Bracketing The EuroIt's been a rough go around for pattern trades as of late (I'll talk more about that in my Weekend Review tonight www.youtube.com) But if the pattern is valid and meets you ROE's then you've got to pull the trigger.
I'm still holding the 2nd half of my position on a EURUSD short from earlier in the week, but today we've got both a bullish gartley and a bearish bat bracketing this pair.
For news today we want to keep an eye on 8:30am (ny) as our usual Unemployment Claims are released and then once again at 3:00pm (ny) as the ECB President Mario Draghi is set to speak.
Akil_stokes
XAUUSD: 1 AT MARKET & 2 POTENTIAL GARTLEY'SObviously we want to be very cautious going into tomorrow's trading session which features our monthly Non-Farm Employment change aka the Fireworks show. but was digging through some different markets tonight and noticed the abundance of opportunity setting up on gold. The orange Gartley pattern is technically completed but features a very shallow "D" leg which significantly increases the risk and reduces the reward of the move. With multiple harmonic moves and Fibonacci confluence featured in that area it's worth taking a zoomed in view on a lower timeframe inside that "Killzone" and waiting for an alternate entry technique to see if you can grab a better price. Perhaps something to watch and not trade going into Friday.
EURJPY: Consolidation Brings Plenty of opportunity Nothing fancy here just a plain and simple bearish Cypher on EURJPY (This is a 4hr pattern, I decided to show it on the hourly chart because I went down to that timeframe for further analysis. But if you're a 1hr trader only THIS IS INVALID) . However if you've been following along my recent string of post on this pair (either in here or in the Syndicate) then you know that this has been one of our hottest and most profitable pairs during the month of August. With all of these wins in would be naive of me not to expect a loser at some point (for those you you thinking this is an automatic win) but if a pattern is valid I trade it and let the numbers work themselves out.
Akil
"The Rule of 3's"
www.youtube.com
AUDCAD: The Trade Before The TradeLast night I discussed the AUDCAD in a video that I put out for my Syndicate members. We had previously earned some pips on a a bearish Bat pattern, but the market never really ran too far way from this general area.
What caught my attention was the series of higher lows and the fact that we finally achieved a LLLC as on last nights analysis. I didn't have a chance to hop on the trade because of a little something called needing to get sleep, but I told them that breaking those lows was the 1st sign of a bearish rotation.
This morning we see that the market has put in a continuation move down and now I'm looking for another chance to hop on this newly formed trend. The ebbs and flow of this recent move has also set up the 1st 3 legs of a bearish Cypher pattern. Although this pattern doesn't yield enough profit for me to take it as a pattern can can look at it as a way to hop on the trend continuation move and ride it down to previous structure lows and/or the next bullish cypher.
Akil
For more information on the Syndicate Program visit: www.tradeempowered.com
NZDUSD: Another Kiwi BuyYesterday I posted a chart looking at a bullish Cypher pattern on the NZDUSD. After a move to hit profits during the London session, price action has sharply retraced back into support presenting a double bottom with divergence on the RSI. If this level can hold I anticipate a rally up to at least the 8470 to 8500 level. With the same psychological level being right below the potential reward is well worth the risk in my opinion. "Plan Your Trade, Trade Your Plan"
GBPCHF Double TopComing off an impressive long from last weeks bullish bat pattern, the pair has now come back to retest previous structure highs. Although i wouldn't consider this to be the optimal structure level, the risk reward that is available on this trade makes it worth the take. A single ATR stop above the highs provides me with a less than 20pip risk (if i'm wrong, I want to be wrong fast) , while a move into previous structure would offer more than 30 pips in potential reward. Check out my youtube page a little later to see how we broke this down in today's Live TRading Room session www.youtube.com
Bullish Bat at Previous Structure lowsI'm a little late on getting this idea posted, but we had an abundance of advanced pattern trading opportunities setting up as my live trading session came to a close. Some have since rallied and some have been stopped out. This particular one is still at market and for those who like to take more of a conservative approach, may be putting in a retest of structure in the form of a double bottom. Take a look at the RSI as well, significantly oversold.
I've been doing a lot of work with this pair over the past month or so and this pattern happens to be in line with my underlying prediction for the pair. Coming back into previous outside returns provides a nice structural level to place stops. Hopefully we'll see another bounce off of this area and make our way back up to the 53 even handle.
Have a great weekend traders, and if you missed it yesterday, here's the link to my latest Weekend Review video
www.youtube.com
AKil
USDCHF Daily Bearish Bat PatternWith not a lot going on in the markets thus far this week I started venturing outside of my usual trading portfolio to fins some ideas I could share with my Syndicate clients. This was one that really popped out to me.
In light blue is a bearish bat pattern with some extra Fibonacci confluence within my killzone. More importantly is the large bearish candle that exist 2 bars from the "X" leg. I've been looking into these types of candles over the past few months and although I haven't finished my personal studies on them, I can tell you that the area around them seem to act as great potential reversal zones. This one happens to be an "X" leg which means previous structure highs as well.
As I told my Syndicate members if the pattern itself is too large for your liking, keep an eye out for when price action enters that killzone and see if you can use a lower timeframe technique to involve yourself in the trade.
*I've been getting some positive feedback from this mornings blog post so here's the link if you wanted to check it out. ratiotradingmentor.com
GBPCAD Bearish Cypher setting up good structure levelWith the CAD pairs popping today some of the longer term patterns are starting to come close to completing. Bearish GBPCAD cypher set up completes at an area of structure, with the big wick on the x leg not closing above previous resistance levels. Current set-up comes off another big winner on previous bullish cypher pattern completion!!
EURAUD 4 HR: Pattern Entry for Trend ContinuationI'm looking at two things here on the EURAUD. Bigger picture is a potential bearish trend continuation trade as price action looks to make a retracement into a previous shelf of structure.
Around that same level lays a potential bearish butterfly pattern completing at 1.618 & 1.272 Fibonacci confluence. Adding to that we have more ratio confluence in the form of a 78.6 & 50% Fibonacci retracements from previous structure highs.
Just for a little added confidence this potential butterfly would complete a the 1.44000 which is a psychological round number.
If you didn't see it already (shame on you, lol) I broke down this trade in my most recent Weekend Review video on YouTube. www.youtube.com
Today's my off day, but I wish you guys a great week of trading!
Akil
EURNZD: Price Action at a Key Decision PointI've been sitting in a short position on this trade since this morning and it hasn't really done much. What initially caught my attention was the fact that I was late to a deep bearish Gartley Pattern. When I looked a little closer I found that price action had moved up a previous level of structure and had refused to create a higher close.
I would like this setup a lot more if the RSI had gone oversold, but as a pattern trader my plan says to take the trade and with me only risking 45pips to potential gain 74 it was a no brainer.
Structure traders may want to check out price action on the hourly as we are consolidating at those highs with divergence on the RSI
HOWEVER, with New Zealand's ANZ business Conference at 9pm NY time, it may be worth proceeding with some caution.
GBPCHF Bat Pattern Retesting Previous Structure HIgh'sI've been a bull on this pair over the last month or so but now I've got a short opportunity on my radar looking at a retest of previous structure highs on the daily. As a counter trend trader it's important to realize that I'm not looking for the big long-term move, simply a brief correction.
If this correction rolls over more than expected there's a 2nd potential bat pattern down at our previous structure lows giving true trend continuation traders an excellent spot to get involved with an outstanding risk/reward.
*Had issues posting them together but check out my ideas for the daily view of this chart relating to my comments*
GBPCHF Bat Pattern at Daily Highs'* I tried to post another chart with this showing the advanced pattern, but think I messed up doing so. I'll keep trying but here's the daily view that was suppose to compliment my other chart** SORRY GUYS
I've been a bull on this pair over the last month or so but now I've got a short opportunity on my radar looking at a retest of previous structure highs on the daily. As a countertrend trader it's important to realize that I'm not looking for the big long-term move, simply a brief correction.
If this correction rolls over more than expected there's a 2nd potential bat pattern down at our previous structure lows giving true trend continuation traders an excellent spot to get involved with an outstanding risk/reward.