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Accumulation

Bitcoin – Entering a distribution phase after a bull trap?Since the second week of May, Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited a textbook accumulation phase, with a well-defined trading range forming just below the previous all-time high. Beginning around May 12, price action became increasingly compressed, marked by a series of higher lows and relatively flat resistance, indicating growing demand and waning selling pressure. This consolidation structure persisted for more than a week, suggesting that larger players were accumulating positions in anticipation of a breakout. Now it could be making the Power of 3. Accumulation, manipulation and distribution. Accumulation, manipulation and distribution Eventually, this coiled energy resolved to the upside. BTC broke through the upper boundary of the accumulation zone with increasing volume and momentum, triggering a sharp rally and leading to the formation of a new all-time high. At that point, market sentiment turned decidedly bullish, with breakout traders entering the market, expecting continuation. However, the price failed to sustain above the previous ATH for long. Despite the breakout’s initial strength, Bitcoin was unable to establish a solid foothold above the critical psychological and technical level, which has now proven to be a key inflection point. Soon after setting a new high, BTC began to reverse, shedding gains and retracing back below the former resistance level, which had temporarily acted as support. The breakdown below the $106,000 mark, previously the ceiling of the accumulation range, signaled a notable shift in market structure. What was initially viewed as a healthy continuation pattern evolved into what now appears to be a classic bull trap. This type of failed breakout often leaves market participants vulnerable, as late buyers are caught in drawdowns and early longs may be incentivized to exit positions. Given this context, the recent price action carries the hallmarks of a Power of 3, where market makers and institutions may be offloading positions to less informed participants. This phase is often mistaken for continued accumulation by retail traders due to its structural similarity; however, the key difference lies in the failure to maintain new highs and the emergence of lower highs on any attempted bounce. The rejection above the ATH and the subsequent breakdown below $106K has introduced significant overhead supply, which may act as resistance in the near term. Target levels As BTC continues to trade below this critical level, the likelihood of a further retracement grows. The market appears to be transitioning into a phase of redistribution or distribution proper, where price is likely to be capped on rallies and pressured lower over time. It is reasonable to expect that Bitcoin could revisit $100.000 to mid-$90,000s, an area that may serve as a magnet for liquidity and a potential staging ground for the next major move. This region could represent a "Last Point of Supply" (LPSY) within the Wyckoff framework, typically the final area where smart money distributes before initiating a more decisive markdown phase. Nevertheless, this potential pullback should not be viewed solely as a sign of weakness. In many bull cycles, such corrections and shakeouts serve to flush out over-leveraged positions and reset sentiment, ultimately laying the groundwork for renewed upward momentum. Should BTC find stability and demand re-emerge in the $95K–$100K range, it could mark the beginning of a new re-accumulation phase, leading to a healthier and more sustainable advance. Conclusion In summary, the recent breakout above ATH followed by a sharp reversal and loss of key support paints a cautionary picture in the short term. Bitcoin may currently be navigating a distribution zone, with downside pressure likely to persist as the market digests recent gains. However, such corrections are typical in broader uptrends and often present opportunities for strategic entries once the next accumulation structure becomes clear. Patience and disciplined observation will be essential as the market defines its next directional bias. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
61
Mastering the ICT Power of 3 concept - How to use it in trading!The financial markets often appear chaotic and unpredictable, but behind the scenes, institutional players operate with clear strategies that shape price action. One such strategy is the ICT (Inner Circle Trader) "Power of 3" model, a framework used to understand and anticipate market cycles through three key phases: accumulation, manipulation, and distribution. This guide will break down each of these phases in detail, explaining how smart money operates and how retail traders can align themselves with the true direction of the market.

 What will be discussed? - The 3 phases - Examples of the PO3 - How to trade the PO3 - Tips for trading the PO3 The 3 phases Accumulation 
 The Accumulation Phase in the ICT "Power of 3" model refers to the initial stage of a market cycle where institutional or "smart money" participants quietly build their positions. During this time, price typically moves sideways within a tight range, often showing little to no clear direction. This is intentional. The market appears quiet or indecisive, which is designed to confuse retail traders and keep them out of alignment with the real intentions of the market's larger players. In this phase, smart money is not looking to move the market dramatically. Instead, they are focused on accumulating long or short positions without drawing attention. They do this by keeping price contained within a consolidation zone. The idea is to gather enough liquidity, often from unsuspecting retail traders entering early breakout trades or trying to trade the range, before making a more aggressive move. Manipulation The Manipulation Phase in the ICT "Power of 3" model is the second stage that follows accumulation. This phase is where smart money deliberately moves the market in the opposite direction of their intended move to trigger retail stop losses, induce emotional decisions, and create liquidity. After price has consolidated during accumulation, many retail traders are either already positioned or have orders waiting just outside the range, either stop losses from those trading the range or breakout orders from those anticipating a directional move. The manipulation phase exploits this positioning. Price will often break out of the accumulation range in one direction, appearing to confirm a new trend. This move is designed to look convincing, it might even come with a spike in volume or momentum to draw traders in. However, this breakout is a false move. It doesn’t represent the true intention of smart money. Instead, it's meant to sweep liquidity, triggering stop losses above or below the range, and then reverse sharply. This stop run provides the liquidity needed for large players to finalize their positions at optimal prices. Once enough liquidity is collected, and retail traders are caught offside, the real move begins. Distribution The Distribution Phase in the ICT "Power of 3" model is the final stage of the cycle, following accumulation and manipulation. This is where the true intention of smart money is revealed, and the market makes a sustained, directional move, either bullish or bearish. Unlike the earlier phases, distribution is marked by clear price expansion, increased volatility, and decisive momentum. After smart money has accumulated positions and shaken out retail traders through manipulation, they have the liquidity and positioning needed to drive the market in their desired direction. The distribution phase is where these positions are "distributed" into the broader market, meaning, institutions begin to offload their positions into the retail flow that is now chasing the move. Retail traders, seeing the strong trend, often jump in late, providing the liquidity for smart money to exit profitably. This phase is typically what retail traders perceive as the real trend, and in a sense, it is. However, by the time the trend is obvious, smart money has already entered during accumulation and profited from the manipulation. What appears to be a breakout or trend continuation to most retail participants is actually the final leg of the smart money’s strategy. They are now unloading their positions while price continues to expand. Examples of the Power of 3 How to trade the PO3? Start by identifying a clear accumulation range. This typically happens during the Asian session or the early part of the London session. Price moves sideways, forming a consolidation zone. Your job here isn’t to trade, but to observe. Draw horizontal lines marking the high and low of the range. These become your key liquidity zones. Next, anticipate the manipulation phase, which usually occurs during the London session or at the NY open. Price will often break out of the range, triggering stop losses above the high or below the low of the accumulation zone. This move is deceptive, it is not the real trend. Do not chase it. Instead, wait for signs of rejection, such as a sharp reversal after the liquidity grab, imbalance filling, or a shift in market structure on a lower timeframe (like a 1- or 5-minute chart). Once manipulation has swept liquidity and price starts showing signs of reversing back inside the range or beyond, you now look for a confirmation of the true move, this begins the distribution phase. You enter in the direction opposite of the manipulation move, ideally once price breaks a structure level confirming that smart money has taken control. For example, if price consolidates overnight, fakes a move to the downside (running sell stops), and then quickly reverses and breaks above a key swing high, that's your signal that the true move is likely up. Enter after the break and retest of structure, using a tight stop loss below the recent low. Your target should be based on liquidity pools, fair value gaps, or higher-timeframe imbalances. The key to trading the Power of 3 is patience and precision. You're not trying to catch every move, but to wait for the market to complete its cycle of deception and then ride the clean expansion. Ideally, your entry comes just after manipulation, and you hold through the distribution/expansion phase, taking partials at key liquidity levels along the way. Tips for trading the PO3
 1. Learn price movements Before you can effectively apply the ICT Power of 3 strategy, it’s crucial to have a deep understanding of how price behaves. This means being comfortable identifying market structure, recognizing trend direction, and interpreting candlestick dynamics. Since the Power of 3 is deeply rooted in how price moves in real time, a strong grasp of these basics will give you the confidence to read the market correctly as each phase develops. 2. Analyse multiple timeframes Although the Power of 3 pattern shows up on lower timeframes, relying on just one can lead to misreads. You’ll gain a clearer picture when you align the short-term view with higher timeframe structure. For example, what appears to be accumulation on the 15-minute chart may simply be a retracement in a larger trend on the 1-hour or daily. By examining multiple timeframes together, you can better identify the true setup and avoid being tricked by noise. 3. Exercise patience A key part of trading the Power of 3 is knowing when to act, and more importantly, when not to. It’s easy to get impatient during the accumulation or manipulation phases, but entering too early often leads to frustration or losses. True discipline comes from waiting for the expansion or distribution phase, when the market reveals its real direction. This is where the most favorable risk-to-reward setups occur. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Education
by Youriverse
63
USDCHF - BUY CALL - Divergence + wedge pattern + Accumulation USDCHF - currently the pair is in consolidation phase, followed by RSI Bullish Divergence and A wedge pattern. These two formations followed by a Bearish trend gives us an indication that market will take a bull run after accumulating positions. we plan our entry as follows. Entry Point : After break of Resistance level (LH) TP1 : with a risk to reward of 1:1 TP2 : 1:2 Risk to Reward Stop LOSS : slightly below the LL of bearish trend.
Long
by ProTradeProfessor
NASDAQ - SHORT SELL - AMAZING DOUBLE TOP PATTERN - REVERSAL patNASDAQ ; after forming series of HH and HLs is seem to be in distribution phase, we can see Divergence on RSI followed by Double TOP pattern which is a strong confluence for Reversal Pattern we have a trade plan with our entry , once the accumulation phase (strong support) is broken as mentioned as ENTRY POINT (Sell Stop order) once our order is triggered we can place STOP loss above HL (or Resistance level) - Our TPs would be TP1 with a Risk to Reward Ration 1:1 and other TP2 with R:R 1:2. HAPPY TRADING GUYZ !!!! "Better Trade your psychology and emotions, you will always be profitable" Regards, PROTRADEPROFESSOR
IG:NASDAQShort
by ProTradeProfessor
BTC/USDT 4H – Bull Flag Breakout SetupA symmetrical triangle has resolved to the upside, confirming a bull flag breakout in line with the prior uptrend. Current momentum is supported by: * RSI breakout above 60 * Price above mid-Bollinger Band and 55 SMA * Breakout candle closing above triangle resistance (Yet to confirm) **Targets:** TP1: 108,000 – nearest horizontal resistance TP2: 112,700 – flagpole projection from 104.5K breakout TP3: Trailing target with 1.0% callback from breakout zone **Stop Loss:** Below triangle apex (\~103,000) or 55 SMA (\~103,480), depending on which is closer **Volume:** Still below average but RSI confirms bullish momentum. Watching for volume follow-through to confirm strength. **Wyckoff context:** Potential Phase D in a re-accumulation range, with breakout as Sign of Strength (SOS) after a spring-like consolidation. This breakout is being monitored as part of a continuation setup toward 112.7K with proper risk management in place.
Long
by BitcoinMillio18
$GRAB Long Term Trade IdeaTaxi and delivery service stocks all look bullish at the moment. Lyft and Grab are both a couple of my favorite longer term swing trade/investment plays just based off risk/reward and how beaten down both the stocks are. If shown patience this trade could work wonders. I like it a lot because it gets me a little exposure to assets outside the U.S. and from a chart perspective its hard not to love a setup like this. 1. The buy side volume shown here is the highest its ever been for the stock by a long shot. 2. Price has been in a descending wedge type formation for several months now and is attempting to make a breakout, though this month's candle still has a lot of time left. 3. That hammer candle, especially considering it being printed on the 1M timeframe, is incredibly bullish in my eyes. This chart reminds me a lot of NYSE:BABA but a bit earlier in its breakout stages. To me it is clear that accumulation has been taking place for over 2 years now and a big markup is upon us. I have 3 take profit areas marked based off a few different Fibonacci levels I like that also have confluence with supply/demand dynamics present on the chart. multiple daily/weekly candles below $4 could be a a good stop loss area as that would invalidate a lot of the bullish structure. Based off the current price this provides you with a minimum 2.75x RR trade and a maximum of 7x RR. My average price is $4.25. Any pullbacks below $4.50 I will be looking at as great buying opportunities. Will do my best to update this idea periodically over the next year or so.
NASDAQ:GRABLong
by ChazzyFreshh
DOGE Daily MA Hints and CluesDOGEUSD Daily Outlook: Signs of Accumulation? Thanks for taking the time to check out my analysis on DOGEUSD. Let’s dive in. Most traders are familiar with moving averages and crossover signals — and while these are often viewed as lagging indicators, I’ve found that using multiple moving averages together can offer much clearer insights, especially when paired with other supporting tools. On this chart, I’m using a combination of simple moving averages (SMA) and exponential moving averages (EMA). I’ll break down the specific MAs I'm using in a follow-up post, but for now, I want to highlight what the moving average structure is showing us right now — and how it compares to similar price action in the past. Take a look at the yellow arrows on the chart: The arrow on the right marks the current price position relative to the moving averages. The arrow on the left points to a similar setup from the past. As the old saying goes: “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” The last time DOGEUSD price action sat in this zone, we saw about 45 to 50 days of consolidation and chop before the market broke into a strong parabolic move higher. Projecting that same timeframe forward puts us somewhere around mid-June. While nothing is guaranteed in the markets, this chart suggests that accumulation around this zone could present a favorable risk-reward setup for a potential run in the near to mid-term. My Approach: I began accumulating a position today and plan to add on pullbacks if the opportunity presents itself. As always, this is not financial advice — just sharing my personal outlook and strategy. Wishing you all success out there — stay patient, stay sharp.
COINBASE:DOGEUSDLong
by Cosmicbag
1
Price breaking out of a wyckoff balance to go unbalanceMy approach the market was pointing out market had found a balance zone starting on April 9th- today. Today I notice high volume on the bull side towards one of the resistance points which it broke and retraced. One it started to retrace I went to the smaller time frame to look for a sniper entry( 5min bullish and strong delta candle stick rejecting of a low volume node and the session vwap ). The balance zone was $1450 wide so it should go imbalance for the same amount or close. This trade is really a 25rr but im going for 8rr to pass my 2nd phase in my challange. This trade will not hit instill like Wednesday maybe even to the end of next week.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by leegram12
1
Accumulation in BANKNIFTY? a rally to 60,000 in near future?Bank Nifty has completed its range of accumulation and is headed for a rally to approx. target of 60k (most likely in strength by this quarter). The Index was in Spring pad at 13th March, Broken the Stride at 18th March 24th March was entering into the accumulation zone again in strength, this all started with a Preliminary Climax price texture on 4th June, followed by a buying climax on 27th June, then an automatic reaction largest to its other price texture which completed on 6th August a Terminal shakeout from 6th Jan to 11th March, Volume is Increasing on Rallies and reducing on Reactions A Potential Target of 60,000 is on Cards, won't be surprised if this happens in the coming 2 months too
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by braatt
Ranging? Not Really. The Big Guys’ Plan Is Already Set…Ever wondered what the crowd is really doing behind the candles? This video breaks down how to read Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD)— from retail behavior to sentiment charts, and why the market doesn’t always follow logic. ✅ When price moves one way but the crowd trades the other... ✅ When sideways markets aren’t as neutral as they look... ✅ When emotions take over—and how to spot it in advance. We’re lifting the hood. The engine’s running. Let’s see what drives it.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by supremum_ar
UNI — Time to Accumulate? A Clean Long-Term SetupUNI is the native token of the Uniswap DEX — and it's finally back in our interest zone. After a brutal 70% correction from previous highs, price has retraced into a key accumulation range between $3.60 – $6.76. This isn’t just another alt — UNI is a fundamental token that arguably deserves a place in every long-term portfolio. Spot entry around $5.50 looks reasonable, with higher timeframe targets at $10.35, $17.03, and $19.47. No overtrading here — just a clean long-term thesis. Accumulate, sit back, and let the narrative unfold. More thoughts in my profile @93balaclava Personally I trade on a platform that offers low fees and strong execution. DM me if you're interested.
Long
by Balaclava_Crypto
XRP Continues to Mirror BTC's Macro Pirce-Action; Only Slower.XRP since it was listed on Poloniex back in 2014 seems to have mirrored the overall price action of BTC over the years but at a much slower pace. It would appear that BTC makes the move first then XRP takes about 65% longer to make a move of equal significance. We can see that BTC had a Major Pump in 2013 and that from there it traded within a range until 2017 before rising 5,424% XRP's story appears to be the same but with the small twist that it is still trading within it's Multi-Year-Range that it's found itself trading within after a huge 2017 rise. 2022 will be coming to and end soon and it will soon be that XRP has traded 6 Years within this range and just like BTC in the past it appears to be holding on to a trendline, if XRP goes like how BTC went, then we should expect XRP to be nearing or even above the top of the range Several Months after it's first test of the trendline which would point us to February 2023. If XRP's Multi-Year-Range Breakout lives up to BTC's, I would expect to see an approximate 5,400% pump from XRP's Range Highs which would take it up to the seemingly insane and "unreachable" target of $120.94 We even have some added Monthly MACD Hidden Bullish Divergence to back XRP up.
POLONIEX:XRPUSDLong
by RizeSenpai
9
Institutional Rotation & Setup for Potential Re-Rating in 2025 I have outlined some areas of interest in the chart and some possible ways to reach 2.50 area. Below my personal thoughts behind this. Institutional Activity & Accumulation • Mirabella Financial Services LLP holds 10.48% (77.6M shares); estimated VWAP entry: ~1.4217 NOK. • Alden AS holds 32M shares (4.3%) and remains a large holder after trimming slightly. • Previous active players in 2024 (Skøien AS, Tigerstaden AS, Dukat AS) have exited, marking a rotation. • Institutional base is solidifying — setting the stage for potential re-rating in 2025. Technical Structure • Institutional accumulation range: 1.10 – 1.30 NOK. • Strong historical bid defense around 1.150 – 1.160 NOK. • Previous resistance: 1.40 – 1.45 NOK. Break above this level could trigger expansion leg. • Volume patterns align with accumulation and shakeout phases. Trade Strategy • Add Zone: 1.15 – 1.18 NOK (on strength or dip support hold). • Watch Zone: 1.22 – 1.26 NOK (for volume and continuation breakout). • Profit Trim Zone: 1.55 – 1.65 NOK (historical upper range boundary). • Stop Loss Consideration: Below 1.13 NOK (only if broken on volume). Risk Management • Watch for loss of support with accelerating volume. • Avoid adding on breakdowns below 1.13 NOK. Upcoming Catalysts • Commercialization of solid-state batteries (volume shipments, integration deals). • Revenue reports showing real customer traction. • New strategic partnerships or OEM announcements. • Market sentiment shift on green battery tech / reshoring themes. Smart Money Summary • Entry confirmation from Mirabella (~1.42 NOK), Alden (~mid-1.30s). • 1.15 – 1.20 NOK has been a recurring buy zone across many sessions. • Institutional rotation shows early traders out, long-term capital in. Risks • Early product and production phase. • Funding might be needed in Q2 - 2025. • General market sentiment due to high volatility at the moment. Disclaimer: This post is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. The content reflects personal analysis and opinion based on publicly available data. Please conduct your own due diligence or consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I hold a personal position as disclosed and may update or change it at any time without notice.
OSL:ENSULong
by TraderM8Felix
3
$NIO Wyckoff Accumulation – Schematic #1 or #2 in PlayMy base case at the moment is Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic #2 , where the Secondary Test ( ST-B ) could mark the very bottom. This idea will be validated for me especially if we see interaction with the High Time Frame Channel projection. Green Zone: We have multiple levels of confluence around this zone: 0.786 Fibonacci Retracement from the 2020 low to the 2021 top MO – Monthly Open level Volume cluster from previous local consolidation Blue Zone: If price drops as low as VAL, I expect it to be just a quick, volatile wick breaching into the Blue Zone. High Time Frame Channel projection:
NYSE:NIOLong
by Bulltro
2
TIAUSDT - analysis of the downtrend phase and potentialProject : Celestia is one of the key players in the new generation of modular blockchain architecture. Unlike traditional monolithic solutions, it separates the execution and consensus layers. This provides flexibility, scalability, and creates the infrastructure for rollup and L2 ecosystems. 📍 CoinMarketCap: #47 📍 Twitter (X): 397.7K ____________________________________________________________ 🔎 Technical picture : I marked the Seed / Series A / Series B zones on the chart — it's clear how early investors locked in massive profits: from listing, the price skyrocketed +634%, and their returns are many times higher!) From the current levels, the price is down ~87% from its all-time high. Formation: the price is moving inside a large descending channel. At the same time, a potential “cup” structure and a possibly emerging ascending channel are forming. We are close to the lower boundary of these formations — it's an interesting zone. A final sweep/fakeout toward the lower boundary of the descending channel is possible — keep this in mind when calculating risk. Key level: the orange trendline marks the boundary of the secondary trend. A confident breakout and hold above it would be one of the reversal signals. ____________________________________________________________ 💡 General conclusions : Liquidity — solid. The coin is traded on major exchanges. Trend potential is marked on the chart. As always — everything depends on your strategy and patience. ____________________________________________________________ 📌 This review is not financial advice but my personal analysis and observations on the project.
Long
by KECapital
VOE LONGAs you can clearly see the VOESTALPINE AG stock has found support at a key order block, aligning closely with the 50% Fibonacci retracement — a typical entry point for smart money. Since then, price action has stabilized and is starting to push higher. The declining short interest ratio suggests bearish pressure is easing, while the rising volume delta points to increasing demand. This confluence could signal accumulation and a potential continuation to the upside. Watching for further confirmation and a clean break above recent highs. #SmartMoney #OrderBlock #VolumeDelta #Fibonacci50 #ShortSqueeze #AccumulationPhase #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #BullishSetup #PriceAction #Orderflow #SwingTrading #TradingViewIdeas
VIE:VOELong
by osas_eth