#ADA. THIS COIN WAS BUILT TO PUMP! ANALYSIS FROM 11/19/24Previously, the price formed an ascending parallel channel pattern, which worked out perfectly. After breaking out of the structure (correction) at the $0.3532 - $0.3112 level, a buyer stepped in, allowing the price to recover and the upward movement to continue.
Buying is possible from the current levels if you're not afraid of potential drawdowns. For a more conservative entry, you can consider the $0.7000 - $0.6600 range. My personal targets from the current levels are:
$0.8180
$0.8800
$0.9800
A stop-loss can be placed at the $0.5800 level. The coin is currently in accumulation, and during this accumulation phase, I expect it to "fuel up" completely, allowing for a strong takeoff and sustained time "in the rocket."
DYOR.
Adaanalysis
ADAUSDT.1DExamining the daily chart for ADA/USDT, it’s apparent that Cardano has undergone a period of considerable decline followed by stabilization. The chart reveals a clear descending trendline, with price peaks progressively lowering, indicative of a strong bearish trend.
The price currently hovers near $0.3530, with evident support around the $0.2786 level, marked as S1. This support is critical as it has previously prevented further declines. The resistance levels are defined, with the primary resistance R1 at $0.4634. The price action around these levels suggests consolidation with a potential for either an upward breakout or further downside if the support fails.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows the MACD line below the signal line and close to crossing back, which can often suggest a potential shift in momentum. However, the negative values imply bearish pressure remains. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 45, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, suggesting a lack of strong momentum to drive price significantly in either direction.
In summary, ADA/USDT is in a critical phase, consolidating within a bearish trend. A decisive movement beyond the established resistance at $0.4634 could signal a reversal and potential bullish upturn, while a break below the support at $0.2786 may extend the bearish trend. Given the current market conditions, my strategy would involve closely monitoring these levels for signs of a breakout or breakdown, allowing for tactical entries based on confirmed movements beyond these key thresholds.
This is lovely to see As I mentioned earlier BINANCE:ADAUSDT showed a great impulse and is waiting for an opportunity to enter a long-term Long position either Spot or Futures. I think the time has come and the signs are obvious.
1. Break of Structure ( made higher high ) in a daily timeframe
2. MACD divergence.
3. Volume is decent and looking good.
4. In early March made a higher high in a weekly timeframe ( BOS )
If you don't know where to take profits I suggest you look up my last idea on BINANCE:ADAUSDT
ADAUSDT.1DIn this technical analysis of the ADA/USDT daily chart, I'll delve into the current price trends, identify key technical levels, and analyze the implications of the observed indicators to project potential future price movements.
Key Observations:
Current Price and Movement:
ADA/USDT is currently trading at $0.3876, marking an increase of 3.09% today. This movement indicates a positive sentiment in the short term.
Support and Resistance Levels:
R1 (Resistance Level 1): $0.3606 - This level has just been surpassed, suggesting it might now act as a support if ADA maintains above it.
R2 (Resistance Level 2): $0.5263 - Represents the next significant resistance, a breach of which could confirm a bullish trend.
S1 (Support Level 1): $0.2255 - This is a critical support level, providing a floor for the current price.
S2 (Support Level 2): Not specifically marked but would be relevant if S1 fails to hold.
Technical Indicators:
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is slightly above the signal line, indicating a bullish momentum, though the proximity of the lines suggests caution as momentum is not strongly bullish.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 37.52, the RSI is approaching the lower bound of the neutral zone, indicating that ADA is neither overbought nor oversold but is moving towards potentially being undervalued.
Analysis and Conclusion:
The recent price increase in ADA/USDT, alongside the MACD positioning above the signal line, points towards a growing bullish sentiment. Having surpassed R1 at $0.3606, maintaining this level will be crucial for ADA to attempt a rally towards the higher resistance at R2 ($0.5263). The slight rise in RSI also supports the possibility of further upward movement, provided that ADA remains stable or grows in buying volume.
Investors and traders should watch how ADA behaves around the newly established support at R1. A failure to hold above this level could see ADA retracing towards S1 at $0.2255, especially if broader market conditions turn unfavorable. Conversely, sustained positive momentum could see ADA targeting R2 in the upcoming sessions.
In summary, ADA/USDT shows signs of recovery and bullish potential, with critical watch points at R1 for potential support and R2 for resistance. As always, traders should employ prudent risk management strategies, keeping an eye on broader market trends and news that could impact the cryptocurrency's price dynamics.
ADAUSDT.1DUpon reviewing the ADA/USDT daily chart, several critical technical indicators and levels emerge, providing insights into potential price movements.
Trend and Resistance Analysis:
The chart shows that Cardano (ADA) has faced significant volatility, with the current price at approximately 0.4668 USD. The price is currently attempting to recover from its recent lows. There are two major resistance levels to watch: R1 at 0.5263 USD and R2 at 0.6852 USD. The price recently faced rejection at R1, indicating strong selling pressure around this level. Breaking above these resistances would signal a potential reversal of the current bearish trend.
Support Levels:
On the downside, the primary support level is identified as S1 at 0.3606 USD. This level has shown strong buying interest previously and could act as a floor if the price continues to decline. Below S1, the next significant support level is S2 at 0.2255 USD, which has also been a critical support zone in the past.
RSI and MACD Indicators:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 49.38, indicating a neutral position. The RSI is neither in the overbought nor oversold territory, suggesting that the market is currently undecided. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. The MACD line (blue) is approaching the signal line (orange)
from below, and the histogram shows decreasing bearish momentum.
Volume Analysis:
The volume pattern indicates that trading activity increases during price declines, suggesting strong market reactions. This heightened volume during downward movements implies significant selling pressure, but it also means that any positive news or bullish signals might lead to a swift recovery due to the existing oversold conditions.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the ADA/USDT pair is currently in a neutral to bearish trend but is showing signs of potential stabilization around key support levels. The RSI indicates a neutral position, while the MACD suggests a possible bullish crossover, which could signal the beginning of a recovery phase. Traders should closely monitor the support levels at 0.3606 USD and 0.2255 USD, as well as the resistance levels at 0.5263 USD and 0.6852 USD. A break above these resistance levels would confirm a bullish reversal, while a failure to hold the support could lead to further declines.
Overall, the market sentiment for ADA remains cautious, with critical attention needed at the aforementioned levels and indicators to make informed trading decisions.
ADAUSDT.1DThe daily chart for Cardano (ADA/USDT) displays a fluctuating price movement with critical levels outlined. Currently, ADA is trading at $0.4662, having faced significant resistance at the $0.5263 mark (R1). The next major resistance level (R2) is situated at $0.6852, which marks the upper range of the price movement in this period.
The support structure includes a primary support level (S1) at $0.3606, with a further support (S2) at $0.2255. Observing ADA's price behavior around these levels could offer valuable insights into potential reactions in future sessions.
The RSI indicates a value of 41.63, suggesting a slight bearish bias as it is below the midpoint of 50. This could signify that there might be more room for downward movement unless a reversal signal appears. The MACD is close to the signal line, hovering just below it, indicating a lack of strong momentum but a possible preparation for a direction change if it crosses above the signal line.
For trading, watching ADA's interaction with these key support and resistance levels will be crucial:
A recovery and sustained movement above R1 could indicate bullish potential, possibly aiming for R2.
Continued pressure and a break below S1 could warn of a move towards S2, indicating stronger bearish momentum.
Traders might consider entry points for buys near support levels with a tight stop loss if reversal signs appear. Conversely, a break below support might be used as a trigger for short positions, aiming for lower targets while monitoring for any potential reversal signs that could invalidate the bearish outlook.
ADA's bull run has begunCardano has completed a large symmetric weekly.
The movement after this pattern was important for us, with this sharp movement it was confirmed that we are not facing an X wave, but a large bullish branch is forming.
After hitting the supply area and correction for several weeks, we expect a strong bull run from Cardano above ATH!
🔄 Cardano (ADA) Consolidation and Potential Upside Trade Setup!📊 Analysis:
Consolidation Phase: ADA has been consolidating sideways for almost two weeks, indicating a potential accumulation phase.
Key Level: Watching the $0.75 level closely for a breakout, which could signal a push up to the next area of resistance.
Entry Point: Consider entry with a break of the $0.75 level, entering into a long spot trade.
Upside Target: The next area of resistance is at $1.18 - $1.25.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below $0.68.
🌐 Note: Given the overall market conditions and the potential for a correction, it's essential to manage risk closely. Keep an eye on market dynamics and any news that may impact ADA.
ADA → Cardano Lifetime Analysis Shows $7.50 High!? Let's Answer.ADA has established lifetime trend lines following the conclusion of the 2022/2023 bear run. The bear run low at $0.22, provides us a connecting dot to the 2020 bear run low of $0.018, allowing us to establish a Lifetime Support line. Likewise, the conclusion of the 2021 bull run provided us with a connecting dot for a Lifetime Resistance line.
Now that we established a trend, how heavily can we rely on those lines? What about other areas of support and resistance? Will the altcoin market respond to market forces and reach new highs?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Let's answer these questions in order and expand upon them:
1. How heavily can we rely on these trend lines?
As heavily as any other established trend line. While it's important to remember that altcoin markets are more volatile than higher volume markets such as Bitcoin or especially Forex, these support and resistance areas *are* the data. Our analysis frames the playing field such that we can apply trade management strategies to gain a profit, which means any trade we should consider these price areas to be the boundaries of our trades.
2. What about other areas of support and resistance?
Lifetime Support and Resistance frame our macro trend, but we need to zoom into the EMA ribbons and previous areas of support and resistance. After the conclusion of the 2022/2023 bear run, ADA broke through the 30EMA and 200EMA ribbons and established support on both. In my analysis rubric, the 30EMA and 200EMA ribbons are immensely important in determining what price areas are respected by a security.
Currently, ADA is following the movements of Bitcoin and the crypto market as a whole. My Bitcoin Lifetime Analysis explains why I believe Bitcoin needs a strong pullback before reaching new all-time highs:
If Bitcoin fails to find a new all-time high here, ADA will likely stall and fall with it. The degree to which it falls is up for debate, but I would argue we will see the price fall to $0.50 (Weekly 200EMA) at a minimum, with a worst-case being $0.40 at Lifetime Support, maybe a wick into the $0.35 range. This will likely come in the form of a two-legged pullback on the Weekly chart.
Once that pullback concludes alongside Bitcoin, we should see another attempt to find new highs with Bitcoin. If ADA and the altcoin market are going to find strong upward momentum, it will be after Bitcoin and Ethereum find new all-time highs, generating excitement and volume. I'll be honest, what happens with the price from here is difficult to estimate. I believe what is closer to a worst-case scenario is ADA stalls around the 2021 Resistance Zone at the $1.50 range. A best-case scenario is it reaches near the Lifetime Resistance at $7.50. Somewhere in the middle, reaches the previous all-time high of $3.10.
We need to see the market reaction to the pullback and Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs to remotely begin estimating where ADA will land.
3. Will the altcoin market respond to market forces and reach new highs
There are a variety of arguments for and against the notion that we'll get another "alt season" where the alt market securities find new highs. My position on this is that we don't have nearly enough evidence to conclude that the alt market will be strong during this next bull run.
Here are some key points regarding what we do have:
1. Price Action is truth and we have price action data. Bitcoin has had a 300% increase in price since the 2023 $15,500 low, ADA has had a 200% increase in that same timeframe.
2. Volume into BTC and ETH proportionally is greater than the volume into the alt coin market.
3. ADA is respecting support and resistance areas and responding to macro crypto market sentiment.
4. The altcoin market is bloated, but the top 20 coins are more insulated from that bloat.
5. The RSI, a weak indicator on its own, shows us that the market is burning hot and needs a cooling-off period. This supports my other data points.
So where does that leave ADA? As previously stated, we have some key events that need to play out before we can have any confidence in where ADA ends up by 2025. Those include the pullback I believe is coming, followed by Bitcoin and Ethereum finding new highs. Once we hit those marks, we can start talking about $1.50, $3.00, and $7.50 price targets.
The Trade
That being said, we can still construct a reasonable trade based on the data we have. There are two ways to play this chart, wait for the pullback and start buying around $0.50, or start buying now and fade your position in either direction. Personally, I'm going to put weight on my overall crypto analysis and wait for the market to pullback.
My ideal buy for ADA would be at $0.57 after we see an established bounce off of the EMA ribbons. I would place a stop loss below the previous bear trend low at $0.18. My take profit targets would be as follows:
Take Profit #1 : $0.96. For two reasons, this is a 1:1 Risk/Reward ratio, so if I sell half of my position and move my stop loss to my entry price, profits are locked in, and I can swing the second half of my position. The second reason is there is a minor resistance zone at $1.00 on top of $1.00 being a psychological resistance price. $0.96 allows us to sell before that resistance is met.
Take Profit #2 : $1.50. I would sell 25% of my remaining half because this is a major resistance area where a lot of trading happened. This is also about 1:2.5 Risk/Reward, which is reasonable to take more profit.
Take Profit #3 : $2.95. Take another 25% of the second half of the position off the table just before the previous all-time high is met. This will be a major resistance area and the likelihood of it breaking is far less than the $1.50 resistance area. This is also a 1:6 Risk/Reward area, absolutely reasonable to take profits this late in the game.
Take Profit #4 : $6.85. The final 50% of the second half of my position (25% of my original position), will be taken off the table before we get close to the Lifetime Resistance price of $7.50. $7.00 will be a psychological barrier and close enough to $7.50, where if we hit that price, it will be a very low probability compared to just under $7.00. $6.85 is 1:16 Risk/Reward, a massively successful trade at this stage and completely reasonable to close the entire trade and be very satisfied with the results.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $0.57
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.18
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.96
✅ Take Profit #2: $1.50
✅ Take Profit #3: $2.95
✅ Take Profit #4: $6.85
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:16
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Price Action is truth and we have price action data. Bitcoin has had a 300% increase in price since the 2023 $15,500 low, ADA has had a 200% increase in that same timeframe.
2. Volume into BTC and ETH proportionally is greater than the volume into the alt coin market.
3. ADA is respecting support and resistance areas and responding to macro crypto market sentiment.
4. The altcoin market is bloated, but the top 20 coins are more insulated from that bloat.
5. The RSI, a weak indicator on its own, shows us that the market is burning hot and needs a cooling-off period. This supports my other data points.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
It's reasonable to take half profits at the first resistance target in a long trade, or the first support target in a short trade. Using a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio for your first target, you can move your stop loss up to your entry price, locking in profits. This allows you to watch the rest of the trade execute without worry of losing money. This helps improve trading psychology and the equity in your account.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
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1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
Will the cardano/Ada rally continue? Cardano finally broke out of a long descending wedge it was in since the last high (0.67) in December. I like the fact that it held the 100sma (yellow line) twice on the daily, making a double bottom on the process.
It has some resistance at the 0.382 fib, so I wouldn't be surprised if it retraced back to the top of the white trend line for a test/support.
If this trend keeps going, I am expecting the 0.618 @ 0.58 as the first target, then the 1.618 @ 0.80 as the second target.
Cardano/ADA will it dump or pump?ADA held the 100sma 🟡 on the daily chart and came up to the top of the pattern for a test of the highs. I think a slight retest of the 100sma for extra support and continuation of higher lows would be great for a next move. Unfortunately If it fails to hold these levels, the next stop is the 1.618 at 0.38-0.39 which happens to fall on top of the 200 and 233sma
A dump to those leves would be a buy more zone for me.
#ADAIn the previous post, after reaching the first target and not being able to break the resistance, it is being corrected. As you can see in the chart, it entered a downward trend by making lower ceilings and floors, which can continue until the origin of its movement. . Therefore, if you return to the specified area, you can enter a sell position.
ADA LONG SETUPHi, dear traders. how are you ? Today we have a viewpoint to BUY/LONG the ADA symbol.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ADA → Cardano Ready to Rip? Or Dip? Maybe $0.72 before Reversal.Cardano has been on a ride along with the entire crypto market for months and with a bull flag playing out, looks like we're going to get a little more upward price action. Should we long here?
How do we trade this? 🤔
We need to wait for a pullback to at least the 30EMA, maybe the 200EMA, whenever we see some bullish price action in response. A strong bull signal bar closing near its high and a confirmation candle are preferable. This gives us the necessary probability to enter a long and place a protective stop below the 200EMA around $0.59. Plan to take half profits at 1:1 Risk/Reward around $0.63, move your stop loss up to the entry price to secure profits, then take profits at the next reversal signal or at 1:3 Risk/Reward around $0.727.
We need to be aware that on the higher timeframes, Bitcoin and the crypto market is running hot and we should be on the lookout for a trend change. Either to a trading range and/or a reversal to the downside. We need to close a few more weekly candles to get an indication of the next market moves on the higher timeframes.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Long Entry: $0.630
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.599
✅ Take Profit #1: $0.630
✅ Take Profit #2: $0.727
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Bull Flag after a Bull Run, Bias to Long.
2. Near Flag Resistance, Wait for a Pullback.
3. Gap to 1HR 30EMA and 200EMA, Wait for Pullback.
4. RSI at 64.00, Above Moving Average. Bias to Long.
5. Take half profits at 1:1, Remainder at 1:3.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Bull flags in the proper context, provide over a 60% probability that a trend will continue. This provides justification to enter a long trade.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
ADA → Cardano Failed to Break Resistance Zone. About to Fall!?Cardano had a failed breakout above the Resistance Zone at $0.62, followed by several failed attempts to break it again. Does this mean we enter a long?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Entering a short right now is reasonable if you accept the low probability nature of reversal trading. The number of failures to break the resistance zone are great signals to enter a trade, but additional confirmation to the downside with a strong bear candle is preferable. Due to the current distance to the proper stop loss placement above the Resistance Zone, it's reasonable to take a 1:1 Risk/Reward Ratio trade down to the support zone. Use a smaller position size given the additional risk.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Short Entry: $0.575
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.665
✅ Take Profit: $0.485
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Failed Breakout at Resistance Zone, Sell Signal.
2. Failed three times to break Resistance Zone after Signal, Confirmation.
3. Gap to Daily 30EMA and Support Zone.
4. RSI at 60.00, Below Moving Average. Bias to Short.
5. Watch for Bitcoin Trend Change at $46,000.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Price seeks balance and will naturally move toward moving averages. Trade with the trend for maximum probability, but also expect gaps between the price and moving averages to close before they widen.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
ADA → Cardano Ascending Wedge Signals a Drop! Will It Happen?Cardano is forming an ascending wedge pattern, a bearish formation that the majority of the time ends in a fall below the support line. For the next few days, we need to consider that the probable outcome.
How do we trade this? 🤔
Consider waiting for one more attempt to break resistance at the top of the wedge around the $0.68 area. A rejection at that level creates a reasonable reversal entry for a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio trade. Target the $0.52 range where previous support was demonstrated.
Don't be too hasty to enter, we're still in a bull trend and ought not bet against the trend until all of the requirements are met. This includes a strong sell signal (large wick on top, price closing near or on its low), followed by a confirmation candle or candles (strong bear candles closing on or near their lows). It's greater probability of profit if that confirmation candle closes below the 1HR 30RMA.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Short Entry: $0.6400
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.6986
✅ Take Profit: $0.5230
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Ascending Wedge, Bias to Short.
2. Daily Measured Move Complete, Trend Change Probable.
3. Three Pushes Up in a Bull Run, Trend Change Probable.
4. 1HR RSI at 50.00 on Moving Average, Indecision.
5. Bitcoin at Risk of Trend Change, Supports Short Bias.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
ADA → Cardano Coming Down! Where Will We Land? Let's Answer.Cardano had a fantastic measured move event from the breakout point on October 23rd, a move that I overlooked in my last couple of analysis! The price shot up from $0.27 to $0.41, pulling back into a bull flag, then ripping up from $0.41 to $0.62! Now that the move is complete, where do we go from here?
How do we trade this? 🤔
The measured move is usually followed by a trading range, which can turn into a continuation pattern over time *OR* a reversal to the downside. We need more price action to determine the next moves. Right now we have a market that is burning hot on the upside, and RSI that is over 70.00, and the massive bear candle from last night that showed the bulls taking profits at this key level.
Right now, we need more price action to justify an entry. Given the current datapoints, we should expect some sideways price action until the 30EMA catches up, but its likely we'll fall down toward the previous Resistance Zone that may not act as support. The test of that zone will give us strong evidence as to the next moves for Cardano. We need to see a strong bull signal and confirmation bar to justify a long. An RSI level of 50.00 or below would be ideal as well.
Until then, it's reasonable to stay on the sidelines until more price action plays out.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 0.482
🟥 Stop Loss: $0.437
✅ Take Profit: $0.572
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Measured Move Complete! Trading Range or Reversal Likely.
2. Previous Resistance Needs to be tested as Support.
3. If Support Holds, Could go up for another test of the Previous High.
4. If Support Fails, Expected Lower Lows around 200EMA.
5. RSI at 70.00, Above Moving Average. Bias for Short-Term Short.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Cardano Showing signs of 2x rally from hereWhat you see in the chart is a map of Accumulation that has been going on for ADA for over a year and half now.
The accumulation matches perfectly with Wyckoff Accumulation models. So far it has made its way to Phase B. This calls for a short-term rally and if the rally follows the model, then it is likely to hit the resistance Lines, which stand at 42 and 47 cents. It's almost 2X from here.
From there on we should start dipping and go to new lows to find the Spring to begin the next massive bull run to 7- 10 dollars by last quarter of 2025.
Now there is also a possibility that it may not create a new low after hitting the resistance lines, in that case it would be a Wyckoff Model 2 Schematic As shown below.
Now, if it does follow Model 1 Accumulation, the following chart shows where ADA can find the spring .
ADAUSD Analysis 3Sep2023This analysis sees from the market structure that occurs. After Choch the price returns to bearish and there is a fake out. At present the price has not returned bullish, still in the correction stage. There is a possibility that the price touches the fake out area before continuing bullish. Take long when the price approaches the fake out area.