Adaptive
adausdt are you rdy ?🧨😉Well, well, well
We are analyzing my favorite cryptocurrency, but I don't like its creator at all, because in my view, he is nothing more than a fool.
First of all, I must say that from the point I marked, there should be a drop to the price of $0.1858, then when it reaches this price, it will be the entry point for taking a long position. Now I will tell you how far.
The first target is $0.5866, then the second target is $1.2248. Now, whether you want to accept it or not, this is what you see.
Adaptive vs. Over-fitting StrategiesAdaptive trading strategies and over-fitting strategies are two approaches that have been the subject of much debate in the world of financial markets. On one side, adaptive trading strategies involve the use of machine learning algorithms to analyze market data and adapt to changing market conditions in real-time. These strategies aim to optimize trading performance by continuously learning from market data and adjusting their approach accordingly.
On the other side, over-fitting strategies involve the use of complex models that may be too sensitive to the specific characteristics of a particular market dataset. This can result in the model making predictions that are not applicable to other market conditions, leading to poor performance when the model is deployed in live trading.
One argument in favor of adaptive trading strategies is that they have the potential to significantly improve trading performance by continuously learning from market data and adapting to changing conditions. These strategies can also be more flexible and responsive to market changes, allowing traders to take advantage of opportunities as they arise.
However, there are also valid concerns about the use of adaptive trading strategies. One potential issue is that these strategies may be prone to overfitting, where the model becomes too closely tied to the specific characteristics of a particular dataset and is not able to generalize well to other market conditions. This can lead to poor performance when the model is deployed in live trading.
Another concern about adaptive trading strategies is that they may require a large amount of data to be effective, which may not be practical for traders who are working with limited data sets. Additionally, these strategies may be more complex and require more advanced technical expertise to implement and maintain, which may not be feasible for all traders.
Overall, the debate between adaptive trading strategies and over-fitting strategies is a complex one, and there is no one-size-fits-all answer. The best approach will depend on the specific needs and goals of the trader, as well as the resources and expertise available. Ultimately, it is important for traders to carefully consider the pros and cons of both approaches and choose the one that is most appropriate for their needs.
GANN Theory Finally Completed StrategyI took a couple of months off to read a book i found on Amazon on Andrew Gann the inventor of GANN theory. After finishing his article i theorized that it could be transformed in these modern times. This will a Membership to perform, Alerts mean allot to people that want to automate the thought process behind this. Please note that i am not a paid person posting this, i been trading for 16 years ever since i graduated from High School, I went to college to understand Pattern Recognition. Believe it or not there is a pattern to every aspect of our Lives.
I have the MTF Support and Resistance from Annan Set to Daily .
Poor Mans Volume Profile ___ this is critical for plotting the GANN BOX onto the Charts with little to no thought process.
To plot the GANN BOX (not the GANN fix Box or the GANN angles) You are taking the Gann Box Placing it on the Poor Mans Volume Profile DAILY chart. For an Uptrend you go UP 2 and right 2 , you'll understand when you plot it. For Down Trend down 2 right 2 . Sideways (rangebound) oddly special one. Up 1 Right 2 Down 1 Right 2 . When your plotting on the charts LOCK the Gann on the chart. I use Daily Right 2 because i set it at the beginning of the MONTH and its good for until the NEXT month. you set alerts on the GANN FIB LINES. (ENTRYS) BASED... If you are having issues with plotting this LET ME KNOW... its gets very automated when you plotting it. The Poor Mans Volume Profile takes the calculations out of the picture.
Posting a picture of the Points your going up or down 2.
How you Plot it on the Poor Mans Volume Profile. last step is to LOCK it on the Daily CHART.
Alerts need to the be set on the 2 of the Gann Lines. ( set to Crossing ) Subscription premium allow you to set an unexpired alert. If you want to Swing with this strategy. You have to do something different by Anchoring on the Weekly and trading on the 30 min or 1hr you can swing with this. But as yourself are you going to swing or are you going to Day-trade this.
Stop loss is a very touchie subject that everyone should think about doing... Personally i use 4 different methods Count 5 bars back, last Swing point, or Halfway between the two fibs of entry. if i am feeling lucky just on the other side of the Fib Entry point. * the Lucky part of this one is if it goes bad you have a very LOW LOW risk of loosing allot of hard earned capital. Generally I will use the 5 bars back method.
CM- Slingshot set to Conservative.
Next 2 will be the Exits on the Trades and Indicators to take the Trade.
DYNAMIC RSI - DRSI for short just tweak the color on this one, from DreadBlitz. ____
MTF RSI from Chris Moody 14 70 30 D D 30 ___ set a color where you can see the MidPoint.
NOTE: When Entering you are looking at the Chart___ when it crosses the GANN FIB line. after the Bar completes, look at the DRSI and MTF RSI midpoint cross. (after the Cross has Happen and you can Confirm it on both u can now Enter the Trade.)
The exit point is when the DRSI goes Solid Filled color, secondly this effect will be happening on the MTF RSI.
I take all of my trades on the 15min timeframe with an Anchor on the Daily Chart. Anchor meaning MTF MTF MTF MTF all of them are set to the daily. I want to make thoughtful readings based on the Daily Overall proceedings of the market direction.
How It Paints - Part 2 - ETH/USD Replay Mode on Heffae CloudsSit back, relax, and watch the clouds paint on ETH/USD.
In this video, watch Heffae Clouds paint the Predictive / Adaptive Support and Resistance clouds.
Multiple Timeframes, 3X indicators set to 1Hour, 4Hour, and Daily timeframe.
The Heffae Clouds indicator is a kind of spiritual successor to the Ichimoku Cloud. Read the full description here:
PM SNOW_CITY for evaluation access to the Heffae Clouds Indicator!
All 3x #heffaeclouds indicators in this video use the 1,1 PathFitting Preset for FOREX, which changes the adaptive path-fitting "seed" value as well as the adaptive cloud offset to align better with assets involved in more complex ecosystems. Preset 1,1 relaxes the time-domain and works well on assets with dependencies (erc20 ecosystem).
Please note that these settings were developed far prior to these price movements; the indicator is not tailored to this asset. You can see interactions such as this with a wide variety of stocks, indices, futures, and cryptocurrencies.
This indicator is organic and interpretive, you may see the cloud interactions better than I! Post your analysis and trading ideas in the HeffaeClouds Public Chat:
www.tradingview.com
Thanks for watching, please leave a thumbs up if you enjoy these posts or find this interesting!
Smart Execution, intelligently use stops to maximize profitThis post is for all those who are asking about the progress of the holy grail project. There are many ideas that are being poured into the project that are making it more and more effective, but this is proving to be one of the more interesting ones.
The idea of an adaptive stop loss is nothing new, trailing stops are super common, and many low latency methods employ some linear envelopes in the core of their stop loss methods. What the Holy Grail project is employing and may be somewhat new to the trading world is the idea of a stop loss function whose functional dependencies are dynamic in nature and rely on non-linear combinations. This is naturally accomplishable with the help of exponential smoothing. The Holy grail project had a problem that it would have too many neutral entries and exits, but now these can even lock in profits as they go. The next step will be to look at functional behavior that would warrant reentries, or some sort of stationary stochastic selection process of when to exit trades.
Take a look at the plot above. The red line is the reference line, crossovers represent when to enter and exit a trade. The lime and teal lines are the Smart Execution Traces (SETs) and suggest when to exit.
Exciting times!
Adaptive Derivative AnalysisThe idea of a derivative is powerful and especially useful in trading. We often don't care so much what the price is, but how it moves. For that reason the velocity, acceleration, and rarely the jerk of price is valuable information. There are a lot of numerical issues with taking time derivatives of price, the biggest of which, in my eyes, is that all transforms and filters must be causal. Because we can't have have central differences, all current information about the future must come from the past. The obvious way around this is to focus on really long term moving average derivatives, as this minimizes the noise and provides some amount of certainty about the next few price bars. The obvious issue with this is that sometimes the price moves very quickly and enormous opportunities can be missed for focusing on the bigger picture. Likewise focusing on the local picture leads to whipsaws, over-trading, and really messy time derivatives. Currently to look into this I am working on a way to adaptively move through different averaging windows to give us information about the most useful derivatives. This is kind of a new momentum indicator. Here it is shown operating on the GBPUSD pair in the bottom window. I will not explain this indicator too much in this post, but I will be releasing it soon with more information on how to use it. Though briefly, the black line represents the momentum, and as the lines/clouds move through it it gives useful information about what happens next. Take a look at how red, orange, and yellow clouds move above, through, and under the black line before breakouts
More to come...
Cheers!