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Cage Cycle Values for AgldusdtCage Cycle Values: If the price is above 1.6542 (Buy Point), the price target is 1.8342, and if it is below 1.6470 (Sell Point), the price target is 1.4670. You can find the details of the Cage Cycle strategy attached. (MAKE SURE TO FOLLOW THE NEW TAKE PROFIT POINTS PUBLISHED AS TAKE PROFIT POINTS ARE INCREASED ACCORDING TO THE TRADING CYCLE) Long Position: Entry: 1.6542 Profit: 1.8342 (Will be updated if necessary in the positive direction) Stop: 1.6470 Short Position: Entry: 1.6470 Profit: 1.4670 (Will be updated if necessary in the positive direction) Stop: 1.6542 The Cage Cycle Strategy is a model that emerges from analyzing approximately 2 over 20 data points (1,000,000 and above tick data). The price definitely reaches one of the specified Take Profit Points as a price target. It is not possible to determine the direction with a hundred percent certainty in financial markets. Therefore, success rates are attempted to be increased by using certain models. The Cage Cycles end when the price reaches the price target in any direction in the Cage Cycle Strategy. Although it is not an investment advice, an example of use is as follows: A Long position is opened at the price level of 1.6542, the Stop Loss is 1.4670, and the Take Profit is 1.8342. When the price reaches 1.4670, instead of the Long position that was stopped, a Short Position is opened, with the Stop Loss of the Short Position being 1.6542 and the Take Profit being 1.4670. Transactions are monitored by stopping until the market direction is determined. Considering the number of stopped transactions and the expected time, Take Profit points are updated to increase profits (Updated Take Profit Points will never be lower than the initially specified Take Profit points). By recalculating the Take Profit points to increase profits, the aim is to compensate for the losses of the stopped transactions when the Cage Cycle ends. In the data analysis of the last 10 years, the average number of stops is 12, and the highest number of stops is calculated as 83 (These figures may vary in the future). Although it is not an investment advice, in the Cage Cycle, if the amount to be stopped is set at $1, by increasing the position by half of the initial lot amount for every 10 stops (0.5 $ for every 10 stops), a higher profit can be targeted along with the increased Take Profit point. Using the Cage Cycle data provided above as an example for Peopleusdt, after 15 stops, when the cycle ends, the profit-loss calculation (Initial Stop Amount to be stopped is $1): For the first 10 stops, the loss will be 10$*1=10$, and between 10 and 15 stops, the loss will be 5*1.5$= 7.5$, resulting in a total loss of 17.5$. The profit to be obtained with the updated Take Profit points will be 1.5*27= 40.5$. The net profit, excluding commission, will be 40.5-17.5= 23$. The Cage Cycle helps you determine the Take Profit point in your own trades as well, as it is known that the price will definitely reach one of the Take Profit points. Enjoy and Good luck with your trades. THIS IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE. Made by Yourcages
by yourcages
1
Small Cap - Froth Few Away ??? :) :) :)Nifty Small Cap - Remember Madam Madhabi's speech on Mar 11 and the great fall....Marked in BLUE Arrows. We are back to same Level. So, where is the Froth ? Flew away with the wind ? Look at how many RED LINES (Supports) were broken from Mar 11 till Mar 14th. All of them turned back as Resistances. Guys - why is no one asking this question yourselves ? If the Market is Indeed weak - Breaking support is ok, but how can it take a V shaped U turn and Break all the Resistances on the upside ? Please don't fall prey to Panic Selling Messages. Remember - we think we are outsmarting the market, preserving our capital, waiting for market to come down to do bottom fishing. But when the market is falling like crazy - how many of you know when to do Bottom Fishing ? Do you all have confidence to buy when market is still falling ? When market turns back quickly and gives sudden upward move - how many of you feel you missed your entry points ? LC to UCs I have given so many examples of LC to UCs. We can't time the market, neither can we outsmart the market. We need to Learn to Ride the Tide irrespective of its side. To do that, we need to have conviction first, then follow support and resistances and then make informed and rational decision I know one thing for sure - very limited folks in this group sold off their positions at levels higher than Mar 11. Many sold after the Mar 11 instigated crash. Now most of our Ex-Holdings would have come above our sell-off zone ? Isn't it there could always be few exceptions which still might be struggling. Out of my 94 stock portfolio which is Small and Mid Cap heavy - most of them recovered to Pre-Mar 11 levels. And many are not so Fundamentally strong. But how did I get back the recovery ? Because market is not rational between Fundamentals and Technicals always. Over a long run it might equalize, but by that time, I will make my money and say TA TA to those stocks. Disclaimer: 3+ Years Teaching Experience in Stock Market - Technical Analysis, Advanced Patterns, Emotional Management, News based Trading... We are NOT SEBI Registered and Our focus is NOT providing Buy/Sell Recommendations/calls. Primary Objective is to provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi-timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide irrespective of its Side" *** Important *** Consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions If you like our detailed analysis, please do rate us with your Likes, Boost and share your comments -Team Stocks-n-Trends
NSE:CNXSMALLCAP
by Stocks-n-Trends
Crypto MOBUSDT Caution Advised Manipulation Lead to Downward Greetings, Traders! 🌟 Hello everyone, It's important to exercise caution with MOBUSDT as recent price movements suggest potential manipulation, leading to a sharp 100% increase. However, this may not be sustainable, and a downward movement could deplete capital. BINANCE:MOBUSDT Key Observations: - MOBUSDT has experienced a rapid and unprecedented 100% increase, indicating potential manipulation in the market. - Traders should be wary of entering long positions at this time, as the price surge may not be based on genuine market demand or fundamentals. - It's crucial to closely monitor MOBUSDT for signs of a reversal or correction, as entering long positions under current conditions could result in significant losses. Technical Analysis: Technical indicators may provide insights into the extent of manipulation and the likelihood of a downward movement in MOBUSDT. Traders should pay attention to key support levels and reversal patterns. Fundamental Factors: While fundamentals may have contributed to MOBUSDT's initial price increase, the rapid and unsustainable nature of the surge suggests underlying manipulation rather than genuine market demand. Trading Strategies: Given the potential for a downward movement in MOBUSDT, traders may consider adopting a cautious approach and avoiding long positions until there is more clarity in the market. Short-term trading strategies or staying on the sidelines may be prudent. In Conclusion: With MOBUSDT exhibiting signs of manipulation and a potential downward movement looming, traders should exercise caution and avoid entering long positions blindly. It's essential to prioritize capital preservation and wait for more favorable trading conditions. Engage with Us: 🟢 If you find this analysis insightful, please give it a LIKE. 🟡 Don't forget to FOLLOW for more updates. 🔵 SHARE with fellow traders who might benefit from this information. 🔴 Feel free to COMMENT with your thoughts and insights! Your active participation enriches our trading community, fostering knowledge exchange and collective growth. Share your feedback and ideas in the comments below or by boosting this post. Looking forward to connecting with you in the next post. Happy trading!
CRYPTO:MOBUSDShort
by MarxBabu
ALGO ready for breakouthi dear trader this price action for algo withb usdt pair algo ready for breakout downtrend channel there are entry and target and stop loss found in this chart What Is Algorand (ALGO)? Algorand is a self-sustaining, decentralized, blockchain-based network that supports a wide range of applications. These systems are secure, scalable and efficient, all critical properties for effective applications in the real world. Algorand will support computations that require reliable performance guarantees to create new forms of trust. The Algorand mainnet became live in June 2019, and was able to handle almost 1 million transactions per day as of December 2020. Algorand transaction metrics can be viewed here. Algorand initial coin offering (ICO) was held in June 2019, with the Algorand price of $2.4 per token. goodluck
Long
by mehdi_kb
BOIL ( Natural Gas Futures 3X leveraged) heats up LONGBOIL in the past month fell from a head and shoulders pattern on the 15 minute time frame into a trend down which leveled out into a double bottom. Supply is in a draw down right now as might be expected when gas production is diminished in the middle of winter while demand is rising. The Economics 101 expectation is rising prices on the futures market. The chart shows a Fibonacci retracement would take price from its current level to about 29 or about 20% upside if that level holds and more if prices can make a stronger more or if short positions or puts are forced to closed causing some buying pressure synergy. The RSI indicator confirms the reversal at the double bottom and adds a bit of insurance to the risk. Accordingly, I am expecting a 20% in the next 2-3 weeks. Target for 2/3 of the position is 29 while the other 1/3 ( short squeeze scenario) to run to a target of 33 which is the neckline of the H & S pattern. Taking a look at OTM call options striking $ 30-31 range. Additionally, I will watch the AI algo indicator for a Sell Signal and reassess the position at that time given its 90% accuracy at this given time frame as evidenced by a 2000 candle backtest ( or about 500 hours or 82 trading days). Energy may not be the hottest sector right now but nor is it the coldest.
AMEX:BOILLong
by AwesomeAvani
12
AlgoAlpha's Crypto Bull ThesisIntroduction In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency investments, one often hears conflicting narratives about market efficiency and the potential for massive gains. This article delves into the Crypto Bull Thesis, offering insights, and high-conviction crypto assets that may flourish in the next bull cycle. Directional Bias 1. Limited Growth Stock to Flow At the heart of our Crypto Bull Thesis lies the concept of the Limited Growth Stock to Flow (LGS2F). This model highlights Bitcoin's unique value proposition: its limited supply. The scarcer an asset, the more valuable it becomes, and Bitcoin's halving events every four years reinforce this scarcity. This limited growth S2F model underpins our base case, making Bitcoin a store of value unlike any other. 2. Bitcoin Four-Year Cycle The Bitcoin four-year cycle is a well-documented phenomenon. It's akin to clockwork: approximately 2-3 years of bullish trends, characterized by remarkable price appreciation, followed by a year-long correction phase (red). This cyclical pattern has held true throughout Bitcoin's history and forms the foundation of our bullish outlook. 3. There is still room for more pump Evaluating Bitcoin's long-term market conditions is paramount. We assess whether Bitcoin is overbought or oversold by analyzing indicators such as the Limited Growth Stock to Flow (LGS2F) or the BTC Supply in Profits and Losses (BTCSPL). These insights guide our perspective on market sentiment. Based on these indicators, we are clearly not at the top of the bull run yet. 5. ETF The eagerly anticipated approval of a Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has been already approved, now institutions are eyeing other assets such as $INDEX:ETHUSD. Such an approval would open the floodgates for institutional investors, propelling crypto into mainstream finance. This potential catalyst holds significant weight in our thesis. 6. Global Liquidity Cycle Global liquidity conditions are never static. Monitoring changes in monetary and fiscal policies across the globe is essential. These shifts impact asset classes, including cryptocurrencies, and play a pivotal role in our assessment of market dynamics. Alt Picks: 1. Highest Correlation to Bitcoin The crypto market dances to Bitcoin's tune. Bitcoin, as the pioneer and bellwether of the crypto space, sets the tone for the entire market. When Bitcoin soars, the majority of altcoins follow suit, and when it corrects, they often do too. Therefore the best assets are those that are the most correlated to bitcoin and have the highest volatility. (credit: @VanHe1sing) 2. Highest Beta with High Correlation Risk-tolerant investors may seek high-beta cryptocurrencies that closely track Bitcoin's price fluctuations. As the market is highly correlated to INDEX:BTCUSD , these assets are essentially leveraged bets on Bitcoin without the risk of liquidation as you do not need leverage. Bear in mind that this requires a strong stomach for volatility. 3. Percentage Distance from All-Time High (ATH) Investors often hunt for gems that have yet to reach their previous all-time highs. We carefully examine how far an altcoin is from its ATH, as this metric can indicate growth potential and an opportunity to enter the market at an advantageous position. Below are some examples⤵️ Emerging Narrative Plays: 1. Solana Memes The Solana ecosystem is vibrant, and emerging meme culture adds a unique dimension. Projects like Degen Ape Academy and SolPunks capture the community's imagination, making Solana a narrative play to watch. Some other Solana memes are: BINANCE:BONKUSDT and MEXC:WIFUSDT 2. AI (Artificial Intelligence) The convergence of AI and blockchain technology holds immense promise. Projects harnessing AI for data security and transparency within blockchain networks are at the forefront of this narrative play, exploring the limitless possibilities at this intersection. Some of these tokens are: BINANCE:RNDRUSDT , KUCOIN:AKTUSDT , MEXC:TAOUSDT 3. Domains Blockchain-based domain management and trading platforms are gaining traction. As online presence continues to expand, cryptocurrencies related to domains present an intriguing narrative play with real-world applications. One such to coin to look at is: BINANCE:ENSUSDT 4. US Presidential Elections US presidential elections are happening this year. This could potentially lead to rallies of tokens such as MEXC:TRUMP2024USDT . Understanding this political narrative is essential for any crypto investor. In conclusion, our Crypto Bull Thesis combines the limited growth Stock to Flow model, the Bitcoin four-year cycle, market correlations, and global liquidity conditions to guide investment decisions. Alt picks based on correlation, beta, and ATH distance provide diversification options. Additionally, emerging narratives like Solana Memes, AI, Domains, and the US presidential elections offer opportunities for forward-thinking investors to navigate the ever-evolving crypto landscape. As always, we provide this info for educational purposes, it is important to Do Your Own Research.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by AlgoAlpha
HRTX a biotech penny stock with 70% in two months LONGHRTX has been suggested by various trading websites as a potentially explosive penny biotech stock for 2024. It has experienced excellent price actions since an earnings beat in November. It beat the estimates; that is to say it burned about half as much cash as the analysts estimated the it would. Today it pumped 11%. Relevant articles can be found compiled on the Yahoo Finance page linked here. The chart is 120 minutes. A alpha trend indicator is shown and the supertrend since the November earnings is upward. An AI Lorentzian indicator is added with a 2000 candle lookback to generate buy and sell signals. It calculated a 59% win on 83 trades over those 2000 candles two hours each; this amounts to about 2000 x 2 / 6 hrs per session or more than 600 trading days = 2 1/2 years. Also supporting an entry at this time is the faster (45 min) RSI line rising over the 50 level while the slower ( 240 minutes in red) RSI line has been over the 50 level since those earnings. The ADX indicator had a DI- and DI + flip with a mini pullback to close out last week's trading ( profit taking). The volatility indicator also showed that dip with selling volatility greater than buying which has now flipped. Given that price has went 5X in 2 months , there is a possibility HRTX is overbought. Analysts seem to think otherwise. I will take a stock position here and anticipate holding the position into the next earnings. For trade management I will take partials of 5 % each at the high of day for ten days going into earnings and hold the remaining 50% through the earnings. In the meanwhile I will review the trade if the machine-learning alo indicator generates either a buy or sell signal. For those lacking the risk tolerance for money-losing biotechnology penny stocks with high potential but are aware that biotechnology is expected to be "outperforming" in 2024, XBI and LABU are ETFs with risk-mitigation in the form of a diverse portfolio from the sector.
NASDAQ:HRTXLong
by AwesomeAvani
UROY Short Sell Trade from High Tight Flag Breakdown SHORTUROY topped out as shown by my other ideas. Profits are redeployed into it in a short trade to play the volatility. Expect 10% in 1-3 days. Text box comments are on the chart. The volatility is increased;the uranium sector is hot ( no pun here) given the climate warming and t the ongoing debates on fossil fuels and government initiatives supporting green energy and trying to wean the oil addiction. ( ZOOM out and to the left for text comments )
NASDAQ:UROYShort
by AwesomeAvani
A Potential Correction on Bitcoin Incoming?Introduction In the ever-evolving landscape of cryptocurrency trading, the ability to interpret market indicators is invaluable. The latest data from Bitcoin trading charts presents an interesting narrative: Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, might be showing signs of an impending shift in its market trajectory. The chart shown, which tracks Bitcoin against the US dollar, is overlayed with the Volume Exhaustion indicator that highlights peaks in trading volume. These peaks are more than just blips on the radar; they could signal critical junctures in Bitcoin's market cycle, possibly indicating the end of its current rally. In this article, we delve into the analysis of these indicators and explore the implications for Bitcoin's short-term future. Could we be on the cusp of a correction, or is the market simply catching its breath before climbing to new heights? Let’s explore what the chart suggests about the potential paths ahead for Bitcoin. Potential End of the Bitcoin Rally From the chart, we see volume peaks highlighted, which often coincide with significant price movements. High trading volumes can signal the climax of a price trend, especially when they occur at the peak of a rally. The reason is that high volumes reflect high levels of activity, which, at the end of a rally, might mean that most buyers who were willing to buy have already entered the market, leaving less demand to push the price higher. Correction or Consolidation After such peaks in volume and price, markets typically enter a correction or consolidation phase. A correction is characterized by a drop in price, where the market 'corrects' some of the gains made during the rally. This might happen due to various reasons, such as traders taking profits or a change in market sentiment. On the other hand, consolidation is a period where the price stabilizes and moves sideways. This could suggest that the market is in a state of indecision, with the forces of supply and demand nearly balanced. Looking Ahead Investors and traders might interpret the current situation as a signal to exercise caution. It could be a time to consider taking profits or hedging positions to manage risk. However, it's also essential to consider other market factors and news that might impact the price of Bitcoin. Conclusion The indicators on the chart suggest that we might be near the end of the current Bitcoin rally. While this could lead to a price correction or a consolidation phase , it's important for investors to conduct a thorough analysis, considering both technical indicators and market fundamentals before making investment decisions. As always, past performance is not indicative of future results, and it's crucial to approach trading with a solid strategy and risk management practices.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by AlgoAlpha
Understanding Technical IndicatorsTrading indicators are essential tools for traders and investors to analyze and interpret financial market data. These indicators, derived from mathematical calculations based on price, volume, or open interest, etc, aid in visualizing market trends, momentum, and potential reversals. They serve as an additional layer of analysis, offering a structured and objective way to understand market dynamics. Understanding Trading Indicators 1.1 Definition : Trading indicators are graphical tools derived from price, volume, or open interest data. They help in identifying market trends, momentum, volatility, and possible trend reversals. 1.2 Types of Trading Indicators : Trend Indicators : These indicators, such as Moving Averages (MA), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Ichimoku Cloud, help in determining the direction and strength of market trends. Oscillators : Tools like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic Oscillator, and Commodity Channel Index (CCI) measure overbought and oversold market conditions. Volume Indicators : Indicators such as On-Balance Volume (OBV) and Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) use trading volume data to confirm price movements. Volatility Indicators : These, including Bollinger Bands and Average True Range (ATR), assess the degree of price fluctuation in the market. Utilizing Trading Indicators 2.1 Trend Following Strategy : This approach involves capitalizing on the continuation of established market trends. Indicators like the Fourier Smoothed Stochastic (FSTOCH) help detect and follow these trends, providing smoother signals and filtering market noise for more accurate decision-making. 2.2 Mean Reversion Strategy : Contrary to trend following, mean reversion strategy focuses on price corrections when they deviate significantly from historical averages. The Bollinger Bands Percentile (BBPct) is a mean reversion indicator that uses Bollinger Bands to identify potential price reversals, indicating when an asset is overbought or oversold. Comparing Trend Following and Mean Reversion 3.1 Key Differences : Direction : Trend following identifies and exploits established trends, whereas mean reversion focuses on price reversals. Risk Profile : Trend following is typically higher risk due to the challenge of timing, while mean reversion is considered less risky as it banks on imminent price corrections. Market Conditions : Trend following excels in trending markets, while mean reversion is more effective in range-bound or sideways markets. 3.2 Combining Strategies : Using both strategies together can provide a more comprehensive market view and reduce reliance on a single approach. Mean reversion indicators can confirm trend reversals identified by trend-following indicators, while the latter can help avoid premature exits in mean reversion trades. Binary and Discrete Indicators 4.1 Binary Indicators : These indicators, like the Alpha Schaff, offer clear, binary (yes-or-no) signals. They are ideal for straightforward decision-making, indicating when to buy or sell. 4.2 Discrete Indicators : Unlike binary indicators, discrete indicators, such as the Average-True-Range, provide a range of values, offering more nuanced insights into market conditions. The Importance of Using Both Types of Indicators Combining binary and discrete indicators equips traders with a broader perspective on market conditions. While binary indicators provide clear entry and exit points, discrete indicators offer detailed insights into the strength of market trends and potential turning points. This combination enhances decision-making by enabling traders to cross-reference signals and identify high-probability trading opportunities. Conclusion : In the dynamic world of finance, trading indicators are invaluable for providing insights into market trends, momentum, and conditions. Utilizing a combination of trend following, mean reversion strategies, and both binary and discrete indicators, traders can develop a comprehensive and effective toolkit for navigating financial markets successfully.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by AlgoAlpha
Algorand ($ALGO) Recent Upward Trend and Momentum Since mid-October, ALGO has been trading in an active upward trend, appreciating by 140%. However, the positive momentum in Algorand has recently slowed down, and the asset has been trading sideways for the past two weeks. The current resistance zone for EURONEXT:ALGO lies between $0.210 and $0.223. If buyers manage to break through this range, the next target will be the $0.23 level, which could pave the way to new highs. However, this is contingent upon avoiding a deeper correction in BTC, as the correlation between these assets remains significant. In the event of continued retracement, ALGO might retest support zones between $0.173-$0.184 and $0.150-$0.640. In case of a deeper correction, it could reach down to $0.133.
Long
by DEXWireNews