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Alexeywolf

Ethereum. Daily Timeframe. Seller initiativeHey traders and investors! 📍 Context • Market phase: Sideways range • Current control: Seller initiative 📊 Key Price Action: The price broke above the upper boundary of the range (2738) with a buyer KC candle, touching the 50% retracement level (2874) of the last weekly seller initiative (1). However, the seller absorbed the buyer’s candle and pushed the price back inside the range (2), forming an IKC candle (3) — the highest volume candle within the seller’s initiative. This sequence presents three bearish signals that support a potential continuation to the downside. 🎯 Trade Idea Likely scenario: price tests the lower boundary of the range at 3,323. 🔸 In the meantime, it’s reasonable to look for short setups on lower timeframes within the current seller initiative. 🔸 If price reaches 3,323 and valid buyer patterns appear, this zone may offer a good opportunity for long entries. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
DXY. Midterm Analysis of the US Dollar IndexHey traders and investors! 📍 Context On the monthly timeframe, the market was in a range. The price broke above the upper boundary and was long supported around the 101.080 level. This level was repeatedly tested by sellers and now appears to have been broken. 📊 Monthly targets: 89.20 and 88.300. 🔎 Analysis Why might the downward movement continue? Daily TF On the daily chart, we can see that on the day buyers returned to the 101.080 level, the main volume was accumulated in a buyer candle right at and slightly above the level. This suggests the level was defended by sellers. This indicates they are currently in control, and the decline may continue. Let’s look at the nearest potential buyer activity levels. 11-day TF The price has once again broken downward out of the range. Below, there is a small consolidation area formed during the previous upward movement. Its boundaries are: upper boundary — 97.385, lower boundary — 94.589. 🎯 Trade Idea: Rebounds from the upper boundary at 97.385 are possible, but overall the priority remains with a move into this range and towards the 95.00–94.589 zone. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by AlexeyWolf
GOLD 4HLocal range near top of broader sideways (gray lines = local range). Seller broke down from it. Price now in buyer zone — possible buyer reaction. Just below: a gap. Seller targets: 3271, 3245. Conservative shorts: watch for buyer activity + seller defending local range breakout (3333). Note: buyer initiative still active on daily TF (!). For longs, better to wait near 3245–3271 and look for bullish patterns. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
GOLD — Daily & 4H Timeframes📍 GOLD — Daily & 4H Timeframes On the daily timeframe, gold is targeting the 3435 level. On the 4-hour chart, buyers attempted to break out of the sideways range, but the price was pulled back inside. A second attempt also failed — only the wick extended beyond the range, where the key volume is located. It’s likely that the price will test the buyer zone again (blue rectangle on the chart), which also contains a price gap. The boundaries of the sideways ranges are marked with black lines. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
EURUSD — Daily & 4H TimeframesThe correction continues on EURUSD. Both the daily and 4H timeframes show sideways ranges, with seller initiative in control. The boundaries of the sideways ranges are marked with black lines. However, sellers appear weak — the price has been stuck for several hours inside a buyer attack bar near the upper boundary of the range. Now, sellers are attempting to absorb this buyer bar. If considering long setups, it's safer to look for patterns near the daily level of 1.13126, or from the lower boundary of the 4H range. Another option is to wait for a confirmed breakout above the range. Searching for buys in the upper part of the current range is risky. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
2
Where to Look Today: 5 Hot Crypto Sectors with Real UtilityHello traders and investors! These five sectors are seen as the most promising areas for crypto market development. Each represents real blockchain applications, not just speculation: they enable simpler, faster, and cheaper access to finance, data, and computing power. Based on them, you can build a diversified crypto portfolio. Each sector offers unique drivers—from real-world assets to AI. This selection helps you navigate trends and pick promising tokens according to your strategy and investment horizon. 1. Real-World Assets (RWA) What it is: Real assets—such as bonds, real estate, or commodities—are digitized and issued as tokens on the blockchain. These tokens can be bought, sold, used as collateral, or integrated into DeFi applications. Why it’s growing: Institutional players (funds, corporations, DAOs) are seeking reliable yield and transparency. Over $7 billion has already been invested in tokenized US Treasuries. Top tokens: ONDO: Token of Ondo Finance: offers access to tokenized funds, including U.S. Treasuries from BlackRock. CFG: Token of Centrifuge: connects real assets (invoices, equipment, real estate) to DeFi, allowing companies to receive financing. POLYX: Token of Polymesh: a blockchain specialized in securities tokens, with a focus on regulation and compliance. RIO: Token of Realio: merges traditional assets (e.g., real estate) with DeFi and private equity potential. 2. Ethereum Layer-2 / Rollups What it is: Layer-2 networks (Optimistic and ZK-rollups) process transactions separately and then send them to Ethereum in batches. This lowers load, speeds up the network, and reduces fees. Why it’s growing: Layer-2 scales Ethereum without compromising security. Transactions become cheaper, dApps faster, and startups/corporates can build without overloading the base layer. Top tokens: ARB: Token of Arbitrum, the largest Optimistic Rollup network. OP: Token of Optimism, which is being integrated into various partner projects and DAOs. zkSync: Layer-2 platform based on ZK-rollups, focused on scalability and privacy. Native token: ZK. STRK: Token of StarkNet, one of the most advanced ZK-based solutions. 3. Restaking & EigenLayer Ecosystem What it is: If you’ve already staked ETH, you can reuse it by delegating it to EigenLayer, which lends it to other protocols. If they act honestly, you earn extra yield. This is restaking. Why it’s growing: One ETH can now generate multiple streams of income. Restaking increases capital efficiency and supports a new ecosystem of reliable services that don’t need their own security. Total Value Locked (TVL) has already exceeded $15 billion, and the EIGEN token has just launched. Top tokens: EIGEN: Native token of EigenLayer. ETHFI: Ether.fi platform issues eETH and enables restaking without transferring ETH custody to third parties. PUFFER: Protocol offering pufETH—a token for restaking in EigenLayer. It features enhanced protection from price manipulation and MEV (Maximum Extractable Value) front-running, focusing on security and restaking yield optimization. RSETH: Token from KelpDAO earned via restaking through EigenLayer. It's a liquid equivalent of a staked token, usable in DeFi apps while your ETH keeps working. 4. Yield Tokenization What it is: Splitting an asset into two parts: principal and future yield. This lets you sell or buy just the yield the asset will generate. Why it’s growing: It brings flexibility to financial planning. Users can lock in returns or buy discounted yield. A bond-like market within DeFi emerges. Traders, funds, and DAOs benefit from flexible and strategic income management. Top tokens: PENDLE: Sector leader; supports yield trading from crypto assets (e.g., stETH) and tokenized RWAs. Enables separating "principal" and "interest" to trade them independently—like selling a bond coupon without selling the bond itself. ELEMENT: Allows trading fixed and variable yields. Users can split a yield-bearing token (like an LSD) into two parts—one entitled to yield, one not. SWIVEL: Designed for institutional clients: supports KYC/AML and packages deals as fixed-rate, long-term bonds, easily understood by funds and treasuries. Works with crypto assets (e.g., staking and DeFi tokens) but presents them in traditional finance format. 5. AI & Decentralized Compute What it is : Projects at the intersection of AI and blockchain: decentralized rendering, GPU power exchange, model training, and data sourcing. Why it’s growing: Decentralized compute enables AI scaling without centralized cloud dependence. It boosts privacy and global access to AI infrastructure. Top tokens: FET: Fetch.AI: platform for creating "smart agents" — AI that can autonomously negotiate, buy or sell services and data. Entirely blockchain-based and mediator-free. Promising for automation in logistics, smart cities, and data economy. TAO: Token of Bittensor: a network where thousands of participants train and share AI models. TAO is used for payments, rewards, and governance. Think of it as "Bitcoin for neural networks." RNDR: Render Network connects users with spare GPU power to those who need rendering. A decentralized cloud-rendering system paid in tokens. In demand for 3D, film, and metaverses. GRT: The Graph helps find and structure data from decentralized apps. Like Google for Web3—essential for the growing Web3 ecosystem. Each of these sectors reflects real utility and demand for blockchain innovation. Following them may help you form a future-proof, high-conviction crypto portfolio. Wishing you profitable trades!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by AlexeyWolf
WTI Crude: Bears Target 60.549 USDHey traders and investors! 🔹 Crude Oil — 1D / 4H 📍 Context Daily (1D): clear short trend; price capped below 65.40 USD. 4-Hour (4H): sideways range — its boundaries are marked by black lines on the chart — with seller initiative in control. Higher-time-frame levels reinforce the bearish bias. 🔎 Analysis Sellers keep the upper hand on 4H. The daily shows no strong buyer bars, sustaining downward pressure. If price retests the IKC zone and prints bearish confirmation (high-volume seller bar or buyer absorption), the odds of breaking 60.549 USD increase. 🎯 Trade Idea Setup: hunt for short patterns inside the IKC range. Target: 60.549 USD (range low). Confirmation: pattern on M15–H1 + seller-side volume. 📌 Takeaway Bears remain in control. Wait for a trigger inside the IKC zone and lower-TF confirmation before joining the move toward 60.549 USD. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Bitcoin is approaching a “Golden Cross”🚀 Bitcoin is approaching a “Golden Cross” (the 50-day moving average is about to cross above the 200-day) What does that mean, and what might come next? 📍 What’s happening right now BTC is squeezed in a $101 K – $107 K range. The 50-day SMA is racing toward the 200-day SMA; the bullish crossover (the “Golden Cross”) is expected within the week. On Deribit, more than 60 % of the 30 May option series are $110 K call options. When traders buy these calls, market-makers hedge by buying spot BTC. The nearer the price gets to $110 K, the more spot BTC they have to buy. 📈 How the market behaved before The 10-day chart shows the 50-day (blue) and 200-day (orange) SMAs. In the last three cycles, a bullish Golden Cross appeared 50–90 days after a bearish “Death Cross.” Each time, the cross formed inside a buyer zone (marked with blue rectangles). In the 2nd and 3rd cycles, price never came back to retest that buyer zone. Right now, the buyer zone is already in place, the Golden Cross is only about $300 away, and 50 days have passed since the last Death Cross. Some traders seem to be buying early, betting on a break to a new all-time high (ATH). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
1
Watching 3265 — The Key Level for Gold BuyersHey traders and investors! 📊 GOLD / W + D 📍 Context On the weekly timeframe: a seller candle with increased volume but no result — the close is above 3201. This gives buyers a chance to take over the initiative. On the daily timeframe: the buyer has brought the price back into the range (lower boundary at 3201), which also keeps the door open for bullish scenarios. 🎯 Trade Idea Consider long positions after the price holds above 3265 Potential targets: 3435 and 3500 📌 Conclusion Bulls have a chance — it's important to watch the price behavior around 3265 and look for long setups on lower timeframes. For example, a retest of 3265 after a breakout and absorption of the retest candle by the buyer, similar to what happened at the 3167 level on the hourly timeframe.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Ethereum: +80% in a Month — What’s Next?Hey traders and investors! The price of ETH has surged by more than 80% over the past 30 days, but the momentum is starting to slow. To understand the current position, we’re using the magic of timeframe switching and focusing on the 15-day chart. Key Observations 1️⃣ A sideways range (consolidation) has formed on the 15D chart, with anchor points 1–6 (see chart). 2️⃣ The last major initiative came from sellers (move from point 5 to 6), and it includes some key features: The initiative pushed below the lower boundary of the range — $2111. The highest volume occurred on the last bar of this move (IKC bar). The IKC bar absorbed liquidity not only below point 4 of the range but also below point 0 — the origin of the price move that preceded the formation of the range. 3️⃣ Buyers began developing their initiative by absorbing the sellers’ IKC bar, pushing price back into the range, and forming a buyer zone (blue rectangle on the chart, with the upper boundary at $1957). 4️⃣ Buyers have already reached the first target — $2717 (point 1 level). What Does It Mean? The rapid rally may slow down — the market likely needs some consolidation or a pullback. A correction toward $2111 or even $1957 is possible. Both zones are attractive for medium-term long setups. The medium-term bullish scenario remains valid as long as price stays above $2111. Trade Outlook 📈 Long zones: $2111, $1957, or after a breakout and hold above $2717 🎯 Targets: $3744, then $4100 📉 Shorts are currently not justified — sellers show no real strength Be ready for a potential “pause” in the rally and watch buyer activity — they currently hold the initiative (!). This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Bitcoin: Sellers Still Holding Their GroundHey traders and investors! On the daily and weekly timeframes – sideways ranges (boundaries marked in black on the chart). The current initiative is from the seller. 📌 Yesterday, the seller made an effort to push the price down — this shouldn't be ignored. 📊 Targets on the chart: Weekly TF: 96,500 Daily TF: 89,256 10-day TF: 99,475 (upper boundary of the buyer zone) Although I expect the price to continue moving up, it's not advisable to look for buy setups until clear signs of buyer strength appear. 🚨 Selling is risky (details in the post about the 10-day TF). 👀 Observing. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
BTC - Ready for a breakout?Hey traders and investors! On the 10-day chart, an intriguing situation is unfolding. Sellers tested the Key Candle of the previous accumulation breakout — level 89,256, and the buyer’s initiative resumed. Then, a manipulation (false breakout) occurred at the 89,256 test level. Volumes reveal the narrative: sellers sold off at high volumes, while buyers absorbed on declining volumes. Now, a buyer zone has formed below, with the upper boundary at 99,475. Just a few steps away from the ATH. A pullback is always possible, but for now, there are no signs of weakness (even a pullback to 89,256 wouldn't disrupt the bullish structure). Now, the main question: 💡 How far up? +30,000? This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Ripple: Potential for Growth!Hey traders and investors! 🚀 Many crypto assets have reached their local targets. I can’t predict what will happen next, but I can track how new candles shift the probability of continued growth or decline. Ripple has strong growth potential. Both the weekly and daily timeframes show sideways ranges (marked by black lines), with the buyer’s initiative active. Decision candles (IKC)* on both timeframes interacted with the lower boundary of the buyer’s initiative. A buyer zone has formed on the weekly timeframe near the lower boundary — marked by a blue rectangle on the chart. With targets aligning on both timeframes, there’s 25% to first target. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). * Decision candles — candles with increased volume inside initiatives. IKC — the highest-volume candle within initiatives inside a sideways range Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Waiting for Altseason?Hey traders and investors! 🚀 Overview of the Altcoin Market without BTC & ETH (TOTAL3) 📊 Volume Analysis of TOTAL3: Previous POC: $1.7 trillion — the level where volumes accumulated after the last rally and correction. Current POC: $820 billion — the level where major volumes have concentrated over the past 5 weeks. This is 10% below the current market cap. To the Previous POC: There's still 19% potential upside to reach the previous POC. 📈 What Does It Mean? The shift in POC downwards suggests buyers are active at $820 billion, potentially forming a new support zone and a point for continued growth. 💬 What do you think — a signal for growth or just calm before another drop? Share your thoughts in the comments! Wishing you profitable trades!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3
by AlexeyWolf
Choosing the Right TimeframeHey traders and investors! Selecting the right timeframe can reveal a clear picture of price movement. But don’t forget — the higher timeframe always has priority. 🔹 On the 12H, Bitcoin is in a sideways range. The move from 78,500 to 95,000 could’ve been anticipated — a buyer Decision candle (IKC) formed at the lower boundary of the range gave a strong signal. The boundaries of the range are marked with black lines on the chart. What about now? 🔸 No signs of strong selling. 🔸 The last Decision candle (IKC) at the top of the range belongs to the buyer. 🔸 The buyer has already taken out its high. 📉 For shorts — we need seller strength, ideally with price moving below 91,660. 📈 Longs can be considered on lower timeframes, aiming for their local targets. Not every timeframe gives clear context. What timeframes do you use to analyze and find trade setups? This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
USDCAD Monthly – Seller Initiative in PlayHey traders and investors! Take a look at the monthly chart of USDCAD. The price has been in a sideways range for quite some time, and the seller initiative is currently active. 📌 At the upper boundary of the range, a seller zone (red box) has formed, along with a seller-side Decision bar (IKC), which has now hit the buyer zone (blue box). ⚠️ With this structure, it makes more sense to look for short setups. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Gold — Buyer Power or Pause?The monthly candle closed as a strong buyer candle with significant volume. This shows strong interest from both buyers and sellers at current levels. Yesterday, on the daily timeframe, a seller-side IKC appeared (IKC or decision candle — the highest-volume candle within initiatives inside a sideways range). That puts the current long targets into question — we now need to see a clear show of buyer strength. 📉 The price is currently near the 50% level of the weekly initiative — 3228.382, which could attract buyers. Below that, daily support zones are marked on the chart at 3193 and 3167, where the buyer may regain initiative. 🔎 To consider long entries, we need to see: • Buyer strength, and • Price returning above 3260. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Bitcoin Update: Sell or Wait?Hey traders and investors! An interesting setup on Bitcoin. On the 1H timeframe, the market is in a sideways range. The current initiative belongs to the sellers. A clear target is marked on the chart. We also have a seller Decision candle, and a seller zone has formed within its range — a strong signal for short setups. However, on the daily timeframe, the buyers are still in control, and yesterday’s session closed with increased volume. On the other hand, Friday also showed a volume spike — but without any meaningful result, and the same happened yesterday. Sell or not? That’s the question... The 94,900 level might give us the answer. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Gold in a Sideways RangeHello traders and investors! The 3283 level, which was the sellers’ target on the daily timeframe, was confidently defended by buyers. The attacking seller’s candle at this level showed high volume but was absorbed by buyers. On the 1H timeframe, the market is moving sideways, with active buyer initiative. The boundaries of the range are marked on the chart with black lines. It is reasonable to expect the price to move toward the upper boundary of the range at 3363–3370. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
CRYPTO. Buying opportunitiesHello everyone! Let's take a look at the following crypto assets. They have formed patterns that increase the likelihood of price growth. Buyer zones have formed on all assets (green rectangles on the charts) and buyer's current vectors. The nearest targets are indicated on the charts: 1. BTCUSDT Potential long target: 102,724.38. +2.94% 2. ADAUSDT Potential long target: 1.1819. +11.63% 3. AAVEUSDT Potential long target: 390.15. +24.67% 4. LINKUSDT Potential long target: 25.99. +19.58% 5. AVAXUSDT Potential long target: 45.05. +14.68% 6. TRXUSDT Potential long target: 0.2596. +9.26% Wishing you all successful trades and a profitable day!
by AlexeyWolf