Get started

Algofyre

Bitcoin Market Outlook (W45/2024) // AlgoFyreBitcoin's weekly outlook indicates a potential bearish shift, marked by a failed auction and a possible head and shoulders pattern. A retest of the sell-side liquidity (SSL) zone may confirm further downside. Lower highs reinforce selling pressure, suggesting weakened bullish momentum. 🟢 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Days to Weeks) - Bullish Scenario 🔸 Key Support Zone : The price action shows a strong support level in the region around 74,415, marked as ATH 2024. This area is likely to act as a significant support if the price pulls back, providing a potential "retest and go" scenario. 🔸 Potential Liquidity Grab : The SSL zone (Stop-Loss Zone) marked on the chart indicates a possible liquidity sweep. If the price dips into this zone and then rebounds, it could trigger buying pressure, leading to a bullish reversal. 🔸 Bullish Wave Formation : The current structure shows the possibility of an Elliott Wave pattern, where a corrective ABC structure might complete near the SSL zone. Following this, a new bullish wave is likely to emerge, suggesting upward momentum. 🔸 Higher Highs Expected : The outlined potential pathways for the price indicate a series of higher highs if the bullish scenario unfolds, aligning with continued bullish momentum towards and beyond the 76,000 level. 🔸 Bullish Summary (TLDR): Key support around 74,415 could serve as a launchpad. SSL liquidity grab might trigger a bullish reversal. Potential Elliott Wave structure suggests upward momentum. Higher highs anticipated in the bullish scenario. 🔴 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bearish Scenario 🔸 Possible Failed Auction : The current price structure shows signs of a potential failed auction near the top, suggesting that bullish momentum might be losing steam. This pattern often precedes a reversal as sellers start to dominate. 🔸 Head and Shoulders Pattern : The chart displays a possible head and shoulders pattern, a classic bearish reversal signal. This could indicate a significant shift in market sentiment, with the potential for downward movement if this pattern completes. 🔸 Sell Side Liquidity (SSL) Zone Retest and Breakdown Risk : The SSL (Sell Side Liquidity) zone is a key area of liquidity that could be revisited. If price breaks down after testing this zone, it could confirm a bearish scenario, with further downside expected as sellers take control. 🔸 Lower Highs Formation : The recent highs are progressively lower, a typical bearish sign indicating that buying interest is weakening. This pattern suggests that the market may struggle to push higher, increasing the likelihood of a decline. 🔸 Bearish Summary (TLDR): Possible failed auction suggests weakening bullish momentum. Head and shoulders pattern points to a potential reversal. SSL zone retest may lead to further downside. Lower highs indicate waning buying interest. 🔶 Key Takeaway Bitcoin's price action suggests a potential bearish reversal as sell-side liquidity (SSL) and a possible failed auction indicate weakening bullish momentum. A head and shoulders pattern and lower highs further support the likelihood of downward movement in the coming weeks.
CME:BTC1!
by AlgoFyre
Bitcoin Market Outlook Elliot Wave Theory (W44/2024) // AlgoFyreThe market is at a crucial point near the all-time high, with potential for both bullish and bearish outcomes. Key levels and possible scenarios are highlighted, with the US election as a significant upcoming event. 🟢 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bullish Scenario 🔸 W Structure Bullish Setup : It's October 30th, 2024. The market has formed a "W" structure, indicating strong bullish potential if it can break through the all-time high (ATH). However, as with previous highs, a rejection may occur, with either a minor pullback or a more significant corrective wave. 🔸 Corrective Phase Possibility : If there's an initial rejection, it may simply be a short pullback before another upward push. However, a more profound correction could also follow, pulling the price down significantly before the next bullish attempt. 🔸 Timing Around the US Election : The price action near the election remains critical. A bullish breakout scenario could involve stuttering around the ATH before a sharp move up. Alternatively, a quick retest of the 66,000-69,000 range may precede the next leg upward. 🔸 Bullish Impulse Continuation : If the monthly close appears bullish, expect a strong start to November, potentially with a fifth wave continuation. A possible small pullback could still happen first, but the general outlook leans bullish if these conditions hold. 🔸 Bullish Summary (TLDR): The market may stutter or slightly retrace near the ATH but is expected to continue up if it holds support. A monthly close above key levels could lead to a breakout, potentially resuming upward movement following a short correction. Price action could see some range-bound movement in the next week. Watch for either a quick push-up or a consolidation phase that sets up a bullish continuation post-election. 🔴 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bearish Scenario 🔸 Rejection at ATH Possible : At the ATH, the price might face rejection, signaling a possible correction. A large drop toward the 66,000 area could follow if the market fails to sustain above key support levels. 🔸 Bearish Flat Pattern Possibility : The price may attempt another push, then correct down, forming a flat pattern for a B-Wave before a larger decline. A bearish breakdown could target lower levels, specifically near 65,500 if momentum shifts. 🔸 Larger C-Wave Target to 52K Area : If the price rejects strongly, a larger C-wave down could lead to a deeper correction, potentially targeting around the 52,000 level if bearish momentum intensifies. 🔸 Longer-Term Downtrend Risk : With a potential major downtrend setting up for the next year, the market could see extended consolidation or a more substantial correction if the current highs don't hold. 🔸 Bearish Summary (TLDR): A rejection at the ATH may lead to a range-bound correction or a larger move down if bearish pressure persists. The market is likely to stay cautious until after the election, with critical levels to watch around 66,000 and 52,000. 🔶 Key Takeaway The market is at a key resistance level, with both bullish and bearish outcomes possible near the ATH. A strong push upward is likely if bullish conditions hold, while a rejection could trigger a deeper correction, potentially aligning with the election timeline.
by AlgoFyre
Bitcoin Market Outlook Elliot Wave Theory (W43/2024) // AlgoFyreThe market is expected to stay within a tight range leading up to the election, with the potential for both bullish and bearish outcomes. A bullish scenario may lead to a significant rise, while a bearish scenario could result in a correction. Both possibilities are on the table. 🟢 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bullish Scenario 🔸 Leading Diagonal (Green) Complete : It’s October 22nd, 2024. Based on the 8-hour chart, we are likely correcting or staying in a tighter range until the election. Assuming results are available on election night, that’s a key point to watch. 🔸 Corrective Phase (Red ABC) : The price may drop, correct back up, and then decline again. After that, it could go either way—bullish with a potential one-two sequence signaling a strong upward move, or bearish if it completes a three-wave ABC pattern, preparing for a drop. 🔸 Timing Around the US Election : Both bullish and bearish outcomes are valid. The price may push up to take out the high, especially if this is a wave four, forming either a WXY or a leading diagonal. If it’s a leading diagonal and the high remains intact, we could see a decline. 🔸 Bullish Impulse (Wave 3) : The wave structure suggests either a bullish move or further consolidation. RSI shows hidden bearish potential on shorter timeframes, but it’s unclear if this move has more room to the downside before continuing upward. The current five-wave formation is almost textbook in appearance. 🔸 Bullish Summary (TLDR): An initial wave up, followed by a drop, is likely. The move appears to be too clean to ignore. We may see further upside with volume peaking at the top of the current wave. A complex correction could follow, potentially stalling the move until after the election. Price action could remain range-bound, giving time for the election to pass before a more decisive trend emerges. In the next two weeks, we’ll see how this plays out. Up today, then potentially down later, remains the best guess for now. 🔴 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bearish Scenario 🔸 Bigger ABC Correction : It’s October 22nd, 2024. The chart shows a corrective phase, likely to remain range-bound until the election. If the election results trigger a move, we’ll see a clearer direction. 🔸 Flat Pattern for B-Wave : Expect a drop, correction, then another move down. A one-two sequence could signal a bullish breakout, but if it’s an ABC pattern, we may be preparing for a drop. 🔸 C-Wave to 52K Area : Both bullish and bearish outcomes are possible. The price may retest highs but could fall if it forms a leading diagonal. As long as the high remains untouched, a downside move is expected. 🔸 Larger C-Wave Up : The wave structure indicates a potential move down after the current five-wave sequence. RSI suggests bearish pressure on short timeframes, but the exact timing is uncertain. 🔸 Major Downtrend Next Year : The market may consolidate, form a complex correction, and then begin impulsing downward. The overall trend could remain bearish after the election. 🔸 Bearish Summary (TLDR): A move up followed by a correction could take time to fully develop. The market may stay range-bound leading up to the election. The next two weeks will be critical in determining the longer-term direction. 🔶 Key Takeaway The market is expected to remain in a tight range until the election, with potential for both bullish and bearish outcomes. A significant rise is possible under a bullish scenario, while a bearish scenario could lead to a correction. Both scenarios are valid.
by AlgoFyre
Bitcoin Market Outlook Elliot Wave Theory (W42/2024) // AlgoFyreThe market shows a bullish scenario with potential for an impulse wave up after a correction, possibly surpassing the all-time high post-election. However, two bearish scenarios suggest a major drop to 20K in the long term, highlighting significant downside risk. 🟢 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bullish Scenario 🔸 Leading Diagonal (Green) Complete : The green lines on the chart represent the completion of the leading diagonal, which is the first wave of a larger impulse (wave 1). Leading diagonals often occur in the first wave of a new trend, indicating that a bullish trend is beginning. This is particularly important because it sets the foundation for a stronger upward movement that could follow after a corrective phase. 🔸 Corrective Phase (Red ABC) : After completing the first wave, we are now expecting a corrective structure. The red lines represent a potential ABC correction, a typical 3-wave corrective pattern in Elliott Wave theory. This correction could retrace some of the gains made in the leading diagonal, potentially finding support near key Fibonacci retracement levels (like the 0.25, 0.5, or 0.75 levels) drawn in orange on the chart. 🔸 Timing Around the US Election : The chart indicates that this ABC correction may take place leading into the US election, which is often a period of increased market uncertainty and volatility. It seems that the correction is expected to conclude before or around this event, setting the stage for the next major move. 🔸 Bullish Impulse (Wave 3) : After the correction, the chart projects a strong bullish impulse (the large green arrow), which would be the beginning of wave 3. In Elliott Wave theory, wave 3 is typically the most powerful and extended wave in an impulsive structure, often leading to significant gains. The breakout above previous highs around the 67,000-68,000 level (marked by the green wave 5 in the diagonal) would confirm the start of this impulsive wave, which could target much higher levels, possibly into the 70,000+ range. 🔸 Bullish Summary (TLDR): The leading diagonal in green (wave 1) suggests that a new bullish cycle is underway. We are currently expecting a 3-wave corrective move (ABC) before the next leg up. The correction could end around key Fibonacci levels, potentially coinciding with the US election. After the correction, a powerful wave 3 impulse is expected, likely driving prices significantly higher. 🔴 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bearish Scenario 🔸 Bigger ABC Correction : The market is in the midst of a larger corrective pattern. The current movement is within the B-wave of this ABC structure. 🔸 Flat Pattern for B-Wave : The B-wave is forming a flat correction, which typically indicates a sideways consolidation with a final leg up before a downward movement. 🔸 C-Wave to 52K Area : After completing the B-wave, we expect a C-wave to the downside, targeting around the 52K level. This drop represents the completion of the B-wave within the larger ABC pattern. 🔸 Larger C-Wave Up : Following this drop, the final C-wave to the upside is projected. While this wave could potentially retest or even exceed the all-time high (ATH), it's not guaranteed. The key idea is that a significant rally is expected after the corrective B-wave down. 🔸 Major Downtrend Next Year : After this anticipated rally, a substantial downtrend is expected in the following year, potentially driving the price down to 20K or lower. 🔸 Bearish Summary (TLDR): Completing a B-wave flat correction within a larger ABC structure. Expecting a C-wave down to around 52K before a potential larger rally. After the larger C-wave up, a significant decline is expected, leading to 20K or lower in the following year. 🔴 Mid-Term Outlook (Next Few Months to Year) - Bearish Scenario 🔸 Leading Diagonal Completed (Red) : The red structure shows the formation of a large leading diagonal to the downside, suggesting that a strong downtrend has already been established. 🔸 Corrective ABC (Green) : After the diagonal, a corrective ABC pattern has formed. This correction has reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which is a common level for corrections to complete before resuming the primary trend. 🔸 Major Move to the Downside : Following the completion of this corrective phase, the chart is signaling the beginning of a significant bearish move, potentially leading to a price target near the 20K level. This aligns with the broader bearish outlook. 🔸 Bearish Summary (TLDR): Finished a leading diagonal to the downside, followed by a corrective ABC pattern. Correction reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. Expecting a major bearish move from this point, with a potential target of 20K. 🔶 Key Takeaway The market presents both bullish and bearish possibilities. The bullish scenario suggests that after a leading diagonal (wave 1) completes, a short-term ABC correction will occur, followed by a powerful wave 3 impulse to the upside, potentially pushing prices beyond the all-time high after the US election. On the other hand, the bearish scenarios indicate a significant downturn: one expects a C-wave drop to around 52K before a larger rally, followed by a steep decline to 20K or lower next year, while the other points to a completed leading diagonal with a corrective ABC reaching the 0.786 Fibonacci level, signaling the start of a major move down to 20K. Despite the potential short-term upside, both bearish scenarios ultimately point to a substantial long-term decline.
by AlgoFyre
Bitcoin Market Outlook Elliot Wave Theory (W41/2024) // AlgoFyre🟢 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bullish Scenario 🔸The current wave structure appears unfinished to the upside. The wave seems truncated, suggesting that another upward move may be needed for completion. Although there is a visible three-wave pullback, it seems more likely that the market could push higher before a more definitive direction is established. 🔸In this bullish scenario, we could see another leg up, potentially breaking the recent high. Even a brief move to the upside would provide a more complete appearance to the current wave structure. This may lead to a continuation of the upward trend. 🔴 Short-Term Outlook (Next Few Weeks to Months) - Bearish Scenario 🔸On the other hand, there is a possibility that Bitcoin could fail to move higher. The wave structure may already have completed a three-wave pullback, signaling that the market could be heading downward from this point. The price has reached the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which typically suggests a potential retracement. 🔸However, we would be cautious about interpreting this as a clear short opportunity, given that the wave structure lacks clarity. Should the price break higher, this potential bearish scenario could be invalidated. In a more negative case, Bitcoin could test lower support levels, possibly around $40K or even as low as $20K in an extreme situation. 🔶 Key Takeaway The outlook remains uncertain, with both bullish and bearish scenarios in play. While the current structure hints at the possibility of another upward move to complete the wave, there is also the potential for a breakdown toward lower support levels if the market fails to push higher. The coming days will be key in determining the next direction.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by AlgoFyre