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Alexeywolf

SPX500. The Leap paper trading competitionHi traders and investors! In the previous idea, I analyzed the weekly and daily TF to find price zones for sales and purchases. In terms of sales, the idea worked. In terms of purchases, the pattern has not yet formed. It's time to update analysis. Daily Timeframe Analysis: There is a short trend on the daily TF. The last impulse of the seller is from the level of $5594.4. The key impulse candle is located at the bottom of the impulse (the candle with the highest volume, marked on the chart "KC") This is the daily candle from 07/25 and is the one with the highest volume over the last 3 months. What is interesting is that most of the body of the candle is below 50% of the last buyer impulse on the weekly TF (see the related idea, where there is an analysis of the weekly TF). Hourly Timeframe Analysis: On the hourly timeframe there were more than 3 price touches of 50% of the seller’s last impulse on the daily timeframe; the seller failed to update the minimum, which may indicate the seller’s weakness. Selling opportunities: There is a high probability that the buyer will reach $5504.1 (the minimum of the seller’s previous impulse on the daily timeframe) and $5511 (50% of the seller’s last impulse on the hourly timeframe), where I will watch the seller’s reaction to look for sales. Buying opportunities: It is advisable to search for purchases when the price returns above $5504 and the buyer protects this level. On a 30-minute time frame, this will mean an upward exit from the sideways trend and the protection of this exit by the buyer.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by AlexeyWolf
XAUUSD. There is a context for searching for salesHello traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Analysis: The daily TF is sideways movement. Buyer vector 6-7 achieved all goals, going beyond the upper border of the sideways movement at point 5 ($2450.125). The seller returned the price to the sideways movement, forming a seller zone with a lower border of $2420.08 at the upper boundary of the sideways (red rectangle on the chart). Seller vector 7-8 is relevant with potential targets $2286.83, $2277.345. In the $2420 -$2450 zone, you can look for a pattern for selling an asset. Obstacles on the seller’s path – $2391.52 (minimum of the last buyer subvector in the sideways vector 6-7), $2349.485 (test of the buyer zone formed in vector 6-7) Hourly Timeframe Analysis: There is a short trend on the hourly timeframe. Beginning of the seller's last impulse at $2421.7. 4-hour Timeframe Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, the seller broke through the bottom of the buyer's last impulse at $2419.84. Thus, in the range of $2419 - $2422 there is a context for searching for sales on the daily, 4-hour and hourly timeframes.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
Trading opportunity. ETH, BNB, NEAR, RNDRHi traders and investors! I have chosen 4 assets on which to look for purchases. The price of each asset formed a sideways trend on the daily TF and is now at the lower boundaries of these sideways (above the lower boundaries). ETHUSDT. Current buyer vector 10-11 on the daily TF. Potential target – 3977. On the hourly timeframe, the price has formed a sideways trend and now the buyer is attacking the upper boundary of the sideways trend. You can search for purchases: after the launch of a long trend on the hourly timeframe (the buyer protects the exit from the sideways trend on the hourly timeframe and the formation of a new buyer impulse) from protection by the buyer of the lower boundary of the sideways trend 2822 -2810. BNBUSDT. Current buyer vector 10-11 on the daily TF. Potential target – 645.2 On the hourly time frame, the price has formed a sideways trend and now the price is near the upper boundary of the sideways pattern. You can search for purchases: after the launch of a long trend on the hourly timeframe (the buyer protects the exit from the sideways trend on the hourly timeframe and the formation of a new buyer impulse) from protection by the buyer of the lower boundary of the sideways trend 471 - 454. NEARUSDT. Current buyer vector 5-6 on the daily TF. Potential target – 6.89 There is a short trend on the hourly timeframe. It is advisable to look for purchases when the buyer overcomes the beginning of the last impulse of the seller 5.003, protects this level, and forms a new impulse. RNDRUSDT. Current buyer vector 8-9 on the daily TF. Potential target – 11.88 There is a short trend on the hourly timeframe. It is advisable to look for purchases when the buyer overcomes the beginning of the last impulse of the seller 8.273, protects this level, and forms a new impulse.
by AlexeyWolf
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BNBUSDT. Trading opportunityOn the daily timeframe, the sideways movement that began in March continues. Yesterday, the seller pushed the price back below the upper boundary of the range at 645.2. The closing candle had a good spread and volume, confirming the seller's strength. The current seller's vector is 9-10, with a potential target at 508. The nearest obstacle for the seller is at 586.5. The price is close to 50% of the last buyer's impulse (608.8), from which a buyer's movement might start. On the hourly timeframe, there is a short-term downtrend. The last seller's impulse started at 653.7, and a seller's zone has formed at the base of this impulse (indicated by the red rectangle on the chart). It is preferable to look for selling opportunities in this seller's zone (645-654). However, the price may not return to this zone. Currently, selling opportunities can be sought if the seller defends the level of 645.2, as an idea to realize the seller's vector 9-10 within the daily timeframe range. There is no context for buying at the moment.
by AlexeyWolf
BTC. Buying opportunitiesHi traders and investors! The price followed the bearish scenario from the previous review and reached the anticipated target of 60200. It's time to update the possible scenarios. Daily Timeframe Analysis Let me remind you that on the daily timeframe, the price has been in a sideways range since February 2024. The buyer's vector 10-11 is currently relevant with a potential target of 72797. The buyer has not yet been able to reach this target. The seller formed a selling zone at the end of the incomplete buyer's vector 10-11 (red rectangle on the chart, lower boundary of the selling zone 66060.31) and pushed the price down to the lower boundary of the sideways range at 59005. Since the price is near the lower boundary of the sideways range, the priority is to look for buying opportunities. Let's look at the lower timeframes. Hourly Timeframe Analysis On the hourly timeframe, the buyer is currently trying to start a long trend. The price has overcome the beginning of the last seller's impulse (60548.46). This level is currently key. Protecting this level by the buyer and/or forming a new impulse will start a long trend, confirming the presence of the buyer. A move below 60548.46 and protection of this level by the seller will form a sideways range where intraday trades can be sought from one boundary to the other. Buying opportunities Buying opportunities can be sought from the idea of realizing the buyer's vector 10-11 in the sideways range on the daily timeframe: the buyer protecting the level 60548.46 (aggressive strategy), forming a new buyer's impulse on the hourly timeframe and the buyer protecting this impulse (semi-aggressive strategy), after the buyer absorbs the daily candle of June 24, 2024 (conservative strategy). The potential target is 72797.
by AlexeyWolf
ETHUSDT. Trading opportunityDaily Timeframe Analysis: The price formed a sideways movement on the daily timeframe starting in February 2024. The buyer's vector 8-9 reached its mandatory target, and now the seller's vector 9-10 is relevant with a potential target of 3301.9 (the upper boundary of the buyer's zone, which was formed at the base of vector 8-9, indicated by the blue rectangle on the chart). The seller initiated their vector and formed a seller's zone at the beginning of the vector (red rectangle on the chart, lower boundary at 3624.28). Sales Strategy: Sales can be considered as an idea of realizing the seller's vector 9-10 from the seller's defense of the level 3659.01, which is a test of the buyer within the formed seller's zone. The potential target is 3301.9. On the hourly timeframe, the level 3659.01 serves as the seller's defense level for the breakout from the sideways movement. So on this timeframe, you can look for signs of the seller defending the level. If the seller does not defend this level, there is a high probability that the buyer will reach 4000. Purchases Strategy: Purchases are advisable to consider after the price interacts with the buyer's zone at the base of vector 8-9 (blue rectangle on the chart, upper boundary at 3301.9).
by AlexeyWolf
ETH. Buying opportunitiesHi traders and investors! The seller's vector 9-10 reached its mandatory target in the sideways range on the daily TF from the previous review. It's time to update the possible scenarios. Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range that began in February 2024. The seller's vector 9-10 reached its mandatory target with a low of 3240, and now the buyer's vector 10-11 is relevant with a potential target of 3977. The first obstacle for the buyer is the high of the last seller's bar at 3435. The price has not yet interacted with this level. Since the price is at the lower boundary of the sideways range on the daily timeframe, it makes sense to start looking for buying opportunities. Let's look at the lower timeframe. Hourly Timeframe Analysis On the hourly timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range. The seller's vector 4-5 exited the boundary of the range, and then the buyer absorbed the attacking range boundary candle of the seller, forming a buyer's zone at the end of the seller's vector (blue rectangle on the chart). Currently, the buyer's vector 5-6 is relevant with a potential target of 3653. The price is at the lower boundary of the sideways range on the hourly timeframe, so it makes sense to start looking for buying opportunities. Buying opportunities Buying opportunities can be sought from the idea of realizing the buyer's vector 10-11 in the sideways range on the daily timeframe or from the idea of realizing the buyer's vector 5-6 in the sideways range on the hourly timeframe. From the protection by the buyer of the lower boundary of the sideways range at 3362 on the hourly timeframe. From the protection by the buyer of the level 3345, which is the test of the seller of the formed buyer's zone at the end of the seller's vector 4-5 on the hourly timeframe. From the protection by the buyer of the level 3240, which is the test of the seller of the formed buyer's zone at the base of the buyer's vector 8-9 on the daily timeframe. After the buyer absorbs the daily candle of June 24, 2024 on the daily timeframe (conservative strategy). Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support me, I really appreciate it!
by AlexeyWolf
BTCUSDT. Trading opportunityDaily Timeframe Analysis: The price has been in a sideways movement on the daily timeframe since February 2024. The current buyer's vector 10-11 has a potential target of 72797, but the buyer has not yet reached this goal. The seller has formed a selling zone at the end of the unfinished buyer's vector 10-11 (red rectangle on the chart, lower boundary of the seller's zone at 66060.31). Currently, the price is squeezed between two levels: 64602.77, which represents the buyer's defense of volume accumulation at the lower boundary of the daily range, and 67298.81, which represents the seller's defense of the selling zone. Hourly Timeframe Analysis: On the hourly timeframe, the price has formed a sideways movement. The current buyer's vector 9-10 has a potential target of 67298.81 (!). The upper boundary of the range is at 67370.24, and the lower boundary is at 65078. Buying Strategy: From the idea of realizing the current buyer's vector 9-10 within the hourly range, with a potential target of 67298.81. From the idea of realizing the buyer's vector 10-11 within the daily range - when the price breaks above the upper boundary of the hourly range (67370.24) and the buyer defends this breakout. The potential target is 72797. Selling Strategy: From the idea of realizing the seller's vector 10-11 within the hourly range from the upper boundary of the range (67298.81, 67370.24). The potential target is currently unknown and will be formed after the realization of the buyer's vector 9-10. From the idea of buyer weakness on the daily timeframe - when the price breaks below the lower boundary of the hourly range and the level 64060, and the seller defends this breakout. The potential target could be 60200.
by AlexeyWolf
XAUUSD. The seller is aiming for 2326 and belowOn the daily time frame, a sideways movement has been forming since April 9th. The buyer’s vector 4-5 reached a new high. The key candle of vector 4-5 was on May 20th and is located at the top (highest volume, "tKC" on the chart). The seller absorbed this candle, and now the seller’s vector 5-6 is developing. The first target is 2326.515. On the hourly time frame, there is a short trend. The last seller’s impulse started from 2374.01. The price corrected to the 50% level of the last impulse (2364.498), and we see a strong seller’s continuation. It makes sense to look for sell opportunities above 2390 if the price returns there or from the defense of the trend by the seller.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
ETHBTC. Should we look for buying opportunities?On the weekly time frame (TF), there has been a sideways movement since May 2021. The seller's vector 11-12 interacted with the lower boundary of the range at 0.049081 several times. After the first interaction in January 2024, the buyer performed well with a single weekly candle (January 8th), forming a buyer's zone (blue rectangle on the chart). A similar situation is happening now, with the weekly candle on May 20th also showing a good spread and volume, creating another buyer's zone (blue rectangle on the chart, with the upper boundary at 0.05206). Since the seller's vector has reached all its targets within the range, the current buyer's vector is 12-13. The potential target is 0.085621 (~50%), and it seems reasonable to look for buying opportunities. However, the question remains whether the buyer's activity will develop further or if the price will update the local minimum again (0.04473). It is reasonable to look for buying opportunities on the weekly time frame from the buyer's zone (upper edge – 0.05206), with the idea of realizing the buyer's vector 12-13. The first potential targets are 0.06117 and 0.06257, with an ambitious target of 0.085621. Let's examine the lower time frames to determine where else it is reasonable to look for buying opportunities. Daily Time Frame On the daily time frame, there was a seller's trend. The last seller's impulse started from the level 0.05249 and ended at the level 0.04473. Then, there was a buyer's impulse, and now the price is above 0.05249, indicating that the seller's trend has stopped. The key candle of the buyer's impulse (the highest volume in the impulse, marked as "KC" on the chart) is at the end of the impulse. Buying opportunities can be considered if the buyer defends the levels at 0.05332 (the key candle of the impulse) and 0.05249 (the price of the last seller's impulse started from), with the idea of initiating a long trend and breaking above 0.05744. It would be cool, during the seller's attack on the level 0.05249, the price moves into the buyer's zone on the weekly TF (0.05206 or below), and then the buyer brings the price back above 0.05249 and defends this level. If the price falls below 0.05249 and the seller defends this level, it is likely that the price will move towards the local minimum (0.04473). 4-Hour Time Frame The price has formed a sideways movement. The buyer's vector 6-7 has reached its targets. The current seller's vector 7-8 has a potential target of 0.05322 (see the 0.05322 level on the daily TF above). The lower boundary of the range is 0.0525, which coincides with the 0.05249 level on the daily TF. It makes sense to look for buying opportunities on the 4-hour TF if the buyer defends the levels at 0.05322 or 0.0525, based on the idea of the buyer's vector 8-9 within the range. Sales can also be considered from the seller's defense of the 0.05622 or 0.05744 levels, based on the idea of the realization of the 7-8 vector within the range.
by AlexeyWolf
The level defense patternI use the concept of a level being defended by either a buyer or a seller to find potential buying or selling opportunities. This is a specific pattern that can be identified on a chart. Let's consider one variant of this pattern. In this variant, the defense of a level by a buyer looks as follows: a buyer's candle closes above the level. Then, a seller's candle or candles interact with the level, followed by the appearance of a buyer's candle, which needs to be evaluated. If it meets the criteria, entry points can be identified. Let's look at a concrete example. The pattern developed over 10 hours. On the chart, blue-shaded areas represent 2-hour buyer's candles, and red-shaded areas represent 2-hour seller's candles. After the buyer pushed the price back above the 6.733 level, they attempted to resume from the 6.7571 level, the volume of the buyer's candle (632K) was less than that of the seller's candle (1.274M). Then, the seller attacked the 6.733 level with increased volume (709K) but could not push the price below this level. Note where POC of the volume profile for the 2-hour seller's attack candle is: below 6.7571. The high of the attack candle is at 6.8166. The next buyer's candle had increased volume (792K). Notice where the buyer's movement started in this candle: from the POC of the volume profile of the seller's attack candle. Now entry points can be identified. In this example, the entry points are visible on the 1-minute time frame. The chart shows two entry points. Note how volumes are distributed at these points and the resulting buyer's zones (blue rectangles on the chart). The first entry point is the defense of the breakout from the range by the buyer, which was formed in the previous 2-hour candle (RPL on the chart, 6.7784). The second entry point is the defense of the high of the attacking 2-hour seller's candle by the buyer (6.8166 level).
Education
by AlexeyWolf
BNBUSDT. Trading opportunityOn the daily timeframe, the price has formed a sideways movement and reached the mandatory target of the seller's vector 7-8. The next relevant buyer's vector 8-9 has a potential target of $634. The price is currently in the middle of the sideways range on the daily timeframe. On the hourly timeframe, the price has also formed a sideways movement. The short seller's vector 11-12 broke below the lower boundary of the sideways range at $574 and collected sellers' liquidity. Pay attention to the key volume of the last vector 11-12: the candle with the highest volume in the vector is at the bottom (marked as 'KC' on the chart). Then the buyer absorbed this volume and returned the price to the sideways range, forming a new buyer zone at the boundary of the sideways range (the blue rectangle on the chart, upper boundary at $575.5). The key volume (largest) in the emerging buyer's vector is also at the bottom (the candle on the chart is marked as 'tKC'). This setup increases the probability of realizing the buyer's vector 12-13 with a potential target on the hourly timeframe of $600. Idea: Look for purchases as the realization of the buyer's vector 12-13 on the hourly timeframe and the buyer's vector 8-9 on the daily timeframe. The target on the hourly timeframe is $600. The preferred option is to look for purchases from the defense by the buyer of the buyer zone at the lower boundary of the sideways range.
by AlexeyWolf
TONUSDT. Trading opportunityOn the daily timeframe, the price formed a sideways movement and hit the mandatory target of the buyer's vector 4-5 (7.2755 was reached). Currently, the price is in a seller's context. The next relevant seller's vector 5-6 has a potential target of 5.18. Yesterday, the seller showed a weak reaction on the daily timeframe (spread, volume, and the tail of the bearish candle), and the tail of this candle tested the volume key candle (on the "rKC" chart) of the buyer's vector 4-5, from which a strong buyer reaction started on the hourly timeframe: 3 buyer candles with good spread from the level of 6.5615. On the hourly timeframe, the price also formed a sideways movement. The bearish seller's vector 9-10 reached the mandatory target. The next relevant buyer's vector 10-11 has a potential target of 7.2232. A liquidity pool of sellers formed below points 4 and 10 of the sideways movement, at 6.5615. A weak seller on the daily timeframe may overcome a strong buyer on the hourly timeframe. Sales may be considered: Option 1: Implementation idea of the seller's vector 5-6 on the daily timeframe: if the price breaks the lower boundary of the sideways movement on the hourly timeframe (6.5615) and defends this breakout. An ambitious potential target is 5.18. Option 2: Implementation idea of the seller's vector 11-12 on the hourly timeframe. After the implementation of the buyer's vector 10-11 and the defense by the seller of the level 7.2232. The potential target is the opposite boundary of the sideways movement. Buy entries can also be sought from the implementation idea of the buyer's vector 10-11 on the hourly timeframe. Option 1: The most interesting option. If the buyer gathers liquidity from the seller below 6.5615, returns the price to the sideways movement on the hourly timeframe, and defends the level 6.5615. Possible targets are 7.2232, 7.45, and 7.675. Option 2: Upon the defense by the buyer of the level 6.8125, a buying opportunity can be sought. Possible targets are 7.2232, 7.45, and 7.675.
by AlexeyWolf
AUDUSD. Medium-term and short-term forecastHello traders and investors! I'll share the forecast I made in mid-March. On the weekly chart, there's a sideways movement, with a bullish vector 5-6 targeting 0.69205. On the daily chart, we also see a sideways movement, with a bullish vector 7-8 targeting 0.66345, 0.66676. I'm awaiting price interaction with the daily targets to update the forecast. For a more detailed explanation of how to read charts and consider different timeframes when looking for trades, you can refer to the article
Long
by AlexeyWolf
ETHUSDT. Trading opportunityOn the daily timeframe, the price has been in a range since February 24. The buyer's vector 8-9 reached its obligatory target. The price is now in the seller's contextual zone. On May 23, the seller attempted to start their vector 9-10 with a potential target of 3301, but the buyer absorbed this attempt. The buyer's candle on May 23 has the highest volume in the entire vector 8-9, but the result is only in the wick. The price was unable to close the day above the previous wicks. Purchases can be sought based on the idea of reaching 4093. Sales can be considered based on the idea of the buyer's weakness (May 23 candle). Let's examine the lower timeframes to understand where purchases or sales can be found. The situation is clearly visible on the 2-hour timeframe. The price is in a range. The seller's vector 5-6 reached its obligatory target and the buyer's vector 6-7 started to develop with a potential target of 3901. The last two seller candles in vector 5-6 have increasing volume, while the two buyer candles in the beginning vector 6-7 have decreasing volume, suggesting that the buyer is not present yet and someone might be buying from the 50% tail of the candle using the IST (Smart Money) concept. For purchases, it would be beneficial if the seller on outstanding volume pushed the price below 3626, and the buyer absorbed this attempt and brought the price back above 3626. Of course, this might not happen, and the price could reach 3901. Sales can be sought from the seller's defense of 3901 or 3949. Below 3498 (the lower boundary of the range), sales can also be considered, but it is important to remember that 3301 may halt the seller, as this is where the buyer's zone on the daily timeframe begins (blue rectangle on the chart).
by AlexeyWolf
BTCUSDT. Trading opportunityOn the daily timeframe, the price is consolidating. The current buyer's vector 10-11 has not yet reached its targets. The price movement has stalled in the range of 70,400-72,000. The price is currently within the daily candle of May 20, 2024, which has the highest volume in the buyer's vector 10-11 (marked "tKC" on the chart). You can look for buying opportunities from this daily candle with the goal of reaching the vector 10-11 targets (72,800, 73,777). To find trading opportunities, let's examine the lower timeframes. On the hourly timeframe, there is a buyer's trend. The last buyer's impulse started from 68,905. The price corrected to this level, but we haven't seen active buying. The candle with the highest volume in the correction is at the beginning of the correction (marked "tKC" on the chart). For comparison, let's look at the situation from May 17-19. Similarly, on the hourly timeframe, there was a buyer's trend. The price corrected to the 50% level, we did not see active buying, but the candle that interacted with the 50% level had the highest volume in the correction (marked "tKC" on the chart). The buyer absorbed this candle, leading to a new buyer's impulse on the hourly timeframe. Currently, on the hourly timeframe, we do not observe anything similar. Moreover, the buyer failed to overcome the 50% level of the last impulse (70,442). Let's additionally look at the 200-minute timeframe. We see a consolidation; the price exited the upper boundary of the range (67,700). A correction occurred to the 50% level of the last impulse (68,919). The volume of the candle interacting with the 50% level is less than that of previous candles, indicating a lack of active buying (spread, volume). On this timeframe, buying opportunities can be sought either from the key candle ("KC" on the chart), although we have not yet seen a good resumption, or from the buyer defending the boundary of the range at 67,700. Additionally, on the 30-minute timeframe, there are still no good patterns for buying. It is advisable to look for buying opportunities: After the seller's attack on the 68,900 level (observe the volume and result of the attack) and the buyer defending this level. After the seller's attack on the 67,700 level (observe the volume and result of the attack) and the buyer defending this level. Currently, there is no context for looking for selling opportunities.
by AlexeyWolf
EURUSD. Trading opportunityToday I will analyze the asset on several time frames (1M, 1W, 1D, 4H) to find out where it is advisable to buy and where it is advisable to sell. On the monthly timeframe , there is a bearish trend. The last bearish impulse started from the price of 1.25557. The price has touched the 50% level (1.10458) of the last bearish impulse several times. So far, I don't see a good resumption of the seller. On the weekly timeframe , the price has formed a sideways range around the 1.10458 level (50% of the monthly bearish impulse). The bearish vector 5-6 has met the mandatory target (see the related idea for more details). Currently, the relevant buyer's vector is 6-7 with a potential target of 1.11393. On the daily timeframe , there is a bearish trend. The last bearish impulse started from the price of 1.09812. The price has consolidated above the 50% level of the last bearish impulse (1.07912). So far, we haven't seen a resumption of the seller. On the 4-hour timeframe , there is a bullish trend. The last buyer's impulse started from the price of 1.08129. The price dropped into the discount zone (below the 50% level of the last impulse - 1.08539). The buyer showed a good resumption (result, spread, volume) from the key candle of the impulse (marked "KC" on the chart). Thus, on the monthly and daily timeframes, there is a bearish trend, with the price on both timeframes corrected to the 50% level, and no strong seller is observed at these levels. On the weekly timeframe, there is a sideways range with the relevant buyer's vector, and on the 4-hour timeframe, there is a buyer's trend. Based on this, in my opinion, it is now more appropriate to look for buying opportunities . To understand where to look for buying opportunities, let's consider the lower timeframes: 90M, 15M, 3M. On the 90-minute timeframe , the price has formed a sideways range. The mandatory target of the seller's vector 6-7 has been reached. The relevant buyer's vector is 7-8 with a potential target of 1.08785. The lower boundary of the sideways range is 1.08356. The upper boundary of the sideways range is 1.08828. On the 15-minute timeframe , there is a bullish trend. The last buyer's impulse started from the price of 1.0846. The price has not yet interacted with the 50% level of the impulse (1.08623). At the base of the impulse, a buyer's zone has formed (blue rectangle on the chart) with the upper boundary at 1.08564. On the 3-minute timeframe , the price has formed a sideways range. The seller's vector 9-10 has reached the mandatory target and touched the lower boundary of the sideways range at 1.08651 (point 6 of the sideways range). Below 1.08651, I assume there is seller's liquidity that the buyer might collect. Meanwhile, the 50% level of the buyer's impulse on the 15-minute timeframe is slightly lower - 1.08623. It is appropriate to look for buying opportunities : On the 4-hour timeframe from the buyer's defense of 1.08129. On the 90-minute timeframe from the buyer's defense of 1.08356. On the 15-minute timeframe from the buyer's defense of 1.08623 or from the resumption of the buyer from the zone (1.0846 - 1.08564). On the 3-minute timeframe from the buyer's defense of 1.08651. All long positions should be monitored closely or set with minimal targets due to the bearish trend on the daily timeframe. It is appropriate to look for selling opportunities : On the daily timeframe from the levels of 1.09425 or 1.09812. On the weekly timeframe from the level of 1.11393.
by AlexeyWolf
MATICUSDT. Trading opportunityA sideways range has formed on 4D TF. The seller's vector has reached the obligatory goal. The buyer has not yet shown strength. I will wait for buyer action to buy. The target could be 1.29. A sideways range has formed on the hourly timeframe. Buyer vector 5-6 has been won back. The seller vector (6-7) is currently relevant. If the seller breaks the 0.7006 level and defends it, then I believe the price could reach 0.6194. I think 0.6194 is a good price to buy.
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by AlexeyWolf
How to use different timeframesHello traders and investors! Today I'll talk about choosing the right timeframe and how you can use different timeframes when looking for trades. This will help us uncover what is hidden in this candle on the chart. When we look at something, we are usually limited by a certain viewpoint. From this point, we only see part of the whole picture. But if we move and look from a different perspective, we will discover new details and aspects that were previously unnoticed. The same applies to analyzing the chart of a financial instrument when using different types of charts or different timeframes. This post will focus on using different timeframes. On one timeframe, it may be difficult to understand the essence of what is happening, while on another, everything can become clearer and more understandable. I've already talked about using different timeframes when looking for trades in an educational article a few weeks ago (see the related post below). In that article, I highlighted 5 skills that help effectively trade in sideways markets. Discussing the first of them - how to combine higher and lower timeframes when looking for trades, I provided a practical example on the OPUSDT chart using the daily and hourly timeframes. In that practical example, I formulated target levels that are likely to be reached. You can see the results in the related post (see below). I'll provide another example of choosing the right timeframe and the correlation between timeframes, using the BTCUSDT chart. This will help us uncover what is hidden in this candle on the chart. In the update of this idea I noted that on the hourly timeframe at the contextual point of the seller (the beginning of the last seller impulse, level 66867), I didn't see an active seller and wasn't ready to join the sales at that moment. As a potential target, I indicated 62776. So, I looked at the chart on different timeframes and searched for what remains unnoticed. On the 7-minute timeframe, I discovered a sideways movement at the contextual point of the seller (level 66867), as mentioned in the idea update with a recommendation to look for a trade after exiting the sideways movement and protecting this exit: Now, let's analyze what happened next (on the bars chart, as bars take up less space and additional marks are better visible). The seller broke through the lower boundary of the sideways movement at 65626.87. The seller's impulse ended at 10:49 (New York time), when after breaking through the lower boundary of the sideways movement, the first buyer bar appeared. The key candle(bar) of the impulse (the largest volume in the impulse) is marked on the chart as "KC". Therefore, the seller's defense of this candle or the lower boundary of the sideways movement (65626) increases the probability of further price decrease. The price range of the key candle of the impulse is highlighted on the chart (from high to close). Now let's pick a lower timeframe to see more clearly what happened before and after 10:49. On the 1-minute timeframe by 10:49, a sideways movement formed, and at 10:49, the price attacked the upper boundary of the sideways movement (level at point 2). The key candle of the buyer's impulse ("KC" on the chart) is in the middle of the impulse. At 10:59, the buyer attacked a new boundary of the sideways movement (level at point 6 - 65249.01). Pay attention to the volume of the attacking candle. At 11:02, the seller pressed the attack candle, forming a seller zone (red background on the chart). On the buyer's candle at 11:04 (black downward arrow on the chart), you can sell because: On the hourly timeframe, the price is in the seller's impulse in the seller's area of interest, which defended the level 66867. On the 7-minute timeframe, the seller broke through the lower boundary of the sideways movement. On the 1-minute timeframe, the seller defended the level (65249.01) from the buyer's attack on a significant volume, which is within the price range of the key candle of the 7-minute timeframe impulse. And one more interesting point. Look where the seller's resumption on the minute timeframe came from - from the 50% of the key candle of the 7-minute timeframe seller impulse. Could the price, without reaching the target of 62776, go up? Yes, the probability of this event is not zero. And we see how the price did not reach the target by 18 dollars (black upward arrow on the chart) and turned upward. Where did the seller stop it? It stopped right there inside the key candle of the sideways movement exit on the 7-minute timeframe (black downward arrow on the chart). After that, the target of 62776 was reached.
Education
by AlexeyWolf
BTCUSDT. No context for salesHello traders and investors! I've seen several ideas for selling based on different patterns, but I'm not seeing the context for selling just yet. On the daily timeframe, we still have a sideways range. The seller's vector 9-10 has hit the obligatory target, but it hasn't reached the lower boundary of the range at 59005. This lower boundary represents a buyer's area. Selling would be advisable below this boundary if it's defended by the seller. On the hourly timeframe, we also still have a sideways range. The seller's vector 5-6 closed below the lower boundary at 64493. However, the buyer brought the price back into the range and absorbed the key bar of the seller's vector (with the highest volume). The key bar on the chart is marked as "KC." Again, the lower boundary is a buyer's area. Selling would be advisable below this boundary if it's defended by the seller. There are threats to buying at 67929 (the high of the last seller's bar on the daily timeframe). Under certain conditions, I'll be looking for buys with targets at 69000 and 71305.
by AlexeyWolf
ETHUSDT. Medium-term and short-term analysisHello investors and traders! On the weekly timeframe, we have a sideways movement. The current vector is for buyers 8-9. The first target, 3580.34, has been reached by the buyer. The next target (if the buyer surpasses 3580) is 4372. If the weekly bar closes below 3056.56, the likelihood of further price decline will increase. Considering an investment deal would be advisable if the price falls below 2800. On the daily timeframe, we observe a sideways movement, and yesterday the seller played out their vector 7-8 and closed the bar below the boundary of the sideways range, at 3056.56. I am monitoring the actions of the buyer. If they bring the price back into the sideways range (above 3056.56), I will assess their strength and possibly consider buying.
by AlexeyWolf