WHEAT BUY 1HWheat is trading above 200EMA on both Price and Volume. We could see a rise in price to 896.
There is also a bullish divergence on 1 hour RSI.
War is not over...
Agricultural Commodities
ZW / WHEAT FUTURESAbout FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS .
---We are now in the corn-demand zone and there are many factors supporting the buying.
1-The Ukrainian war.
2- - dehydration.
3-The rise in the price of oil will lead to a rise in the price of transportation.
About TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
--- we look at (" Sell VOLUME ") and ("Sell pressure") is in decreasing , Volume drives all markets.
About Psycho-
--- The short sellers start to take their money from wheat market because of a psycho- demand zone.
ZC / Corn futures ZC / CORN FUTURES
About FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS.
---We are now in the corn-demand zone and there are many factors supporting the buying.
1-The Ukrainian war.
2- - dehydration.
3-The rise in the price of oil will lead to a rise in the price of transportation.
About TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
--- we look at (" Sell VOLUME ") and ("Sell pressure") is in decreasing , Volume drives all markets.
About Psycho-
--- The short sellers start to take their money from CORN market because of a psycho- demand zone.
SOYBEANS Supply And Demand Trade IdeaSee the picture for analysis.
SELL:
-We have price sitting inside daily supply right now so we can look for shorts on lower timeframes.
BUY:
-Possible long buy setup that broke daily downward trend lines + removed opposing supply. OR wait or price to pullback into daily demand and look for buys on lower timeframe with confirmation.
-Bullish commodities with inflation/so-called food crisis.
Let me know your thoughts.
Lest we forgetHas the wheat market been forgotten? With wheat prices almost back to early February levels, right before the start of the Russian-Ukraine conflict, markets seemed to have erased all fears of a tightening wheat supply due to the conflict.
The recent selloff in wheat partially stemmed from the market belief that the situation in Ukraine is improving and that exports will be resuming. But with today’s news of missile strikes at Ukraine’s Odesa port, which serves as one of the main port for grains export, we think that the narrative for wheat is about to turn around with further fear and supply tightening on the horizon.
Looking at the chart, wheat is now sitting on a long-term resistance-turn-support level around the 850 mark. RSI recovered from deep oversold territory and is now grinding back upwards. On a shorter timeframe, we also see a falling wedge, which is seen as a bullish signal.
The combination of markets over-correcting to pre-conflict levels and bullish signals from current technical indicators provides a buying opportunity as we head into another period of uncertainty for wheat.
Entry at 842, stops at 752. Target at 1000.
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios.
WHEAT Swing Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
WHEAT is trading in a downtrend
But the price is about to retest
The massive horizontal support level
From where after the proper retest
At least a local move up
Is to be expected
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
Long Wheat (ZW) - COT Thrust Signal (Read for Explanation)CBOT:ZW1!
A bit of a unique chart setup here - typically I trade based solely on the max positioning of the commercials (See below for an explanation of what that means). However, I will occasionally look for a buy when the Net positioning of commercials has accelerated recently (Indicated by black bars in the COT indicator at bottom of the chart). For this trade, use the daily chart for an entry using your favorite technical indicator (if it triggers!). Note: Crop Progress report on Monday
Risk: There has been some recent heavy selling making this slightly counter trend
Additional Note: Look how accurate the COT Index has been on calling highs and lows for Wheat (Green and Red highlighting on the bottom indicator). And no, I did not optimize the settings to get this to occur.
Helping Materials to Understand What I'm Talking About (I have this on all my ideas now)
COT Definitions:
- COT: Commitments of Traders Reports - A weekly report published by the government (CFTC) that shows long and short positions of the below 3 groups (As well as much more data I don't look at). We look at the NET positions of these 3 groups and compare them to historical levels to signal trade opportunities
1- Commercials: Hedgers - We want to trade with them when they're at extreme levels (Think Tyson, Cargill, General Mills, etc)
2- Large Speculators: Hedge funds and large institutions - We want to fade them when they are at max positions (Think suits in NYC and commodity funds)
3- Small Speculators: People/institutions trading small lot sizes not big enough to report to CFTC - We want to fade their max positions as well since they represent the public (Think dude in his PJs trading and small trading firms)
Indicators on Chart:
- The first indicator shows the net positions of the 3 groups above plotted over time
- The second indicator is an index of the relative buying/selling of commercials over a certain lookback period. Anything above 95 is looking for buy, look to sell when it hits 0. The black bars show when the index is moving rapidly and can also trigger a trade)
- Note: Just because the Commercial's net position is negative doesn't mean it can't be relatively net long and signal a buy (same in the opposite scenario)
Trade Setup - Both Must Happen:
- When commercials are at max levels we are alerted to buy or sell (Depending on the criteria above)
- On a daily chart , use technical indicators, candlestick patterns, news, etc to enter the trade (not shown here)
DHAMPUR SUGAR MILL - Short-term Trend analysisDHAMPUR SUGAR MILL - Short-term Trend analysis
1. V shape recovery, it falls more than 65% from the all-time high...
2. It May be in the over-bath zone.
3. If the stock opens and closes at more than 234 then it may have a short-term up rally.
4. Target is 317 if the market trend reversal.
5. Fundamentally good stock, maybe we can hold for the mid-term for a good profit.
Note:
1. I’m not a SEBI Registered advisor, my research is personal and for educational purposes only.
2. Always check with your financial advisor and take the trade as per your risk/reward ratio.
3. Follow me for more patterns and like, and share so that we feel it is helpful to many and share more patterns...
Corn sentiment is turning bearish - GrainStats.com CommunityCorn price sentiment is turning bearish according to the GrainStats.com community. They have been bullish for the past 6 months and have been right. The question is if the bear trend is here to stay and will it continue into the harvest months. Time will tell, until then a crop still needs to be made for bears to capitalize on bearish positions.
SugarSugar has been trading within a large rising channel for almost a year. After recently testing and confirming channel support, price has rebounded and we're just about halfway up the channel. A falling window (gap down) served as resistance on the way down to support and has also temporary stalled the current rally.
Now, after a strong daily close above the falling window we are currently testing old resistance as new support. I'm now long and looking to take a small piece out of this market as price moves towards channel resistance.
ZW1! Long ZW1! is coming unto and already has defending a key trend line that's part of a large uptrend. The PPO is extremely stretched and the RSI is clocking in oversold readings. These readings in conjunction with the uptrend remaining intact offer an objective long entry. Moreover, the recent crossovers on the PPO have been particularly clean - each one on its own offering a really reliable pattern of trades, both long and short.
Head & Shoulders Top in December 2022 Wheat?Paul Wankmueller CMT of Blue Line Futures sees a Head and Shoulders Top in December 2022 CBOT Wheat. Feel free to reach out with any Technical Analysis Questions!
Today Wheat broke through the neckline of a Head & Shoulders top with conviction, confirming the pattern. Using the distance between the neckline and the top of the head, the continuation can conclude at the previous resistance.
Futures trading involves a substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
SUGAR Will Go Up! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SUGAR was trading in a falling channel
but now we are seeing a powerful bullish breakout
So I think that after the pullback and retest
We will see a further move up towards the target
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to boost your trading!
See other ideas below too!
Cocoa #CC Cacao Analysis I will start with Base Support (SB) which in my last analysis I said: ‘Base Support SB at 2315 still holds, if this breaks next support would be around 2200 ($80q) followed by 2150.’
On July 1, the price of CC touched the base support level, and bounced back up only to fall on July 7th again and close the week on the SB level. This is clearly not a positive and may be indicative of further weakness to come. Resistance D (red line) continues to serve as a ceiling and cocoa is still far from approaching this R. The MACD indicator is still showing a downward trend, as well as the EMA’s averages.
Likewise, the DXY indicator (dollar) continues to rise, in this case weakening the price of cocoa. THERE IS NO CHANGE OF TREND at the moment but these next few days will be important. If cocoa fails to recover, we will be seeing new levels, possibly around $2,200 per ton or $80 per quintal.
Europe & the US continue on a recessionary path with higher inflation. Consumption decreases as the purchasing power of the consumer is eroded and chocolate will most likely also be touched. Next week grinding data will be out and that will give us a clearer indication regarding the real health of the consumption of chocolate. If the volume of grindings remains the same or rises, then a positive, if they fall, it indicates that the recession is affecting the chocolate market, and consequently the purchase of its raw material, cocoa.
Comienzo con el Soporte Base SB que en mi último análisis dije: ‘El soporte base SB de 2315 aún se mantiene, si este rompe el próximo soporte sería alrededor de 2200 ($80q) seguido de 2150.’
El 1 julio el precio del cacao tocó el nivel del soporte base, y rebotó con debilidad el 7 de julio para de nuevo recaer y cerrar la semana al SB. Esto claramente no es positivo y puede ser indicativo de mayor debilidad por venir. La resistencia D (roja) sigue sirviendo de techo y por lo visto aún está lejos de acercarse. El indicador MACD aún muestra una tendencia a la baja, así como los promedios EMA.
Igualmente, el indicador DXY (dólar) se mantiene en alza debilitando en este caso el curso del cacao. NO HAY CAMBIO DE TENDENCIA por el momento pero estos proximos dias seran importantes. Sí el cacao no logra recuperarse estaremos viendo nuevos niveles posiblemente alrededor de $2200 por tonelada o $80 por quintal.
Europa & EEUU siguen en una trayectoria recesionaria con mayor inflación. El consumo disminuye a medida que se erosiona la capacidad adquisitiva del consumidor y el chocolate también tendrá afectación. La próxima semana saldrán datos de moliendas y eso nos dará un indicativo más claro en cuanto al consumo real del chocolate. Si volumen de moliendas se mantiene o suben entonces un positivo, si bajan indicador de que la recesión está afectando el mercado del chocolate, y a consecuencia la compra de su materia prima el cacao.