BTC: What if the real bull run is just beginning?🚀 BTC/USD – Weekly buy signal on the way?
📈 EMA 7 / SMA 20 crossover validated on a weekly basis
✅ Long-term bullish trend
⏸️ Short-term trend neutral
In my opinion, a bullish continuation in the long-term remains possible, particularly via an AB = CD structure for patient investors.
Of course, in small time frames, volatility will be present, but the underlying trend remains positive.
📌 Pivotal zone to break:
104,432 – 109,396 USD
➡️ A break of this resistance would provide a real boost to the bullish trend.
Next? Let's close our eyes... and let the position run.
⚠️ Analysis for educational purposes – not financial advice.
💬 Do you believe this weekly signal? Or are you staying on the sidelines for now?
AB=CD
EURUSD Bullish Continuation OutlookFX:EURUSD has been trading in a bullish trend. Currently price is retesting the previous resistance level, as well as 0.618 fib. Hidden bullish divergence can be observed on the chart, in addition to regular bullish divergence on lower timeframes (1 & 4 hour).
I am expecting bullish continuation from here to complete the price projections!
Dow offering buyers much to work with!The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DOW) is clearly trending higher, pencilling in a series of higher highs and higher lows. Supporting this trend is the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 42,816 crossing above the 200-day SMA at 42,749; this is referred to as a ‘Golden Cross’ and suggests a longer-term uptrend may be on the table.
This, coupled with the recent ‘alternate’ AB=CD bullish formation (1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio) completing at support from 43,877, has already seen buyers step in (with stops potentially located south of the 1.618% Fibonacci projection ratio of 43,637). The next upside objective from here rests around resistance at 45,058, closely shadowed by the all-time high of 45,073.
Written by the FP Markets Research Team
Where Could Bitcoin Make Its Cycle Top? Model and ABCD AlignedWith the breakout above resistance around 110,000, Bitcoin’s rally appears to be back on track. If you've been following our crypto analysis, either here or on our website, you’ll know our target range for this bull cycle is between 135,000 and 150,000, with the top of the range possibly extending further depending on the strength of the final wave.
Now, a possible ABCD pattern is forming, with point D potentially landing at either 135,000 or 150,000. A coincidence? Maybe, maybe not.
How Did We Arrive at the 135K–150K Target?
We based this range on historical halving cycle returns:
Halving Year - Return to Cycle Top
2012 - 9,076%
2016 - 2,122% (↓ 4.27x)
2020 - 541% (↓ 3.92x)
Two things stand out:
Each cycle has shown diminishing returns.
The rate of decline appears roughly consistent, dropping by around 4x each time—but slightly less with each cycle.
So depending on the multiplier used:
If returns fall by 4.27x again → target: 135K
If reduced by 4x → target: 140K
If reduced by 3.92x → target: 142K
If the rate of reduction itself slows (difference of 0.35 between 4.27 and 3.92) → target: 150K
While the sample size is too small, we believe the model holds reasonable logic with fundamental backing from various metrics.
The chart now shows a possible ABCD pattern:
If it becomes a classic AB = CD structure, point D could form near 135K.
If it becomes an extended ABCD (with CD = AB × 1.272), then point D could reach just above 150K.
These technical targets align closely with our halving model projections, increasing our confidence in the 135K–150K range as a likely top zone for this cycle.
Also, please check our earlier post for possible altseason start. A correlation between BTC/ETH and Gold/Silver might give some tips about possible Ether surge.
TURBO: Next Leg Higher in Progress📈 CRYPTO:TURBOUSD is building momentum after holding key support levels, with Elliott Wave projections pointing toward the equal legs target zone at $0.008–$0.011. The recent bullish structure suggests continuation, especially following its Binance US listing and strong community backing.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Potential Move from $43,600 to $120,000Description:
Based on the current weekly chart analysis for Bitcoin / Tether Standard Futures (BTCUSDT), there is a significant potential for Bitcoin to move from $43,600 to $120,000. Below are the key points observed:
Current Price: Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $54,806.45, down by 5.75%.
Elliott Wave Analysis:
The chart indicates a potential ABC correction pattern.
Wave A has completed, and Bitcoin is currently in Wave B, which suggests an upcoming bullish Wave C.
Support and Resistance Levels:
The primary support level is at $39,987.31.
The significant resistance level and target is the area around $120,000.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
38.2% Retracement: $31,145.00
50.0% Retracement: $23,356.00
61.8% Retracement: $15,568.00
Indicators:
RSI shows potential bullish divergence indicating a possible upward move.
Volume profile indicates strong accumulation in the lower price ranges.
Extrem Buy Alert: The chart highlights an "EXTREM BUY ALERT," suggesting that the current levels could be a significant buying opportunity before the expected upward move.
Chart Details:
Timeframe: Weekly (1W)
Ticker: BTCUSDT.PS
Exchange: Binance
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on historical data and technical indicators. It is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
Bitcoin Makes New ATH – Next Sequence in Play 🚀 CRYPTO:BTCUSD has officially broken into new all-time highs, confirming the next bullish sequence is underway.
The upside projection now opens toward the $135K–$144K zone, aligning with long-term Fibonacci extensions and cycle projections.
📌 As always, it won’t be a straight line—expect step-by-step progress, with consolidations and pullbacks along the way. But the structure remains bullish, and the path is unfolding.
Brace Yourselves: EURAUD’s Harmonic Storm Is Coming!Good morning, Traders ☀️
I've identified a bullish harmonic Bat pattern on the EURAUD pair.
At this stage, I'm only anticipating a reactional buy from the marked zone.
I'll determine my target level after observing the market's response from that area.
📌 I’ll be sharing the target details under this post once the reaction unfolds.
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
Another Home Run Trade? Risky & Conservative ApproachesFollowing up a MASSIVE win on the OANDA:EURJPY we may now have a similar trading opportunity setting up on the OANDA:GBPJPY
The premise is the same for this one as we're looking at a potential violation of structure followed by a Bullish continuation setup.
In this video, we'll look at where we think price can extend to, what needs to happen before we can make that prediction, and both a risky and conservative technique to get involved in the move.
Please let me know how you would approach this setup!
Akil
BSE - BUY THE FEAR, SELL THE GREED !"Buy the fear, sell on greed" is an investment strategy that means you should buy assets when most investors are scared and selling (during periods of fear), and sell those assets when most investors are excited and buying (during periods of greed).
Why does this work?
⦁ When fear dominates the market, prices often drop below their true value because people panic and sell at low prices. This creates opportunities for disciplined investors to buy quality assets at a discount.
⦁ When greed takes over, prices often rise above their real worth because people are eager to buy, hoping for quick gains. This is usually a good time to sell, as the risk of a downturn increases.
How do emotions affect markets?
⦁ Fear leads to panic selling, causing prices to fall further and often locking in losses for those who sell at the bottom.
⦁ Greed leads to speculative buying, driving prices higher and sometimes creating bubbles that eventually burst.
Why is it hard to follow?
⦁ While the idea is simple, it is emotionally difficult to buy when everyone else is pessimistic and selling, or to sell when everyone else is optimistic and buying. Most people act on emotion rather than logic, which is why few consistently succeed with this approach.
Practical example:
During a market crash, negative news and panic cause many to sell at low prices. A disciplined investor who buys during this fear can benefit when the market recovers. Conversely, when markets are booming and everyone is rushing to buy, selling at this point can help lock in gains before a potential correction.
Key takeaway:
This strategy is about removing emotion from investing decisions and taking a contrarian approach—buying when others are fearful and selling when others are greedy—rather than following the crowd. This approach has been used by successful investors like Warren Buffett to achieve long-term success by focusing on value and maintaining emotional discipline.
A Good Trade & An Even Better Trading LessonA good trading idea on the GBPUSD, looking at a potential bearish trend continuation trade using a breakout & pullback technique. But an even better trading lesson on the importance of having rules for how to analyze the market so that you can avoid confusion and/or conflicting signals.
If you have any questions or comments please leave them below.
Akil
#EURNZD:Price accumulated now time for distribution! Price completed accumulated and now we expecting a strong bullish price distribution. Next week we can see price going and crossing our target with strong bullish volume kicking in the market. Price may go beyond 2.20 region; let's see how it goes.
Good luck and trade safe!
Team Setupsfx_
#USDCHF: Will USD Breakthrough The Strong Bearish Downtrend? The USDCHF currency pair has experienced significant volatility due to the ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China, which has led to a substantial decline in the DXY index. Consequently, CHF and JPY have emerged as the most stable currencies in the market.
Despite the USDCHF currency pair reversing its bullish trend, we anticipate a potential reversal back to a bearish position. We believe this reversal may be a temporary trap, and the currency pair is likely to regain its bullish position in the future.
There are two potential areas where the USDCHF currency pair could reverse from its current trend. The first area is relatively early, and if the USDCHF currency pair crosses a specific region, we may have a second safe option that could provide greater stability.
We extend our best wishes and best of luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly appreciated.
If you wish to contribute, here are several ways you can assist us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
NOTUSDT UPDATE 07/02/25Liquidity cluster above: A significant band of liquidation levels exists above 0.00178–0.00180, where market makers likely enticed longs and are now ready to reverse.
Thin liquidity zones below: The area from 0.00174 down to 0.001675 has less dense heat, suggesting an easy path for a quick move down.
Last price reaction: Price recently tagged upper high-liquidity levels, followed by rejection and an initial roll over.
Top-Down Analysis in Action – Live Trade: Where I Enter and WhyIn this video, I walk you through my full trading process – starting with a clean top-down analysis.
I begin on the daily chart to spot key market structure and levels, then zoom in to the 1-hour chart for confirmation, and finally execute my trade on the 5-minute chart.
You’ll see:
✔️ How I define my zones and structure
✔️ Why I wait for confluence across timeframes
✔️ Exactly where and why I enter the trade
Just real analysis and real trades.
If you’re looking to improve your entries and learn how to align multiple timeframes, this one’s for you.
🔔 Don’t forget to like, comment & subscribe for more real-time trading content!
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Pudgy Penguins PENGU Bullish Reversal Taking Shape🐧 Pudgy Penguins BINANCE:PENGUUSDT has bounced twice from the $0.009–$0.008 buying zone, showing resilience despite the choppy structure. As long as the June low holds, the setup favors a higher low formation next month, potentially setting the stage for the next impulsive leg higher.
Momentum is building — now it’s about follow-through and confirmation.
TAOBOT Bullish ReversalWill UNISWAP:TAOBOTWETH_8FE920.USD outperform BINANCE:TAOUSD ?
After the failed early June bounce, price completed a double correction into the $0.195–$0.12 equal legs zone, triggering a sharp 90% reaction higher.
As long as $0.19 holds, the setup favors continuation to the upside, with a break above the May peak in focus.
FARTCOIN Bullish Reversal in Progress
CRYPTO:FARTCOINUSD 3-swing correction from the May peak appears complete, even though price didn’t quite tag the $0.75 entry zone.
Now, the spotlight’s on the bulls — can they deliver an impulsive rally off the lows to invalidate a potential double correction next month?