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ACB

Analyse - Long Term vision for Aurora Cannabis $ACBLogarythmic View : Nice bounce on the LT Trend line , Support need to be confirmed RSI is increasing and is repeating a 2-year-old pattern that with pure coincidence occured from May to August at that time... Damn god is it so easy ? Just play repeat and smash it off ? Well let's see ! The funny thing is that it's really similar to BTC charts ! To sum up : Huge Potential Upside guys Moreover, Pot Stocks & Cannabis industry are going very well. Good News are coming from everywhere , even for Cronos Group , Tilray , Zyne Pharm. and so on... Government and Laws are becoming more & more flexible towards CBD stuffs which provide a answer for Physical Human issues (sickness , cancers, pains... ) And our Generation is changing, globalized , curious of everything, and everyone know what is it. Consumption & Adoption have begun in the early ages, and now it's going Industrial, Big ! Keep an eye on ! ***This is not a financial advise*** (ykwm) Nico Don Crypto
ALong
by NicoDCrypto
Day Trading - Only Strong Trend Days Day Trading - Only Strong Trend Days (Can also be used on HTF) There are generally only 2-5 strong trend days a month. The majority of trading days are some form of trading range days, either within a range or a weak channel which reverses and forms a trading range. On strong trend days the market offers what most traders want - a high probability of a large reward, with a tolerable risk. Usually the risk feels greater (and often is) on a strong trend day because there is a sense of urgency, and the bars are often bigger than normal. On trading range days the bars tend to be smaller, offering what appears to be a lower reward, but there are many more failures and reversals. This makes it very difficult to identify a good setup, and even when there is one the market does not make it very far before there is an opposite reversal. This lures unsuspecting traders in, who continue fighting the market taking every trade or only the losers. This type of market is like a boa constrictor. The more you fight, the more you struggle, the tighter its grip and the harder it is to overcome the draw downs and emotional fatigue. Because these types of days are hard to trade and do not offer what I want (a good chance at a large reward), I choose to sit these days out. Instead, I wait for a strong trend day, and then continue to wait some more for a pullback and my edge. Does this mean I miss out on some good moves? Sure. But I do not care. I trade to win, not to trade for fun. It does not matter what I miss, it only matters what I take and the actions I make in the market. So how does a trader know if the day is a trading range day or likely to become a strong trend day and should be traded? In order to help guide you, here are some common characteristics of a trend day. "......" After the above has been identified - it is still better to wait for a pullback and an edge like a "......." This increases the likelihood of a good trade with a strong traders equation. It also helps decrease stress of prices going against the position as it often does when you just enter at the market or without an edge. Of course, waiting is not easy. Just like Tom Petty said "Waiting is the hardest part!" Does this mean you are less likely to lose? Usually, but not always. Even with trend trades fail, although less often. It is absolutely possible to lose money selling in a bear trend or vice versa. The key is to continue onward, and enter the next with trend trade if there is one. If not, or it also fails, prices are more than likely in a trading range and you just haven't yet realized it. If this is the case, it is often better to stop trading and wait for a strong trend day, rather than continuing to fight the market when it is not offering what you expected. **These ideas and strategies can also be applied to higher time frames and long term investing. "..." = withheld material from original post (members only material). If you found this helpful please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions
by tradersmentality
ACB Long ATM StraddleCannabis stocks have the possibility to move a lot in a short period of time, as regulatory changes on whims have huge impact on the market size to which Cannabis companies can sell their products. Although our stance is that the cannabis industry is likely to become even more volatile as more regulatory developments and sector-wide shake-outs leave only the leading firms, the reason we are particularly interested in the ACB long straddle is because of the low IVR. We are entering into a near-the-money straddle on $ACB by longing the July calls and puts with a strike of $7.50, for a $.70 debit. The breakevens are below 6.80 and above 8.20. As a long straddle, the maximum loss occurs if the stock price S is at the strike k of 7.50 at maturity in July. Taking long positions on both of these options is very cheap because the implied volatility is subdued -- with an Implied Volatility Rank of 4.3. Also, Aurora in particular has not joined big partnerships, contrasting the alignments with Canopy Growth ($CGC) and Constellation Brands ($STZ), Cronos Group ($CRON) and Altria ($MO), Tilray ($TLRY) with Anheuser-Busch InBev (BUD) and Novatris ($NVS), and HEXO($HEXO) with Molson Coors ($TAP). Announcement of any partnership, which is likely as billionaire private equity specialist Nelson Peltz recently joined with the intent to line up possible partners, would have a huge impact on the stock price. In January, Aurora Chief Corporate Officer Cam Battley told Business Insider that he would be looking to release “hemp-derived CBD strategy” into the U.S. market in the “next few months” in January. Five months later, we still don’t know what the surprise is. It could come within the next few months.
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by LaurenTrading
MJ Breakout Mode - Expanding TriangleMJ is the center of a large bull flag trading range and expanding triangle. Last week formed a second entry for a higher low and a potential start of a second leg up. The selling pressure down from the 38 lower high has not been strong, but the directional probability at this location is close to 50/50 with a slight bull advantage. There are still bull gaps open below, but not yet a clear and strong higher low. The bulls will need to keep these gaps open to increase the likelihood of strong bull trend resumption. More likely there will be profit taking at new highs and lows, and failed breakouts, contributing to the large expanding triangle. If you found this helpful please like and share! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
AMEX:MJ
by tradersmentality
TLRY Bull Follow through from parabolic wedge bull flag So far this week is a bull follow through bar. The bull breakout gap is still open below. The bulls will likely get two legs sideways to up even if only a small rally and test of the 78 tight trading range. If the bulls get strong consecutive bars over the coming weeks, it will increase the likelihood of a second leg up and test of the 160 high. If instead, the rally is week, the bears will look to sell around the 100 lower high and once again try for a test of the open. If you found this helpful please like and share. Feel free to comment or ask questions.
NASDAQ:TLRY
by tradersmentality
ACB 50/50 Bull Flag Trading Range - Breakout ModeACB is currently in the dead center of the bull flag trading range, and a converging triangle. This is where the directional probability is very close to 50/50. However the bulls have a slight advantage because it is a bull flag trading range, and there are bull gaps below. Prices are currently stalling at the failed bear reversal, where trapped bears may soon buy and contribute to a rally. However there is no valid but setup yet this week. The Bears want a test of the 7 low, and to fill the bull breakout gap. If this gap is filled, it will decrease the bull strength and prices will likely remain range bound for the next 20-40 bars. If instead the bulls keep the breakout gap open and form a higher low in the coming weeks, it will increase the probability of a test of the all time high and possibly bull trend continuation. But since prices are in a trading range, there will probably be some profit taking and short selling at a new all time high, unless the bull rally and breakout is exceptional. If you found this helpful, please like and share. Feel free to comment or ask questions.
TSX:ACB
by tradersmentality
HEXO Bull Profit Taking HEXO reversed down from a nested parabolic wedge, larger wedge and large low 2. The follow through selling has been good. The bears will likely get a second leg down before taking profits and before the bulls will look to buy again. This market is still in a bull trend, but wedges often lead to two legs sideways to down, convert the market into a trading range (atleast temporarily), and sometimes reverse the market into a bear trend. The bulls will look to form a double bottom or higher low around the $5 low. They will need to keep the bull breakout gap open in order to defend the strength of the bull trend. Otherwise prices are more likely to convert into a bull flag trading range. If you found this helpful, please like and share! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
TSX:TLRY
by tradersmentality
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ENPH Test of all time highThe buying pressure has been strong over the past few months on a test of the all time high. But this market is still in a large trading range, and the buying pressure is climactic. This is more likely a buy vacuum test of the high of the range than the start of a strong bull trend. Instead, there will probably be profit taking around or above the all time high which is just above. The bulls will need a strong breakout above and follow through before a trend is likely to begin. The bull gaps below around $10 will also likely need to be tested first. If you found this helpful, please like and share! Feel free to comment or ask questions
NASDAQ:ENPH
by tradersmentality
ZYNE strong bull breakout or trading range?Although $ZYNE is developing some bull strength, it is still in a large bear trend or trading range. The bulls reversed the market up on the monthly chart from a large high 2, and will probably get some form of a second leg up. However since the IPO this market has been sideways to down, decreasing the likelihood of a strong bull trend developing. The bulls need strong follow through above the 25 lower high and a strong breakout above the all time high in order to convert into a bull trend. Instead, there will likely be resistance around the $23 bear gap, bulls will take profits and bears will try to form a lower high and bear trend continuation. If you found this helpful please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
Z
by tradersmentality
$ACB Weekly AnalysisThe past few weeks have been sideways to down from a lower high, but weak selling pressure. The bears want the lower high to hold and to test the double bottom around $5. Prices are currently in a converging triangle and bull flag trading range as both sides fight for control. If this week closes on its high, it would be a wedge bull flag, double bottom pullback, and also a double bottom with the previous failed bear reversal. If the bulls are able to form a wedge flag soon and keep the 5.25 bull gap open, they will increase the probability of a test of the all time high. Although there will probably be some profit taking at the new high since a trading range. The bears need strong consecutive bear bars and a breakout below the double bottom before the market is clearly no longer controlled by the bulls. If you found this helpful, please like! Feel free to comment or ask questions.
TSX:ACB
by tradersmentality
1
Lessons From an Experienced Trader #2Lesson 4     Know what you want in the market  Contrary to what most believe, successful traders do not actually trade constantly.  Attempting to trade constantly leads to increased commission costs, random trading, and compound mistakes.  In fact, successful traders spend most of their time doing absolutely nothing!  How long does it take to enter an order?  A click of the button.  A few seconds.  Maybe a few minutes at most to create bracket orders.  So what do Professional Traders do the rest of the time?  They wait.  They wait until the market offers what they want or are looking for. Then after entering they wait some more to see if they are right.  They wait for the market to provide them with the information to either hold, or exit. They allow themselves to Be, the trade to Be, the market to Be and do what it is going to do.  They do not force actions or attempt to make the market do what they want.  They wait until the action comes about on its own, until it is natural, a reflex.   If you do not know what it is in the market that you are looking for, you will fold under pressure and confusion.  A Professional Trader knows exactly what he wants (not just to make money), he knows what he is looking for in the market, and is willingness to wait for it to arrive.  By doing so, he is rewarded and paid by the market for his patience and willing to do nothing.  Even if this means not trading for hours, days, or even weeks depending on the time frame.   It is far better to do nothing and avoid unnecessary losses, than to try and create tensions, forced actions, and lose money.  You have to ask yourself "What is more important?  The actual act of trading, or making money?" Lesson 5    Define your edge An edge is what you have defined as being what you want from the market in the previous lesson.  This can be anything from a specific setup, to just plain context like a strong market.  If you do not know what your edge is, you will struggle to perform consistently due to randomness. Many new traders, especially those who follow price action, believe they should be able to trade the market no matter what the context is.  If you think you are just going to walk in to the market, trade based on whatever the market is doing and make money; you are fooling yourself.  Doing so will lead you to trade randomly, entering willy nilly at the market, and make many mistakes which will cost you your profitability.   Do you walk into Walmart or Aldi's without knowing what you want to buy until you get there?  No, you have a list of items, or at least an idea of what you need before you go.  Do you start a business because you woke up this morning and thought it would be nice to own a car wash?  Hopefully not.  You first identify an opportunity, and then create a business model after a lot of research.  Then finally you open the business. Of course everyone thinks or says  "well so and so does this and that, and he seems to be making money."  Sure, maybe he is, maybe not.  If he is, he has defined his edge and is simply employing it.  What someone else does has absolutely nothing to do with what you should be doing.   Once you have defined your edge, you must wait for it to arrive.  If the market is not offering what you want or what your edge calls for, you do nothing until it is.  If your edge is a trend trading method and the market is in a trading range, you do not trade until the market is trending.   If you have not clearly defined your edge, you should not trade.  If you do not know what it is in the market you want and are looking for, you have no business in the market.  Simple as that.  If you chose to do so, you are putting yourself at unnecessary risk and trading randomly. Yes this sounds harsh, but it is the reality of the market.  The market will not give you anything, especially if you don't even know what it is that you want!
CME_MINI:MES1!
by tradersmentality
ACB in playI took a position this morning, when ACB broke $8.10 bullish. Currently residing right below the trend line and bouncing. I am speculating on a good earnings call to push her through, back on track to the lower $10 range. With today's 4% up, there is at least a margin to get out in case of a catastrophe. But when last earnings disappointed, ACB came with guidance. This time it is quiet. Of course, SPY is not looking all that bullish, but cannabis has the potential to disrupt the market. I say Jalla, let's GO!!!
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by Barkworth
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