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AI/USDT ( Multiverse ) Trade Analysis for Short TermAI/USDT Technical Analysis: Good Entry Price and Potential 10%-50% Gains AI/USDT is currently trading at $0.001436 and presents a good entry opportunity according to technical analysis. The green box on the chart indicates the entry zone for this trade. The recommended price targets for this trade are $0.001691, $0.001933, $0.002291, $0.002600, and $0.002973, with a stop loss set at $0.0012. If the price holds above the stop loss, there is potential for gains of 10%-50% within a 5-15 day timeframe. It's important to note that before entering this trade, investors should consider the risk-reward ratio and ensure they are comfortable with the potential risks involved.
ALong
by CryptoPatel
When Chips Are Down, They Rebound Slowly But StronglyWhen Chips are down; invest if you can and hedge if you must. Having soared in 2020 & 2021, semiconductor shares tanked brutally as tremors from geopolitics, sinking consumer confidence and bloated inventory struck. Q4 overhang is dragging the industry down in the near term, which might have set a bearish outlook in the short-term, but times are changing. Structural forces and business cyclicality are now becoming robust tail winds for semiconductors, bringing a bullish outlook in the medium-to-long term for the sector. Therefore, this case study argues that an asynchronous time spread in CME E-Mini PHLX Semiconductor Sector Futures ("CME Semiconductor Futures") could potentially deliver a 2.8x reward to risk ratio by first taking a short position in futures expiring in March 2023 followed by a path-dependant long position in futures expiring in September 2023. INDUSTRY ON THE CUSP OF A SUPERCYCLE Chips everywhere. Semiconductors are ubiquitous as products become sophisticated. Rapid growth of mobile devices, emergence of EVs, and rising cloud adoption have created endless demand for higher processing speeds and larger memory. Chipmakers have benefited from this trend. Anticipated exponential growth in consumer durables, IoT, gaming, EVs, and AI/ML will translate into strong sustained demand for chips. Speaking at World Economic Forum, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella asserted that AI would go mainstream not in years but in months. Emergence of generative AI will form a fresh stream of demand for chips. EVs require twice as much chip content than traditional ones. Rising cloud usage will amplify demand from datacentres for graphics processing units (GPUs). In short, semiconductor industry is on the cusp of a demand super cycle. DEMYSTIFYING THE SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index ("SOX") is a market capitalization-weighted index comprising of the top thirty (30) semiconductor firms listed in the US. Top names include Nvidia, TSMC, and ASML forming 48% of SOX. The top ten comprise 80% of the SOX. SOX rallied 202% from its low in March 2020 to its high in November 2021. As monetary policy shifted from QE to QT, SOX plunged 46% in 2022 touching its lowest level in October 2022. Since then, it has bounced back 43%, outperforming both NASDAQ-100 and S&P 500 which are up merely 10% during the same period. A CYCLICAL INDUSTRY Semiconductors industry is inherently cyclical given the considerable time lapse between spotting fresh demand and matching them with new supply. In a recent report, JP Morgan cited that semiconductor stocks are close to a cyclical bottom. Each time the industry hits a bottom, it recovers impressively. In one-year and three-years following a cyclical dip, shares in this sector spike 40% and 95% on average, respectively. While short term demand looks bleak on waning consumer confidence, the USD 600-billion industry's long-term prospect looks resolutely bright. LET THE AI WARS BEGIN Revolutionary AI: ChatGPT made its debut in November. It sprinted to a million users in just five days. The excitement in generative AI is palpable. It will revolutionise content generation while delivering vast productivity gains in others. Inflection ahead: AI is approaching an inflection point. Its usage is going mainstream. Expect tech giants to invest heavily to outcompete. If this marks the start of AI wars, the semiconductor firms that make AI work will harvest outsized profits. Shovel makers hit jackpot: During the gold rush, it was the shovel makers that got rich more so than the diggers. In this AI gold rush, the shovel makers (i.e., the semiconductor stocks) are set to reap enormous gains. Nvidia already shining: Nvidia is the market leader in GPUs whose parallel processing capabilities form the core for delivering AI. ChatGPT adoption alone could bring incremental revenues of up to USD 11 billion over the next year, Citigroup estimates. TSMC & ASML well positioned: Nvidia GPU production depends on two firms - (a) the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corporation (TSMC), and (b) ASML Holdings (ASML). Berkshire stake in TSMC: TSMC recently announced stunning Q4 earnings. Its net sales grew 42.8% YoY, while its net profits & EPS were up 78% YoY contributing to an ROE of 26.4%. Little wonder that TSMC was one of Warren Buffett's recent investments where his firm acquired USD four billion of TSMC shares last November. ASML dominance: Meanwhile ASML commands a monopoly on key tech (Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography or EUV). EUV is used in producing cutting-edge nano chips that AI requires. ASML is set to secure a windfall on rising AI adoption. CHIPS ACT TO RESHORE PRODUCTION Supply chain disruptions caused by the pandemic exposed the vulnerability of over-reliance on globalisation. Russia-Ukraine conflict caused adverse impact with Russia being a major supplier of Palladium and Ukraine being a key source of Neon gas. To reduce over-reliance in a key industry, US last year legislated the CHIPS Act which is aimed at reshoring production on US soil supported by more than USD 150 billion of grants and tax incentives. NO PAIN, NO GAIN IN A V-SHAPED PATH AHEAD Supply ramped-up but a little too late: Clogged supply chains plus demand spike during the pandemic fuelled chip shortage. Ramped up production which always takes a long lead time arrived but at a time of pale consumer demand (PC demand down 28% YoY) late last year. Frail consumer sentiment: Persistent inflation, recession fears, and uncertain outlook, meant lower consumer durable sales. This has slashed demand for semiconductors resulting in one of the largest inventory corrections in the industry. The sector is cooling faster and getting colder than expected. Firms face a tough market saddled with excess inventory compounded by frail end-markets except for automotives. Downgraded chips: Intel reported a loss for Q4 last year and expects a weak first half this year with return to growth in second half. Earnings from other industry majors point to significant headwinds. Analysts have downgraded several chip stocks. Fund flows in ETFs: Fund flows into and out of leveraged ETFs this year show investor activity is moving in tandem with these macro shifts. The Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3x ETF (3 times long exposure to SOX) suffered net outflows of $341 million while the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3x ETF (3 times short exposure to SOX) gained net inflows of $1.1 billion. Insiders are Net Sellers: Insider Activity among majors show that they have been net sellers over the last three months except for Qualcomm, Intel and Applied Materials. Bullish Price Targets: In sharp contrast to this gloomy outlook, analysts covering the top stocks anticipate an average +15% price gain over the next 12-months. TRADE SET-UP This case study proposes a two-legged calendar spread as set out below. Each CME Semiconductor Futures contract provides exposure to twenty-five (25) index points approximating to USD 75,000 in notional with required margin of USD 5,900. TRADE LEG 1 : A short position in the contract expiring in March 2023 will provide exposure to the short-term correction. Entry: 2978 Target: 2571 Stop Loss: 3180 Profit At Target: $10,175 Loss At Stop: $5,050 TRADE LEG 2 : A long position in CME Semiconductor Futures expiring in September 2023 will provide exposure to recovery in the latter part of the year. Entry: 2710 Target: 3718 Stop Loss: 2410 Profit At Target: $25,200 Loss At Stop: $7,500 Aggregate Reward-Risk Ratio: 2.8x MARKET DATA CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com DISCLAIMER Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. This material has been published for general education and circulation only. It does not offer or solicit to buy or sell and does not address specific investment or risk management objectives, financial situation, or needs of any person. Advice should be sought from a financial advisor regarding the suitability of any investment or risk management product before investing or adopting any investment or hedging strategies. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. All examples used in this workshop are hypothetical and are used for explanation purposes only. Contents in this material is not investment advice and/or may or may not be the results of actual market experience. Mint Finance does not endorse or shall not be liable for the content of information provided by third parties. Use of and/or reliance on such information is entirely at the reader’s own risk. These materials are not intended for distribution to, or for use by or to be acted on by any person or entity located in any jurisdiction where such distribution, use or action would be contrary to applicable laws or regulations or would subject Mint Finance to any registration or licensing requirement.
TVC:SOXLong
by mintdotfinance
2
$AMD: Long term trend is up$AMD is a leading chipmaker that provides processors for various applications of generative AI, such as ChatGPT, Bing, and Bard. Generative AI is a technology that can create new content based on existing data, such as text, code, images, and music. ChatGPT is a generative AI model that can write prose, code, and much more. It has been hailed as the most powerful and unpredictable technology of this generation. Generative AI has the potential to revolutionize and expand the creator economy by enabling new forms of expression and innovation. It can also improve efficiency and productivity in various sectors by automating tasks and generating insights. By adopting generative AI, chatgpt can transform the economy with higher efficiency, which allows economic growth despite slowing demographics long term. $AMD benefits from this trend by providing high-performance chips that power generative AI applications and platforms. $AMD seems ready to rally steadily from here, long term trend is up and we should participate on the upside with low risk entries like this one. Try to not miss out on this one. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by IvanLabrie
AI - Breakout Falling Trend [MIDTERM]- AI has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel in the medium long term. - AI has given a positive signal from the rectangle formation by a break up through the resistance at 21. - Further rise to 28 or more is signaled. - AI has marginally broken down through support at 23. - An established break predicts a further decline. - Volume has previously been high at price tops and low at price bottoms. - Volume balance is also positive, which strengthens the stock. - Overall assessed as technically neutral for the medium long term. *EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, LT TP: Long Term Target Price Verify it first and believe later. WavePoint ❤️
NYSE:AI
by wavepoint99
The OCEAN is Bumpy 🌊 Analysis #14/50Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. on DAILY: Left Chart OCEAN is overall bearish , however we are approaching a strong demand zone and previous major high. So we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes. on H4: Right Chart OCEAN is bearish from a short-term perspective trading inside the falling red channel. 🏹 Trigger => for the bulls to take over, we need a new high to form and then a break above the upper red trendline and red zone. Meanwhile, until the buy is activated, OCEAN can still trade lower till the 0.25 demand zone . 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
O
by TheSignalyst
8
AAPL Aims to Reach $160 Target in Near FuturePrice action in financial markets often gravitates towards key supply zones, which are areas where selling pressure has previously been strong enough to drive prices lower. Traders and investors often use supply zones as important levels to watch for potential price reversals or to enter short positions. AAPL is no stranger to this, and when looking at the price action mixed with the key indicators on this 4h timeframe, we can see the last few times that the wave master indicator called a buy and sell: DEC 10 2021: SELL: 179.50 (-6%) DEC 30 2021: SELL: 178.19 (-14%) FEB 03 2022: SELL: 173.00 (final warning -14% before -27%) JUN 14 2022: BUY: 133.25 (+32%) JAN 05 2023: BUY: 126.50 (+22.4% so far) We're not geting a solid sell signal yet, but we're darn close. Look at ALL the waves. red, yellow, white are all overbought and the green wave is almost there. That will be the first time we've seen this since Feb 03 2022 but the chart formation looks more like the DEC 30 sell signal. I'd be very cautious as a drop is likely to occur over the next 1-2 weeks. Probably won't be super deadly like other drops have been but it'll be enough to kill some late bulls for sure.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by bitdoctor
4
MSFT still respecting key levels (options)Trading options based on key levels to take profit can be an effective strategy for investors looking to capitalize on short-term price movements. These key levels, also known as support and resistance levels, are often identified by analyzing historical price data and identifying areas where prices have previously stalled or reversed. By entering trades at these key levels and setting profit targets accordingly, investors can limit their risk and potentially realize gains in a shorter period of time. However, it's important to remember that trading options involves risk and investors should have a solid understanding of options trading and market analysis before attempting to use this strategy. I created these key levels on MSFT in December and they still hold true today. Red levels are daily levels, yellow are hourly levels, and orange are your intraday levels. By my estimation, MSFT looks like it will bounce and find resistance at $260, but if it breaks through, it should go to $264 next. However, if MSFT breaks down tomorrow, we should reasonably target a move to $253 and a further move would go to about $247. Todays price action was lackluster. There was a nice trendy move at the beginning of the day but it almost completely reversed itself. Watch the wavemaster indicator on lower timeframes for a sign of what is to come next. Right now, I see us in the middle of a range with a higher potential we bounce tomorrow vs go down.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by bitdoctor
headed toward multitimeframe long term resistancethis stock has exploded to the upside, retraced a decent consolidative amount, and taken aim for that high. there is a large uptick in the fair value calculation that makes this a strong bullish move. there are different scenarios. one is that we set a lower high on an overbought 4 hr level. another is that we go straight for the high and taper off, and the other is that we break the highs and head for the long term area high right over $34.
NYSE:AILong
by cerealpatterns
FET/USDT Soon to break from triangle?This is how i would trade FET/USDT. The chart shows that the price movement occurs within a bullish triangle. Enter a long position when/if the price out of the triangle to the upside. -------------------- Targets: 1: 0.47 2: 0.5 3: 0.52 4: 0.55 5: 0.57 6: 0.59 Trade safely! -------------------- About Fetch.ai: "Fetch.ai is an AI-backed blockchain environment that helps users create a decentralized digital economy within a single ledger. Users can create agents that act on the behalf of individuals, organizations, devices, and services. All these agents are connected and can make transactions and communicate with one another." Source: kriptomat.io
Long
by Droz_TA
5
RU AI? Elliott WaveIf you find this info inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! Also, check out the links in my signature to get to know me better! This would be the BEST case scenario. Lots of ways to count but again this is the count with the quickest turn around. Because of the lack of conviction, it has to prove the turn to me. $3.00 is the ideal area for this idea. Then it need to put an impulse up with a correction facing down as illustrated. Cheers!
NYSE:BBAILong
by CryptoKnee