Windham Hotels & Resorts - 10:1 Long, Speculative News ResponseMy analysis of Windham Hotels & Resorts follows news of NYC's recent ban of AirBNB, a development which inspired me to discover which publicly traded hotel chain might be best positioned to benefit. Hopefully you will challenge my conclusion and/or my measurements with your tough questions, since this venue is meant to arouse the reverse-engineers and to provoke the thinkers to do what they do best, right?
As always, I strive to render these ideas of mine so obviously that their explanation will require no words, but this 10:1 Long trade on the WH chart is highly contextual. Not even a Market Maker can move the price of ABNB as reliably as the State of New York.
Although my trading strategy is built on innate Pattern Recognition and a hard-won sympathy for the Market Maker’s Business Model, my tactics - including the beauty of Tradingview and how it makes me look good - are based on identifying the opportunities within VOLUME, VOLATILITY and TREND EXHAUSTION.
Generally speaking, what a Speculator does that an Investor or a Trader does not is specifically to take advantage of price inefficiencies caused by government interference (or corruption). A good example would be accumulating toilet paper and/or N95 Masks in 2020 and selling the stock in bulk at high markup before the window of opportunity finally closed.
Only a Speculator does that!
The details of the chart(s) speak for themselves, however behind the scenes ChatGPT and I determined that MAR, HLT, IHG, AC and WH were the hotel chains with the greatest number of rooms in NYC that might benefit from the AirBNB news. I was surprised to see that both MAR and HLT are at or near All-Time-Highs, but just as quickly ruled them out as candidates for major growth for exactly that reason.
In short, without ChatGPT concluded that WH is the best candidate to benefit from what might become a growing trend, but is already law in NYC and will therefore have an effect on prices and practices. If this case interests you, then I invite you to compare the listed tickers and let me know if you agree about WH.
Keen observers will see many details in this idea, but how many noticed the ABNB correlation coefficient histograph? If my trade thesis is correct, the polarity should invert, and the tickers will move in opposite directions more often, and for longer.
I am preparing a video on prospecting for opportunities during the current Sector Rotation, and Windam Hotels & Resorts might become part of it. First, though, I have a few more ideas to upload as I update other key charts for the final Quarter of 2023.
Until then, be liquid !!!
Airbnb
airbnb is a good opportunity to buyHello, according to my analysis of airbnb stock, there is a great investment opportunity. The stock looks positive with the side channel broken. And the resistance at 130 was broken there. We also notice the strong green candle that formed on the daily time frame. It indicates a strong entry of buyers into the market. Finally, good luck to everyone
Airbnb: Almost there 🌴The Airbnb share price is heading increasingly toward our magenta target zone with its magenta wave (ii). After reaching it, we expect a far-reaching rise in the magenta wave (iii), which will extend to around 200. Necessary for our primary scenario here is that the price stays within the support at $103.55. When crossing, the alternative would activate, which we assign a probability of 20%, and the price would have to target the turquoise target zone before a rise
Airbnb stock is now in the second bandAirbnb stock is now in the second band
This figure shows the weekly candle chart of Airbnb stock. The graph overlays the recent low points against the golden section. As shown in the figure, Airbnb stock is now in the second band after bottoming out, and it is likely to retreat below the 1.382 position of the golden section in the figure before starting up again! The bullish target for the next wave of Airbnb stocks is around 2.382 on the golden section in the picture!
Airbnb (ABNB) | Breakout, Confirmed With July Close!Hi,
Again, buy the strength, and this time - Airbnb (ABNB)
Started in 2008, Airbnb is the world's largest online alternative accommodation travel agency, also offering booking services for boutique hotels and experiences. Airbnb's platform offered 6.7 million active accommodation listings as of March 31, 2023. Listings from the company's over 4 million hosts are spread over almost every country in the world. In the fourth quarter of 2022, 47% of revenue was from the North American region.
Airbnb has managed to push above strong areas which is confirmed by July close. A monthly close is the best confirmation on that occasion and currently, the price of ABNB has already started to retest the breakout area.
Basically, $125 to $145 was the area that played an important role in the previous price action - it has worked as a support level, and after the break below it has acted as a resistance level. In the short history of date, we can say that this area is the key zone for Airbnb and the price is finally above it which allows calling that technically it would be a good place to buy.
The monthly close was also above the mid-round number of $150 which is a minor win but we will take it and definitely adds a bit of strength to the retest area.
* Considering technical analysis then the optimal buying zone should stay between $125 to $142
* Target updates going to the chat room!
Good luck!
Trading is Patience #ABNBOnce you have selected a stock with decent fundamentals (review every month if the stock still fundamentally sound), then you just need the chart to tell you when to buy it.
Trading is all about waiting/patience.
When price is below the 20/50/200, you stay in cash. You wait.
When price is above 20/50/200, you wait for a base/pullback and a trigger.
In this example, there was a decent gap up breakout but got stopped out. So what? A good system just need a 30-40% winning rate.
Look for a base and you WAIT.
Will Airbnb break through after sortingWill Airbnb break through after triangle sorting ?
This figure shows the Line chart chart of Airbnb stock in the last two years. The graph overlays the recent bottom-up golden section, as well as the connection between high and low points in the past two years, as well as the connection between low and low points. As shown in the figure, the Airbnb stock has broken through the previous downward trend line's upward pressure line, and has recently hit new pressure, starting to emerge from a clear triangular consolidation pattern! In the future, we should focus on the area near the end of the triangle consolidation, and see if the Airbnb stock can accelerate its upward breakthrough!
Airbnb: Holiday home with pool 👙🩳Could you do with a holiday? For Airbnb, there is a nice turquoise pool waiting below the support at $107.10, stretching between $105.87 and $89.00. Thus, the share should hop below $107.10 and dive into the bracing water to complete wave 2 in turquoise. Once refreshed, Airbnb should turn upwards and rise from the pool to continue the overarching ascent. However, there is a 30% chance that Airbnb might have already finished wave alt.2 in turquoise, which would be confirmed by a direct upwards movement above the resistance at $144.63.
Bear Flag PatternThe chart is showing a Bear Flag Pattern,
And with the rsi being below the 50 middle band,
And with breaking major support line at 119,69.
I see a bearish sentiment for the next few days,
And if we break the 115.94 trend line,
I see ourselves dropping to the 111.51 trend line,
And drop again to finally hit the button off the next major support line of 106.39.
This is just my opinion...Safe trading everyone
AIRBNB well supported targeting $180.Airbnb Inc (ABNB) is flashing major buy signals as it came outside the 2022 Bear Cycle. Not only is it supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on a Higher Lows trend-line, but is also past a 1D Golden Cross pattern.
Having broken above the Bear Cycle Lower Highs trend-line and successfully re-tested it as a Support, it almost filled the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level on February 16 and is now targeting the upper ones. We characterize the 0.382 - 0.618 Fibonacci range as the High Volatility Zone and our target by Q3 is just below the 0.786 Fib at $180.00.
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ABNB updateWe could be looking at 120$ retest, could be seeing an good drop here back to 80-100$ area. In my previous ideas I talked about how ABNB will have it's downfall by the end of 2023, it'll high likely still happen as the current pumping is likely because of good news for the market but it's not long term good.
ABNB Airbnb Options Ahead of EarningsAfter my price target was reached:
If you too have an Airbnb I think you noticed how your bookings declined YoY.
That will be reflected in the company`s earnings as well.
Now looking at the ABNB Airbnb options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $105 strike price Puts with
2023-7-21 expiration date for about
$11.15 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
The longer timeframe allows me more flexibility in case of a small rally after the CPI report.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Airbnb: Vacation Ready 🌴🌞After finishing up the turquoise wave 1, the Airbnb stock should get some rest and drop into a correction to reach the turquoise target zone between $101.66 and $90.36. Within this zone, we expect the corrective low of the turquoise wave 2, which is followed by an upwards trend back North. Our alternative scenario with a probability of 35% implies, that the course could drop below the support line at $81.91 and continue with a downwards slope until hitting the low of the grey wave alt. II in the grey target zone.
ABNB- BULLISH SCENARIOAirbnb stock has intrigued investors in growth stocks since its Nasdaq debut in December 2020. From its initial public offering price of $68 per share, ABNB stock soared as much as 223%, hitting an all-time high of 219.94. Since then, the share price has tumbled about 52%.
Last week we witnessed a breakout of the major resistance level which triggered new buys and a bullish impulse to the $ 130 resistance.
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