Easyjet - EZJ - LongGood Day!
Trade idea was posted via VIP group a few months ago - with significant gains, and profits booked. Successful trade.
However - the situation we have now, is a set-up now presenting an even better risk-to-reward ratio.
Previous trade commentary shared in VIP group, remains valid.
Good luck!
Best,
Figuring Out Finance
VIP Trade Set-up shared earlier this year:
Tues 4th Jan- 22: Trade update - Easyjet (EZJ)
Easyjet (EZJ) trade idea from Dec-21, has already delivered strong returns in a short space of time.
Markets reacting positively to the UK govt's stance on cautiously not increasing Covid restrictions, and the fact that Omicron is slowly being recognised as a 'milder' variant than expected.
This was in line with our 'house view ' on the market's potential overreaction to the new variant (albeit it's tragic news of course that people will continue to suffer from the effects of Covid).
Today EZJ opened at >10%.
Our Fund bought heavily into the recent fade of EZJ price, and will no longer be looking to increase our exposure at these prices.
Will re-evaluate our positions should price revisit sub 550.
Take profit around 850, continues to be valid.
Airlines
DELTA AIR LINES -BUY OPPORTUNITYDelta Airlines Inc is still in a downtrend that started more than two years ago.
The breakout of the support level was not successful, and the price is now heading to the resistance level, giving us a good buy opportunity into the price channel, with a good risk-reward ratio.
The next target is located at $ 40 which is located at the 0.5 Fibo crossed with the major resistance
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Delta triangles guide price actionNYSE:DAL
Testing Twitter integration. Looking for feedback on the symmetrical wedge pattern similar to the historical example. If the pattern repeats, it appears to be a reduction of volatility until some time near the funnel when a breakout may occur with significant velocity. The direction in the past was positive, but I suspect this version may have a negative skew derived from the negative sentiment in the overall economy. Now there is too much demand for airlines to satisfy but the prevailing sentiment is that demand will soon cool significantly from the Fed raising rates and the consumer tightening their disgressionary and travel budget.
Jet Fuel Takes OffWhen will jet fuel stop making all time highs? I think this speaks volumes about the continued pace of inflation combined with a post-2020 "get me outta here and fly me somewhere" mentality, in addition to other factors. So now people want to fly after not flying for a few years. Why do we have to pay mafia level prices now? I guess now it's time for the propaganda machine to shift the narrative to blaming people for their sudden surge flying habits, which still considerably falls short of pre-2020 levels. Rather than looking at the true source of price inflation: Yes, I mean the mafia overlords themselves at the Federal Reserve, their higher order of archdemon overlords will shift blame to something else. If our eating habits were to become an increasing result of centralized policy, for example, we'd all be forced to eat hot dogs and drink orange juice right about now - the only items in the CPI where it seems inflation is somewhat accurately portrayed.
I can imagine the posters already:
PLEASE refrain from your disgusting urges of flying, LOYAL citizens!
Take this delicious and nutritious diet of HOT DOGS and ORANGE JUICE instead.
Do Uncle Sam PROUD, FIGHT inflation TODAY!
Do your part for OUR NATION!
Oh my...
Seriously though, you gotta give some respect to orange juice , SO FAR:
Good luck and don't forget to hedge your bets! ;)
Airbus SE (AIR.pa) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the French company Airbus SE (AIR.pa) at daily chart. Airbus SE is a European multinational aerospace corporation. Airbus designs, manufactures and sells civil and military aerospace products worldwide and manufactures aircraft in Europe and various countries outside Europe. The company has three divisions: Commercial Aircraft (Airbus S.A.S.), Defence and Space, and Helicopters, the third being the largest in its industry in terms of revenues and turbine helicopter deliveries. As of 2019, Airbus is the world's largest airliner manufacturer. The Triangle has broken through the resistance line on 06/05/2022, if the price holds above this level you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 17 days towards 117.08 EUR. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 100.56 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
Shares in Airbus SA, +6.28% rose Thursday after the company posted first-quarter earnings above market expectations and said it would boost future production rates for its A320.
The European plane maker reported adjusted earnings before interest and taxes–a key profitability metric–of 1.26 billion euros ($1.34 billion) for the quarter, up from EUR694 million a year earlier. The figure beat analysts’ forecasts of EUR719 million. Net profit jumped to EUR1.22 billion, beating analysts’ views of EUR460 million.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
5/4/22 DALDelta Air Lines, Inc. ( NYSE:DAL )
Sector: Transportation (Airlines)
Market Capitalization: $28.111B
Current Price: $43.85
Breakout price: $44.75
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $43.50-$41.20
Price Target: $47.00-$48.70(1st), $51.80-$52.70 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 37-39d (1st), 86-89d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $DAL 6/17/22 45c, $DAL 9/16/22 45c
Trade price as of publish date: $1.93/contract, $4.09/contract
Stock Analysis: DALBig Picture
Price action has been climbing off the lower low of March 7th; currently in sideways consolidation with a series of large bullish engulfing candles.
Price action has run into our 42.71 resistance area. Price needs to break above the Feb 14th high to make a higher high.
As we breakdown the price action layers we see that the price ran into our supply area after a series of two gaps. I would be expecting some retracement back towards the 41.50 - 41.00 based on the psychology of the candles.
38.68 would be the ideal downside target and that would also close some of the recent gaps; however leaving one open around the 33 area.
Could be setting up for some short positions. Despite the economy opening up and the mass assumption that 'demand' will be of major significance it throws caution to the wind that 'some' may decide to utilize other means of transportation; especially with the continuous rounds of flight delays and cancellations due to staffing shortages, hours of waiting on the phone to speak to someone, inflation continuing to climb, and incomes being tested with everything around them slowly eating into their buying power. This may also cause some families to put off vacations in general to a later time or reduce the duration of travels, etc.
There could be some shorting opportunities on both intraday and swing day outlooks within the ranges above; feel free to annotate your charts
Distance between Price and Moving Averages:
SMA20
11.02%
SMA50
9.91%
SMA200
6.18%
DAL all time high demandDelta CEO Ed Bastian: "Over the last five weeks we’ve experienced the highest level of sales and booking activity at any time in our history...I think it’s going to be a very strong summer travel period for us going forward."
My price target is $47.50.
Looking forward to read your opinion abut it.
Full Analysis (Price Action, ichimoku, & more!) on AC! BTFD!My friend is heavily invested in Air Canada and was looking for some potential break outs (or break downs!), so I ran through the whole analysis playbook of how I look at stocks.
In this video, I cover how to analyze price action, fibonacci, some pattern techniques, moving averages, and ichimoku.
Overall, I'm looking to buy the dips with optimal entry around $21.35. My stop would be around $19.11, with my first Price Target around $34, putting us at a R/R of 13/2.5 = 5:1! I'd be looking for a big move within 2 weeks (by April 25). I'd 100% play $26-27 July 2023 calls.
Good luck out there and let me know if you want me to take a look at any other tickers!
Cheers,
-TMoney
United Airlines (NASDAQ: $UAL) Looking Like A Buy Opportunity! United Airlines Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in North America, Asia, Europe, Africa, the Pacific, the Middle East, and Latin America. The company transports people and cargo through its mainline and regional fleets. It also offers catering, ground handling, training, and maintenance services for third parties. The company was formerly known as United Continental Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to United Airlines Holdings, Inc. in June 2019. United Airlines Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.
American Airlines (NASDAQ: $AAL) Wicks Through Golden Pocket! 🎯American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. The company provides scheduled air transportation services for passengers and cargo through its hubs in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C., as well as through partner gateways in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a mainline fleet of 865 aircraft. The company was formerly known as AMR Corporation and changed its name to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas.
$LUV Key Levels, Analysis & Targets - Request$LUV Key Levels, Analysis & Targets
Target 1 & 2 really aren’t that far away. And it could hold at that EMA line. But if it doesn’t there’s two additional targets below it. And you should be able to take a good 20% swing here if you average in right, even if just the first two hit... If all 4 hit I'd be going for 25%… Hope this helps.
GL & happy swinging…
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On the far right of the chart is my Average (Grey) Current Target (Green), and Next Level to add (Red) Percentage to target is from my average.
ONLY ADD at support levels & FIB levels… labeled (most of the time)
(Support=Green, Resistance=Red, Trendlines=Blue) Fib will be labeled if any and their colors will vary.)
I start every position with .5 - 1% of my account and build from there as needed and as possible.
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
IF you need anything analyzed Technically just comment with the Ticker and I’ll do it as soon as possible…
3/6/22 AALAmerican Airlines Group, Inc. ( NASDAQ:AAL )
Sector: Transportation (Airlines)
Market Capitalization: $9.471B
Current Price: $14.59
Breakdown price: $14.70
Sell Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $15.40-$17.00
Price Target: $11.20-$10.00
Estimated Duration to Target: 112-116d
Contract of Interest: $AAL 6/17/22 15p
Trade price as of publish date: $2.26/contract
Technical analysis update: JETS (8th February 2022)The airlines sector has been strongly impacted during the Covid 19 crisis which resulted in slump of most aviation related stocks. Over the past two years, this sector has been lagging behind the rest of the economy as a result of persisting lockdowns, travel restrictions and other health related mandates. Although, some countries such as Italy, Great Britain, Denmark, Norway and Switzerland are already seeing restrictions on social life being eased. We expect this phenomenon to continue globally and strengthen over time as the Omicron variant poses lower health risk when compared to previous strains of the virus. We view this as a very positive development for the airline sector and as one that will bring air travel back to life over time. Additionally, we think this will act as a catalyst which will result in a revival of the bullish trend. At the moment, the JETS ETF remains approximately 36% below its all time high value which is attractive pricing in our opinion. Further, we are becoming increasingly bullish on the JETS ETF; because of that we would like to set a short-term price target to 23 USD and medium-term price target to 25 USD. Additionally, we would like to set a long-term price target to 30 USD.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration above shows the weekly chart of combined market cap of AAL+DAL+LUV+BA. It is 45% below its all time high value from February 2019.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration above shows the weekly chart of combined market cap of LHA+AF+RYAAY. It is approximately 17% below its all time high value from November 2017.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI is bullish. MACD is due to perform a bullish crossover which strongly bolsters the bullish case for JETS. Stochastic is bullish too. DM+ and DM- show bullish conditions in the market. However, ADX contains low value which suggests that the prevailing trend is either neutral or very weak.
Illustration 1.03
Picture above shows the daily chart of JETS. It also shows the downward moving channel where upper bound acts as resistance and lower bound as support. We expect an eventual breakout above the resistance. Breakout setup for this trade would involve entry above the resistance and stop-loss below it.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI is bullish. MACD remains in the bearish area; though, it is flat and trying to turn to the upside. Stochastic is neutral. DM+ and DM- are bearish with ADX showing presence of weak or neutral trend.
Support and resistance
Resistance 1 lies at 22.94 USD and Resistance 2 at 25.20 USD. Resistance 3 sits at 28.98 USD. Support 1 can be found at 19.28 USD.
Please feel free to express your own ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Your own due diligence is highly advised before entering trade.
IAG (IAG.mc) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the Spanish company International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A. (IAG.mc) at daily chart. International Consolidated Airlines Group S.A., trading as International Airlines Group and usually shortened to IAG, is an Anglo-Spanish multinational airline holding company. It was formed in January 2011 after a merger agreement between British Airways and Iberia, the flag carriers of the United Kingdom and Spain respectively, when British Airways and Iberia became wholly owned subsidiaries of IAG. The Triangle has broken through the resistance line on 10/02/2022, if the price holds above this level you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 21 days towards 2.2830 EUR. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 1.8120 EUR if you decide to enter this position.
IAG is set to cancel its takeover of Air Europa after European regulators indicated they would not allow it to go through without further concessions, though CEO Luis Gallego hasn't given up hope of some sort of tie-up. British Airways and Iberia owner IAG's proposed acquisition from privately held Spanish company Globalia was designed to help the group's Madrid hub to compete more effectively against its European rivals. Air Europa provides connections to Latin America as well as serving destinations in Europe.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Short term bounce, that's itWe have been getting a consistent Faithful down trend since 2018 well actually since 2015 it just got faked out and came right back in line. With that in mind it'd be wise to assume we'll just continue till the stock possibly reach single digits.
1. With the pandemic, travel has been affected as such airlines can't get the customers to sell their products to in which they get the most of their revenues from.
2. With monetary tightening or interest rate hikes. This will further be tapered as we receive a hawkish fed's response to the economy.
Buy the rip in this one and sell afterwards.
Buy $LMT - NRPicks 05 NovLockheed Martin Corporation, a security and aerospace company, is engaged in the research, design, development, manufacture, integration and support of technology systems, products and services worldwide.
Revenue TTM 66B
Net Income TTM 6B
EBITDA TTM 8.7B
EBITDA margin TTM 13.5%
Debt/EBITDA TTM 1.3x
P/S 1.39
Not enough LUVAirlines are not doing well still despite a bunch of propping up by various institutions. These earnings are going to be absolute garbage and the broader market is also gonna tank too. I expect a rally to the 44-45 range with a likely rebound Monday in the broader market. After this, there is nothing holding airlines up for the foreseeable future. What bullish catalyst exists for airlines right now? They've been on life support since the get-go and the labour shortage along with Omicron has completely wiped out Q4 earnings for airlines. TA-wise, it's rejecting the 500 day MA on the daily and is looking week on the RSI and MACD. Price action suggests serious bearish sentiment in the short term. I also put up a Fib retracement from the COVID crash and it's lining up well. Basically this area being rejected is another piece of evidence for serious downside. Also an evening star on the weekly confirmed. Puts and shorts ?
American Airlines Record Revenues Failed to Impress InvestorsAmerican Airlines (AAL) delivered its Q4 2021 report on Thursday showing that its revenue reached its highest point since the beginning of the pandemic. Nonetheless, the company saw an overall loss in 2021 for the second consecutive year. The airline’s management said that it clearly saw a rise in demand for airline services in 2021, which was partially offset by new spikes of COVID-19.
The airline had a loss of $931 million in the fourth quarter on a revenue of $9.43 billion, which was down from $11.3 billion in sales over the last three months of 2019, before the pandemic. American Airlines’ adjusted per share loss was reported at $1.42 a share, compared with analysts’ estimate of a $1.48 per-share loss. For the first quarter of 2022, American Airlines expects revenue to be up 20% to 22% from the same period in 2019 when it generated $10.6 billion in sales. The company expects that the overall spending, excluding fuel costs, will rise by 15% this quarter, while projected capacity for the first three months is expected to be 8-10% less than it was during the comparable period of 2019. Rising fuel costs and personnel shortage are considered by the company as risks for its further development.
Technically, we may witness a downward trend that started in January 2018. American airlines stocks dropped to the bottom end of $8.25 per share in 2020. The stock price rebounded to $26.04 but dropped back down, failing to perform any significant upside correction to the overall drop from $59.08 to $8.25 per share. This means that stock prices are likely to drop to their lows and even further down.The nearest support level is at $16.15-16.27, or December 2021 lows. If this support is broken through, the next targets could be at $14.50 and within the $12.70-12.75 area.
We may resume that American Airline stocks should be put aside and left out of investors’ long-term portfolios as the company is clearly continuing to suffer from the COVID-19 pandemic and its consequences. The technical picture suggests that bears will continue pressuring stock prices. The time for American stocks is yet to come.
UAL Confirmed Head and Shoulders Neckline Break and RetestThis is a bearish continuation on my Earlier post of a Potential Right Shoulder Setup and it is also earnings today. I suspect we will continue going down today after earnings release and continue towards the targets of the original setup which can be found in the related idea section below.