BTCUSDT local short (Bitcoin bearish divergence)Take a look at 2Days BTC price timeframe.
As you can see we got a bearish MACD cross after the divergency.
Also I noticed a biger ADX divergence which means that the strength of the trend is fading.
May be it could bring as to 24K next 1-2 weeks.
What do you think?
Adxdi
VET/USDVET/USD very quick update.
Here is a closer look at this VET/USD 1 day chart:
VeChain is in a new smaller Descending Channel which is in a massive Descending Channel. VeChain is also in a massive Symmetrical Triangle.
At the moment of typing this, VeChain is still in the Bullish Zone above its Ichimoku Cloud.
At the moment of typing this, VeChain is still above its 200MA. Note that the 50MA is still traveling upwards so we may eventually see the 50MA cross above the 200MA on this 1 day chart.
Not that overall traded volume is still very low compared to what we were getting from 2018 to 2021.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is dropping with the ADX (Orange Line) at 36.08 and under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 39.52. Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 19.73. Negative momentum has also dropped a little with the -DI (Red Line) slightly dropping to 15.87 on this 1 day chart.
I hope this very quick update is helpful.
BTC/USDHi everyone,
ADX/DI looking a little bullish. Green DI is above red DI.
ADX is still powerfull after hit almost 75 value.
As long as green line si above red line, BTC has chances to go up.
Of course, for a better analysis, we need more charts and macro/micro perspectives.
What do you think about BTC price?
!This is my analysis considering just one indicator and is everything described here is not financial advice.
Litecoin long-term bullish trend promised by technical analysisAdditional notes:
upcoming halving
Strong bullish outlook for weekly long-term perspective. Bullish tendency short term (view follow up)
This information is by no means financial advise, you trade at your own risk, I am in no way responsible for your actions, seek professional advise from licensed financial experts!
ADA/USD - still in its Falling Wedge PatternHere is a closer look at this ADA/USD 1d chart.
Just like BTC, ADA is still in its massive Falling Wedge Pattern.
Here is a closer look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI).
Once this world wide Recession has fully bottomed, for those that are prepared, there will be truly amazing opportunities to acquire your crypto of choice at a real bargain price ready to ride the next cycle upwards.
BTC/USD - 1D Chart Update with Triple Ichimoku CloudsQuick BTC/USD 1D chart update.
A range of $12K to bottom $9K price target for BTC/USD is still in play. $9K will probably be hit with just a quick wick downwards from $12K.
V Calculation (Negative)
V= B-(C-B) = D
C $25,160 - B $17,538 = $7,622
B $17,538 - (C-B) $7,622 = $9,916
Note that the above calculation is from the 1M Chart but i have added it onto this 1D chart.
Note that BTC is still under our 3 unique Ichimoku Clouds.
Here is a closer look at this 1d chart:
If we look at our main Ichimoku Cloud we can see that:
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the short-term momentum is sideways at the moment on this 1d timeframe.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the mid-term momentum is sideways at the moment on this 1d timefram.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum at the moment is sideways. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the past price.
End of the Bear Market will be signified when the price crosses back above our Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) of our third largest Kumo (Cloud) and all 3 Kumo Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) create a Kumo Twist turning all 3 green. Note that the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) is near the trope of the Descending Wedge Pattern.
BTC is still in its downwards Pitchfork Pattern and is getting very close the its Pitchfork Median Line. Note that the Price found Resistance from its Upper Light Green Pitchfork Resistance Line.
BTC is still in a Descending Wedge Pattern and a massive Ichimoku Y-Wave.
Looking at the Bollinger Bands, we can see that BTC is still way below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that both the Middle Band and the Lower Band are still pointing downwards and the Upper Band is starting to curve downwards. So we could see some consolidation before the next big move downwards.
Looking At the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 39.04 and still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line). Positive Momentum has increased slightly but is still low with the +DI (Green Line) at 9.47. Negative Momentum has dropped but is still dominant with the -DI (Red Line) at 29.95.
For your viewing pleasure, here is a look at the amazing accuracy of all 3 of these unique Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) Clouds (Kumo) as support and resistance levels.
This is all my opinion so i hope this has been helpful.
BTC/USD 4hr chart analysisBTC/USD 4hr chart analysis:
On the 17th, BTC had broken downwards out of its Ascending Wedge Pattern on this 4hr chart.
BTC had found some support from its support level at around $21,264 but has now dropped below it. A successful 4hr close below this level will possibly take BTC to its support area at around $20,834 to $20,494.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chimkou Span) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment.
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the short-term momentum is downwards at the moment.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the mid-point of the mid-term momentum is also downwards at the moment.
Note that the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) has crossed under the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) creating a new bearish red cloud (Kumo) for this 4hr timeframe.
Note that BTC is way below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 4hr timeframe.
BTC is still well below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and still outside of its Bollinger Bands Lower Band. Note that the Upper band is also extending upwards.
BTC has also found some resistance from its 1.618 ($21,577) Trend-Based Fib Extension level.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is increasing with the ADX (Orange Line) at 28.22 above the 20 Threshold (White Dashed Line) and above its 9 Period EMA (White Line) at 20.40. Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) at 7.84 and Negative momentum is upwards after the rise and drop with the -DI (Red Line) at 38.39.
Interesting times and opportunities ahead. I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
NDAQHi all,
Due to the optimistic momentum during the CPI statistics, the NDAQ is looking strong.
Usually, 0.702 Fib. is quite important. and can provide adequate resistance at this level. At this point, crypto bear market rallies typically come to an end.
ADX&DI show some momentum increasing. (Yellow line rising)
Possbile to see an inverese head and shoulder forming next?
11% is not a much left until ATH.
More charts need to be examined for a detailed analysis.
Next is DXY, which displays the USD's strength.
ADA/USD - 1 day chart analysisHere is a closer look at this ADA/USD 1 day chart:
ADA is in a Ichimoku P Wave (the 2 converging Blue Trend-lines on Chart) on this daily timeframe. This P Wave is potentially Bearish because it is an inverted P. Note that the bottom trend-line of the P Wave is near the 38.20% ($0.430) Fib Retracement level.
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-Point of the Short-Term Momentum is upwards at the moment. Note that the Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is still under the Base Line (Kijun Sen)
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indication that the Mid-Point of the Mid-Term Momentum is sideways at the moment.
The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indication that Momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the past price.
Note that ADA is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud.
ADA is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for the 1 day timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands are Pinching inwards at the moment.
At the moment of typing this, ADA has dropped below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA). A daily candle close below the LSMA would be considered a Sell Signal for this indicator on this 1 day timeframe.
ADA is still well below its Longterm Upwards Pitchfork Pattern Median Line and is also below its Lower Yellow Pitchfork Resistance Line.
Looking at the entire ADA Chart we can see that the Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) is at $0.041 and we can see the previous huge Volume Cluster from $0.096 to $0.033. This represents the area where the most volume was traded.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is dropping with the ADX (Orange Line) at 13.988 still below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 15.181. Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line) at 19.976 and Positive Momentum has also dropped with the +DI (Green Line) at 17.218.
Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) we can see that momentum is downwards at the moment. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) is below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) which is a sign of negative momentum strength. Note that the RSI still has plenty of room to drop before entering the Oversold Zone on this 1 day timeframe.
If ADA breaks below its P Wave and its 38.20% ($0.431) Fib Retracement level then we may see an eventual drop to its 50% ($0.233) Fib Retracement Level.
For the upside, we need ADA to stay above its LSMA and to eventually get back ABOVE and CLOSE a daily candle ABOVE its BB Middle Band with a successful re-test as support on this 1 day timeframe.
Looking at this ADA 1 day chart really puts things in perspective, as you can see, ADA spent from March 2018 to March 2019 in the BEARISH ZONE of the Ichimoku Cloud which was then followed by about a year or so of a few rises and falls until March 2020 when ADA rose from $0.017 to an eventual new ATH of $3.143 in Sept 2021. Once this world wide recession and financial/crypto bear market is over be it in a year, 2, 5 or 10 years, eventually the Market Makers will decided that the Path of Least Resistance to Profit is…… upwards! So you have to position yourself ready so you can take advantage of the next parabolic rise up, not just in crypto but also stocks, commodities and indices.
This is all my opinion so please do your own research because its you money.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
VET/USD - weekly chart updateLooking at the VET/USD 1 week chart we can see that VET is in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern. A Falling Wedge Pattern is potentially a Bullish Reversal Pattern. Note that the APEX of the Falling Wedge Pattern is located around the end of October 2023. A weekly candle CLOSE BELOW the Lower Converging Trend-line can easily invalidate this pattern as we saw with the previous weekly Rising Wedge Pattern that got invalidated.
Here is a closer look at this VET/USD weekly chart:
At the moment of typing this, VET is still way below its 50MA, 100MA and 200MA. For the downside, be on the lookout for if/when the 50MA crosses UNDER the 100MA on this 1 week timeframe. For the upside, be on the lookout for if/when VET crosses back above its 200MA and successfully re-test it as support.
VET is also still way below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1 week timeframe. For the upside, be on the lookout for if/when VET crosses back ABOVE and COLSES a weekly candle ABOVE its LSMA creating a BUY Signal for this indicator on this 1 week timeframe, also look out for any successfully re-test as support.
VET is still way below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 week timeframe. Note that both the Middle and Lower Bands are pointing downwards and the Upper Band is sideways at the moment. For the mid to longterm, VET needs to cross back ABOVE and CLOSE ABOVE its BB Middle Band Basis.
Looking at VETs longterm Modified Schiff Pitchfork Pattern, we can see that VET is still way below its Pitchfork Median Line and has also found resistance from its Lower Green Resistance Line.
Looking at the Trend-Based Fib Extension tool, we can see what levels VET has above and below it as potential Support and Resistance. Note that the 1 ($0.01845) Trend-Based Fib Extension Level is located roughly where the 78.60% ($0.1811) Fib Retracement Level is located.
Looking at the Fib Retracement we can see that VET has the 78.60% ($0.01811) and 100% ($0.0857) Fib retracement Levels as potential support.
I have added to areas of Support which i believe are of great interest as highlighted by the Horizontal Black Lines with Blue Shading. We can clearly see that VET has found strong Support from its first Support Area. The longer VET stays and keeps re-testing this area with lower highs, the more the support volume will be chipped away and VET will potentially drop further to its next support cluster.
The Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) is located at $0.004946 and you can see the increased volume cluster located from around $0.00857 to $0.00287. If VET drops to that level, we can expect a huge buying opportunity to cause a spike up.
As you can see on this weekly chart, Traded Volume has been low since around Jun 2021 compared to what VET was getting from July 2018 to May 2021.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is increasing with the ADX (Orange Line) rising to 17.129 and above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) at 15.182. Note that Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line)at 28.041. Positive Momentum has also dropped with the +DI (Green Line) to 16.636.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line and has been in the Negative Zone since the week of the 13th Dec 2021. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is slight curving upwards so be on the lookout if the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back above the Signal Line (Orange Line) creating a Buy Signal on this 1 week timeframe for this indicator.
Looking At the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that the %K (Blue Line) is still under its %D (Orange Line) and both lines are deep in the Oversold Zone and has been for the last 10 weeks. What is interesting is that VET has been in the Oversold zone a few times on this weekly timeframe and on 3 previous occasions VET has spent about 15-16 Weeks in this Oversold Zone before rising above 20. Could be one to watch.
I still believe that there is a huge possibility that BTC will hit $12K especially with inflation and the recession we are in, if that happens then we can expect VET to at least WICK DOWN to its 2nd Support Area which is located by its 100% ($0.0857) Fib Retracement Level and its 1.414 ($0.096) Trend-Based Fib Extension Level.
I would not get excited on tis weekly chart unless VET closes and successfully re-test as support its LSMA. For the Longterm, wee need VET to break back above and CLOSE a weekly candle ABOVE its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis and 200MA.
Once this world recession is over and the Governments, The FED, The Bank of England ect ect have completely cleaned up from inflation and whatever else, then the Market Makers will eventually decide that the Path of Least Resistance to Profit is upwards. So once this recession and financial/crypto bear market is over, be it in a year, 2, or even 5 to 10 years. You need to position yourself to be able to buy back in on your crypto of choice and take full advantage of the next parabolic wave up.
This is all just my opinion so please do your own research as its your money.
I have tried to cram quite a lot in this post as this will probably be my last longterm VET/USD weekly chart post for a while unless something major happens so I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BTC/USD - Weekly Chart Falling Wedge Pattern and a P WaveBTC is in a massive Falling Wedge Pattern. A Falling Wedge Pattern is potentially a Bullish Reversal Pattern. Note that the APEX of the Falling Wedge Pattern is around March/April 2024.
BTC is in a Negative Ichimoku P Wave Pattern. BTC has been in 2 Previous P Waves from the all time high and both P Waves ended with further drops to the downside.
BTC is also in a massive Ichimoku Y Wave Pattern. This gives us a new All Time High potential target for BTC if it does eventually rise and especially if its stays above the Lower Descending Trend-line of the Falling Wedge Pattern.
BTC is still deep in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud on this 1 Week timeframe. Note that we have already had a Kumo (Cloud) Twist into a RED Bearish Cloud on this 1 Week timeframe.
BTC is still below its 200MA. A successful WEEKLY CLOSE ABOVE the 200MA and successful re-test as support is crucial for any longterm uptrend to become viable. Note that BTC has closed 3 weekly candles below its 200MA.
BTC is still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 Week timeframe.
BTC is still way below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that both the Lower Band and Middle Band are pointing downwards and the Upper Band is pointing upwards but we may see the Upper Band curve and start moving downwards.
At the moment of typing this, BTC has found some resistance from its 78.60% Trend-Based Fib Extension Level.
At the moment BTC has found some support from its Descending Pitchfork Median Line.
The Black Horizontal Trend-line at around $17,588 is a crucial level to watch.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that The Trend Strength is Strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 30.19 still above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) at 24.70. Negative Momentum is slightly downwards with the -DI (Red Line) at 38.57 and Positive Momentum is also sideways within a range with the +DI (Green Line) at 12.18.
From my opinion, if you are waiting to go long with BTC/USD for the Mid to Longterm, i would air on the side of caution at the moment because i still believe that £12K is a huge possibility especially with inflation increasing to help pay back the trillions of $ and billions £ printed during the covid pandemic to prop up the stock market.
Mid to Longterm, we need to see a successful weekly close ABOVE the 78.60% Trend-Based Fib Extension level, the P Wave as well as the 200MA with a successful strong re-test as support on this 1 week timeframe. A successful close ABOVE the LSMA and successful re-test as support will also be a good sign of potential renewed Mid to Long-term upwards momentum. As usual, BTC needs to get back ABOVE and CLOSE a weekly candle ABOVE its BB Middle Band Basis. Until we see all of the above, then Mid to Longterm wise, it’s sideways within a range at best or downwards at worst.
Again this is all just my opinion so please do your own research as its your money.
I hope this is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
VET/USDThis is a longterm analysis of a possible 3 year outlook for VET/USD using the 1 week chart.
Here is a closer look at this VET/USD 1 week Chart.
On this 1 week timeframe, VET has been back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) since the week of 7th March 2022. Note that a weekly close ABOVE the LSMA is considered a BUY SIGNAL for this indicator.
VET is also back ABOVE its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 week timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands are still contracting indicating VET still has plenty of room to move up or down before expansion kicks in and it becomes over extended on this 1 week timeframe.
VET is Back ABOVE its 100MA (Red Line) but still BELOW its 50MA (Blue Line) on this 1 week timeframe.
VET is in a massive Rising Wedge Pattern, the APEX of which is around the week of 5th - 12th May 2025 and is at around $8.8 as indicated by the Rising Converging Blue Lines.
VET is also in a Triangle Pattern as indicated by the Converging Black Dotted Lines.
Looking at the Trend-Based Fib Extension we can see that at the moment, VET has found some resistance from its 0.236 level at $0.0876. Note that the Fib Levels are based on Log Scale.
VET closed the last weekly Volume Bar ABOVE its Volume 20 Period MA, in the Green and this weekly Volume Bar will also close ABOVE its Volume MA.
VET is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 3 Weekly Candle that i have selected.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that we have a BUY SIGNAL on this indicator for this 1 week timeframe because the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crosses back ABOVE the SIGNAL Line (Orange Line) creating a new Green Histogram. This is the first new BUY SIGNAL since the week of 25th Oct 2021 and it’s the first new Green Histogram since 22nd Nov 2022. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line, so the next key thing will be when the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back over and ABOVE the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone.
Looking at the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for this 1 week timeframe, we can see that Momentum is upwards at the moment and the RSI (Purple Line) is back above its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) and indicating upwards momentum strength. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) has plenty of room to move up before entering the Overbought Zone which is above 70 on this 1 week timeframe.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is still weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 14.51 under the 20 Threshold and under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line). Positive Momentum has increased with the +DI (Green Line) rising to 25.101 and ABOVE its -DI (Red Line) which is at 19.21. A very good sign on this 1 week timeframe will be if we continue to see the +DI (Green Line) expand further away from the -DI (Red Line) as well as the ADX (Orange Line) crossing back ABOVE its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) and AOVE 20 Threshold.
With such a large rise on the Daily, we shouldn't be surprised if VET re-traces back to its LSMA or even its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on the 1 day timeframe. Here is a look at the 1 day chart so you can see the Expansion of the Bollinger Bands. Note that VET found support today from its LSMA Level on the 1 day chart.
Obviously a lot can happen and change in 3 years with the Crypto Market, VET can easily break ABOVE or BELOW and CLOSE a Weekly Candle ABOVE or BELOW the Rising Wedge Pattern's Trend Lines to invalidate it way before it ever gets to the APEX.
The first crucial step for VET will be CLOSE a weekly Candle ABOVE its 0.236 Trend-Based Fib Level at 0.0876 and if needs be, to successfully re-test that level as strong support.
Key things to look out for the potential start off on this VET/USD longterm 1 week timeframe in no particular order:
For the Positive Side:
1: A successful close ABOVE the 0.236 Trend-Based Fib Extension level.
2: Expansion of the Upper and Lower Bollinger Bands while the Price is above the Upper Band.
3: A successful Weekly Close ABOVE the 50MA,
4: The BB Middle Band 20 Period SMA crossing back ABOVE the 50MA
5: The 100MA crossing back ABOVE the 50MA
6: The MACD Line (Blue Line) crossing back above the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone
7: The ADX Line (Orange Line) crossing back ABOVE the 20 Threshold and its 9 Period EMA (Black Line).
8: A Weekly close ABOVE the Ascending Upper Blue Trend-line of the Rising Wedge Pattern.
9: A Weekly Close ABOVE the Upper Triangle Pattern Trend-line.
10: A successful close ABOVE the 50MA.
For the Negative Side:
1: A successful close BELOW the 0.236 Trend-Based Fib Extension level.
2: A drop back UNDER the BB Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA.
3: A Weekly Close back UNDER the 100MA,
4: A weekly Close back UNDER the LMA.
5: The 100MA crossing back ABOVE the 50MA
6: The MACD Line (Blue Line) crossing back UNDER the SIGNAL LINE (Orange Line)
7: The +DI (Green Line) crossing back UNDER the -DI (Red Line).
8: A Weekly close BELOW the Ascending Bottom Blue Trend-line of the Rising Wedge Pattern.
9: A Weekly Close BELOW the Lower Triangle Pattern Trend-line.
10: The RSI (Purple Line) crossing back UNDER its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line)
I’m sure I’ve missed a few things but that’s probably enough of me rambling on.
I hope this post is helpful with your Trading, Hodl-ing or DCA-ing.
BTC/USD - 1 day chart analysisLooking at the BTC/USD daily chart we can see that BTC is still under its Least Squares Moving Average as well as still under its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Note that we have expansion of the Lower Bollinger Band.
BTC is still in a Descending Pitchfork Pattern and has found some support from its Upper Green Pitchfork Support Line. Note that BTC is still above the Descending pitchfork Median Line. A drop to the Pitchfork Median Line would take BTC to around $20,000 which is new its 0.786 Trend-Based Fib level at around $20,122.
I have added various Support Lines on this chart and you can see the major Descending trend-line that BTC must CLOSE ABOVE and if needs be to successfully re-test as support on this 1 day timeframe. There are more support lines i could add but the chart would become too messy.
Looking at the Trend-Based-Fib Extension we can see that BTC is still under its 0.5 Trend-Based Fib level around $30,352.
Looking at the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) we can see areas of interest that that might arise that has previously had massive volume. These levels coincide with the Support and Resistance Lines that I’ve added. The Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range is at around $19,112.
I have added a Volume Profile Fixed Range (VPFR) indicator which is from 27th Mar 22 to 11th June 22 and as you can see BTC is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for that fixed range.
Here is a closer look at this 1 day chart.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line on this 1 day chart. Note that it looks like the MACD Line (Blue Line) may cross back under its Signal Line (Orange Line) creating a Sell Signal for this indicator on this 1 day timeframe.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has increased with the -DI (Red Line) rising to 25.39 and Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 15.50. Note that the Trend Strength is now turning sideways with the ADX (Orange Line) at 24.18 and the 9 Period EMA (Black Line) is heading downwards at 34.37. If the ADX (Orange Line) crosses back above the 9 Period EMA (Black Line) then that will be further strength for the downside if the -DI (Red Line) is still above the +DI (Green Line) on this 1 day timeframe.
All in all looking at this 1 day chart mid-term wise BTC shows no sign of breaking to the upside just yet. Look like there will be continued opportunities to acquire your crypto of choice at bargain prices.
I hope this chart is helpful with your Trading and Hodl-ing.
VET/USD - UpdateAs I mentioned in my previous VET post in March, there was always a possibility that VET would drop out of the Bottom Trend-line of its Ascending Wedge and Invalidate that Ascending Wedge Pattern, which has happened. VET also failed to get back above its 0.236 Trend-Based Fib extension Level on that previous chart so we know that $0.087 is the price that VET needs to close a daily candle above solidified with a successful re-test as support.
So let’s move on.
Using a longterm Modified Schiff Pitchfork Pattern (A,B,C), you can see that VET is still below its Modified Schiff Pitchfork Pattern Median Line.
At the moment VET has found some support from its Lower Green Pitchfork Support Line.
Let’s take a closer look at this 1 day VET USD chart with the Bollinger Bands, LSMA and VPFR POC.
At the moment VET is fighting to stay back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 day timeframe. Not that the Upper and Lower Bands are moving sideways at the moment. Using the VPVR, you can see that the Upper and Lower Bands are located roughly above and below an area of large volume.
At the moment VET has found some support from its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) level. A daily close ABOVE the LSMA is crucial for continued upwards momentum.
At the moment VET is trying to stay back above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 22x daily candles i have selected.
For your viewing pleasure i have added various support and resistance lines (Black Solid Lines and Black Dotted Line) as well as various support areas as highlighted by the horizontal black lines with yellow shading.
As you can see, VET is now in a Descending Triangle Pattern (Bearish) as well as a Descending Wedge Pattern (Bullish). Note that the APEX of the Descending Triangle is located around Nov 2022 and the APEX of the Descending Wedge is located around March 2023. Note that a pattern can easily become invalidated with the price drop below and successful re-test as resistance of the bottom trendlines.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Positive Momentum is still downwards with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 14.17. Note that Negative Momentum is also down with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 20.00. Note that the Trend Strength is still strong but has dropped with the ADX (Orange Line) dropping to 30.52 and the ADX is also back under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) at 33.84 which is further confirmation of a weakening of Trend Strength at the moment.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that Momentum is upwards at the moment with the MACD Line (Blue Line) pointing upwards and is still back above its Signal Line (Orange Line) on this 1 day timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still BELOW the 0.0 Base Line in the Negative Zone.
Looking at the bottom Volume indicator we can see that overall traded volume is still low especially compared to what VeChain was getting from around October 2019 to May 2021. This is similar to Bitcoin’s daily chart which possibly means that while big money might actually be accumulating crypto assets like BTC, but there hasn’t been a constant inflow of big money actually trading crypto like BTC on a regular basis since around May 2021.
Using the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) indicator, you can see where the Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) is for this VeChain Chart is. Using the entire charts range we can indicate at what price range was the most volume was traded at. At the moment the Crypto market is following BTC so if BTC drops to $20k or $12,400 then we may see a wick down to around $0.009 which would offer a real great buying opportunity for most crypto. If BTC doesn’t drop to $20K then we will see VeChain eventually break back above its Descending Triangle, its Descending Wedge and eventually back above its Modified Schiff Pitchfork Median Line.
I hope this post is helpful with your trading or hodl-ing.
ADX-DI - how to tune and upgrade a TV indicator Starting from an inbuilt indicator, I played with the options available to get a personal and upgraded indicator.
The idea is to use the power of the indicator and customize it to get a more visual result.
I've played with the settings to make it more sensitive ..
Added a MA for each Di lines ..
Played with the layers to make it more visual ..
From there we can think about a few strategies to make the indicator useful.
ADA/USDA quick look at the ADA/USD 1 day chart:
ADA is still below its Longterm upwards Pitchfork (Blue A,B,C) Median Line on this 1 day timeframe.
ADA is also below its smaller descending Pitchfork (Black A,B,C) Median Line on this 1 day timeframe.
ADA is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA for this 1 day timeframe. Note that the Lower Band is till pointing downwards and the Upper Band is now moving downwards.
At the moment of typing this, ADA is trying to get back and stay above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 day timeframe.
Note that ADA is still above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts entire Visible Range. Looking at this range gives us a sense of potential upcoming areas of previous volume interest that may offer good buying opportunities if ADA drops lower.
ADA is also still under its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 11x Daily Candles that i have Selected.
Looking at the Ichimoku Cloud with the 20,60,120,30 settings:
The Ichimoku Cloud Conversion Line (Tenkan Sen) is indicating that the Mid-point of the Short-term Momentum is sideways at the moment.
The Ichimoku Cloud Base Line (Kijun Sen) is indicating that the Mid-point of the Mid-term momentum is also sideways at the moment.
The Ichimoku cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is indicating that momentum is upwards at the moment for this 1 day candle. Note that The Lagging Span (Chikou Span) is still under the Price from 30 Periods ago.
Note that both the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) and Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) are moving sideways at the moment indicating a decrease in volatility at the moment.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the Trend Strength is strong with the ADX (Orange Line) at 40.249 and above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 37.203. Negative momentum is still dominant with the -DI (Red Line) at 29.750 but note it has dropped from 37.0. Positive Momentum has increased slightly with the +DI (Green Line) rising to 10.83.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that momentum is sideways with a slight upwards trajectory. Note that the MACD Lien (Blue Line) is still under its Signal Line (Orange Line) and still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line on this 1 day timeframe.
Potential areas of previous Volume interest to look out for if you want to go long on ADA if ADA drops further are potentially:
$0.411 to $0.298,
$0.179 - $0.128,
$0.111 - $0.082,
$0.049 - $0.033.
Using the indicators on this chart, for confirmation of a renewed mid to longterm uptrend on this 1 day timeframe, we need to see:
1: ADA to successfully close a daily candle ABOVE its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA and stay above it.
2: ADA to successfully close a daily candle ABOVE its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) and stay above it.
3: ADA to cross back into the Bullish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud and for the Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) to cross back ABOVE the Leading Span B (Senkou Span B) creating a Kumo (Cloud) Twist creating a new Bullish Green Cloud for this 1 day timeframe.
4: The Ichimoku Cloud Lagging Span (Chikou Span) to cross back ABOVE the Price from 30 Periods ago and stay above the price below it.
5: The +DI (Green Line) to cross back ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) on the Average Directional Index (ADX DI)
6: the MACD Line (Blue Line to cross back ABOVE its Signal Line (Orange Line) and back ABOVE the 0.0 Base Line into the Positive Zone on this 1 day timeframe.
7: ADA to cross back ABOVE both Pitchfork Median Lines especially the Longterm upwards Pitchfork (Blue A,B,C).
Apologies for the lack of posting, i have been busy filming a new feature film. I'm sure there's more things i could post and I've probably missed a few things but this hopefully gives people enough for to ponder.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BTC/USD 1WLooking at the Trend-Base Fib Extension we can see that BTC found some support from its 0.5 Fib Level at $30,329. If this support level fails then the next Fib Levels are 0.618 at $26,100 and 0.786 at $20,077.
Looking at the Bollinger Bands, we can see that BTC is still way below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 week timeframe. Note that at the moment BTC is below its Bollinger Bands Lower Band.
Looking at the Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) we can see that BTC closed a weekly candle below its LSMA. A close below the LSMA is considered a sell signal.
A key area of support is the area from around £31,075 to $28,666 as highlighted by the horizontal black lines with yellow shading. Note that BTC has found support from this Support Zone 9 times previous since the 4th Jan 2021.
Looking at the Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR), you can see potential upcoming areas of previous volume interest if the support at around $28,666 and the 0.618 Fib Level at $26,100 both fail. Note that for the timeframe starting Sept 2020 to the present day, BTC is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range.
Note that BTC is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the fixed range of 7 weekly candles i have selected.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating a sharp rise in Negative Momentum on this 1 week timeframe with the -DI (Red Line) rising to 30.54 and the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 16.27. Note that the Trend Strength is increasing with the ADX (Orange Line) rising to 17.39 and crossing above its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 17.37.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is indicating momentum is downwards at the moment for this 1 week timeframe. Note that the RSI (Purple Line) still has room to drop further before entering the Oversold Zone on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the RSI is still below its 9 Period EMA (Orange Line) indicating negative momentum strength.
Looking at the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) we can see that the CMF line (Green Line) is still under the 0.0 Basel Line in the Distribution Zone and has been since the week of the 21st Feb 2022 on this 1 week timeframe. Note that the CMF (Green Line) is also below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) indicating strength for distribution.
If we use the area from around $31,075 to $28,666 as our base and the Descending Trend-line then we can clearly see that BTC is also in a Descending Triangle Pattern on this 1 week timeframe. In any case, if the support area fails then there will be some good opportunities to acquire BTC or your crypto of choice at a bargain price before the next bull cycle upwards. Never say never.
I hope this quick and dirty post is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
ADA/USDAt the moment of typing this, ADA is still below its longterm Pitchfork Median Line and has been below it since the 3rd March 2022.
ADA is also in a Descending Pitchfork Pattern (Black A,B,C). At the moment, ADA is still above its Descending pitchfork Median Line. At the moment, ADA has found some support from its Descending Upper Yellow Pitchfork Support Line.
At the moment ADA is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1 day timeframe.
At the moment, ADA is also back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA. Not that we have yet to get expansion of the Upper and Lower Bands
Using the Ichimoku settings of 20,60,120,30, we can see that ADA is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud and ADA has not made an attempt to break back into the Equilibrium Zone since the 18th Jan 2022 when ADA failed to close a daily candle within the Cloud.
At the moment, ADA is above its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 20x daily candles that i have selected.
At the moment, ADA is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range.
At the moment, Volume on this Binance Chart for ADA is still relatively low compared to what ADA was getting around May 2021.
Looking at the Average Directional index (ADX DI), Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (green Line) dropping to 22.56 and note that Negative Momentum has also dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 18.89. The Trend Strength is still weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 18.57 and still below the 20 Threshold and also below its 9 Period EMS (Black Line) at 20.82.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), the MACD Line (Blue Line) is indicating momentum is upwards at the moment and it is above its Signal Line (Orange Line). Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is still in the Negative Zone under the 0.0 Base Line on this 1 day timeframe. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since 20th Jan 2022 on this 1 day timeframe.
Here is a wider look at this ADA 1 day chart with its Longterm Pitchfork Pattern:
Looking at this ADA 1 day chart, i personally wouldn’t get excited until ADA gets back above its Longterm Pitchfork Median Line and also starts making a Hight Highs and Higher Lows above $1.63. So depending on what BTC does and what your Trading plan, Hodl-ing Plan or DCA plan is, it looks like there will still be good opportunities to acquire more ADA or your crypto of choice at a discount price. On another note, if ADA drops below its Descending pitchfork Median Line then we can expect to hit $0.622 but that is if support of the Descending Pitchfork Median Line fails as support. I would keep an eye on whether or not both the LSMA and Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA continues to be Support or become Resistance on this 1 day timeframe.
I hope this post is helpful for your Trading or Hodl-ing.
BTC\USDA quick BTC/USD update:
At the moment, BTC is testing its crucial Descending Resistance Line of its Triangle Pattern as well as testing its crucial Resistance Area. Note that BTC has found resistance from this Descending Resistance Line 3 times previous and you can clearly see the interactions of the previous Daily Candles with this Resistance/Support area.
Note that the APEX of the Triangle Pattern is located around the 23rd April 2022.
At the moment of typing this, BTC is back above its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) as well as back above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 day timeframe. Note that BTC is back above its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this chart's visible range.
At the Moment of typing this, BTC is still in the Bearish Zone of the Ichimoku Cloud. Note that Leading Span A (Senkou Span A) Resistance Line is located in the same spot as the Resistance Area that BTC is testing.
Looking at the Trend-Based Fib Extension, we can see that the 0.236 level is also located at BTC’s crucial Resistance Area.
Note that this is the first time since the 10th March that the daily Volume Bar has been above its Volume 20 Period MA.
The Average Directional Index (ADX DI) is indicating a spike in Positive Momentum with the +DI (Green Line) rising to 22.04. Negative Momentum has dropped with the -DI (Red Line) dropping to 19.89. Note that the +DI (Green line) is now back above the -DI (Red Line) indicating Positive Momentum is stronger than Negative Momentum on this 1 day timeframe. Note that we have to be careful because the overall Trend Strength is still very weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 15.39 way below the 20 Threshold (Black Dashed Line) and is still also below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 17.64.
Tonight’s daily candle close will be a very interesting one to watch.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BTC/USD - 0.236 Trend-Based Fib Extension levelThe Trend-Based Fib Extension level 0.236 at $42,492.75 is the level BTC needs to close above and successfully re-test as support for continued upwards momentum on this 1 day timeframe. This level is also where its descending trend-line is located exactly on the 0.236 level.
At the moment, BTC is also back above its Least Squares Moving Average, its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA as well as its VPFR POC for the fixed range of 14x daily candles that i have selected. Note that BTC is also back inside the Ichimoku Cloud Equilibrium Zone at the moment.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI), it looks like we are very close to potentially seeing the +DI (Green Line) cross back ABOVE the -DI (Red Line) which would indicate that Positive Momentum has become dominant over Negative Momentum on this 1 day timeframe. If this crossover happens and the +DI (Green Line) is on top, we then need the +DI (Green Line) and the -DI (Red Line) to keep expanding further away from each other for continued Positive Momentum dominance on this 1 day timeframe.
At the moment of typing this, BTC has found resistance from its Trend-Based Fib Extension 0.236 level as well as from its VPVR POC for this charts Visible Range. It will be very interesting to see where and how BTC closes this daily candle.
I hope this brief post is helpful with trading and hold-ing.
VET/USDVeChain update:
As with most cryptos, downwards pressure is still dominant.
VET is still in a Descending Channel, VET broke above the Descending Channel on the 3rd of March but quickly came back down and closed back inside the Descending Channel so the Descending Channel is still valid.
VET is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1d timeframe. Note that we have expansion of the Lower Bollinger Band and this expansion is for negative momentum.
VET is getting very close to its Least squares Moving Average (LSMA) indicator, a close below the LSMA will be considered a sell signal on this 1 day timeframe for this indicator.
VET is still below its Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) for this charts Visible Range.
VET is still below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) for the Fixed Range of 11x daily candles that i have selected.
I have added various Support and Resistance areas s highlighted by the Horizontal Blue Line with Yellow Shading.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) is sideways at the moment and still under the 0.0 Base Line in the Negative Zone. If the MACD Line (Blue Line) crosses back under the Signal Line (Orange Line) then that will be considered a sell signal for this indicator on this 1 day timeframe. Not that the last 3 Green Histograms have lightened and lessoned in size indication a weakening of positive momentum. Note that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has not been in the Positive Zone above the 0.0 Base Line since the 21st Nov 2021 on this 1 day timeframe.
Looking at the Stochastic Indicator (STOCH) we can see that momentum is downwards at the moment and note that the %K Line (Bluer Line) is still below its %D Line (Orange Line) on this 1 day timeframe. Important to note that the %K (Blue Line) still has plenty of room to drop much more before becoming Oversold on this 1 day timeframe.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that the trend strength is very weak with the ADX (Orange Line) under its 20 Threshold at 19.23 and still under its 9 Period EMA (Black line) which is at 21.60. Note that Positive Momentum has dropped its the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 19.26. Negative Momentum is still dominant but has dropped to 23.63.
Here is a wider look at this VET/USD 1 day chart so you can see the previous VPVR POC area:
I still think that BTC will hit $24k this year, if that is the case & if downwards pressure continues and VET breaks below its $0.0389 support then i think we will see VET hit around $0.0293 - $0.0282 as that area is VET’s previous very strong VPVR POC area.
At the moment, the Market Makers have decided that the path of least resistance to profit is still downwards, this goes for most stocks, Indices and Cryptos. As we know BTC is following the downwards momentum of the stock market and all alts are following BTC.
I closed all my crypto trades back in Dec 2021, luckily still in profit. I have only had 1 crypto trade on since which i closed at a 10% profit, that was a VTHO/USDT trade. I am positioning myself to fully be able to buy back in on my various cryptos of choice when the time arises because bear markets do not last forever.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
BTC/USDBTC update.
Here is a closer look at this 1 day BTC/USD Bitstamp Chart.
BTC is still below its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 day timeframe. Note that the Upper and Lower Bands have started to expand outwards and this expansion is for negative momentum.
BTC is also still below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) for this 1 day timeframe.
I have added various support and resistance line as well as various support area on this 1 day timeframe.
Looking at the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) we can see that the MACD Line (Blue Line) has crosses below its Signal Line (Orange Line) and dropped below the 0.0 Base Line into the Negative Zone. Note that this is the first drop back into the Negative Zone since 19th Nov 2021 on this 1 day timeframe.
Looking at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI) we can see that Negative Momentum has increased with the -DI (Red Line) rising to 28.86 and Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) at 19.78. Note that the Trend Strength has increased with the ADX (Blue Line) turning slightly sideways at 21.92. Note that the ADX (Blue Line) is still below its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) which is at 25.21.
If BTC closes a daily candle below its $37,780 - $37,168 support zone and that support zone becomes strong resistance then crucial area for BTC is the support area located at around $31,100 to around $28,646.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.
VTHO/USDVTHO update and a quick look to the future opportunities that may arise, not just VTHO but all crypto assets, because downtrends don’t last forever.
Here is a closer look at this VTHO 1 day chart.
At the moment VTHO is below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) on this 1 day timeframe. A daily close below the LSMA is considered a sell signal.
At the moment, VTHO is fighting to stay above its Bollinger Bands Middle Band Basis 20 Period SMA on this 1 day timeframe. If VTHO closes below the BB Basis and re-test it as resistance then we should expect VTHO to drop to its BB Lower Band level.
VTHO is below its Volume Profile Fixed Range Point of Control (VPFR POC) fro the fixed range of 5x daily candles that i have selected.
Zoomed out on this 1 day VTHO chart, the Volume Profile Visible Range Point of Control (VPVR POC) is around $0.001480.
For your viewing pleasure i have added various support and resistance areas as highlighted by the Horizontal Black Lines with Yellow shading. I have also added 2 descending support lines (Blue Lines on chart).
If we look at the Average Directional Index (ADX DI), we can see that Positive Momentum has dropped with the +DI (Green Line) dropping to 24.29 but Negative Momentum has also dropped with the -DI (Red Lien dropping to 19.04. The Trend Strength is weak with the ADX (Orange Line) at 19.19 and still under its 9 Period EMA (Black Line) and now under the 20 Threshold. We need the +DI (Green Line) to stay above the -DI (Red Line) on this 1 day timeframe, if not then further downwards momentum will continue.
If we look at the STOCHASTIC Indicator (STOCH) we can see that momentum is slightly upwards but i would say sideways within a range at the moment with the %K Line (Blue Line) still under its %D (Orange Line) which is a further sign of upwards strength weakness. Not that the %K Line (Blue Line) still has room to drop before becoming Oversold on this 1 day timeframe. Be on the lookout for when the %K Line (Blue Line) strongly crosses back above the %D (Orange Line) on strong volume.
At the moment, like most other cryptos, VTHO is under the influence of BTC. With this mid to potentially long term downtrend, a lot of opportunities will soon arise because downtrends don’t last forever. Previous Volume POCs will potentially become new POCs and become area of strong volume control, be tested again as support and if it holds, it can again offer opportunities to allow you to acquire your crypto of choice at an unbelievable discount.
From the 9th Feb 2021 to 16th April 2021, VTHO did a massive rise from its POC starting around $0.00145 and eventually rising to $0.02738………. That is around a 1794% move up! You want to buy near the BOTTOM of that 1794% and sell near the TOP of the 1794%
This is just my opinion but a lot of people seem to get caught up in the hype of BTC and ETH and foolishly ignore the low cap coins that can potentually offer much higher returns and i believe that cryptos like VTHO and a few others can offer that once again, especially after this downtrend is over, even if that downtrend takes a year or 2 because we have to factor in what is happening to the economy at the moment, because like it or not, when the stock market crashes……. BTC and most other cryptos will follow.
Diversification is key.
I hope this is helpful with your trading and hodl-ing.