, one could build a technical analysis case for a bottom formation at current levels.
A) Longer term we have a completion of a Harmonic Bat. (insert)
B) Shorter term turn we have :
1) A completed Wolfe Wave
2) Black Swan harmonic formation
3) An ABCD formation going back to last August.
4) Oct/Nov double top target hit
5) Mildly positive momentum divergence
So how do you play this.
I would certainly give WTI a chance to find a bottom and advance upward
A penetration of 3 of the Wolfe Wave provides an entry point at $73.65(marked)
Then a Wolfe Wave Target is set up for late January at the $85 area.
Using the Black Swan harmonic we get targets as marked.
If this the best way to play bottoming oil ? Probably not but its a signpost to play your favorite horse.
Please note... Fed activity next week, year end illiquidity and Eastern European events should magnify WTI's volatility going forward.
Good Luck and I will update as needed.
Not investment advice, do your own due diligence.
S.