Alaska Airlines' Weight and Balance System GlitchAlaska Airlines ( NYSE:ALK ) faced a hiccup in its operations as flights were temporarily grounded due to an issue with the system responsible for calculating weight and balance. The incident, which affected both Alaska Airlines ( NYSE:ALK ) and its regional carrier Horizon Air, prompted swift action from the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and sparked concerns among passengers and investors alike.
The Glitch:
On a routine morning, Alaska Airlines ( NYSE:ALK ) encountered an unexpected obstacle during an upgrade to its weight and balance system. This essential component, crucial for ensuring flight safety, malfunctioned, prompting the airline to halt all departures. The ripple effect was felt across the aviation industry, causing disruptions in travel plans and triggering a flurry of activity both on social media and in financial markets.
FAA Intervention:
Recognizing the severity of the situation, the FAA swiftly responded by implementing a ground stop on Alaska Airlines' mainline departures. This precautionary measure, while necessary for ensuring passenger safety, underscored the gravity of the issue at hand. However, it's noteworthy that flights operated by SkyWest, a regional service provider, were exempted from the grounding, highlighting the localized nature of the problem.
Impact on Operations and Investors:
The temporary grounding sent shockwaves through Alaska Airlines' ( NYSE:ALK ) operations, leading to delays and inconvenience for passengers. While the airline assured travelers of efforts to minimize disruptions, the incident undoubtedly left a dent in its reputation for reliability. Investors, too, closely monitored the developments, with shares of Alaska Air Group ( NYSE:ALK ) initially dipping in response to the news before recovering some ground. The rollercoaster ride in stock prices reflected the uncertainty surrounding the incident and its potential ramifications for the company's bottom line.
Road to Recovery:
As Alaska Airlines ( NYSE:ALK ) navigates through the aftermath of the glitch, the focus now shifts to restoring normalcy in operations. The airline's commitment to addressing passenger concerns and swiftly resolving the technical issue is paramount in rebuilding trust and confidence among travelers. Additionally, enhancing system resilience and redundancy measures could mitigate the risk of similar incidents in the future, safeguarding both passenger safety and the company's reputation.
Alaskaair
Alaska Air Group: Double BottomOverview
Alaska Airlines is a subsidiary for Alaska Air Group. If you aren't familiar with the verbiage, this means that Alaska Air Group ( NYSE:ALK ) is the umbrella company that owns Alaska Airlines. In light of the Boeing ( NYSE:BA ) mishap that occurred yesterday in Oregon and in addition to the current trend on ALK's 1D chart, I believe ALK will correct to $30-31.
Technical Analysis
According to the 1D chart, ALK has been on the trajectory of a double bottom since July 2023. The last dip in the double bottom formation rests around $30-31 which I believe will approach sooner than expected due to ALK's grounding of an entire fleet of Boeing 737 MAX-9s. As long as nothing else negative comes to light, I believe ALK will begin its rise to $57 sometime after arriving around the second dip of the double bottom.
Market Psychology Speculations
I believe Boeing will catch most of the negative press but that doesn't mean Alaska Air Group is off the hook. Because ALK's subsidiary has also been in the headlines, I think the double bottom is going to accelerate. Alaska Airlines has received bad press twice in the last 12 months for narrowly avoiding aircraft-related catastrophes; the first concerning an off-duty pilot that attempted to cut off the engines mid-flight.
All that said, after the initial dust has settled, I believe the markets will forgive ALK and a potential recovery will begin. Kudos should be given for having the proper procedures in place that helped return both aircrafts back to the ground safely without incident. The next major factor that needs to be considered is how the grounding of an entire fleet will affect their balance sheets for the upcoming Q4 Earnings Call.
Fundamental Analysis
I will perform a fundamental analysis within the next few days. Due to market reactivity I don't believe a healthy balance sheet will cushion the share price until after the Q4 Earnings Release.
Alaska Airlines agrees to buy Hawaiian Airlines in $1.9 billion Key Takeaway
1. Alaska Airlines has agreed to acquire its rival Hawaiian Airlines in a deal valued at about $1.9 billion.
2. The combined company would be based in Seattle, where Alaska Airlines is headquartered, and led by its CEO, Ben Minicucci.
3. The airlines said they will aim to combine their resources while “maintaining” each of their respective brand identities.
Alaska Air Group has agreed to buy rival Hawaiian Airlines in a $1.9 billion deal, setting up another potential regulatory battle in the second proposed airline merger in less than two years.
Alaska would pay $18 a share for Hawaiian and would take on $900 million of its debt, the companies said Sunday. Shares of Hawaiian Airlines closed on Friday at $4.86, giving the company a market cap of about $250 million. They’re down nearly 53% this year.
The airline has struggled with challenges including the Maui wildfires, increased competition from Southwest, which has ramped up service in Hawaii in recent years, and a lagging recovery of travel to and from Asia after the pandemic. Hawaiian has posted net losses in all but one quarter since the start of 2020, while Alaska and other carriers have returned to more solid financial footing as the pandemic waned.
“What we saw here was a unique opportunity in time at the valuation that we saw Hawaiian at,” said Shane Tackett, Alaska Airlines’ CFO, in an interview. He said the deal would also enable the combined companies to become a “market leader” in the premium-travel Hawaii market.
Carriers have faced strong opposition from President Joe Biden’s Justice Department in their efforts to combine to better compete with larger rivals. Earlier this year, the DOJ won a lawsuit to break up a regional partnership in the Northeast between JetBlue Airways and American Airlines
The Justice Departments also sued to block JetBlue Airways proposed acquisition of discount carrier Spirit Airlines. A trial is expected to wrap up in the coming days.
Four airlines — American, United Delta, and Southwest — control about 80% of the U.S. market. Hawaiian and Alaska said they expect the transaction to close in 12 to 18 months, subject to approval by regulators and Hawaiian’s shareholders.
The Hawaiian deal is a major shift for Alaska. It operates Boeing
737s and it spent years whittling down Virgin’s fleet of Airbus planes to streamline its fleet. Purchasing Hawaiian would bring a complex mix of Boeing and Airbus jets, both narrow-body and wide-body planes, under Alaska’s roof.
“The Hawaiian brand will remain an important part of our home state with Honolulu becoming a strategic hub for the combined company and expanded service for Hawaii residents,” Hawaiian CEO Peter Ingram said on the call Sunday.
The combination will allow Alaska Airlines to triple nonstop or one-stop flights from the Hawaiian islands to destinations throughout North America. It will also bring Hawaiian’s long-haul flying to and from Asia under Alaska’s umbrella. Hawaiian last year struck a deal to fly converted-cargo planes for Amazon.
Alaska Airlines said the deal should bolster earnings within the next two years with at least $235 million of “run-rate synergies.”
Alaska Air Group (NYSE: $ALK) To Continue Upwards Action! ❄️Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services. The company operates through three segments: Mainline, Regional, and Horizon. It flies to approximately 120 destinations throughout North America. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington.
The (Overconfident) Virgin Airlines The Overconfident Virgin Airlines
(Flying High)
History of "our" mysterious "Arctic Airlines" started unbelievably in the 1930’s when "someone" (ET?) came back to the airline and opened a liquor store in Alaska and the airline somehow made money flying liquor to remote Alaskan communities of maybe Eskimos who lived under one of the best spots on earth to "see" the Northern Lights?! Today Alaska Air Cargo still has one of the most extensive air cargo operations on the west coast its very surprising how much "air cargo" comes from Asia though Alaska?!
This was was (however) the 1930’s and the airlines was trying to stay in business during the “the Great Depression” "aftermath" (that didn't involve corrupt algorithmic trading schemes praying on "individuals" wanting more)… back then the airline would and maybe would do “anything?” to stay in the air.. including transport liquor to people living and working in the far far North Arctic lights?
Very very recently (by comparison to the 1930’s Great Depression), Alaska Airlines “purchased or consumed” a smaller San Francisco “operated" business of the well known “Virgin Airlines” with the familiar label “Virgin” on all their airplanes.
(the airline isn’t really a “virgin”...)
The CEO of Alaska was a bit egotistical and even decided to make the “costly” decision of stripping and repainting all the “Virgins”. In some sense Alaska chose NOT TO ALLOW “diversity” and paint instead a “eskimos” as the “leader of the new airline industry”. The company maybe felt more interested in “airline homogeneity” then “airline diversity”. So the “Virgin” disappeared. And into "thin air" almost overnight the airlines “stripped” all the logos from "their" airplanes. The “pink” “virgin” airplanes still flew for Alaska and looked really hilarious however the words “More to Love” where painted over for the price of maybe about $200,000...
According to the airlines (Alaskan) history, this wasn’t the first time the Alaska Airlines purchased a “stylish” or “in-vogue” brand name, in fact "in the beginning" there were too many airlines in Anchorage Alaska and not enough demand to support them and thats how Alaska got "big" perhaps in the 1980's? However, this was 1934, when the “president of the company” sold the “name of the game” to “Star Air Service” perhaps a much better name but somehow Alaska Airlines survived?
Today’s stock price of Alaska Airlines is VERY high.
In an internal note to Alaska employees, CEO Brad Tilden said that passenger demand is currently about 85% below normal levels. As a result, he wrote, “our cash burn rate is currently $430 million per month, or over $14 million per day.” these numbers DO NOT MAKE SENSE.. the company makes ONLY about $700 Million A YEAR (according to a recent “Income Statement”) for an entire YEAR but looses $430 a month according to the “boss?”????
The graph you are seeing looks at the On Balance Volume as well as the Volume Price Trend which is a multiple and sum of volume. In some sense "volume" is more important then "price". There is also a money flow oscillator at the bottom which includes both the volume and price over 24 month osculations.
Alaska has given everyone a “fairly pleasant and comfortable” ride at least from a “stock market perspective since about 2009.
Alaska didn’t see “any” major problems until AFTER about 2017 and this was the first "really big problems" for the Arctic? and in the recent history of the company. The real "first PRICE loss of altitude" was in 2009 to 2007. Alaska started to become a medium sized company around 1981’s and a “large” company after about 1993’s and an “international player” around 2009.
We will likely “not know” the truth about the airlines “affairs” until about November of 2020?
(Thanksgiving?)
Hope this helps you!
Asher