Get started

Agriculture

Obese EU NA MEX populations will fight like for toilet paperHey I'm looking more into those commodities that I understand and had success with rather than popular stocks where I ALWAYS lose (and I do not see what the purpose of short term speculators even is with stocks), or crypto that never does anything because it is dead. Sugar this year has been doing a daily volume of usually around 2 billion usd if the ICE data is correct. Looking just at the front month it would be about 1. With all the price controls and governments throwing subsidies at sugar farmers the futures market is only a shadow of its past glory, but the laws of supply & demand did not disappear and it still has a purpose. At least letting governments know how much purchasing power they will have to steal from their populations to throw at wealthy farmers. The ICE is the place to find info about sugar 11 www.theice.com The CME tries to compete, and their site is much better than that thing above ^ They are a good place to look at. www.cmegroup.com Here you can find a map differentiating beet & cane producer. It is reather easy: old world christians, muslims, japanese produce beet, rest of the world south of those places makes cane sugar. www.czarnikow.com Climate change is surreal humour in a bubble and check weather data for yourself. www.holiday-weather.com www.timeanddate.com en.tutiempo.net Brazil no rain no rain no rain no rain India storm storm storm storm This summer was so cold, did not hear the media, except in august when it was hot for part of it. Some FUD "Production will go up" "Production dropped" kek, media. www.financialexpress.com www.business-standard.com The addicts will get their fix no matter what it takes no matter the price. Stronger than cocaine. Also there is something with this time of year and the way the contract works. It's sort of like Oil 😉
ICEUS:SB1!Long
by MrRenev
SOYBEAN IS TRYING TO MOVE AWAY FROM DOWNTREND - ZS1! - 30MNWe have observed several forces acting as a brake and pushing the price above the red down trending line. But a very strong squeeze front last tops have seen the market being inconsistent with its which to move upwards. The two horizontal black lines are the new tops and bottoms of the horizontal trending range. We could observe during this week a market which will try to break above by going directly to it or by finding first a a support point on the top of the red down trending line. The probability to see the market breaking above the black resistance line is less likely than seeing a pullback down again at that level. It could probably be a good sells entry point (possibily from Thursday). For the moment the last volume have shown signs of a force pushing up against sellers. Keep an eyes on the $900 mark, still legit and try to trade it during the morning Asian session (Tokyo time from 9am30 to 12pm and opening of the Frankfurt & London 8am to 10am GMT0) as it is more stable and easy to read.
CBOT:ZS1!Long
by Diallo_Charts_Ideas
COROMANDEL INTERNATIONAL | BULL FLAGCOROMANDEL INTERNATIONAL is into manufacturing of chemicals & agro chemicals. With Agri sector emerging as only COVID resilient sector the stock breaking out above previous ATH warrants attention. The stock seems to be on a strong upward momentum with next potential target at around 835. The stock seems to be a good buy around 20 period Moving Average (Daily time frame) at about 745 with a stop below 723(Daily closing basis) for a target of 835.
NSE:COROMANDELLong
by covaitraders1
3
Wheat Daily and 4 hour Setup PlayThe idea can be triggered here on the 4 hour, but first let us take a look at the daily chart. We are at an important resistance zone on the daily chart. At around the 5.82 zone. What has caught my attention is the many indecision candles we have here. The two doji candles, candles with large wicks on either side. What this shows us is that there is a battle between the bears and the bulls at this resistance zone. We should definitely be paying attention to price here. Moving down to the 4 hour chart, and we can see there are more confluences pointing to a possible downside move, and indeed, presents us with a trigger set up. Just looking at market structure here, it shows us an uptrend with higher lows and higher highs. We have had more than two swings which is what we want to look for. At this resistance zone, we began to range. Look at the wicks here. The fake out candles. Price began to break out but reversed and closed below the previous open highs. This is why we remain patient and await candle closes before taking trades. This fake out trapped many traders to the upside. We can also say that not only do we have a range here, but in fact, one can make an argument that there is a double top/ triple top at this level. Another good pattern we look for potential trend exhaustion. Putting those two together, the topping pattern and at a resistance level, already give us a good possibility of a downward move. What we are now awaiting is for a break below this flip zone here (area that has been both support and resistance) at 5.620. Going back and looking to the left, you can see the importance of this zone with multiple touches. We have had a bounce at this zone but I am looking for a reversal and then a break below the flip zone. This would create our first lower high swing that we can work with in a new down trend. Price does seem ready to roll over. On the fundamental side, there are stories now about supply chains being disrupted due to the virus. Hearing about rice farming and other crop farming being halted in parts of Asia. Stories like this are out of our hands, but can go against this trade idea. We shall await the developments and see if we get the break.
OANDA:WHEATUSDShort
by Uncharted-FX
Corn can Test Resistance Levels Hello friends, especially in the Agricultural Commodity Market : Corn and Soybeans had been trading discounted for a long time. I shared my prediction earlier because the Soybeans exceeded intermediate resistance. That analysis continues (On related ideas) Now it's time for Corn. Because Corn just broke up its minor resistance, under the influence of the buy signal. When we look at the relevant Terminals 14 Weeks Period : Autonomous LSTM Adaptive Period : We can observe that it is being discounted. It contains a very nice Risk / Reward Ratio. So it can be tried with a low amount of position. The parameters I recommend for this analysis: Risk/Reward Ratio : 1/2.99 Position Size : % 1 Stop-Loss : 3.622 Goal : 4.435 Let us not go into heavy positions, if an otherwise sudden development occurs, we keep our lead when the conditions improve. Regards.
OANDA:CORNUSDLong
by Noldo
3
Soybeans : Over Minor ResistancePrices of Soybeans are seen to be above the minor resistance. (9.118) Although it may contain a slightly lower risk / reward ratio, it may be more profitable in low time-frame periods. Those traders who want to be more safe can enter after a period of 1-2 weeks if prices below the resistance status is clear. Furthermore, the highest basis of this analysis is the idea that both sides will make concessions in the trade wars between the US and China (My personal opinion). Parameters : Position Size : %1 Risk / Reward Ratio : 2.11 Stop-Loss : 8.75 Target : 10.256
OANDA:SOYBNUSDLong
by Noldo
2
Food prices to keep getting cheaper [+Photosynthesis tuto]Seems like an easy prediction. With rising levels of CO2 agri prices will keep going down. And I guess interest in soft commodity futures will keep going down. Especially noobs, they could not care less, they want to chase the next high tech big thing that will make them rich, er typo I mean that will make them lose their shirt. Statistically they are better off playing lottery or going to the casino. Until we run out of fertilizers (At current consumption levels, we will run out of known phosphorus reserves in around 80 years, but consumption will not stay at current levels). Unless we replace those by a new type of fertilizer OR find more phosphorus. Brace yourselves for yet a new mass hysteria clownery "the world will end soon because we will run out of phosphorus". Remember "we will run out of water" "world will get overpopulated" "co2 will cause mass extinctions" "acid rains will destroy everything" and so on. I think fertilizers support half of the planet population, this means they double yields. And CO2 increased yields by something like 20% I think. I can 100% guarentee without a single doubt there will be a "science settled very serious" mass hysteria fear about fertilizers (P) levels getting low in the future lmao. This is what plants need: Plants also need magnesium and sulfur. Not sure what else. I think they can synthesize all vitamins from C H O N but I really don't know for sure. I just know those are the typical atoms in vitamins. Expressed in dollars, the monetary benefit: www.co2science.org An extract: I think that to produce 1kg of grain something like 100 liters of water is required. Just because that's how it has been for centuries does not mean it is "normal". If one is actually able to think out of his little box and little dogmas, he would realize agriculture uses huge amounts of water, and also, many plants (C4 type - not to be mistaken with the explosives) have even evolved to be more water efficient and to survive with very little CO2. I think also when you measure the CO2 around crops during the day you notice they sucked it all up (concentration is down a big amount maybe 50%). So anyway, as CO2 goes up, plants will use less water (or use the same amount to grow bigger). There is going to be possibly new plants evolve, the old world plants will make a comeback, and alot more but I'll save this for another idea. The CO2 famine is over for plants they're going to take over. Here is corn & sugar: I don't know how agr companies work... Better productivity means they get more productive? But prices drop so they make less? They probably are undervalued right? At least compared to high tech for sure. Of course this is all cancelled if primitive monkeys of abysmal stupidity remove CO2 from our atmosphere "to save the planet".
CBOT:ZS1!Short
by MrRenev
2
Lean Hogs: Ranged 2-month plan. Leans Hogs is on a strong rejection this first few session of 2020, after the top on the 72.100 1D Resistance. The price is currently testing the 1D MA50 (blue line) which has been acting as the pivot since October. With the long term Higher Low trend line (since August 2018) providing Support, we are expecting a bounce on the 61.400 Symmetrical Support back towards the 1D Resistance. 2 way opportunities exist within this range. Make the most out of it. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
CME:HE1!
by InvestingScope
Hard Red Winter Wheat: Sell Opportunity on the 1W Resistance.The price is testing the 499'4 1W Resistance after a prolonged rise since the rebound on the 380'4 1W Support. We've made a Double Top on the 1D chart which remains bullish (RSI = 65.798, MACD = 12.030, ADX = 55.290, Highs/Lows = 2.8750). However MACD is forming a top on a bearish reversal pattern. We are expecting a strong rejection after that Double Top and our Target Zone is 393'2 - 380'4. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
CBOT:KE1!Short
by InvestingScope
COCOA: On a multi month Higher High. How to trade it.Cocoa has been trading on a multi-year Channel Up since May 2017 with the 1D chart trading near the overbought territory (RSI = 70.555, MACD = 51.220, Highs/Lows = 144.4643). If the Channel stays intact then the price should pull back towards the 1D MA200 for a Higher Low near 2,365. If however it breaks as it did in March 2018 then it can easily reach 2,940 which is the 2 year high. We have identified 2,700 as this break out point. You may trade accordingly with a tight SL. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
ICEUS:CC1!
by InvestingScope
Corn: Short opportunity on 1D Death Cross and RSI.Corn has been consolidating recently following the 402 peak on 1D (RSI = 54.610, STOCH = 53.472, MACD = 0.760, ADX = 18.642) after the September Death Cross. A similar candle sequence took place in August 2018, when after a 1D Death Cross (MA50 under MA200) and a market Top, the price made a new Low (Higher Low on 1W). Since the RSI is on the same zone as then, we are expecting a decline towards 368'2 - 360'2. ** If you like our free content follow our profile (www.tradingview.com) to get more daily ideas. ** Comments and likes are greatly appreciated.
CBOT:ZC1!Short
by InvestingScope
2