ZC1! Potential For Bearish ContinuationOn the H4 chart, the overall bias for ZC1! is bearish. To add confluence to this, price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 676.75, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 685.25, slightly above where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is located. Looking to take profit at 632.00, where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Agricultural Commodities
ZC1! Potential For Bearish ContinuationOn the H4 chart, the overall bias for ZC1! is bearish. To add confluence to this, price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 676.75, where the 50% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 685.25, slightly above where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is located. Looking to take profit at 632.00, where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Corn Futures ( ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bullish Momentum
Type: Bullish Momentum
Resistance: 675.00
Pivot: 661.50
Support: 654.75
Preferred case: On the H4 chart with price crossing the Ichimoku cloud to the upside, we are looking for price to possibly head towards the resistance at 675.00, where the 50% Fibonacci line is located.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up and head towards the pivot at 661.50 where the 20% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ZC1! Corn Potential For Bearish ContinuationOn the H4 chart, the overall bias for ZC1! is bearish. Furthermore, the price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Price has reached our sell entry point at 661.75, which is also the 23.6% Fibonacci line. The stop loss will be placed at 685.25, just above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement line. The 50% Fibonacci line will serve as the take profit point at 632.00.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Soybean Futures ( ZS1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumTitle: Soybean Futures ( ZS1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 1484.50
Pivot: 1409.75
Support: 1431.50
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is crossing under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly continue heading towards the Pivot at 1409.75, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up to retest the support at 1431.50, where the 50% Fibonacci line is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
Cotton price looking bullish after breaking above 50 day SMATODAY’S MARKET IDEA:
Cotton price looking bullish after breaking above 50 day moving average
Cotton vs US Dollar current price $88.25, both rate of change 4 and 13 day above zero line (bullish); MACD above its signal line (bullish) and the fact that current price is above both its respective 20 and 50 day moving averages indicate bullish technical conditions, upside potential for longs in the short term (1-25 days) at $95.87 (38.2% retracement from its 13 week low) provide price can remain above the $86.2 support.
Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish MomentumTitle: Corn Futures ( ZC1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 671.75
Pivot: 661.50
Support: 632.50
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head towards the support line at 632.50 where the 50% fibonacci line is located.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up to retest the resistance at 671.75, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ZC1! Corn Potential For Bearish ContinuationThe overall bias for ZC1! on the H4 chart is bearish . In addition, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Price has tapped into our sell entry point at 661.75, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is located. The stop loss will be at 685.25, just above the 61.8% Fibonacci line. The take profit point will be at 632.00, which is the 50% Fibonacci line.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Corn LongCorn has been in a range since aug. and I am willing to trade the range once more. The green arrows are good entry points, it is important that we reclaim the volume profile in order to capture upside momentum. The upside target is the green box, depending on how many contracts you may be trading its a good idea to scale out as we advance into the box. The red arrow indicates a high quality short opportunity.
The golden pocket noted on the chart is pulled from the June highs and the July lows. This is a major GP zone, there will be a reaction.
The red line running across the top of the chart is a resistance line that has been pulled from the highs in May and June.
ZC1! Potential For Bearish ContinuationThe overall bias for ZC1! on the H4 chart is bearish. In addition, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Price has reached our sell entry point at 661.75, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is located. The stop loss will be at 685.25, just above the 61.8% Fibonacci line. The take profit point will be at 632.00, which is the 50% Fibonacci line.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
It’s trading wheaty (pretty) high now...Continuing the topic of spreads between related commodities, the Hard Red Winter Wheat – Soft Red Winter Wheat spread is another one trading at an extreme level now.
A brief explanation on the different types of wheat we are referring to here:
1) The Hard Red Winter Wheat (HRW) is the most widely grown class of wheat. A high protein product, used for breads, some types of Asian noodles and general-purpose flour.
2) The Soft Red Winter Wheat (SRW) is the third largest class of wheat variety grown in the US, lower protein wheat used in producing confectionary products such as cookies, crackers, and other bread products.
Generally, the HRW Wheat Futures (KE) trades at a premium to the SRW Wheat Futures (ZW) due to the higher protein content, however other factors such as production levels and supply demand dynamics may disrupt this spread, as seen from the wide range it has been trading since 1977.
Currently, this spread is trading close to 132 cents, with only one instance where it has traded higher, which was in March 2011 when this spread reached an all-time high of 164.
We attribute the spread trading at a high now due to the following 2 reasons:
1) The 2022 HRW production is currently the lowest on record since 1963, due to widespread droughts across many of the HRW production regions.
2) The average protein content of the 2022 yield is higher than last year, as well as the average of the past 5 years, resulting in a higher quality crop.
As a result, HRW is trading at a premium as supply shortage and a higher quality product pushes the price higher, while SRW sees average production and quality.
While it is challenging to assess the production levels and quality for the next season, from a risk reward perspective, we see an opportunity here. The past few spread peaks have been clearly marked out by Relative Strength Index (RSI) pointing oversold. With the 10-year average for the spread at 6.3 cents and the RSI now oversold, we lean bearish on the spread.
Referencing the average of the past 3 declines at 150 cents and lasting 511 days, we could set out trade levels.
If the historical pattern holds this time, a conservative target of 120 cents and a trade length of 500 days points us to the 15-cent level. We see the current set-up as an opportunistic one, with similar episodes in the past pointing lower. CME also has the synthetic KC HRW Wheat-Wheat Intercommodity Spread, which can be used to express the same view and is financially settled.
The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios.
Sources:
www.uswheat.org
www.cmegroup.com
www.cmegroup.com
www.usda.gov
Corn Futures ( ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum Title: Corn Futures ( ZC1!), H4 Potential for Bearish Momentum
Type: Bearish Momentum
Resistance: 671.75
Pivot: 661.50
Support: 632.50
Preferred case: On the H4 chart, we have a bearish bias. To add confluence to this, price is under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to possibly head towards the support line at 632.50 where the 50% fibonacci line is located.
Alternative scenario: Price may go back up to retest the pivot at 661.50, where the previous swing low is.
Fundamentals: There are no major news.
ZC1! Potential For Bearish ContinuationOn the H4 chart, the overall bias for ZC1! is bearish. To add confluence to this, price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 662.75, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is located. Stop loss will be at 685.25, slightly above where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is located. Take profit will be at 632.00, where the 50% Fibonacci line is located.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Wheat Cash CFD Trade Plan - Long & Short Hello Traders;
Wheat Cash CFD - Globalprime
Trade Plan.
Long / Buy Trade.
Entry Level on break on upper support blue line @ 810.92 to 794.79
Take Profit 1 @ Daily Resistance / FIB 23.6% Level 855.86
Take Profit 2 @ 4 Hour Resistance / FIB 38.2% level 938.27
Take Profit 3 @ 1 Hour Resistance zone / FIB 61.80% level 1063.56
Stop Loss @ Daily Support Level / FIB 0 % Level 728.20
Lot Size :
Portfolio Size 10000
Risk to Reward 1 : 1
Lot size 7 units @ 5% Risk
TP 1 = Total PIPS in gain = 81.18 Profit 7.73 %
TP 2 = Total PIPS in gain = 143.48 Profit 18.31%
TP 3 = Total PIPS in gain = 268.77 Profit 33.95%
Total PIPS in Stop loss = 66.59 Loss 8.24%
Short / Sell Trade.
Entry Level on break on Lower support Red line @ 787.73 to 784.71
Take Profit 1 @ Daily Support / FIB 0.% Level 728.20
Take Profit 2 @ Daily Support at 675.89
Take Profit 3 @ Daily Support at 610.30
Stop Loss @ Daily Support Level / FIB 23.60% Level 855.86
Lot Size :
Portfolio Size 10000
Risk to Reward 1 : 1
Lot size 8 units @ 5% Risk
TP 1 = Total PIPS in gain = 56.86 Profit 6.82 %
TP 2 = Total PIPS in gain = 107.84 Profit 13.62%
TP 3 = Total PIPS in gain = 174.41 Profit 21.97%
Total PIPS in Stop loss = 71.98 Loss 9.25%
Regards
Financial Wave. COFFECOFFEE
We love coffee, so we look the dynamics of its price.)
In previous reviews, we considered the possibility of coffee rising from $170-180, the price went a little bit lower, but the structure is still in line with our preferable scenario. Growth in wave (5) will bring the price to a new high, the first intermediate target of $200. Fixing the price below $160 will change our view of coffee.