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Airlines

The 4 Major Airlines - OpinionsAll, Most of my opinions are in the text. Just think Delta is actually the most capable to take off without running into trouble right off the bat. Not saying they are the best company by any means. I am just waiting until I actually hear one of the airlines come up with a plan or have a decent earnings. I would pay attention to the airline with the best operational cash flow. Meaning their earnings might be bad, but they still had net operational cash flow to keep them alive.
NYSE:DALLong
by DigitalData
13
Delta Ready for Takeoff (if earnings says so)All, I think if you look at the All Time chart and work backwards in time you will see Delta is at a great take off spot. IF tomorrow goes bad + bad earnings you could see a huge sell off downwards. Either way I think a big change in Delta upwards or downwards is about to happen. Just a matter of how you play it. #1 make sure pending tomorrow breaks this trend line and opens up positive say 3 hours I would maybe get in and set your trailing stop loss etc
NYSE:DAL
by DigitalData
DAL 1w to 6w trading outlookNYSE:DAL This chart represents my 1w to 6w trading outlook on DAL. Background: The unprecedented turmoil in which global airline industry found itself is yet to clear up and show signs of resolution, despite the fact that the covid-19 curve is somewhat flattening, this does not means that we are close to be back on track with the global economy's recovery. We are yet to truly and fully comprehend and measure the long term effects of covid-19 pandemic and its collateral damage to the global economy. As a result - entire industries will be reshaped and restructured and global recovery will potentially take years to get to the pre-pandemic levels of Dec 2019. Until there will be developed vaccine/herd vaccine - there will quite a lot sensitivity and edginess in the markets. CL1 (oil) broke the recent support despite the cut in production from last week which is not a bullish sign for the global economy. The market is on drugs and is not acting rationally (fed aggressively pumping money into the economy via intra-venous injections) and there likely will be bad withdrawal symptoms for the markets. Potential catalyst this week - Q1 earnings call (expected on Apr 22nd). This upcoming week we approaching Q1/20 earnings call (which apparently has been delayed for a couple of weeks and for good reasons). It is obvious that Q1/20 earnings will be in red for the first time in over a decade. Since the beginning of the pandemic he company burnt through the vast majority of its cash and took on more debt and govt "relief". About 90% of its scheduled flights (=revenue) are cancelled and it is unclear when the company will return to fly at its full capacity if ever. What I will be paying close attention to is company's guidance and outlook for the rest of the year. Anything has to do with uncertainty and less-than-expected recovery outlook will potentially cause a sell-off and brake the current short-term support line (blue on the chart). As of today @24$ DAL is trading way over it's current market capitalization (under pandemic conditions and taking into account that recovery might take years) there's a lot of room towards the bottom. Technicals - on the above chart you see near-term green support line and near-term red resistance line which outline the range in which the stock was trading in recent weeks since the outbreak of the pandemic in the US. In the last few weeks there was formed a support tine (blue line on the chart). At the bottom of the chart you will see the white all time low line above which there are 4 yellow-ish strong historical support and resistance lines which will be relevant in case DAL breaks the short-term blue support line (potentially on the earnings call news next week). If this break happens - I expect the price to fall to 14.95$ area (top yellow historical resistance line) and in coming weeks after - followed by tumbling lower and settling to trade anywhere in the range of the yellow historical lines on the chart. If DAL breaks through and closes above 27.5$ - 28$ red resistance - sentiment is bullish and we will be looking into resistance line becoming a new support. There are quite a few good trades that can be constructed with the described above scenario. Share your thoughts with me. Thank you for reading and good trading!
NYSE:DALShort
by targetismoving
4
BOEING "SHORT" (neutral risk)I see a perfect opportunity to short Boeing, at around $144-150. There is a descending triangle forming, I'm expecting a fall to the 120s.. potentially even lower. Stop loss is set at the resistance line which is $150 (a break which invalidates the descending triangle.) There is a possibility airline bailouts occurring could ruin this trade. I believe airlines won't open up any time soon and will continue to suffer no matter the bailout. I am expecting the trade to work well.. worth the risk in my opinion (expecting this after hour PUMP to be shorted).
NYSE:BAShort
by mzombie2
1
EASYJET FLIGHT 1927So it has been reported that What can drive the stock down EasyJet also revealed that it expects to report a pre-tax loss between £360m and £380m for the first half of its financial year. The airline will incur significant fuel costs because it has already bought jet fuel for its planes, with no certainty of when they will fly again. EasyJet grounded its planes a week after Prime Minister Boris Johnson announced the UK Covid-19 lockdown on 23 March. The company had a full roster of pilots and staff during that period when many flights were being cancelled, leading to a rise in costs. It also only started furloughing staff after the end of March. It said it had a cash balance of around £3.3bn and based on a number of scenarios, it would have enough reserves to "remain liquid", should its jets stay grounded for nine months. The airline said: "At this stage, given the level of continued uncertainty, it is not possible to provide financial guidance for the remainder of the financial year. This comes after Thomas cook Collapse. Passenger numbers grew by 2.8% year on year, despite widespread disruption from strikes in France during which 871 flights were cancelled between October and December. The airline said that robust demand and slow capacity growth, with only 1% more seats flown, contributed to an increase in revenue per seat of almost 8.8%. It ascribed about one-fifth of that growth to the collapse of rival Thomas Cook last September. While it traditionally struggles to make money through the winter months, easyJet said it was on target for losses “better than 2019” in the first half of the financial year, despite an increased fuel bill. What could drive the stock up! EasyJet can survive a nine-month shutdown thanks to its measures to contend with the coronavirus crisis and is planning for a slow recovery, the British airline said on Thursday. Big players in easyjet could move the price as high as it wants knowing that it will continue to grow after the covid-19 the old saying goes Buy low sell High! Well the stock price for this was very low all time Low i beleive and did we miss a big oppitunity to BUY and Leave? Or was we right to keep waiting? Comment below!
LSE:EZJ
by DH-FX
United Airlines Zones Colors Red = Sell Green = Buy Gray = Do nothing Orange = Small short till blue Blue Institutional buying = already happened at least once Pink = Probably Bankruptcy or something at least in 2020 prices that low I would be worried lol IF the earnings report gets crushed it will go back down probably to the blue zone so keep an eye out big time. These gray area lines are extremely powerful if you look back. One interesting thing is I am finding cash flow of Quarterly Operating Expenses of drastic change immediately the next month or two lead to downtrends/or reversals of a decent amount. Need to do some algorithms in Tableau to test out my theory. It makes sense, if the company has less operating cash flow how can they run a profitable business for the next earnings report?
NASDAQ:UAL
by DigitalData
7
Delta in a Bearish Pennant? Thoughts?However, I am overall bullish on Delta. I actually think this stock may drop even further especially looking back to 2012. Let me know your thoughts. It looks bullish on lower time frames.Untested levels from 2012 remain and it appears to be making a bearish pennant on 2D-Weekly. Let me know why you think this is bullish, because apparently everyone does. Don't let the drastic price drop make you think we have hit a bottom. We would need a massive bull candle and if you see the higher levels that hasn't happened or any signal of a reversal.
NYSE:DALShort
by DigitalData
1
$AAL EPS Projection = -$2.47 / Falling WedgeI will be looking for $AAL to follow this falling wedge downwards and likely lag till earnings. Earnings may cause more downside. Wall Street Journal EPS Projection: -$1.83 More realistic EPS: -$2.47 I believe revenue projections are heavily understated as shown by Ford. $UAL has quarterly revenues under 10 billion and predicted a revenue loss in march alone at 1.5 billion . $AAL I am betting will have lost more revenue than 1.5 billion in March. If we take into account $UAL projecting losses of 1.5billion in March when their revenue is under 10 billion a quarter it is safe to say that $AAL would lose 1.5 billion in revenue as well, which is generous because they could have lost more. Projected Revenues/Expenses/Net Income/EPS Operating Expense for Q1: 10.157 billion Operating Expenses for January: 3.386 billion Operating Expenses for February: 3.386 billion Operating Expenses for March: 3.386 billion Operating Revenue for Q1: 10.757 billion Operating Revenue for January: 3.585 billion Operating Revenue for February: 3.585 billion Operating Revenue for March if it were a normal month, based on trends: 3.585 billion Non operating expenses: 158 million Net income in January: 200 million Net income in February: 200 million (generous) Expected losses in revenue for March: 1.5 billion Expected Operating revenue for March: 2.085 billion. Net income in March: -1.3billion 200 mill + 200 mill -1.3billion - 158 million = -1.058 billion before taxes No clue how this loss would be taxed, so let's just leave that alone, but this means their real net income after tax will be worse than -1.058 billion -1.058 billion / 428.2million weighted outstanding shares = -$2.47 EPS or worse. This is important because a normal falling wedge like this would break towards the upside, however if earnings are truly this bad I believe there may be more downside.
NASDAQ:AALShort
by bishopknight
Different airlines, different leverges."The Senate's bailout package, which deals with the economic crisis caused by the coronavirus, will give airlines $25 billion in direct grants as long as they agree not to place any employees on involuntary furloughs or discontinue service at any airports they now serve until at least the end of September. Another $25 billion is available for loan guarantees."-- CNN Four popular American Aviation industry leaders are under fire sale.. but which will hold till the end and outperform in your portfolio? I made a fundamental comparison of these companies. mainly focusing on debt/bankruptcy risk.
NASDAQ:AAL
by UnknownUnicorn3827973
12
What will happend to this second breakout? It seems like the price is trading on sentiment right now. The Positives : There is talk that the curve has been suppressed. The worst in Spain and Italy seem to be over. Austria is looking to relax the lockdown. The Fog : However, we miss fundamental news. That, if you know more about please let me know. How soon will the airline be allowed to operate again? And where will they be allowed to fly to? Will there be an effect on how many roundtrips can do due to more strict security measures. What will demand be for airline travel? How long did it take for airline travel to be back to normal after 9/11 ( I think quite some time). Are they in need of a bailout? If yes, who will pay for it? Will there be one for all EU airlines? Range: The 52 week high is 16 I think it will take quite some time before we go back to that high. Read "This stock will not pop overnight"
XETR:RY4C
by RabbiJacob
1