Correction Coming for AI? AI technology has been recognized as the new future since the end of 2022. The rapid advancements in AI and its stock prices sparked debates regarding the sustainability of its current valuations.
Indeed, AI technology has a long runway ahead, but like all journeys, it will eventually encounter a bend. In today's tutorial, we are going to study its fundamental and technical reasons why we may have to prepare for a windy and bumpy ride ahead.
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ORCL a preearnings SHORT TRADEORCL rose from its prior earnings which were not impressive. On the 180 minute chart,
price ascended to the second upper anchored VWAP band and dropped to the mean VWAP
band line in a standard Fibonacci retracement. Finally it turned upside and ascended to the
first anchored VWAP line. The POC line of the immediate volume profile of the past two
months is 113.9 and price is currently below it. RSI lines are near the 50 line and the green
faster line is below the red slower line. The predictive modeling algo shows a forecasted
regression line moving down on the approach to the earnings report after market close on
March 11th. My target on this short trade is 101 being the pivot low at the prior earnings of
December. This represents 10% downside. Accordingly, this is a one to three day trade covering
the earnings period and after seeking 10% in quick profit. The stop loss is set at 114 above the
near term POC line.
BBAI - a penny stock in a hot sector LONGBBAI fell on an earnings miss on Thursday March 7th. The downtrend of 30% was basically a
slow flush. Penny stocks are volatile to begin with; this one is in the hottest of subsectors.
Price is in the hard oversold area just above the second lower VWAP line on this 15 minute
while the RSI lines are in the mid-30s showing the price weakness. A predictive forecasting
algo from Luxalgo suggests a bounce from the present price. I will take a long trade targeting
a return of 25% over the next week with three targets and partial closures of 25% , 50 and
25% respectively with the targets shown on the chart. The stop loss is 2.50 just below the
pivot low of 2.5. This trade idea demonstrates how penny stocks have great volatility and
how if entered well can result in 25% weekly which if compounded regularly can result
in rapid account balance growth overall. The trade is to be managed with partial closures
directed by alerts and notifications as well as a trailing stop loss of 5% once the price gain
has reached 10-15%. This minmizes effort and screen time so that they can be spread
across a wider variety of trades.
CELH in the AI subsector flies on Earnings- SHORTCELH on the 15 minute chart broke out from a decent earnings reprto and has been part of the
IA stock surge. Is it over-extended? Will it follow NVDA in a downtrend? Is this Icarus getting
too close to the sun? Yes, I think so. The company name is Celcius and it fits the Greek
mythological person and story well.
Yes I think CELH will correct. It's in the cards for a lot of its peers. CELH has been hugging
the second upper VWAP band as resistance for several days and is at the upper bounds of the
high volume area for the profile. The slower RSI line is above 50 but the faster line in green is
below that important level. The Luxalgo predictive model forecasting the linear regression
line shows a trend down. This is a regression to the mean concept playing out.
I will open a short trade targeting the evolving PCO line at 82 and then the mean anchored
VWAP line at 78.5. A stop loss of 91.35 kicks in if instead price moves into a high volume
area breakout which is considerably less probable.
PHUN Long Trade Expecting Continuation PHUN is in the advertizing business specializing in targeting consumers with smart filterning of
the ads tailored to their websurfing and data history. That said, it competes with Google,
Facebook, Snapchat and all the rest. it is far more volatile than them as a small cap company.
The trade is in capturing the volatility.
On a 120-minute chart, PHU was in a state of dormancy and almost no range in late 2023
but awoke in the current year. The all-the-highs are in the 80 range back in 2022. From the
highs of January to the recent low on March 1st, PHUN dropped more than 70% in 40 days or so.
On the chart, it has broken out of deep undervalued territory and is not situated near the
anchored mean VWAP and is at the POC line of the volume profile. It traded nearly 70
million shares about 20X the running average. I see this as an opportunity for a long
trade at or near the VWAP where institutionally based traders are likely to trade. The
volume and volatility make this obvious. A similar combination of volume and volatility last
occurred about January 16 and propelled the price more than 250% in 4 days. While a similar
move should not be expected, even 50% in 4 days is an excellent return for the risk taken.
I will set a stop loss of 10% for this volatile stock while targeting 18 and 22 from the VWAP
band lines on the chart.
AVGO Chipmaker in an ascending channel SHORTOn a 30-minute chart, like several other computer chip manufactures has approached or
reached a near-term top. Overall Broadcom has gained 19% YTD. Earnings are in about two
weeks. I see this as a short trade to follow AVGO from the top of the channel down to about
1225 in time to catch earnings at the bottom of the channel to end the swing trade and instead
go long from there. I intend to close the trade two days before earnings and flip sides
hunting the beat on the earnings.
AI made a Bullish Break-out and is targeting $60.C3.ai (AI) broke on Monday above the 8-month Lower Highs trend-line that dictated the former Bearish Leg of the 1.5 year Channel Up pattern. That is a major technical bullish break-out for the long-term as at the same time the 1D MACD completed a full Bullish Cross.
The last time we had such a series of technical events was on the January 13 2023 bullish break-out where the stock closed again a 1D candle above the Lower Highs. The price rallied +205% from the bottom. The next rally that formed the June 16 2023 Higher High on the Channel Up was on a +190% rally. Assuming a -15% decrease on every Bullish Leg, we expect the current rally to peak a +175% from the bottom. As a result we are placing our target just under the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (standard Higher High target) at $60.00.
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ARM Holdings Surges Over 45% on Strong AI Chip ForecastsIn a staggering surge, Arm Holdings ( NASDAQ:ARM ), the British tech giant famed for its semiconductor designs, witnessed a remarkable uptick of over 45% in its stock value on Thursday. This meteoric rise was propelled by bullish forecasts, as clientele gear up to fashion cutting-edge chips tailored for artificial intelligence (AI) applications. With the quest for AI-powered devices intensifying, Arm stands at the forefront, poised to reap the rewards of this burgeoning market.
Embracing the AI Revolution
Arm's ascent stems from its pivotal role in furnishing blueprints and intellectual property crucial for crafting the chips omnipresent in today's mobile phones, notably Apple's iconic devices. The company's trajectory has been deeply intertwined with the surge in demand for AI-centric technologies, with customers increasingly gravitating towards Arm's offerings to fuel their innovation in this domain.
Unveiling a Paradigm Shift
Arm's executives unveiled a strategic shift, highlighting the surge in clientele opting for Arm-based central processors in tandem with Nvidia's chips for AI-centric endeavors in data centers. Moreover, Arm's foray into developing AI-enabled laptops and smartphones underscores its commitment to pioneering advancements in consumer electronics. By leveraging its unique model of creating and licensing semiconductor designs, Arm has managed to scale rapidly while maintaining a lean operational footprint.
Supercharging Growth Through AI
Investment pundits underscore the symbiotic relationship between Arm and the AI boom, emphasizing how the company's revenue streams are poised for exponential growth fueled by the AI revolution. Notably, Arm's ability to deliver substantial royalty and licensing revenue reflects its adaptability and resilience in harnessing emerging technological trends.
Market Dynamics and Valuation
Amidst this fervor, market dynamics come into play, with Arm's valuation reflecting its elevated standing in the tech landscape. Trading at 56.46 times its 12-month forward earnings estimates, Arm's valuation surpasses that of industry stalwarts like Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices. However, its low-float status renders it susceptible to pronounced market fluctuations, underscoring the need for cautious investor scrutiny amidst this period of exuberance.
In essence, Arm Holdings' ( NASDAQ:ARM ) remarkable surge epitomizes the symbiotic relationship between technological innovation and market dynamism, as it harnesses the power of AI to propel itself into uncharted territories of growth and prosperity.
PALANTIR starting a new multi-month rally to $45Palantir (PLTR) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up pattern every since the August 05 2022 High. The recent consolidation within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) was successful as it held the latter as Support and broke above the former. Since we are technically on the 2nd long-term Bullish Leg of the Channel Up, this break-out, along with the 1D RSI breaking above its Lower Highs trend-line, should set in motion a multi-month rally similar to the one that started on the May 04 2023 Low.
This gives us three Targets to aim in succession:
a) $24.50, which represents a +58.90% rise such as the one that peaked on November 21 2023.
b) $37.00, which represents a +136.51% rise such as the one that peaked on June 07 2023.
c) $45.00, which represents a +243.33% rise such as the one that peaked on August 01 2023.
The latter two would break the original (blue) Channel Up and start a divering (dotted) more aggressive one.
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NVIDIA Pioneers $30 Mil Initiative to Propel U.S. AI Research
In a groundbreaking move, VANTAGE:NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) has joined forces with the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF) to spearhead the National Artificial Intelligence Research Resource (NAIRR) pilot project. This strategic partnership, aimed at advancing the United States' artificial intelligence industry, sees NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) committing a substantial $30 million towards cutting-edge AI technologies, supercomputing capabilities, and relevant software over the next two years.
The NAIRR pilot project, launched in collaboration with 10 federal agencies, private-sector entities, nonprofits, and philanthropic organizations, seeks to provide researchers and diverse communities with comprehensive access to high-level computing, data resources, AI models, and software. The overarching goal is to accelerate AI research, drive innovation, and enhance the country's global competitiveness in the rapidly evolving field of artificial intelligence.
At the heart of this initiative is the vision of creating a national research infrastructure that empowers researchers and communities across the U.S. The commitment of $30 million from NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is a pivotal factor in expanding the scale of the pilot, fostering potential breakthroughs, and catalyzing momentum towards full-scale implementation.
The NAIRR pilot's primary objectives are to support fundamental AI research, promote domain-specific research applications, and extend access to AI innovation to communities currently underserved by the AI ecosystem. This includes smaller institutions, rural areas, and institutions serving underrepresented populations that may lack the resources to independently build their computing or data infrastructure.
NVIDIA's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) collaboration with scientific centers goes beyond financial contributions. By scaling up educational and workforce training programs, the initiative aims to enhance AI literacy and skill development across the scientific community. The partnership also facilitates insights from researchers using NVIDIA's platform, contributing to the refinement and enhancement of the company's technology for scientific applications.
The comprehensive support from government partners, including the NSF, U.S. Department of Agriculture, U.S. Department of Energy, and others, underscores a unified approach towards advancing AI research. The NAIRR pilot builds on the U.S.'s rich history of leading large-scale scientific endeavors, mirroring the creation of the internet, which played a pivotal role in advancing AI.
The initiative aligns with President Biden's Executive Order 14110, signed in October 2023, directing the NSF to launch the NAIRR pilot within 90 days. By providing access to advanced computing, datasets, models, software, training, and user support, the NAIRR pilot aims to democratize access to AI innovation and pave the way for future investments in trustworthy AI development.
As the U.S. takes a significant step towards establishing itself at the forefront of global AI advancements, the NAIRR pilot promises to drive innovations across sectors, from healthcare to environmental science. This visionary collaboration between NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) and the U.S. National Science Foundation sets the stage for a new era in AI research, with the potential to shape the future of technology and innovation.
BFRG AI penny stock ready to SHORTI have been in BFRG since the November earnings it has done 300% over that time almost all
of it in one week. There are no options on this one. The RSI indicator tells me that it is now
overextended and overbought. This is confirmed by a reversal signal triggering on this
60-minute chart with a mass index indicator below it. The topping candles with long wicks
is another hint of the price action underway. I am closing my long position over 300%
gain and instead look for a short with the profits to retrace from present price to
to the 0.382 Fib retracement at about 5.65. Stop loss above the wicks at 7.7. I expect the trade
to last this week and part of next.
NVIDIA ($NVDA): Riding the AI Wave to New Heights
NVIDIA Corporation ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is on the cusp of a historic moment, with its stock hitting an all-time high and poised to become the fourth-largest company by market capitalization. The company's recent surge is fueled by groundbreaking developments in artificial intelligence (AI) and graphics processing units (GPUs), propelling NVDA into new frontiers. We delve into the factors driving NVDA's success, the competitive landscape, and whether now is the right time for investors to buy into this tech giant.
The AI Revolution:
NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) has long been at the forefront of innovation, pioneering graphics processors that revolutionized computer gaming. The company's GPUs have expanded beyond gaming, finding applications in healthcare, automobiles, and robotics. In a game-changing move, NVIDIA's AI-capable supercomputer played a pivotal role in the advancement of generative AI, exemplified by OpenAI's ChatGPT. This "iPhone moment of AI" not only reshaped the industry but also marked a turning point for NVIDIA's financial performance.
Stellar Financial Performance:
NASDAQ:NVDA 's 2023 rally of 239% and its recent all-time high of 553.46 underscore its exceptional financial performance. Despite a brief dip after its third-quarter earnings report, where profits exceeded expectations at $4.02 per share on sales of $18.12 billion, NASDAQ:NVDA has continued its upward trajectory. The company's data-center sales, a key driver of growth, surged 279% to a record $14.51 billion, showcasing the insatiable demand for NVIDIA's advanced technologies.
Competitive Landscape:
While NVIDIA has maintained its trailblazing status, competitors are catching up. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) launched a new AI chip in December, intensifying the competition in this rapidly evolving space. However, NVIDIA's extensive product portfolio and established market presence position it as a formidable player. The question for investors is whether the company can sustain its lead and fend off competitors eyeing a slice of the burgeoning AI chip market.
Analyst Projections:
Analysts project robust growth for NASDAQ:NVDA , with an estimated 236% increase in per-share earnings to $11.22 for fiscal 2024. Despite concerns about profit growth decelerating to 67% in fiscal 2025, the overall outlook remains positive. Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya and Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon both hold a bullish perspective, with a price target of $700, suggesting that there is untapped potential in NVIDIA's stock.
Investor Considerations:
While NASDAQ:NVDA 's technical outlook is favorable, with the stock trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average, caution is warranted.
Future Prospects:
The global AI chip market is projected to grow significantly, reaching $67.1 billion in 2024 and doubling to $119 billion by 2027. NASDAQ:NVDA is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth, given its track record of innovation and market dominance. However, investors should monitor the competitive landscape and consider the potential impact of emerging technologies on NVDA's market share.
Conclusion:
NVIDIA's journey to becoming the fourth-largest company by market capitalization is a testament to its pioneering spirit and technological prowess. While challenges loom on the horizon, the company's strong financial performance, coupled with optimistic analyst projections, paints a compelling picture for investors.
As NASDAQ:NVDA continues to ride the AI wave, the question remains: is now the opportune moment to invest in this tech giant? Only time will reveal whether NVIDIA's ascent is a sustained trajectory or a momentary surge in the ever-evolving landscape of technology stocks.
Top 10 AI Stocks to Trade and add to Trading View WatchlistAI is definitely one of the key words for the century.
And yes, I believe these are great companies to add to our watchlist to trade. ANd Trading View has all of the companies to analyse their movements. .
We could even see AI companies being some of the safe-haven stocks to invest in 2024…
Here are my top 10 companies that are incorporating AI into their businesses and ones I'm trading lately.
1. Microsoft (MSFT):
Develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions.
2. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD):
Designs and sells computer processors and related technologies.
3. NVIDIA (NVDA):
It designs graphics processing units (GPUs) for gaming and professional markets.
4. Palo Alto Networks (PANW):
Offers cybersecurity solutions and firewall technology.
5. Customer Relationship Management (CRM):
This is a strategy that companies use to manage interactions with customers and potential customers.
6. Meta Platforms - formerly Facebook – (META):
Operates social media and virtual reality platforms (e.g., Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Oculus)
Note: Oculus 3 Headset is coming out next year and it’s going to include and introduce Augmented Reality to the world.
7. Palantir Technologies (PLTR):
Develops data analysis software and provides data integration and analytics platforms.
8. Adobe Inc. (ADBE):
Creates software products for content creation, multimedia, and marketing.
9. Apple Inc. (AAPL):
Designs and markets consumer electronics, computer software, Virtual Reality and online services.
10. Micron Technology (MU):
Micron Tech. inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and sells memory and storage products worldwide
I have an entire watchlist just saying AI STOCKS...
There isn't an Index yet, so I'm watching them and trading accordingly.
NVDA, AI MARKET Volatility-DRIVER, Prospects and Considerations!Hello There!
Welcome to my analysis about NVIDIA on several timeframe perspectives. The fourth industrial evulotion is accelerating massively with many stocks adopting the AI technology and others, the ones that are still operating on old economy level and do not adopt the new technology seems to depreciate and do not move forward with the rally similar as it has been seen within the dot-com bubble where 90% of the stocks within the market have been burned and did not recovered. Now, a major question is if NVDIDIA is catching the same fate and if it is ripe for a huge bearish bubble burst or it continues to print solid continuations and upside potential as it made within the recent times.
In this case the main AI Stock Index is a important indication as well as the fact that NVIDIA is continuing with the trend dynamics here. Especially as NVIDIA already moved faster and approached the all-time-high it has room for further continuations similar as it is within the wave developing within the AI Stock Index. This means that NVIDIA is having the target-zones within the upper boundary of the channel at around 1000. Once these have been reached it could turn out to be a major bearish distribution zone if the market changes and interest rates climb to higher levels. Therefore it will be important how and if NVIDIA shows up with bearish momentum because this is going to alter the dynamics.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, support is greatly appreciated, all the best!
VP
U Unity is now recovering from a paradoxicalearnings beat of 189% selloff. On the 4H chart the trend down has reversed
and the ZL MACD is confirmatory. Price has bounced off the lower Bollinger
bands as confirmed by the BB Oscillator. I will take a long trade here targeting
the 0.5 fib level in a retracement of the trend down ( 39.95) with the stop loss
at the pivot low of the Friday morning open. U could easily bounce back up to
its per-earnings trading range in the upcoming week. ( See also PANW)
C3.AI stocks suppressed by the 1.618 level of the golden sectionC3.AI stocks suppressed by the 1.618 level of the golden section
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of C3. AI stocks for the past year. The graph overlays the low point at the end of 2022 against the golden section. As shown in the figure, the high points of C3.AI stocks at the end of May and July were precisely suppressed by the 1.618 level of the golden section in the figure, while the high point in June almost touched the short start level in November 2021! So for a period of time in the future, the probability of C3. AI stocks will probably rise again against the 0.618 to 0.809 positions in the golden section of the pullback chart!
4 stocks to watch for explosive upward moves this week :) #LONGBased on my charts, these 4 tickers are headed for some STRONG gains over the next 7 days.
ACGN
Aceragen has earnings buzz today and trending upward with MacD, seems to be a rounding bottom, and daily crossing the 50 MA.
GFAI
Guardforce AI, IT and AI play, in a recent uptrend, macD crossing upward again after holding strong on most recent retrace.
ATLX
Atlas Lithium, ELECTRIC/ALT needs anyone?!?, holding strong after a huge retracement and profit take, current price at mid bolly band, under the 50ma but with upward trending MACD i look to blow that out of the water and test upper bolly soon.
BTCUSD
Bitcoin, US debt default questions, world burning, Crypto in news daily, Holding recent extended bull flag strong, MacD FINALLY looking in its best shape since April 10th. Looking to run up to mid bolly band possibily upper bolly around 29000 -29500 soon.
I throw chicken bones and get my news from Newsmax, so take my analysis with a grain of salt. I am only writing these ideas to track my own progress and skill. DYOR