ADBE
NASDAQ100 - What´s about 11.000The markets are crazy. Especialy the NASDAQ100 NASDAQ:NDX
Before we could see the next down move in the NASDAQ100 we might see the next, maybe the last, bull run to 11.000
The FANG Stocks will guide the NASDAQ. Those 4 Stocks + a few other heavy weights have the most impact in the TechSector.
NASDAQ:FB
NASDAQ:AMZN
NASDAQ:NFLX
NASDAQ:GOOGL
NASDAQ:MSFT
NASDAQ:ADBE
NASDAQ:NVDA
>> And never fortget ! -- Plan your trade and trade your plan ! <<
Is Adobe on its Way to the Clouds? 🎨 | ADOBE ($ADBE)📷 With more and more people working from home and taking part in remote and digital workforce companies like Adobe have never been more relevant. While Adobe's dominance in the digital creative market during these times is reason enough to be bullish going into what analysts predict to be favorable earnings, Adobe's chart is the real icing on the cake. We have noted on the chart as to how the prior all-time-highs (ATH) being broken above have turned out, and it is a safe assumption this ATH break will have a similar effect. It shouldn't be too hard to find a good long setup here, so let's look for one.
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1. Fractal Trend is showing a clear uptrend (Aqua colored bars) on the 4-hour timeframe.
2. With this strategy, we are looking for long setups in an uptrend and as such want to enter long on retests of bullish order blocks plotted by Orderblock Mapping (Aqua colored lines) and/or bullish S/R levels plotted by Directional Bias (Aqua colored lines).
3. The setup here is to buy the S1 S/R flip and orderblock cluster and then to ride ADBE up to new all-time-highs (likely riding on the back of the NASDAQ once it breaks through its previous highs.
4. Our stop is set below S1 giving us enough room to see a liquidity hunt. Our target is then current set to offer a solid 1:5 risk-to-reward ratio, although anything 1:3 or greater would be acceptable, so there is room to let this one run or take profit early as needed depending for example on the strength of the broader market.
5. While there aren't any notable levels above us (all-time-highs have that effect), we do have clear support below at the S2 major pivot point should we move lower for whatever reason.
Good luck tech bulls!
THE WEEK AHEAD: ADBE, ORCL EARNINGS; GDX/GDXJ, USO/XOP/XLE, EWZEARNINGS:
ADBE (89/65) and ORCL (77/60) both announce earnings on Thursday after market close and have the metrics I look for in earnings-related volatility contraction plays (>70% rank; >50% 30-day implied).
Pictured here: a short strangle paying 11.65 at the mid price camped out around the 16 delta. Its defined risk counterpart: the 265/275/395/405 ten-wide iron condor pays 2.46. Off hours markets are showing wide, so look to price setups out during the regular session.
The delta neutral ORCL April 17th 40/55 short strangle pays 1.45.
EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS WITH EXPIRY IN WHICH THE AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE PAYS >10% OF THE STOCK PRICE:
GDX (99/51), April
USO (97/66), April
GDXJ (96/58), April
XLE (97/75), April
EWZ (92/52), April
XOP (92/51), April
TLT (91/41), May
EWW (91/48), April
XLU (90/43), June
SMH (84/56), April
FXI (65/33), June
BROAD MARKET WITH EXPIRY IN WHICH THE AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE PAYS >10% OF THE STOCK PRICE:
EFA (87/37), June
QQQ (83/43), April
IWM (82/46), May
SPY (78/41), May
EEM (70/37), June
FUTURES:
/CL (97/65)
/GC (84/25)
/SI (70/30)
/NG (65/48)
/ZS (30/19)
/ZC (21/22)
/ZW (13/27)
VIX/VIX DERIVATIVES:
VIX finished the week at 41.94, so it has been a rough ride for shorters who were in plays before this volatility expansion (points to self). The basic watch word is "patience"; volatility will abate at some point in time ... .
ADOBE INC (ADBE) is near the Key Historical Level!The price is near the Key Historical Level 313.00.
The best place foe open Sell will be under that level after the false breakout.
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