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Airlines

United Airlines Zones Colors Red = Sell Green = Buy Gray = Do nothing Orange = Small short till blue Blue Institutional buying = already happened at least once Pink = Probably Bankruptcy or something at least in 2020 prices that low I would be worried lol IF the earnings report gets crushed it will go back down probably to the blue zone so keep an eye out big time. These gray area lines are extremely powerful if you look back. One interesting thing is I am finding cash flow of Quarterly Operating Expenses of drastic change immediately the next month or two lead to downtrends/or reversals of a decent amount. Need to do some algorithms in Tableau to test out my theory. It makes sense, if the company has less operating cash flow how can they run a profitable business for the next earnings report?
NASDAQ:UAL
by DigitalData
7
Delta in a Bearish Pennant? Thoughts?However, I am overall bullish on Delta. I actually think this stock may drop even further especially looking back to 2012. Let me know your thoughts. It looks bullish on lower time frames.Untested levels from 2012 remain and it appears to be making a bearish pennant on 2D-Weekly. Let me know why you think this is bullish, because apparently everyone does. Don't let the drastic price drop make you think we have hit a bottom. We would need a massive bull candle and if you see the higher levels that hasn't happened or any signal of a reversal.
NYSE:DALShort
by DigitalData
1
$AAL EPS Projection = -$2.47 / Falling WedgeI will be looking for $AAL to follow this falling wedge downwards and likely lag till earnings. Earnings may cause more downside. Wall Street Journal EPS Projection: -$1.83 More realistic EPS: -$2.47 I believe revenue projections are heavily understated as shown by Ford. $UAL has quarterly revenues under 10 billion and predicted a revenue loss in march alone at 1.5 billion . $AAL I am betting will have lost more revenue than 1.5 billion in March. If we take into account $UAL projecting losses of 1.5billion in March when their revenue is under 10 billion a quarter it is safe to say that $AAL would lose 1.5 billion in revenue as well, which is generous because they could have lost more. Projected Revenues/Expenses/Net Income/EPS Operating Expense for Q1: 10.157 billion Operating Expenses for January: 3.386 billion Operating Expenses for February: 3.386 billion Operating Expenses for March: 3.386 billion Operating Revenue for Q1: 10.757 billion Operating Revenue for January: 3.585 billion Operating Revenue for February: 3.585 billion Operating Revenue for March if it were a normal month, based on trends: 3.585 billion Non operating expenses: 158 million Net income in January: 200 million Net income in February: 200 million (generous) Expected losses in revenue for March: 1.5 billion Expected Operating revenue for March: 2.085 billion. Net income in March: -1.3billion 200 mill + 200 mill -1.3billion - 158 million = -1.058 billion before taxes No clue how this loss would be taxed, so let's just leave that alone, but this means their real net income after tax will be worse than -1.058 billion -1.058 billion / 428.2million weighted outstanding shares = -$2.47 EPS or worse. This is important because a normal falling wedge like this would break towards the upside, however if earnings are truly this bad I believe there may be more downside.
NASDAQ:AALShort
by bishopknight
Different airlines, different leverges."The Senate's bailout package, which deals with the economic crisis caused by the coronavirus, will give airlines $25 billion in direct grants as long as they agree not to place any employees on involuntary furloughs or discontinue service at any airports they now serve until at least the end of September. Another $25 billion is available for loan guarantees."-- CNN Four popular American Aviation industry leaders are under fire sale.. but which will hold till the end and outperform in your portfolio? I made a fundamental comparison of these companies. mainly focusing on debt/bankruptcy risk.
NASDAQ:AAL
by UnknownUnicorn3827973
12
What will happend to this second breakout? It seems like the price is trading on sentiment right now. The Positives : There is talk that the curve has been suppressed. The worst in Spain and Italy seem to be over. Austria is looking to relax the lockdown. The Fog : However, we miss fundamental news. That, if you know more about please let me know. How soon will the airline be allowed to operate again? And where will they be allowed to fly to? Will there be an effect on how many roundtrips can do due to more strict security measures. What will demand be for airline travel? How long did it take for airline travel to be back to normal after 9/11 ( I think quite some time). Are they in need of a bailout? If yes, who will pay for it? Will there be one for all EU airlines? Range: The 52 week high is 16 I think it will take quite some time before we go back to that high. Read "This stock will not pop overnight"
XETR:RY4C
by RabbiJacob
1
Southwest Short Due to price action and previous data points in similar market conditions there is likelihood this stock remains bearish for some time. Also, the recent stimulus plan did not include airlines in it. So until a bailout comes for the one or two people flights that are happening these companies Earnings will continue to go down and some airlines will go bankrupt. Being that Southwest is a stronger airline it will take a lot more to destroy it but will still be effected heavily by the current declining revenue coming into it.
NYSE:LUVShort
by Investor_Neek
Airlines Investment PlanAirlines are currently taking a beating and Throughput is decreasing drastically each day. At the beginning of March throughput via TSA was recorded at 2,280,522. On March 31st, throughput was recorded at 146,348. 68 TSA screening agents have tested positive for COVID-19 and Airlines will continue to suffer while throughput is low. This makes for a great time to buy discounted shares in $UAL and $DEL Plan: Accumulate shares in Delta Airlines as well as United Airlines once a week or every $2 down for the time period that United Airlines and Delta are in their respective buy areas. United Airlines and Delta will recover! The government will also likely bail them out! Ask yourself this. 2 years from now what do you see the Airline Industry looking like? Are you willing to let your investment sit for 2 years? If the bottom ends up being $5, great you likely were able to accumulate at $22.50, $20, $18, $16, $14, $12, $10, $8, $6 and more. If the bottom ends up being $15, great you likely were able to accumulate at $22.50, $20, $18, $16 and more. If the bottom is $23 you don't get a single buy-in, great you risked nothing. Do not purchase shares because you feel that you missed out on your target prices. Stick with your targets. My goal is to get 5-20 buys of Delta/United in the buy area. If your unit size is $1000 each that is $5000-$20000 invested. The goal is to hold these shares to a minimum of $45 each before I start exiting. I do not plan on exiting all at once.
NASDAQ:UALLong
by bishopknight
8