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Alibaba

Alibaba: Will $BABA Bounce Back or Break Key Support (Daily TF)Hey everyone, below is an analysis on NYSE:BABA using MACD, RSI, Fibonacci levels and technical (gap) levels. Current Price Levels: NYSE:BABA is trading around $89.35, down significantly (~26%) from its October 7 high of $117.82. A notable gap between $85 and $86.95 suggests this is a key level of interest for potential support or further downside risk. Momentum Indicators: MACD: Shows signs of curling upward, which could indicate momentum shifting toward bullish sentiment. RSI: Currently not oversold (at 36), but still in a relatively low range, suggesting there is room for price recovery. Technical Levels: Gaps and Fibonacci retracements are marked as potential resistance and support zones: Gap resistance levels: $93.33-$95.05 and $96.80-$99.18. Higher resistance levels around $104.41 (gap from October 15) and $117.82 (October high). Previous daily high at $89.50 could act as near-term resistance. Fibonacci Levels: The chart includes a retracement from the October high ($117.82) to recent lows, with levels such as 0.236 ($90.29), 0.5 ($102.53), and 0.786 ($111.27) potentially serving as resistance on any upward move. Feedback and Outlook: Support and Resistance Analysis: Support: The gap zone between $85-$86.95 may provide a strong base if selling pressure continues. A break below $85 could indicate further downside. Resistance: Short-term resistance is seen at $90.29 (0.236 Fib level) and $93.33-$95.05 (gap resistance). These levels will likely be tested if buying pressure builds. Gaps to Be Filled: If the price begins to recover, the first upside target would be filling the $93.33-$95.05 gap. This aligns with Fibonacci retracement levels and may act as strong resistance. Outlook: Bullish Case: If momentum continues to build, expect a recovery toward the $93-$95 range, with further potential to reach $102 (50% retracement). This would require breaking above immediate resistance at $90.29. Bearish Case: If the current support at $85 fails, further downside to test levels around $80 or lower is possible. Final Thoughts: The chart suggests a cautious bullish outlook in the short term, especially if the $85 support holds. Watch for price action and volume around the resistance zones to confirm whether this is a dead-cat bounce or a true reversal. Currently in NYSE:BABA 1/17/25 $100c (BOT @ $1.73).
NYSE:BABALong
by Brandonthrives
Alibaba (BABA): Stimulus Hopes Fade, Correction Ahead?We secured solid profits on NYSE:BABA , with a significant rejection at the breakout gap. The stock is now under pressure, facing potential headwinds due to Donald Trump’s presidency and his proposed tariffs. While Chinese stocks surged recently, driven by Beijing’s increased rhetoric around stimulus ahead of a key policymakers’ meeting, the lack of any immediate announcements until March’s National People’s Congress may dampen sentiment. Despite NYSE:BABA dropping pre-market and likely throughout the week, our strategy remains unchanged. With partial profits taken and the stop-loss at break-even, we are not exposed to unnecessary risk. As long as NYSE:BABA continues trading above $82, the position remains stable unless major news changes the outlook.
NYSE:BABALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Alibaba - This Is Really Just The Beginning!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is starting to create a bullish reversal: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After perfectly rejecting a major resistance level just three months ago, Alibaba now retested the previous trendline breakout area and bulls are immediately stepping in. If we actually see a break above the neckline of this bottom formation, we could even see new all time highs. Levels to watch: $80, $115 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
1
Alibaba - It Is So Predictable!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) just rejected a major resistance: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 A couple of days ago Alibaba stock perfectly retested a major previous resistance level after rallying +45% just within a couple of weeks. We can first see more bearish movement and maybe even a retest of the trendline breakout level before Alibaba will continue its overall uptrend. Levels to watch: $80, $110 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
24
Alibaba - Trump Won't Beat This Stock!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) is bullish despite Trump's presidency: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Two months ago, Alibaba pumped 30% within a couple of days, perfectly following the resistance trendline breakout. So far we saw a rejection of the upper resistance level and it is quite likely that Alibaba will retest the breakout area. However, the underlying price action is still bullish. Levels to watch: $80, $115 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
12
Alibaba (BABA) Shares Drop Ahead of Earnings ReportAlibaba (BABA) Shares Drop Ahead of Earnings Report Tomorrow, on 15 November, Alibaba (BABA) will release its third-quarter 2024 earnings report. Analysts forecast a drop in earnings per share to $2.11 from $2.26 in the previous quarter. Ahead of the report, Alibaba's share price has shown a downward trend, with a decline of over 20% from its October high. This drop is attributed not only to the waning of the strong bullish momentum seen in the Chinese stock market in September but also to increased competition from Temu and Pinduoduo. However, JP Morgan analyst Alex Yao predicts that "Alibaba will stabilise its market share in the coming years," potentially supporting its position as China's largest supplier. A technical analysis of Alibaba’s (BABA) price chart reveals that: → this autumn, the stock price broke above a multi-year descending trend line (in red); → signs of support lines and pivot points suggest an emerging upward channel that could gain relevance in the long term following the breakout. It’s evident that near the breakout of the red trend line (around $88), there were fewer sellers than buyers, suggesting sustained demand could support a bullish reversal if the price dips below $90. According to TipRanks: → 15 of 18 analysts recommend buying BABA shares; → the average 12-month price target for BABA is $124.4. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:BABA
by FXOpen
2
BABA | A trillion dollar criticismChinese tech titan Jack Ma had been having it rough ever since his criticism of Beijing triggered a backlash on his companies and wealth but a recent development may change the tide. On Friday, China's central bank announced a fine of 7.12 billion yuan, or $985 million, for Ant Group the fintech giant co-founded by Ma that operates the Alipay payments app signaling that its years-long regulatory crackdown is ending. But the years-long crackdown has taken a heavy toll on Ma's wealth and the market valuations of the companies he holds stakes in. Alibaba the flagship company he cofounded saw a 45%, or $620 billion, drop in market value since shares hit their peak in 2020, per Bloomberg's calculations on Sunday. Ant Group is now valued at around $78.5 billion marking a steep 75% discount to its valuation of $315 billion in a scuttled IPO before Beijing's regulatory crackdown in 2020. The collective $850 billion wipe out in Alibaba and Ant's valuations has sent Ma's net worth plunging from about $61 billion in October 2020 to $34.1 billion as of Monday On a personal level, Ma has also been lying low for more than two years.Ma angered Chinese authorities after giving a speech in October 2020 in which he criticized China's financial regulatory system and claimed Chinese banks were operating with a "pawnshop" mentality. His words prompted intense regulatory scrutiny of his businesses including Alibaba and Ant and a wider crackdown on tech firms in China. In January, he was spotted in Bangkok, where he visited a Michelin-starred street-food restaurant and watched a Muay Thai fight. He also popped up in Hong Kong in the same month. In March, Ma returned to a school he founded in his hometown of Hangzhou in eastern China. In April, he was appointed an honorary professor at the University of Hong Kong. In May, Ma took up a teaching position in Japan, one of the first public roles he has assumed since disappearing from the spotlight in 2020. Last month, Ma attended the Alibaba Global Mathematics Competition finals in Hangzhou, where Alibaba is based. Alibaba shares in Hong Kong were up 3% at 86.90 Hong Kong dollars apiece at midday, buoyed by news of the fine. The company's shares in New York closed 8.1% higher at $90.55 apiece on Friday.
NYSE:BABA
by moonypto
2
BABA LongWe are already positioned in this at a lower price, however a new opportunity has presented itself after the recent price action. We have a rising three valleys pattern indicating accumulation after this perfect bullish Gartley. Along with this Baba is showing clear bullish divergence and is currently backtesting the $78 zone which has been a historical key level. Sizing up risk with a SL below the low gives us a great RR and plays the pattern. Good luck and we will update. Earnings are in over a month which gives the stock some time to move before.
NYSE:BABALong
by SynergyTradingSetups
5
ALIBABA Ready to Explode! Big Gains on the Horizon!Alibaba (BABA) Technical Analysis - 15-Minute Timeframe - Long Position Setup Entry Price: $99.13 Stop Loss (SL): $97.32 Target Levels: TP1: $101.36 TP2: $104.96 TP3: $108.57 TP4: $110.80 Market Context and Sentiment: Recent developments indicate strong institutional interest in Alibaba, as evidenced by prominent fund manager Zhang Kun making Alibaba a substantial holding in his portfolio. This investment has bolstered positive sentiment around Alibaba, further supported by strategic economic measures favoring leading tech stocks in China. Technical Indicators: Trend Direction: Positive momentum is observed with price action above the Risological Dotted Trendline, signaling a bullish bias. Volume: Current volume at 16.04M aligns with the recent positive market sentiment, with average 30-day volume standing at 26.70M. This moderate volume increase reinforces the long setup validity. Analysis and Outlook: This setup presents a well-defined long entry with clear stop loss and target levels. The bullish institutional interest provides a strong fundamental tailwind, which could drive price action towards initial and extended targets. Should the price break through TP1 at $101.36 with sustained volume, a continuation towards TP2 at $104.96 becomes likely, with potential progression to TP3 and TP4. Conclusion: Alibaba's current price action and market sentiment create a favorable environment for a long position. Close monitoring is advised, particularly as price approaches each target, with adjustments as necessary to secure gains.
NYSE:BABALong
by ProfitsNinja
When Does a $433.5 Million Settlement Become a Victory for Both In the complex landscape of corporate litigation, Alibaba's recent settlement presents a fascinating case study of modern business strategy. While the Chinese e-commerce giant agrees to pay $433.5 million to settle shareholder allegations, this decision might paradoxically represent a win-win scenario for both the company and its investors. The settlement, ranking among the top 50 largest securities class actions in U.S. history, raises intriguing questions about the balance between corporate governance and strategic business decisions. What makes this case particularly compelling is the mathematics of risk management. When faced with potential damages of $11.63 billion, Alibaba's decision to settle for $433.5 million reveals a sophisticated calculation of risk versus reward. This settlement, representing less than 4% of the maximum potential damages, demonstrates how modern corporations can transform legal challenges into strategic opportunities for resolution and renewal. The implications of this settlement extend far beyond Alibaba's balance sheet. As global markets increasingly scrutinize tech giants' practices, this case sets a precedent for how international corporations might navigate the complex intersection of antitrust regulations, shareholder rights, and market competition. The resolution suggests that in today's business environment, the true measure of corporate success might lie not in avoiding challenges, but in transforming them into opportunities for organizational evolution and stakeholder alignment.
NYSE:BABAShort
by signalmastermind
Alibaba's Slide Continues! Three Targets Hit, Awaiting Final TP4Technical Analysis: Alibaba – 15-Minute Timeframe (Short Trade) Alibaba has shown strong bearish momentum, hitting three profit targets after a clear short entry at 108.26. The price is now approaching the final target (TP4), making this trade highly successful so far. Key Levels Entry: 108.26 – The short trade was initiated after confirming a clear bearish setup. Stop-Loss (SL): 109.65 – Positioned above resistance to manage risk and protect against potential reversals. Take Profit 1 (TP1): 106.53 – Successfully reached, confirming the start of a strong downtrend. Take Profit 2 (TP2): 103.73 – Continued bearish pressure pushed the price to this level. Take Profit 3 (TP3): 100.94 – A further downside target that has already been achieved. Take Profit 4 (TP4): 99.21 – The ultimate target, currently awaiting completion as the bearish trend continues. Trend Analysis The price remains below the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming a strong downtrend. With three profit targets already hit, the market appears poised to reach the final target at 99.21 if bearish momentum persists. The short trade on Alibaba has been highly successful, hitting TP1, TP2, and TP3, with the final target TP4 in sight. The continued downward movement suggests that 99.21 could be reached shortly, concluding the trade profitably.
NYSE:BABAShort
by ProfitsNinja
Alibaba - Finally The Trendline Breakout!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) finally broke above the bearish trendline: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Alibaba is breaking out and the breakout is not unexpected whatsoever. For a long time, Alibaba has been hugging the resistance trendline and finally managed to fulfil its destiny. This could very well be the bottom of the bear market and the start of something big: new all time highs. Levels to watch: $115, $80 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
6
BABA: What happens next after this insane rally?Alibaba despite today's correction, remains massively overbought both on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 81.819, MACD = 5.940, ADX = 34.506) and on 1W (RSI = 75.158, MACD = 5.970, ADX = 33.938). As the price almost reached the 1W MA200, we expect a technical correction near the 1W MA50, which is the pattern the stock followed on its previous historic expansion in 2016-2017. We expect a similar Channel Up to dictate the trend and peak late 2025 - early 2026 (TP = 200.00). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NYSE:BABA
by InvestingScope
Alibaba (BABA): Stagnation Phase or Momentum Boost?We are currently experiencing a phase of stagnation with Alibaba, as the stock remains in a new accumulation phase after breaking out of the previous one. The price might retest the Point-of-Control along with the trendline that was broken during the breakout, potentially providing a good momentum boost. Despite the sideways movement, our position remains profitable. From a long-term perspective, our entry looks strong, with a 10% stop-loss from our entry point. The upside potential for Alibaba is significant, given how far the stock is from its historical highs. The main concern with Alibaba is the jurisdiction risk, as it is a Chinese stock and subject to influences from China, which adds a layer of risk not present with American stocks. Nevertheless, as long as the price stays above $72.38, the outlook remains positive. Losing this level would be unfavorable and could indicate further downside risk. In summary, we remain optimistic about Alibaba's potential, keeping a close watch on the key support levels to manage risk effectively.
NYSE:BABALong
by freeguy_by_wmc