NZDUSD: 2618-Breaking Down the Killzone (with video)Hey traders the NZDUSD has offered us an excellent 2618 opportunity and I wanted to take a minute to show you guys how I use the Fibonacci tools to break down a potential reversal zone and really dial in on where i want to place the trade at. Here's a link to a short video i did this morning on this pair. tradeempowered.com
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.tradeempowered.com
Akil@Tradeempowered.com
Akil_stokes
GBPAUD: BULLISH GARTLEY PATTERN @ 1.9338Hey gang! A we've been waiting for some bigger moves on this pair for a while now but have seen nothing but sideways action. Fortunately for pattern traders sideways action isn't always a bad thing as consolidation breeds pattern opportunities.
The pattern we have on this pair is going to be a bullish Gartley pattern completing down at the 1.9328s level. Minimum stops should be 10pips below the X leg, but in my professional opinion (I don't use the 10pips rule) it's probably worth risking a few more pips to give yourself the safety of being below the even handle seeing how these psychological numbers often act very similar to structure.
Although we have the bigger pattern on the horizon, i wouldn't assume that it's going to complete and would have no reason to get fancy with extended targets or trailing stops for bigger gains. We still haven't broken previous resistance (Bigger B leg) therefore structurally I have no reason to think continuation.
For a look at last week's rollercoaster of a ride in the markets please check out my latest blog post "Trading Recap Week 17: Self Evaluation" Good luck this week traders!!! tradeempowered.com
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
EURAUD: Bearish Gartley Turning Into Bullish CypherComing off a pain free trade on this pair last night our once bearish Gartley pattern's next step could be to complete the C to D leg of a bullish Cypher. Again, EURAUD typically has a pretty large ATR so you want to double check you're risk profile on this one, but aside from that "The Pattern Is The Pattern Is The Pattern."
Laid out on the chart are initial ideas for minimum Stop placements and targets, but as I always recommend, please follow your specific rules for stops and of course targets may have to be adjust based on price action.
For an inside look at my trading on a day to day basis feel free to check out my blog and today's post "Trading Recap/On My Radar" tradeempowered.com
Aki Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
Akil Stokes
XAUUSD: Gartley Pattern Completion w/2618 on LTFA Gtartley Pattern completion with a double bottom and now 2618 opportunity on the lower time frame. I wouldn't trade it was a gartley and attempt to use 2618 stops, but you can certainly look to protect profit or shoot for extended targets based off of the higher timeframe pattern including the potential bearish cypher that still exists
USDJPY: Bearish Cypher Pattern @ 119.10Bear Cypher pattern completion @ 119.10. Minimum stops would need to be above 119.35's. Key word minimum. Technically speaking we've been seeing a series of NSH's so one would think that this previous OR would be a good source of resistance. But it's also trading we''re talking about so you never know.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
www.TradeEmpowered.com
"On My Radar: April 20th" ratiotradingmentor.com
"trading Recap: Week 16, 2015" tradeempowered.com
EUR consolidation due for further downward trend continuation
1) Strong and respected structure at the $1.08416 level. This has been respected 5 times as outlined in the green circles.
2) Using Fibonacci retracement tool from the $1.10329 to the $1.052 leg we can see a 0.382 confluence with fibonacci level which lies on the $1.08416 structure level and can see that is has been previously respected as well.
3) Using this structure line as an entry for a short position we can enter anywhere between $1.0775 (0.5 Fibonacci level) and the $1.08416 (0.382 Fibonacci level).
4) Stops should be placed around $1.09145 (0.236 Fib level) and take profits around $1.0387 (1.272 Fib level)
XAU/USD: Potential Bullish Gartley at Previous Structure SupportLooking at a very deep potential bullish Gartley here on XAUUSD that if completed would come right into previous structure support. The wicks created in that previous support zone made this an opportunity that I like regardless and having an advanced pattern complete at the same level just put icing on the cake. Very low risk opportunity compared to the potential reward as this chart has started to show us some consolidation.
Bigger picture, there are a few more setups on the horizon including the potential bearish Bat shown here in orange, but that should matter at this point unless you are a trader that uses such things as a way to shoot for extended targets.
We've got a brand new website over at www.tradeempowered.com so make sure you check it out, including an a blog post that I wrote today titled "Trading From A to Z" let me know what you think!
Until next time, plan your trad and trade your plan
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst
Trade Empowered: Live Your Passion
www.TradeEmpowered.com
EURUSD 4HR Bull Bat Pattern/Learn To Trade The Cypher Correctly*IF YOU"RE LOOKING FOR THE CORRECT RULES ON HOW TO TRADE THE CYPHER PATTERN PLEASE READ THIS ENTIRE POST. ..It's been a busy week on the Euro, with the next big potential setup being a bullish bat pattern completion if the market pushes down to the 1.0527s area. I put on initial targets so that you guys have an idea of where to look for but remember that targets must be adjusted with current price action so there's no telling if they will be there for sure .
Below is a link to video i recorded illustrating this very same setup. I don't like sharing links on Tradingview because I don't want to be "that guy" but if you click the link in the info section of my youtube video it will take you to the recorded sessions from the FREE workshop I ran this week. On Day 4 I taught traders how to correctly trade the Cypher pattern. Please check it out .
"This Week on the EURUSD" youtu.be
Akil
NZDUSD: Potential Bearish Gartley on the 4hrWe currenty have an AT MARKET bearish Cypher pattern on the hourly timeframe, but if that pattern gets busted...or hits targets and rolls up (which would be my preference) we have a very deep bearish Gartley setting up here on the 4hr chart. Whether you use an ATR, 113, or 10-20pip stop loss the risk reward should still be fantastic since the completion is so close to X.
See you guys in the workshop! Remember we have guest speak BJ Nash coming in today to work with you on trading psychology. Giving me time to actually do some trading ;-)
AUDUSD: 1hr Potential Bullish Bat PatternI'm looking at a potential bullish Gartley pattern here on the AUDUSD hourly chart completing at the 88.6 (0.7553). If the gartley were to complete I'd expect a move back into our 38.2 fibonacci retracement locate at 0.7605. With that level being so close to the 76 even handle it's probably worth front running your targets a little more.
Do be aware that we have Retail Sales news out tonight at 9:30pm and Cash Rate due out at 12:30am NY which should push these thin Asia-session markets, but when the smoke clears, if the pattern is still available it looks pretty appetizing. If you're a trader that can't actively watch the charts during this time period, it may be worth playing the sidelines.
Also for those of you who attended today, I'd love to hear your opinion on how things went. I mentioned the "Kaizen" philosophy in my trading, well i also use that same philosophy in life as well so all comments are welcomed so that day 2 can be even better.
Akil
EURAUD: Reviewing The Tape (Education not a trade idea)I've already written my "Trading Recap" blog post for today but I wanted to share something with you guys. For you guys that have been following along with my blog you know that I've been working on an article looking at professional athletes and professional traders. One of my main comparisons is the amount of preparation and review that both do.
Just like Peyton Manning or Tom Brady do after every game, after each trading day I review the tape, meaning that I go back through my trading day and critique myself. After all, in this industry we are our own bosses so if we don't do it who will?
Last night I posted a trade looking for a potential breakout to the upside on EURAUD, although we did test the highs of our previous structure level we never got the break that I was looking for and it ended up being a scratch trade (breakeven). This morning in our Warroom meeting Jason Stapleton fired off 2618 idea for this same pair. (I'll attach a link to the FREE 2618 training at the bottom of this post). In the live room we ended up finding a bearish Cypher at the same level and ended up getting short as well. After banking some good pips, I spend the rest of our session going through the rest of my portfolio and basically but this pair on the back burner.
BIG MISTAKE, if only i would have paid more attention to it, i would have seen that IF our 2618 setup were to rally to 2nd targets THEN we'd also have a Bat pattern completion which we plant a stop & reverse at. So yeah I left a few pips on the board today but the important part is that I was able to identify my mistake and turn it into a learning experience. For those who don't take the time to review their day, well that mistake may continue to be a future mistake.
Thanks for taking the time to read this and I'll see you next week at the Technical Trader Workshop!!!
FREE 2618 Training Lesson: www.youtube.com
2015 FREE Technical Trader Workshop: promos.tradeempowered.com
EURJPY: Bearish Bat Pattern Into 2618/Kiss of Death TradeJust broke this pair down in my Live Trading Room. After looking at the LLLC of the triple top highs, our traders were gearing up for a potential 2618/Kiss of Death trading opportunity. As we dug a little deeper into things we noticed that if we got the retracement back into previous structure then that 2618/KOD would be bet with a bearish bat which could be used as an entry reason.
If price action goes the opposite direction (or retraces and then makes a bearish dive) we also have 2 more advanced pattern waiting for us lower. A bullish Cypher and Bat pattern
EURUSD: Active management/A structure trade review (w/video)THIS IS NOT A TRADING IDEA, more of a recap. Earlier this week I posted a chart of the EURUSD that had three potential bearish patterns setting up in the same area. In that post I mentioned that I was also involved in a long position on the Euro. Well after 24 hours of doing absolutely nothing this pair finally decided to rally and move in my favor. Throughout the week I've gotten numerous messages about that position and since I never posted it here's a quick look at what was on my mind.
Unlike advanced patterns, when I involve myself in a structure based trade I look to actively manage it. The "black flags" on the chart were potential profit taking levels for me and as price action approached them I would keep a close eye on the reaction. A positive sign would lead me to stay in the trade, while a negative sign would cause me to take my profits and fight again another day. The blue lines are an example of how i managed my stop/loss while the position was in progress. While the green flag is where I ultimately ended up taking off my final profits.
Now before you yell at me about "not catching the entire move" please take a look at the video i just uploaded to my YouTube channel explaining the "Pros" and "Cons" of active management vs shooting for a static target area.
www.youtube.com
EURUSD: Bearish Gartley & CypherAfter yesterday's FED Fun (unless you were on the other side of it) a lot of currency pairs are showing similar movement. A complete retracement from yesterday's spikes back into previous structure. We've been rolling through charts all morning in both the live trading room and the Warroom meeting trying to fish out which opportunities are worth taking and which are better off staying on the sidelines for. EURUSD is one that I like.
I just fired off a long on this pair at 1.0665's and Jason is waiting a little bit lower to potentially get involved. Those are more intraday/swing trading opportunities since the ATR is rather large today, but from a day traders perspective, we also have 2 potential short opportunities in the form of a bearish Gartley and Cypher. It would be nice to see all win on different accounts. Would make for an awesome end of a nice looking week thus far.
NZDUSD - Long opportunityWith bullish RSI divergence, previous structure and my previous post of the anticipated 2618 trade for next week, this looks like it could be a good opportunity to get long.
I'm looking at a tight 45 pip stop with a 169 pip target. The target is well short of my 2618 entry as a precaution if that trade doesn't eventuate. I would have an initial target of 95 pips at 0.7439x and if hit, roll stops to break even for the second half of the trade.
NZDUSD: The Last Trade Have OnIt's been a very slow week for me, but luckily Jason is picking up the slack. Going into Friday's Job Report I have no intention of entering any new positions aside from this potential bullish bat pattern on the Kiwi. NZDUSD is in a very interesting position as our HTF trend has bounced off previous structure resistance, yet our LTF trend has recently created a NSH and is retesting previous structure support. Consolidation perhaps?? Hope so since that would work well for pattern traders. VERY IMPORTANT. IF this trade does not trigger before tomorrow mornings top-down analysis THEN I will remove all orders as I want no parts of the crap shoot that is the Non-farm Payroll report.
As always it's Thursday so that also means the release of my weekly WEEKEND REVIEW video. (link at bottom)) In this week's video "Dollars Don't Matter" I talk about this NZDUSD trade, how we can help each other out in the initial phases of backtesting an updated version of an inside bar breakout strategy that i used to trade, and of course an update of how Jason and i have down int he Syndicate. here's a clue...I haven't done much lol
www.youtube.com
Lastly make sure you clear your schedules for early April ;-)
USDJPY: 3 Potential Advanced PatternsMultiple potential advanced patterns setting up on the USDJPY all around the same area. We've yet to break out of this consolidation, but if we do before Friday's Jobs number, we have a good location to look for our next short.
Before I get a million nasty messages no, I don't think dollar weakness and Yen strength long term, but that's what makes me a "Trader" and not an "investor" I don't have a long term bias when trading on shorter term charts. I take the setups as they come bullish or bearish despite my personal fundamental outlook.