AIRBUS - flying to 20$As we can see since 1999 till 2003 we have around 90% drop and since we are experiencing the biggest drop in many years, we could see the same thing happening again. I am looking to buy at around 20-10$ range around March - May 2021. We will see a little rebound now for a few months, but then we will see another big drop.
Airbus
Airbus shares might see a reversal Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) suggests that we are now in an uptrendmeaning we should be long.
Ichimoku cloud suggests the same future price movement. Keep in mind that:
Kijun Sen (blue line): Also called standard line or base line, this is calculated by averaging the highest high and the lowest low for the past 26 periods
Tenkan Sen (red line): The turning line. It’s derived by averaging the highest high and the lowest low for the past nine periods
Chikou Span (green line): Also called the lagging line. It’s today’s closing price plotted 26 periods behind
Senkou Span (red/green band): The first Senkou line is calculated by averaging the Tenkan Sen and the Kijun Sen and plotted 26 periods ahead. The second Senkou line is calculated by averaging the highest high and the lowest low over the past 52 periods, and plotting it 26 periods ahead
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), in turn, has changed its sentiment. Remeber that readings below 30 indicate an oversold market.
Finally, Bollinger Bands began expanding together with the RSI reversal suggesting that we may enter in an uptrend.
On the fundamental part, i find it important to mention recent 4 quarter results, according to which : Revenue € 70.478M (11% y/y) vs. € 70.480M, adjusted EBIT amounted to 6.946 (+ 19% y/y) vs. estimated 6.829M €, while the reported EBIT was € 1,339M and Net Losses of € 1,362.
The results include two extraordinary adjustments, one of -3.598M € of fines and -.1415M € of adjustments in the Defense and Space division (mainly for the A400M). 863 commercial aircraft were delivered, in line with the 860 of the revised objective.
The 2020 targets are:
(1) estimate deliveries of 880 vs. the 2019 revised of 860 (initially it was 880-890);
and (2) Adjusted EBIT of € 7,500M
and (3) expected generation of free cash flow (before M&A and customer financing), approximately € 4,000M, before about € -3,600m of fines and provisions payments three-digit, medium-high, in millions of Euros for legal disputes.
In addition, this morning we got the news that "European plane maker Airbus SE is close to securing a deal for around 50 aircraft from a Nigerian startup airline that previously announced plans to buy Boeing Co. 737 MAX jets, according to people familiar with the plans." It´s a positive signal, however, COronavirus should be also taken into account, as the production already experiences certain problems...
ECB, EU summit and Brexit, Trump's threats and IMF outlookWednesday promises to be a difficult day for the euro and the pound. There are two extremely important events will take place today: the ECB meeting and emergency summit of EU leaders to consider UK request for further extension until 30 June, with the option of an earlier Brexit day if a deal can be agreed.
Let's start with the ECB meeting. Surprises are not expected by markets. The bet might be left unchanged. Everybody will be interested in details of the ECB long-term lending program. In general, we do not expect any bullish signals for the euro, but there should also be no reasons for its sales. In this regard, our position on the euro today is as follows: since the EURUSD is at the lower limit of the medium-term range, we give preference to buying with stops below 1.1170 and profit close to 1.1400.
The information that Trump is preparing to open up a new front in the trade wars could be the problem for the euro. This time he is going to attack Europe. The White House reported that they are considering to moves to impose tariffs on $11 Billion of EU Goods in response to Airbus subsidies, which was declared illegal by the World Trade Organization. The list of goods that come under attack includes not only airplanes and helicopters, but also products of the agro-industrial complex, in particular cheese and wine.
The EU emergency summit seems to be much less predictable by the results of the event and explosions of volatility in pound pairs by its results are very likely. April 12, the UK must leave the EU. Following yesterday's parliamentary vote, approval of the withdrawal agreement has not been given by the UK Parliament so it should be a “No-deal” Brexit. The option is unprofitable for both parties, so we believe that the summit is unlikely to end up being just shown to the UK at the door. This will definitely be a hit to the pound and in this case its fall will be rapid and strong.
Accordingly, the second alternative comes into play - to give the UK another chance. This is the most likely scenario. But he is also divided into alternatives. The first is that the EU satisfies May’s request and extends Brexit’s deadline until June. The second is that the EU is offering Britain a postponement for a long term (for example, a year). Since the initiative is on the EU side, it seems to us that the summit will end up with the EU’s agreement for a long delay. In general, both of these options are positive for the pound. So, as a basic plan for working with pound pairs for today is looking for points for its buying.
The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday cut its global growth outlook for the third time in a row. The IMF projects global economic growth of 3.3% this year. As expected, the economies of developed countries in 2019 will grow by 1.8%, and developing countries - by 4.4%. GDP of China and the United States should increase by 6.3% and 2.3%. This is another reason to pay attention to buying of safe-haven assets. Recall, our recommendation for buying gold on the intraday basis continues to be relevant.
Short and long off the resistance and support.TradingView
Open position at $400.56
Stop loss at $403
Take profit at $379.6
Why this play?
we just saw that the fault is due to Ba software, plus all the planes are still grounded all over the world, so take a look at the fees they are gonna have to pay.
there is no way they are walking out of this without a scratch. based on that, i would consider their profit for the last quarter to be erased and see them going back to the $300-$360 range that they were trading at in 2018.
First analysisHello everyone,
Today I will share with you my first analysis. Please be indulgent and any advices are welcomed :)
In my opinion, I think we may have found a bottom for Airbus ( EURONEXT:AIR ). The current trend is showing some weakness as volume is going down and RSI is showing divergences on the daily and the 4h chart. A daily close above 95 could be a bullish sign.
Let me know your thoughts on this idea and where I could be wrong!
Have a nice day.
Airbus Stock at 4-Month Low. A Nice Entry.Airbus Stock Price is likely to go up to €88 again within the next few days/weeks. Traded same level a few times during the past few months. I would like to stop myself right below that support level since going below that level suggests that the market is getting impatient with the behavior of the stock.