Airlines
NEW POSITION $LUV Target 64.78 for 15.93% $LUV Target 64.78 for 15.93%
Or double position at 46.98
—
On the far right of the chart is my Average (Grey) Current Target (Green), and Next Level to add (Red) Percentage to target is from my average.
I start every position with 1% of my account and build from there as needed and as possible.
I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed.
GL and happy trading.
ABNB Summer runner + new highsABNB Daily TF
-----------------
Analysis
Strong name and after 2021 Q1 earnings, reporting revenue has already recovered to pre pandemic levels... $ABNB is showing strength for stockholders and more growth to come with International travel still on the verge of recovering. Possibly see an increase in $ABNB bookings with travel activity increasing as summer approaches. Now... after nearly correcting 40% from ATHs, looks like we have reached a nice bottom consolidation in 129-139 ranges with a nice breakout to 152.70 and building support around 144 level. Nice bull flag set up with two daily inside candles to start the week. These next couple days will determine direction. Ideally would like to see this push to 151 by the next two days, and open the next day above the previous days close for continuation to new highs (over 152.70 is breakout level).
Targets: 155, 162, 173
Key Levels
Support: 146.38, 143.88, 141
Resistance: 151, 152.70
Trade Ideas
1.Shares
2. 1-2+ week out calls (atm/ otm 5-10pts out *further otm buy more time*)
Southwest Airlines Looks Like It Wants to BreakawaySelling climax and capitulation occurred during period from Mar-2020 thru early Aug-2020. Covid-19 infection rates were shifting into acceleration mode and an effective vaccine had yet to be developed/approved. Economic conditions were deteriorating and the airline industry was barely "hanging by a thread". So what's different? Global economic recovery and loosening of TSA restrictions and CDC guidelines are a relief to both businesses and consumers.
That's the fundamental story undergirding this price action in LUV. Technically speaking, LUV is undergoing a consolidation phase which began @ 3 months ago. This weekly chart shows a classic cup-with-handle pattern and typically is followed by a breakout to new highs or, at the very least, a high probability to test prior resistance levels @ 65-67 price levels.
This creates a short-term trading opportunity or potential for an extended run for more patient investors who subscribe to the economic recovery investment thesis.
Signing off....
J Clinton Hill
TechnicallyMacro.com
BA on the loose, flying high in the sky!!Caught the breakout on weeklies, then rolled to 6/18 June 250 calls with low 4s average and scaled so riding free calls.
$AAL - COVID Recovery Gap Fill to $27?Was watching this for a while, but generally dont get involved in airlines. Today AAL has broken out of its ascending triangle, a bullish sign that may give this steam to fill the gap near $27. No position, but if you were interested, stop loss and target are included on setup.
AAL - Airlines recovery, BUY opportunityWe can see a nice wedge breakouts on rising volume in airlines.
Fundamentally, we should take into a consideration deffered demand on trips due to COVID restrictions. Combined with Technical Analysis it means that airlines have space to growth.
I am publishing this idea a bit later then I should, but still it is a great buy opportunity.
Keep in mind your possible risks. Probably AAL will give a chance to take a large position on retest (level 22.30). Stop Loss 21.00
BA weekly chart showing last two descending wedge breakouts More visual for the possible BA move coming. Going to be looking for June calls for this move. Last few big ones happened fast.
IAG / ICAGY dip upcoming?ICAGY has finally broken under the ascending support line whose anchor point (a historical minimum) formed in Oct 2020. Price action in the past 6 weeks has traced out a bearish triangle; if the pattern is confirmed, we would expect a >20% drop down to the $4.00 area. High buyer interest at those prices would almost certainly mean a rejection back to the $5+ range, barring secondary/complicating effects introduced by a dividend announcement.
DESCENDING WEDGENice descending wedge forming on 1D chart of BA. The confirmation might be over the low smas (9,20) and obviously a break out over the wedge resistance line. I am bullish for the next week and see big potential for this sector. Nice support on the 100sma. Just an amazing play it would be 😋😍
$JETS - Recovery of the Airline Industry“The U.S. Global Jets ETF $JETS provides investors access to the global airline industry, including airline operators and manufacturers from all over the world.”
TECHNICALS
$JETS is currently trading at $25.50 which is 13% below their most recent high of $28.98 which was made in March 2021. The stock has been in an upward trend since October 2020 as a result of increased vaccinations around the world and strong guidance. As seen on the chart, between 2017 and early 2020 $JETS established a strong support zone between $27.50 and $28.50. With travel expected to increase into the summer and vaccinations continue to be rolled out, $JETS can potentially see a 10% move and settle between $27.50 and $28.50 in the coming months.
RECOVERY
Based on their most recent earnings reports, airline companies such as $AAL, $DAL, $LUV, and $UAL have all posted that their revenue is up 100% or more from their pandemic lows. Although revenue is sitting around 50% of pre-pandemic levels, the growing number suggests that the industry is recovering.
RISKS
The greatest risk to the travel industry at the moment is the massive increase in covid cases in India and the emergence of the new covid variant B.1.617. Although much more information is needed, the new variant appears to be spreading at a much faster rate than before and it is unknown if vaccines will help prevent the contraction of the virus.
Anthony, OptionsSwing Analyst
American Airlines still in a downtrendEqual measured move takes us to 6$ or 2.8$, and we are still in a downslope channel
Airlines lagged as Dow Transports move upFEDEX and UPS have moved up alot in recent days along with some other dow transports. Airlines have lagged behind with no bids. This week, look for Airlines to move out of oversold conditions to move Dow higher. News will break out as passengers return to flying domestically. Volume will pick up accordingly. Breach 46.70 with volume, look out 52!
LUV breaks pre-COVID weekly resistance
NYSE:LUV has recently broken through weekly pre-COVID resistance. With travel becoming a focus with a world trying to emerge from a pandemic, look for airline stocks to benefit, at least for the medium term. I would look for a retest and possible bounce off that previous resistance level. Wait for the retest, though, and see how that price interacts.
For reference, the AMEX:JETS ETF is published.
Many of the other airlines are just bumping into their pre-COVID support levels. If they break though, that could be a long trade. If you're looking for an outperformer, though, look for a place to safely jump into NYSE:SAVE .
AMERICAN AIRLINES rebound approaches $28.27American airlines has been on a Long term downtrend like Singapore airlines since October of 2018. The pandemic accelerated that downtrend to a low of $8.25.
A long signal on 9/11/20 at the price of $12.70 targeted the monthly pivot at $28.27
As we approach the rebound target, the daily support will play an import pivot as an over head resistance in 27 month downtrend.
LONG TERM DOWNTREND SINCE 011018
MEDIUM TERM UPTREND SINCE 301120
SHORT TERM UPTREND SINCE 091120
PIVOT 21.23
Long position above 21.23 for 28.27 and 36.54
Short positions below 21.23 for 18.42 and 17.31
AAL gap fill DT AAL 2HR CHART...
Bull Flag breakout
AAL DT/ Swing Idea
Entry: 24
Target: 24.85+ (gap fill)
DAL SwingDAL along with the rest of the travel sector is catching some big buyers as the economy is shifting to its reopening phase. Look for some strong movements along the next couple of weeks as the chart is preparing for a big move too. Sitting directly under the 20EMA and a perfect bounce off the 50 - the stock also caught many buyers yesterday exactly off of the resistance, which is also a sign of strength.
SIA BREAKS 5 YEAR DOWNTRENDSingapore Airlines broke the long term downtrend that started in Aug 2015 with a close at $5.70 surpassing our target at $5.46.
PIVOT 5.27
Long positions above 5.27 target 5.75 and 7.05
Short positions below 5.27 target 4.91 and 4.63
Long Term UPTREND since 190321
Medium Term UPTREND since 161120
Short term UPTREND since 051120
JETS Ready to Breakout!!If you have been playing the return of tourism, then you have likely done well already. Really, only the airlines have lagged as the rest of the sector has been making higher highs. So, earlier in the year tagging onto JETS, which is an airline exposed ETF, we did well being late to the rush. Now still holding long, we are ready for a breakout and profit targets to come if and when it does. If this high cannot break, we hold still.
