Get started

ACB

Aurora bulls buy the gap down openQuick updates tonight. ACB had a big gap down and giant bounce in the first 30 minutes of trading, and remained in an hourly equilibrium for the remainder of the day. Bulls made an attempt at a new high of day in late afternoon but came 4c shy of resistance. The end of the day saw SPY with big bull move finishing up near the high of the day on the strength of both the tech sector and financial sector, while Canadian MJ was unable to derive any momentum from the this move. That does give some reason for concern with bulls being so close to resistance but unable to break it. Tomorrow first thing the bulls want to break our two hourly resistances in order to see bounce continuation. Failure to do so a second time would be a red flag. Key levels: Support: 7.55 Resistance: 8.16, 8.20 If the bulls find the momentum to break this range and see continuation on the hourly bounce, we would look for a 4hr lower high compared to 11.29. There are numerous hourly resistances on the way up to that level, giving Aurora several more hurdles that Canopy and Aphria don't have to deal with. _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market and the analysis I do on SPY. The correlation of every individual name and sector to the market is very real and the market has been showing significant weakness over the past four weeks. This correlation affects every stock you own.
TSX:ACB
by McGuireTO
2
Aurora nears daily oversoldACB continued its recent pattern of lower lows, dumping the whole day and closing down over 16% in one of the most stand-out bearish days this sector has seen. There is no doubt in my mind this weakness is in large part to the overall stock market dumping for the past four weeks, so be sure to keep an eye on the correlation to SPY. We've now given back 80% of the run up from August 14th to all time high over the past 10 trading days. Where we stand, Aurora has a lack of support here. Regular readers know I anticipated a bounce before our key weekly level 7.65, which we broke today by 10 cents. This was very unlikely to happen, which speaks to just how weak this chart is. The daily RSI is approaching oversold, and is the lowest level it's been since August 14th. I'm now anticipating an oversold bounce. Why do I anticipate a bounce in the very near future? RSI levels on multiple timeframes are currently at or near historical bounce levels: Daily - 30 4hr - 21 1hr - 21 If you did not stop out on one of the bear breaks over the past two weeks, now isn't the time you want to sell your position. Instead, you probably want to wait for a bounce to get underway, as we are likely to see at least a couple days of follow-through. Of course, if your mindset is to hold your position for years, then stop checking the price every day or you will drive yourself crazy. In my opinion, the bounce will not start until the CGC bounce starts....which will not start until the S&P bounce starts. If you are one of the people who have asked me over the past couple months about a good time to buy Aurora, these conditions are ideal for starting to SLOWLY scale into a long term entry you plan to hold for years. Just be sure not to invest all your money at once. Keep in mind we have no more upcoming catalysts for the sector, and the correlation to the S&P500 could mean several months of continued downside for ACB. I'm looking at the 1hr chart right now for our levels. We remain in a downtrend with clear lower highs and lower lows Key levels to watch for trend change/continuation Support: low of day 7.55, 6.67, 6.07 Resistance: 9.38, 9.88, 10.07 While Canopy and Aphria have a lack of resistance once they clear their two levels, Aurora has many more resistance levels to deal with. _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market and the analysis I do on SPY. The correlation of every individual name and sector to the market is very real and the market has been showing significant weakness over the past four weeks. This correlation affects every stock you own.
TSX:ACB
by McGuireTO
ACB trying to hand on waiting for Canopy's breakAurora has a much weaker setup, and looks clearest to me on the hourly chart. Unlike Canopy, Aurora has broken down to lower lows although bulls are still buying the dip so far. Friday closed with weakness heading back down towards the end of the day. We remain in a clear hourly downtrend with lower highs of resistance on each little bounce. The bear breaks on the hourly chart have so far been met with little followthrough as Canopy remains in its equilibrium. This correlation favours the Aurora bears; if Canopy breaks bearish, Aurora is well positioned for greater downside because of how much weaker the chart currently is. ACB is also down close to the golden pocket retrace from the low of its August consolidation to new all time high, but has broken below the .65 unlike other names with stronger setups Key levels for Monday Support: 9.00 Resistance: 9.88 _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to the market is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks.
TSX:ACB
by McGuireTO
4
Aurora the weakest of the big 3ACB is the weakest 4hr setup of the three names I typically follow in the mj sector. We're in a 4hr equilibrium but the bulls are not giving any confidence here, having failed to even set a lower high the way Canopy and Aphria already have. support to hold is 9.14 and resistance is 11.29. A break of 9.14 support area and we're looking down towards 9 psychological, and then 8.64. A break of 11.29 resistance and we're looking to set a daily lower high, compared to 14.36. I'd be watching the Middle Bollinger Band on the daily chart as a likely profit target, as price tends to reject the first test of this level. That's currently at 12.43. Update that level each day. The addition of ACB to the NYSE opens it up to a whole new class of people who can short the stock. I didn't realize that OTC tickers could not be shorted. This could explain for the much greater weakness in this name. The direction CGC breaks will likely dictate how the rest of the sector breaks. I'll be looking to play the more bullish names on a bull break, and I'll be looking to play the weaker names like ACB on a bear break. The daily setup here is a bear flag, I need to see a bull break of the equilibrium to negate the bear flag. IF we get a bull break, it would almost certainly not happen tomorrow, but next week instead. _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to SPY is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks with warning signs of further potential weakness potential into next week. By the way, I do analysis on the entire sector across all the mj charts I publish. If you're not looking at all the names I talk about, you're not getting the full sector-wide analysis. Follow me to get updates when I publish ideas and pay attention to the mj names you typically don't look at too, so you can stay in the know and get the full picture.
TSX:ACB
by McGuireTO
8
HEXO - Reversal Coming ?Dear Traders, As we've seen HEXO didn't manage to break out and create a run, which isn't a big deal because I only would have entered a trade if I had more confirmation such as Volume and Momentum. Instead, we got a retracement, which is about to reverse in my opinion. Have a look at the chart, as we can see we have a lower low price wise (RED ARROW) but in the RSI we are looking at a higher low (GREEN ARROW). This is a Bullish Divergence and this could give us an indication that this downtrend is about to reverse to an uptrend. HEXO is a well established company and they're future is bright. The Bullish Divergence isn't the only thing I see on the chart, I also see that we have some support trace by a horizontal red line. This might just be a perfect entry to enjoy a reversal run. This run will encounter Resistance points at: 6.83$ / 7.00$ / 7.37$ Keep an eye on the charts on monday, this could be a nice little rid if the bulls are pushing enough. Any Thoughts?
TSX:TLRYLong
by Raw_Blitz
2
KUSHCO - Bullish Channel - Bounce off?Dear Traders, Kushco is oversold on the hourly chart and this could create a bounce off (which is already slightly did), but with the fact that a bullish divergence is luring in the MACD Histogram, this could become the start of a rally towards the higher level of this Bullish channel . I did zoom out before starting this TA, and on the weekly, I see lower highs, but also higher lows. So it's a bit twisted. While zooming in I see a dropping RSI (lower highs) but that divergence could make this stock go up by monday. Keep an eye on the Charts! Any thoughts? Feel free to join my new Discord Channel if you interested in talking to me and others about stocks, info and of course opportunities! Sned me a PM for channel link. LAST NEWS: ''One that might be worth considering is KushCo Holdings (NASDAQOTH: KSHB 0.55% ), a marijuana supplies company. KushCo markets marijuana packaging and other ancillary supplies in the U.S., Canada, and elsewhere. Because packaging is highly regulated, this company has been able to carve out an important niche. Last quarter, its sales jumped 173% year over year to $12.9 million, but because of spending growth, it reported a net loss of $2.17 million in the period. The company's $400 million market cap means it isn't a cheap stock on traditional valuation metrics, but if it can keep itself at the forefront of its market and sales in California, Canada, Colorado, and elsewhere continue climbing, then it could be worth tucking away in long-term growth portfolios. ''
KLong
by Raw_Blitz
Watch ACB 4hr for short term momentumTaking a different approach today, starting with the long term weekly chart. ACB has a bearish reversal candle on the weekly chart and a potential volume climax. The weekly trend is not at risk of being lost anytime soon because of how hard we have run up. Our weekly support currently is at 7.65 and now that we've lost the daily uptrend we are in search of a new weekly support level. We have support with weekly MA20 and MA50 in the low $9 range. Update these levels weekly. "So, what happened this past week?" This is a question a few people have asked me in person and online over the past 24 hours. Let's go back to the daily chart to look at the setup we had going into last week. Monday we saw continuation of the daily breakout from the previous Friday and finished strong at the high of the day. In almost every idea I've published over the past few weeks I've been reminding people that the sector has run over 100% in just a few weeks, and that was neither normal nor sustainable. Therefore, we were looking for a sell-the-news reaction to legalization. I was expecting that Wednesday and we got that on Tuesday instead, in the form of a gap up open, a volume climax and a bearish reversal candle. Wednesday and Thursday we saw a weak bounce attempt with a potential daily bear flag setup, with the low of Wednesday a must hold level. ACB has not yet lost that level, making it a stronger chart than Canopy which broke that level on Friday and confirmed the daily bear flag. ACB currently sits within a daily range between 11.91 support and 14.36 resistance. On Friday we saw the bulls make an attempt at that resistance but fell short and dumped for the rest of the day, finishing close to the low of the day on increasing bear volume and looking to start with further weakness into next week. ACB has wicked below the daily MA20 but has yet to close below that level. The daily chart has broken below an RSI support line and the MACD is initiating the strongest bear move it's made since back in July. As I've mentioned we've already lost the daily uptrend; losing 11.91 support would initiate a daily downtrend with a lower high and a lower low on the daily chart. The $9-10 range has good support with the MA50, MA100 and MA200 all overlapping in this range. Update these levels daily. With weekly and daily indicators all lining up, I would expect the bulls to defend this level on the longer term timeframe. The 4hr chart shows the clearest details in my opinion. Bulls are trying to hold 12.69 as the higher low in the 4hr equilibrium but we're not yet confident that our higher low is set. This is a tightening range that could continue for several days before we see a clear break of this pattern. I have no real interest in playing within this pattern because the action is generally choppy, and I know the break of these tightening ranges will carry significant momentum and followthrough for me to play either as a bull or a bear. Let's zoom in for more detail better explain why I anticipate further downside. Looking into the hourly chart we see exactly why we have a setup for further weakness with an hourly bear flag. Friday we bottomed out when CGC hit hourly oversold and the sector saw very weak bounces on low volume when compared to the bear volume on the dump. Confirming that bear flag by breaking 12.69 means the bulls have not yet found their 4hr higher low and we will continue to look down towards 11.91 support. For anybody interested in playing within this range, the closer we get to 11.91 the better your Risk:Reward becomes as you have an entry much closer to your stop loss level. If you're the type of person looking years out and holding, you don't care much about the last half of this post but you are very interested in the weekly chart above. While the weekly trend on ACB is not yet at risk Canopy will be testing that level on Monday. This signal from the sector leader gives you an opportunity to stop out and look to reload, for example, 10% more shares for 10% cheaper with the same amount of capital. That's one more way you can compound your gains on these positions even when we see consolidation on the longer term charts. _____ For anybody looking at any individual stock it is imperative to keep an eye on the overall market. The correlation of every individual name and sector to SPY market is very real and the market is showing significant weakness over the past three weeks with warning signs of further potential weakness potential into next week. By the way, I do analysis on the entire sector across all the mj charts I publish. If you're not looking at all the names I talk about, you're not getting the full sector-wide analysis. Follow me to get updates when I publish ideas and pay attention to the mj names you typically don't look at too, so you can stay in the know and get the full picture.
TSX:ACB
by McGuireTO
11
WEED - Bearish DivergenceDear Traders, As we can see WEED managed to make a nice run, but as I said yesterday, better not enter because this is a time bomb. And guess what happened. It dropped, and in my opinion it's not ready to go up for some time. This bearish divergence happens when we have a new high, but RSI shows us a lower high. It's time for a big retracement people. Any thoughts ? Feel free to join my new Discord Channel if you interested in talking to me and others about stocks, info and of course opportunities! discord.gg
TSX:WEEDShort
by Raw_Blitz
2
ACB - Showing Bearish Divergence !Dear Traders, ACB had another run yesterday at the opening but as predicted a huge sell off happened. I hope you followed my advice to not enter any trades yesterday. We can see that ACB shows us a Bearish Divergence on the weekly chart. We got higher highs, but the RSI peaks showed us lower highs. Bulls are exhausted and we are now entering a consolidation period. Any thoughts ? Feel free to join my new Discord Channel if you interested in talking to me and others about stocks, info and of course opportunities! discord.gg
TSX:ACBShort
by Raw_Blitz
18
CREE - Keep your eyes on this sleeping monsterDear Traders, Bears were in control for a while but not anymore. Bulls managed to push this baby quite a bit and now it's time to see how powerful those bulls are. Is this stock going to pierce through the 200 ema ? RSI is overbought but this is normal which such a run, daily RSI looks sweet. Let's keep an eye on this one. If the bulls manage to break the 200 ema, we will see a run. Any thoughts? Feel free to join my new Discord Channel if you interested in talking to me and others about stocks, info and of course opportunities! discord.gg
C
by Raw_Blitz
TGOD - Bearish ChannelDear Traders, As we've seen before, my Support line didn't hold and TGOD's price broke underneath it creating a newer low. Even with the great news, TGOD received the 16th of October, the bears are still in control, But for how long? The bulls have to pierce upwards from this channel in order to show that they are back in business. Until then, TGOD's price will continue to drop. If the bulls succeed in breaking upwards, or next resistance points are: 5.83C$ (55 ema, and also our 0.5 fib level) 6.17C$ (100 ema) 6.96C$ which is the 200 ema. Let's see how the bulls will do this week. Any thoughts? Feel free to join my new Discord Channel if you interested in talking to me and others about stocks, info and of course opportunities! discord.gg
T
by Raw_Blitz
9
ACB sells the news into legalizationACB saw a big gap up and a big push in the first few minutes, followed by an aggressive dump spanning 20 minutes as traders took profit, knocking the stock down an immediate 16%. ACB bounced just five cents above former resistance 13.60 - former resistance now support. The RSI also rejected from a downtrend line spanning the last few weeks. The MACD on the daily signals a very weak move from the daily breakout and the volume today looks like a volume climax - often a signal of a trend reversal. We are very confident that on this pullback we will retain the daily uptrend and set a higher low above 12.50. Tomorrow I'll be watching for support at the low of today and at the daily EMA8. Key support to hold is low of the day 13.65. Key resistance to break to tell us our daily higher low is in will be 14.96. On any continued bull push I do expect a lower high relative to our new all time high 16.24 We knew the rug was going to be pulled out at any moment, and I was caught a little off guard that it happened first thing this morning but luckily took profit on all my swings on the big gap up open. I do hope everyone heeded last night's advice to set your stop loss orders. Big institutions have been loading large positions in Canopy with CIBC and Anonymous combined purchasing roughly $500 Million worth of shares in the past month. Be aware these whales can start unloading massive positions at any time without notice. imgur.com
TSX:ACB
by McGuireTO
12
Aurora - How far can this go before a drop ?Dear Traders, The Cannabis industry has been exploding prior to the 17th of October, ACB is one of the stocks that is going up fast! But how long can this go on ? RSI is overbought on each frame, and macd is going to cross downwards also. PLEASE BE CAREFUL FOR A MASSIVE BEARISH SELL-OFF ! I'm not saying this will happen, but the reason why I say this is because of experience.. Buy The Rumor, Sell The News. Tomorrow is news day. Just be careful. Best thing to do is, if you haven't entered into ACB, WEED or any other booming stock, don't. Wait for a retracement and buy the dip.
TSX:ACB
by Raw_Blitz
1
WEED - How High Can It Go ?Dear Traders, Like ACB, WEED had a great run yesterday and a lot of traders have been able to make good gains! The question everyone is asking now is, how far will this go ??? Well that's a pretty difficult question o answer because this stock could retrace any time, but it could also pop up another 5% before starting a retracement. My trading strategy here will be to wait out the sprint, it's too late to enter again in my opinion. I don't want to be left with a huge bag bought way too high. One the Cannabis stock have retraced i'll load up my bags with a lot of shares. Any Thoughts ?
TSX:WEED
by Raw_Blitz
3
ACB double tops at all time high, needs follow-thru tomorrowACB saw a gap-up and run open this morning on big bull volume, continuing the daily breakout from Friday and finishing the day up 10%. ACB hit a new all time high today by two pennies but that's effectively a doubletop at 15.22 so the bulls are going to need more follow through tomorrow. That shouldn't be an issue, with a close up near the high of the day.We're riding well above the daily Upper Bollinger Band as support. We see daily RSI has broke out of its channel and is approaching recent highs, and the MACD has started to curl up. We're looking for a higher MACD spike tomorrow. When stocks are at all time highs there is a lack of resistance, so we look for psychological round numbers. $15.50, 16, 16.50 etc. $20, should we get there, will especially be tricky. Our key support is 14.63 on the hourly. We also have a little support at 14.79, and 15 psychological. Keep walking your stop losses up. We're in a euphoric bull run and we want to protect our profits from any sudden sell-off. Also keep in mind the correlation to the overall market. SPY has its second daily inside bar to watch the range of tomorrow, and while a bearish end of day didn't affect the mj sector today, we have seen countless times where it has. By the way, I do analysis on the entire sector across all the mj charts I publish. If you're not looking at all the names I talk about, you're not getting the full sector-wide analysis. Follow me to get updates when I publish ideas and pay attention to the mj names you typically don't look at too, so you can stay in the know and get the full picture.
TSX:ACB
by McGuireTO
9
ACB the first in the sector to breakoutYesterday I pointed out that ACB needed to regain the hourly uptrend as a sign for a continued bull move. Anybody who acted on that signal had a very profitable day today! The key was 12.98 and if you bought that you would be up 6% already! ACB has been the most bullish chart for a couple weeks, and today saw that play out with a key break. The key daily break today was the break of 13.60, which we saw on increasing bull volume today. I am concerned about two things, however. First, the MACD on this move up is very weak. Second, last time we broke resistance in the mid 13-range we saw no follow-through. Bulls will have to show us conviction of this break Monday on big bull volume in order to negate a potential ascending wedge pattern, as well as to give some confidence to this struggling MACD. Our new must hold support to keep the bulls in charge is 13.24, and anything above this would be a higher low. After today we only have three resistances left: 13.75, 14.10, and our all time high 15.20. As of close, we're only 11% away from that all time high. CGC and APH also have very nice daily setups heading into next week; let's see if this ACB breakout will foreshadow what those names will do on Monday. By the way, I do analysis on the entire sector across all the mj charts I publish. If you're not looking at all the names I talk about, you're not getting the full sector-wide analysis. Follow me to get updates when I publish ideas and pay attention to the mj names you typically don't look at too, so you can stay in the know and get the full picture.
TSX:ACB
by McGuireTO
4