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Alexeywolf

A New Approach to Market Analysis: How IA Simplifies TradingClarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions Approaches to Market Analysis and the Challenges Traders Face When we first start trading and investing, we encounter various methods for predicting price movements. Over time—and with enough persistence, patience, and experience—we find the approach that helps us make profitable trades. Among the most popular are oscillators and channel indicators, Dow Theory, Elliott Waves, Fibonacci levels, supply and demand, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), Market Auction Theory, and concepts like Inner Circle Trader/Smart Money Concept (ICT/SMC). Many traders combine elements from different methods to build a strategy that works best for them. However, the road to consistent profits is rarely easy—most face similar challenges. 🔹 Lack of Knowledge and Experience Complexity of Technical Analysis: Too many tools, conflicting signals on different timeframes, and unclear logic can be overwhelming. No Clear Trading Plan: Many traders rely on intuition or others' advice instead of having a structured strategy. Poor Risk Management: Ignoring capital and risk controls leads to losses. Emotional Decision-Making: Fear and greed get in the way of sound decisions. 🔹 Time Constraints Trading Takes Time: Analyzing charts, scanning assets, and finding entry points all require time and focus. Slow Learning Curve: Gaining consistent results takes years of practice and study. Can Trading Be Made Simpler and More Effective? ________________________________________ A New Perspective: The Concept of Initiative Analysis (IA) Today I’d like to present Initiative Analysis —a concept that: ✅ Simplifies how you understand technical analysis ✅ Speeds up learning through a structured approach ✅ Reduces time spent on daily analysis ✅ Provides elements of a working trading strategy What is IA? Imagine looking at your chart and instead of seeing just candles, you see blocks of directional movement—called initiatives. An initiative is the action of buyers or sellers that causes price movement. It is limited by both price range and time, which helps clearly identify who dominates the market at any given moment. • If buyers dominate, price rises. These phases are shown with blue zones. • If sellers dominate, price falls. These are shown with red zones. This visual method allows you to not just see price movements, but also the underlying battle between buyers and sellers as it unfolds. How IA Differs from Traditional Analysis To understand how IA stands out, think about the classic tools traders use: • Candle patterns (e.g., hammer, doji, engulfing) • Chart figures (e.g., head and shoulders, double top, flag) • Indicators (e.g., oscillators, moving averages, channels) • Elliott Waves, Market Profile, Order Flow • Smart Money Concepts (ICT/SMC) These tools often focus on outcomes and results. Some attempt to capture the "fight" between buyers and sellers within fixed time intervals (like hourly or daily candles). Elliott Wave Theory, for example, offers a cyclical interpretation through structured wave sequences. IA, by contrast, focuses on identifying and visualizing real-time initiative without forcing a pre-defined structure. Another key distinction: IA allows for initiative shifts within a range—a buyer-to-seller transition can occur without breaking range boundaries, as often happens in sideways markets. This new method offers a fresh lens for viewing market dynamics. Instead of dividing charts by time or volume, candles are grouped by initiative blocks, each with its own duration. Comparing these blocks helps you "read" the market—who is gaining strength and who is losing it. Even more importantly, this approach can help predict shifts in market control and estimate potential price targets. Look at these charts 📉 Trend When one side controls the market strongly, we see a single background color in price ranges. In this case, it makes sense to look for trades in the direction of the move. But it’s important to check the higher timeframe for confirmation (!). In the chart: A blue target line means a bullish target (thin line = 1H, thick = 1D). A red target line means a bearish target (same logic for thickness). Targets are calculated using a custom method that includes the initiative range, candle structure inside the initiative, and traded volumes. Once a candle crosses the target line, the target is considered reached. If a new target appears, it will be shown. If the price leaves the buyer zone, the blue target disappears until the price returns. Same rule for seller zones. 📉 Sideways Market (Range) If the chart background changes between red and blue in one price range, it means the market is in consolidation (sideways) — temporary balance between buyers and sellers. In this case, targets also switch: blue = buy target, red= sell target. 🔀 Transitional Phase Sometimes, two price zones may appear at the same time — one above (buyers), one below (sellers). This is a transition period. It may turn into a sideways range or develop into a trend. During transitions: It’s better to avoid trading. Check who controlled the price before, and who is in control on the higher timeframe (this is always important). For example, if sellers were in control before, and the higher timeframe confirms it, sellers are likely to stay dominant. However, a short-term bounce or trend reversal is possible. With IA You Can: ✅ Identify buyer/seller initiative in real time ✅ Anticipate initiative shifts ✅ Visualize control zones and key levels ✅ Compare strength between buyers and sellers ✅ Forecast potential price targets IA lets you objectively assess market dynamics, identify the dominant side, and estimate the most probable direction. ________________________________________ How IA Helps Solve Key Trading Challenges 📌 Complex Analysis → Simplified visual zones make market context easy to read—even for beginners. 📌 Lack of Strategy → IA covers 3 of the 5 essential trading questions (direction, entry zone, and target), and can be combined with other tools or techniques to answer the remaining two: entry timing and stop-loss placement: Trade direction: Buy in a buyer block, sell in a seller block. Entry zone: Buy below 50% of a buyer block, sell above 50% of a seller block. Profit-taking: Estimate target using visualized zones. While IA gives market context, final decisions still depend on patterns, volume, and risk management. 📌 Time Management → Visual structure saves hours of scanning and comparing charts. “Now I scan for trade setups in 15 minutes, just by checking the visual layout. Before, I’d spend hours deciding if an asset was trending or in a range.” — trader review. 📌 Learning Speed → Think of it like driving: learning on a modern automatic car is much easier than on a 50-year-old manual. You don’t need to know how the transmission works—just how to drive. Same with IA. It’s not an autopilot, but a powerful navigator that helps you orient in the market. IA simplifies analysis, but the trader is still responsible for decisions, risk, and mindset. Fewer tools = faster learning. You don’t need to know how indicators are built—just how to use them. IA focuses your attention on what matters. It reduces noise and highlights structure. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts IA introduces a new way of analyzing markets—not just reading the result, but watching the fight unfold in real time. It helps traders make more confident decisions, simplifies analysis, and adds structure to the chaos of the market. Clarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions. If this approach speaks to you—share the article, leave a comment, and stay tuned for more insights in upcoming posts!
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by AlexeyWolf
BTC. Weekly Candle Hints at New ATHHey traders and investors! The closing of the weekly candle increases the likelihood of updating the all-time high (ATH). Weekly Timeframe Analysis On the weekly chart, the price has formed a range with boundaries: Lower boundary: 89,256 Upper boundary: 109,588 The weekly candle with a large selling wick within the seller's vector 5-6 dropped below the lower boundary of the range (89,256) but closed above this level. At the same time, this candle had the highest volume in 2025 (!). The key volume of this candle is concentrated below 89,256 (!) in the 87,000-84,000 range (highlighted by a blue band on the chart). Another important fact is that the 87,000-84,000 range is within the key candle of the penultimate buyer's impulse on the weekly timeframe (!). This candle had an even larger volume (KC on the chart), which increases the significance of this zone. The price has reached the level of 50% (78676) of the last impulse on the monthly TF (!). 4 key signals (!) indicate a higher probability of updating the ATH: the candle closing above 89,256, the concentration of volume in the 87,000-84,000 range, and the presence of even greater volume in the key candle of the previous impulse. Within the range, the current buyer's vector is 6-7, with potential targets at 99,550, 102,500, and 109,588. To refine entry points, let's analyze the hourly timeframe. Hourly Timeframe Analysis The hourly chart shows a strong buyer impulse. The key candle (KC on the chart) is highlighted on the chart. The priority zone for identifying buy patterns is within the key candle range or near 50% of the buyer's impulse, as this level often serves as a support point after a strong movement. It represents a balance between buyers and sellers, where major market participants may show interest in continuing the trend, which corresponds to the 91,200 – 85,100 range (marked with a rectangle on the chart). I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
BTCUSDT. We can start looking for medium-term purchases.Hey traders and investors! Looks like price is close to downside targets as expected in the linked post. I assume that the most capitalized coins have not yet reached their short targets (for example BTC, BNB, SOL). This means that there will probably be further price reductions. The price has almost reached the level of 50% of the last impulse on the monthly TF. We can start looking for medium-term purchases. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
DXY. Attempt to change the trendHey traders and investors! In a recent analysis of the AUDUSD currency pair (available in related posts), I mentioned a high probability of a reversal forming on the weekly timeframe. This conclusion was also supported by the situation on the daily timeframe. Currently, a similar situation is observed with the US Dollar Index. This review illustrates the relationship between different timeframes, aiding in making better decisions in asset analysis and entry point identification. 1D Timeframe The US Dollar Index (DXY) is in a downtrend on the daily timeframe after breaking down from a consolidation range. The boundaries of this range are marked by black lines on the chart. A key level protecting the breakout from the range is 106.957, which marks the beginning of the last seller's impulse. At the start of this impulse, a seller's zone formed (red rectangle on the chart). At the end of the impulse, there was a buyer's bar with increased volume, indicating buyer interest at these price levels. The volume in this bar is concentrated in its upper part (blue line on the chart), suggesting potential seller interest. Key Levels on 1D Timeframe: Key resistance (start of the last seller's impulse): 106.957 50% of the last impulse: 106.435 Last impulse low: 105.913 Trading Recommendations: Selling: Look for selling patterns near resistance levels, especially around 106.957. Buying: Currently, there are no conditions for buying (bearish trend). Buyers need to consolidate above 106.957 to change market dynamics and create opportunities for buying patterns. Now let's analyze a higher timeframe to understand potential downward targets and obstacles. In my opinion, the 11-day timeframe shows the situation best. 11D Timeframe On the 11-day timeframe, the price is moving within a sideways range, with the upper boundary at 106.952 (close to the daily level of 106.957) and the lower boundary at 99.099. The last realized vector in the range is a buyer's impulse 7-8. The key bar of this impulse (highest volume) is located in its middle (marked as KC on the chart). The price broke above the upper boundary of the range during this impulse. However, the seller returned the price into the range, forming a seller's zone above the upper boundary (red rectangle on the chart). This seller's zone corresponds to the daily range. All of this appears as manipulation (false breakout) of the upper boundary of the range. The current seller's vector is 8-9, with a potential target of 99.807 (99.099). Obstacles for sellers include the key bar of the buyer's impulse, inside of which is the 50% retracement of the last impulse. I expect the first buyer reaction (long bar on the 11D timeframe) after the price declines to the range of 105.112 - 104.843. Thus, the 11-day timeframe supports the conclusion on the daily timeframe about the advisability of searching for short positions. Similarly, one can analyze a smaller timeframe, for example, the hourly, to look for short entry patterns. Key Levels on 11D Timeframe: Upper boundary of the range: 106.952 50% of the last buyer's impulse: 104.843 First target for selling (PT Short): 99.807 Lower boundary of the range: 99.099 I wish you profitable trades!
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by AlexeyWolf
USDJPY. The price is at a key level – shorts might be relevant!Hey traders and investors! An interesting situation in the currency pair. The price has returned below the upper boundary of the range at 149.4. Is all the traded volume above this level fueling further price decline? There is a lot of volume up there... We are watching how the price interacts with 148.644. A breakout of this level by sellers and its defense would be a strong signal to look for selling opportunities. Potential target: 142-139. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Potential Buy AreasHey traders and investors! There are no significant changes in the cryptocurrency market. Some altcoins have dropped to interesting levels on the weekly timeframe, making them potential buying opportunities. But when will the growth start? It might take 11 months for the price to reach the target (see related post). I assume that the most capitalized coins have not yet reached their short targets (for example BTC, BNB, SOL). This means that there will probably be further price reductions. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
AUDUSD. Medium-term analysisHey traders and investors! It might be time to look for buying opportunities in the Australian dollar Weekly Timeframe Analysis The Australian Dollar (AUD) against the US Dollar (USD) has been in a sideways range since January 2023 (point 4 was formed). Range Boundaries: Upper Boundary: 0.71578. Lower Boundary: 0.61702 Range Vector Analysis The last realized range vector 6-7 was a seller's vector, which broke through the lower boundary of the range (0.61702). The weekly volumes of this vector are concentrated at the end of October - early November. Above the 0.65124 level, three weekly bars with increased volume are concentrated. A buyer's vector 7-8 is now forming, with a potential target of 0.69426. In the emerging buyer's vector, there are three bars with increased volume, which may indicate buyer interest at these price levels. The first resistance on the buyer's path on the weekly TF is the level of 0.65124, as above it, volumes are concentrated in the seller's vector, and this price level is slightly below the 50% mark of the last seller's vector. Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily timeframe, the price has broken through the upper boundary of the range 0.63308, which formed in January. Range Boundaries: Upper Boundary: 0.63308. Lower Boundary: 0.60878 Range Vector Analysis The last realized vector 9-10 was a buyer's vector. The volumes are concentrated in the upper part of the vector. Note the daily bars on February 7 and 12, when the seller tried to start the implementation of their vector 10-11 with increased volume. The buyer absorbed these attempts and, on decreasing volume, broke through the upper boundary of the range 0.63308. Conclusions Buying (buying patterns) should be considered as long as the price remains above the upper boundary of the range on the daily TF - 0.63308 (priority option). This idea aligns with the implementation of the buyer's vector on the weekly TF. Selling (selling patterns) is risky, as the buyer's vector is active on the weekly TF, and the price has exited the range upwards on the daily TF. Even if the seller returns the price to the range on the daily TF, volumes under the lower boundary of the range may trigger a buyer's reaction. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Gold. Daily and hourly TFHey traders and investors! On the daily timeframe, another buyer's impulse, which has not yet been completed (waiting for a short bar). Three bars with increased volume are at the bottom of the impulse, below 2,806. The last two daily bars have decreasing volume. On the hourly timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range. The current seller's vector is 5-6, with a potential target of 2,859.975. Buying Strategies Buying (long) setups should be considered from the lower levels of the range at 2,859.975 – 2,858. On the daily timeframe, given the current situation, buying opportunities can be looked for below the close of the last bar with increased volume – 2,814.710 Selling Strategies Looking for selling (short) setups is risky, but if desired, it is reasonable to do so from the upper levels of the hourly range at 2,873.340 - 2,882. Alternatively, below 2,858, when the seller breaks out of the range downward and confirms this breakout. I wish you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
BTCUSDT. Daily and Hourly TFHey traders and investors! On the daily timeframe, the price is in the middle of the range. The current seller's vector is 13-14, with a potential target of 91,231. On the hourly timeframe, the price is below the lower boundary of the range. The current buyer's vector is 8-9, with a potential target of 100,777. Selling Strategies Selling (short) setups should be considered from the upper levels of the range: - For the hourly timeframe: 100,777 and 102,500. Alternatively, below 96,150, when the seller breaks out of the range downward and confirms this breakout. - For the daily timeframe: 102,500 – 109,588. Buying Strategies Buying (long) setups should be considered from the lower levels of the range: - On the hourly timeframe, the price is currently in this zone. However, the lower boundary of the hourly range has been traded through. Looking for buy setups below 99,149 is risky, while above 99,149, the risk-reward ratio may not be favorable until the potential target is reached (100,777). - On the daily timeframe, key levels to consider for buying are 91,231 – 89,256. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
EURUSD. Daily Timeframe AnalysisHey traders and investors! The price has formed a sideways range. Sideways Range Boundaries: • Upper boundary: 1.06300 USD. • Lower boundary: 1.03319 USD. Movement Vectors in the Range The beginning of the last seller's sub-impulse (within the seller's impulse 4-5 in the range) is marked at 1.04584, which is near the 50% level (1.04271) of the last seller's impulse (vector 4-5 in the range). Buyers showed strength near the lower boundary, forming a buyer's zone (green rectangle on the chart), which may serve as support for further upward movement. The current buyer's vector is 5-6, with a potential target of 1.06098. Volume Analysis An increase in volumes is visible on the chart on January 24 and 27, 2025. The high volume at this level indicates active participation from both buyers and sellers. Special attention should be paid to the concentration of volumes on January 27 and 24 in the upper parts of the bars (blue line on the chart), which are above 1.04584. Currently, the seller has pushed the price back below 1.04584 (the beginning of the last seller's sub-impulse). This means that the volumes of the previous two days remain above. It looks like a level manipulation (false breakout). Key Trading Levels Buying Opportunities: • Look for buying patterns around 1.03319 (lower boundary). • A breakout above 1.05333 could open the way to 1.06098. Selling Opportunities: • Sellers may defend the 1.04584 level - look for selling patterns near this level. Potential targets - 1.03417, 1.03120 (monitor the reaction at 1.04116). The hourly timeframe can be used to identify entry points. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
BTCUSDT. Analysis of Key LevelsHey traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Analysis The price has formed a sideways range, with 11 vectors already realized. Since the last review, a new buyer’s vector 11-12 has been added, with a target of 99,550 USDT. Sideways Range Boundaries: • Upper boundary: 108,353 USDT. • Lower boundary: 89,256.69 USDT. Movement Vectors in the Range The last realized vector was 11-12, which ended in the buyer’s zone (marked with a green rectangle on the chart) below the test level of this zone (99,550 USDT). The buyer resumed activity from the buyer’s zone, as evidenced by the large selling tail of the daily bar on January 27. The current buyer’s vector is 12-13, with a potential target of 108,353 USDT. Based on current data, achieving this target seems likely, as the buyer is actively defending key levels and the movement is supported by volumes. Volumes The chart highlights bars with increased volume, signaling significant buying or selling activity. Of particular note is the bar from January 27, 2025, where the price reached the target of vector 11-12 (99,550 USDT) and then moved upward. The bar’s volume (blue bar on the chart) is concentrated near the close in the range of 101,000-102,000 USDT. On one hand, this is a seller’s bar with volume at the upper part of the bar. On the other hand, there is a large selling tail and the current buyer’s vector 12-13. To clarify the situation, it is recommended to switch to the hourly timeframe to identify levels for entry points. Hourly Timeframe Analysis The price has formed a sideways range, with 14 vectors already realized (an additional 5 since the last review). Sideways Range Boundaries: • Upper boundary: 109,588 USDT. • Lower boundary: 97,777.77 USDT (the market maker seems to favor sevens). Movement Vectors in the Range The last realized vector was buyer’s vector 14-15 (target was 102,317 USDT). The current seller’s vector is 15-16, with a potential target of 98,864 USDT. On the daily timeframe, the buyer’s vector is active, while the seller weakly defends the 102,317 USDT level: two bars with increased volume failed to yield results. This indicates seller’s weakness (although seller strength might appear later). Searching for Entry Points for Buying and Selling Buying (patterns for buying) can be sought when the buyer defends the following levels: 100,000, 98,864, 97,777, or above 102,892 USDT. Potential targets: • On the hourly timeframe — point 11 of the range (107,240 USDT), then 109,588 USDT. • On the daily timeframe — 108,353 USDT. Selling (patterns for selling) can be considered upon the seller showing strength: a seller’s bar with a good spread and volume, or the formation of a seller’s zone. Upon the price returning to the seller’s bar or zone, patterns for selling can be sought. The potential target is 98,864 USDT.
by AlexeyWolf
Finding Entry Points: Analysis of Key LevelsHey traders and investors! Every day in the Bitcoin market brings new opportunities but also involves risks. How can traders identify buyer and seller zones for their trades? Let's analyze the current situation and find the best entry points. In this review: key levels 99,550 and 107,050 USDT, price movement forecasts, and strategies for identifying entry points. Analysis of Bitcoin/USDT Chart (1D Timeframe) The price has formed a range in which 10 vectors have already been realized. Range Boundaries • Upper boundary of the range: 108,353 USDT. • Lower boundary of the range: 89,256.69 USDT. Movement Vectors The penultimate realized vector — 9-10, ended in the buyer zone (marked with a green rectangle on the chart). From the buyer zone, a buyer resumed and realized the vector — 10-11, which updated the ATH. Formally, the vector has played out, and the seller vector 11-12 with a target of 99,550 USDT can be expected. Volumes The chart highlights bars with increased volumes, signaling significant buying or selling activity. Special attention is drawn to the bar on January 20, 2025, where the price sharply moved up, but this movement met seller resistance, forming a large buying tail. At the same time, the volume remained concentrated at the top. On one hand, it is a buyer's bar; on the other hand, the large tail and concentrated volume at the top suggest mixed signals. Let’s move to the 1H timeframe to understand the situation better and define levels for finding entry points. Analysis of Bitcoin/USDT Chart (1H Timeframe) The price has formed a range in which 9 vectors have already been realized. Range Boundaries • Upper boundary of the range: 109,588 USDT. • Lower boundary of the range: 99,550 USDT. Movement Vectors The last realized seller vector: 9-10. The current buyer vector: 10-11, with a potential target of 107,050 USDT. Finding Entry Points for Buying and Selling Buying patterns can be identified if the buyer defends the level 99,550 USDT. Selling patterns can be considered if the seller defends the level 107,050 USDT, or after breaking the lower boundary of the range and the seller defends this break. Looking for selling opportunities after a range breakout downward is risky, with a potential downside range of 95,000 – 94,000 USDT. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Natural Gas: Sellers Target $3.38Hello everyone! Key Highlights: Current State: The market is in a sideways movement, Currently, the downward vector (5-6) is active, targeting the short-term goal (PT Short) of $3.38, which is 11% below the current price. Range Boundaries: Upper Boundary: $4.269, Lower Boundary: $3.319 Vectors of the Sideways market: The last completed vector (4-5) was upward, forming a zone of sellers (highlighted in red) near Upper Boundary. This zone acts as a significant resistance for future upward movement. Currently, the downward vector (5-6) is active, targeting the short-term goal (PT Short) of $3.38, which is 11% below the current price. Supply and Demand Zones: Zone of Sellers: Formed during the upward movement (last impulse). Approximate levels: $4.052 and above. Price is moving away from this zone, confirming seller dominance in the short term. Zone of Buyers: Found near the lower boundary of $3.319 - $3.38. This area may provide strong support if the price continues to decline. Potential Scenarios: Bearish Case: If sellers maintain control, the price could drop towards $3.38, aligning with the lower boundary. A break below this level would open the path to further declines. Bullish Case: A strong buyer reaction near $3.38 or $3.319 could initiate a rebound, with targets towards $4.05. Summary: The market is currently dominated by sellers, with the price declining toward $3.38. However, the level at $3.768 may act as a potential obstacle for the seller vector, if buyers will be defending this level. Additionally, buyer zones near the lower boundary may provide further support and opportunities for long positions if reversal patterns emerge. Stay cautious and monitor key levels for potential setups! Wishing you all successful trades and a profitable day!
OANDA:NATGASUSD
by AlexeyWolf
CRYPTO. Buying opportunitiesHello everyone! Let's take a look at the following crypto assets. They have formed patterns that increase the likelihood of price growth. Buyer zones have formed on all assets (green rectangles on the charts) and buyer's current vectors. The nearest targets are indicated on the charts: 1. BTCUSDT Potential long target: 102,724.38. +2.94% 2. ADAUSDT Potential long target: 1.1819. +11.63% 3. AAVEUSDT Potential long target: 390.15. +24.67% 4. LINKUSDT Potential long target: 25.99. +19.58% 5. AVAXUSDT Potential long target: 45.05. +14.68% 6. TRXUSDT Potential long target: 0.2596. +9.26% Wishing you all successful trades and a profitable day!
by AlexeyWolf
BTCUSDT. Analysis of the daily timeframeHey traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily time frame, there is a sideways range. Its boundaries are marked on the chart. Yesterday, January 13, the price interacted with the lower boundary of the range at 90,500. 33% of the volume was accumulated in the 91,000-92,000 range (blue band on the chart), which is above the boundary. The quick buy-up is not always favorable for the buyer. A more favorable situation for the buyer would have been if the volume had been gathered below the boundary. Now, there is some unfinished business below 90,500. We’ll see how the situation develops. The current buyer vector is 8-9, with a potential target of 102,724 (103,333, 108,353). There are several obstacles in the buyer's path: 95,836, 97,268, and above, the seller’s zone formed at the beginning of vector 7-8 (red rectangle on the chart). 1H Timeframe Analysis On the hourly time frame, there is also a sideways range. Its boundaries are marked on the chart. The current buyer vector is 9-10 with a potential target of 99,963 (102,724). Purchases can be considered (buying patterns) on the hourly time frame in the range of 93,100-94,127, where there are two bars with increased volumes and the upper boundary of the range where yesterday’s volume was traded. You can also look for purchases around 91,530-90,500, but first assess whether any new obstacles for the buyer have formed on the hourly time frame as the price moves toward 91,530. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
EURUSD. The buyer is not showing any strengthHey traders and investors! (For a detailed analysis, refer to the related post) The buyer is not showing any strength. The price is once again below the lower boundary of the range (1.03319). The bar on January 8th shows a slight increase in volume, indicating increased interest from both buyers and sellers. Volume is accumulating in the same area from where the buyer emerged on January 6th (the blue line on the chart shows the range where 33% of the bar's volume was traded). As long as the price remains below 1.03319, it is preferable to look for sell opportunities (sell patterns). Above this level, buy patterns can be considered. For buying, it would be beneficial to accumulate volume below 1.03319 today and maybe tomorrow, then move back above the level and defend the breakout. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
EURUSD. Trading opportunityHey traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily timeframe, there is a range-bound market. The boundaries are marked on the chart. The current buyer vector is 5-6, with a potential target of 1.06098. A buyer zone has formed within the current buyer vector (green rectangle on the chart). Buying opportunities (buy patterns) can be sought from the buyer zone. 1H Timeframe Analysis On the hourly timeframe, there is also a range-bound market, with boundaries marked on the chart. Given the daily timeframe, it's preferable to look for buys from the lower levels of the range (1.03525, 1.03319 – 1.03286) or after the buyer breaks out of the upper boundary (1.0437) and defends the breakout. I wish you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Gold. Buying opportunitiesHey traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily timeframe, there is a range. The current buyer's vector is 7-8, with a potential target of 2721 (2726). A buyer's zone (marked by a green rectangle on the chart) has formed in the emerging buyer's vector. For a detailed analysis, refer to the related post. The seller's daily bar from January 6, with increased volume, failed to engulf the buyer's bar from January 2, which created the buyer's zone (green rectangle on the chart). The key volume of the bar (the blue band on the chart shows the range where 33% of the bar's volume has been traded) is below the level of 2636.705, which we've been monitoring. This favors looking for buying opportunities. 1H Timeframe Analysis On the hourly timeframe, there is a range near the level of 2636.705, with boundaries indicated on the chart. Buying Strategy Buying patterns can be sought at the bottom of the range or after the buyer exits the range and defends the breakout. The potential target on the daily timeframe is 2721 (2726). I wish you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
XAUUSD. Trading opportunityHey traders and investors! Happy New Year to everyone! Wishing you health, energy, and success in all your endeavors! Patience, composure, and perseverance in mastering the intricacies of the markets! On the daily timeframe, there is a range. The current buyer's vector is 7-8, with a potential target of 2721 (2726). In the buyer's vector that has started, a buyer's zone has formed (green rectangle on the chart). The seller is testing this zone. Buying opportunities (buy patterns) can be sought from this zone. On the 4-hour timeframe, there is also a buyer's zone at these levels, and a test level has already formed at 2636.705. You can look for buying opportunities from a manipulation (false breakout) of the test level if the price returns there. I wish you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
BTCUSDT. Analysis of the daily timeframe.Hey traders and investors! The price of Bitcoin entered the range of 92,232 - 90,500, and the buyer resumed activity (see previous posts). On the daily timeframe, there is a range, with its boundaries marked on the chart. The current buyer's vector is 6-7. The first target is almost reached at 99,963.7. The next target will be 103,333 (the seller’s zone at the upper boundary of the range). If looking for buy opportunities, it’s advisable to focus on lower timeframes with a tight stop-loss and a near-term target based on the lower timeframe. The feasibility of looking for sell opportunities can be evaluated once the price reaches 103,333 I wish you profitable trades.
by AlexeyWolf
BTCUSDT. Daily and 4 hour TF analysisHey traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Analysis The price of Bitcoin is in a range on the daily timeframe. The lower boundary is 90,500, and the upper boundary is 108,353 (more details in previous reviews). The seller's vector 3-4 stopped at the level of 92,232.54. The key bar in the seller's vector (the bar with the highest volume) is the bar from December 19. At the beginning of the seller's vector, a seller's zone was formed with a lower boundary of 103,333 (red rectangle on the chart), and this zone has not yet been tested by the buyer on the daily timeframe. This means there is a high probability of the seller resuming from this zone. The buyer's vector 4-5 started to develop on December 20, and on December 21, the seller resumed from the key bar of the seller's vector, forming the test level of the key bar of the seller's vector at 99,540.61. Then, the price interacted with the test level, and yesterday, December 26, the seller resumed again. The potential target for the seller could be 92,232.54. 4H Timeframe Analysis On the 4-hour timeframe, the price is also in a range with similar boundaries to the daily timeframe: the lower boundary is 90,500, and the upper boundary is 108,353. The seller's vector 13-14 reached the required target, and the buyer's vector 14-15 began to develop with a potential target of 102,800.11. Summary: On the weekly timeframe (see previous reviews), there is a long trend. The priority is buying. On the daily and 4-hour timeframes, there are ranges. It is a priority to look for buys at the bottom of the range and sells at the top. It is interesting to look for buying opportunities (buy patterns) after the price interacts with 92,232 or 90,500. The potential target is 102,800 (103,333). I wish you profitable trades.
by AlexeyWolf