My perception of Alibaba's weekly stock chartMy perception of Alibaba's weekly stock chart as follows !
After a five-wave with three continuous shares, it enters a correction in the form of a second wave. This is formed as a flat with a big b wave. maybe just it want to make triangle to ready for powerful third wave .. so buying and maintaining it at prices from $ 140 to $ 150 is extremely attractive
Considering the time of the second wave, , it noted that the third wave is the main continuous wave and has very high goals .. maybe above $ 1500 😁 .. so the long holding stock may not be bad .. though it does bother you a little over time
Alibaba
$BABA earnings analysis*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Today my team took a dive into Chinese online and mobile commerce company Alibaba $BABA. It has suffered an immense drop from its 52-week ranged high of $280.61. There are numerous events that factored into this sell-off, but we are not here today to discuss them. Instead we will focus on why $BABA is a hot earnings play for November 18, 2021.
To start, its strong cloud services will likely have shown improvement as they have implemented many new features the past few months to their cloud offerings. This is important because even if they miss earnings tomorrow investors/shareholders may still be encouraged if its cloud strength continues to show progressive results. Another factor that we are fond of is the apparent head and shoulders pattern that is being formed on its chart. This along with a pre-earnings dip of -4% has gotten us very interested in this play.
My team started a long $BABA position today at $161 per share. We will add more shares if a drop occurs, which is possible considering that this is still a fairly risky play.
Our Entry: $161
Take Profit 1: $180
Take Profit 2: $193
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BABA - it's time to have a good look at AlibabaAlibaba has reached it's lowest point in a very long time.
PE ratio is not very optimistic, but it may to do with the general situation about Evergrande, which seems going bankrupt very soon.
Aliexpress is reported to have more than 900 million (active) users, while Alibaba has several other businesses along, which act as complementary parts for the whole company and doing in general not bad at all.
My expectations are that BABA will start it rise very soon, unless more negative news about Evergrande will come from China.
In case there will be no bad news, very soon BABA reports earnings, and it will in a way determine how the stock will behave,
Generally speaking, it's about the right time to enter BABA, although the most attractive moment has already passed, when it was trading around 140$/sh in October.
Considering very negative scenarios, when both bad news from China will follow and some other matters, such as interruptions in the supply-chain, I believe it won't fall much lower than 130-140$/sh anyway.
This way, waiting may give the opportunity to gain some extra 10-15% percent, but there won't be much more of it, while entering the stock too late, may eventually lead to more long-term losses.
Let's wait to they Earnings day to see what it will bring...
BABA: Alibaba's future looking goodBABA trying to break the resistance line! Looking to crate a higher low, so that we change the down trend! If it breaks the resistance line it will have a great upside move! Also waiting for the results coming out on the 18th which will decide its future! Positive results, will lead BABA faster to the upside move! Big investors and hedge funds are already in, its a matter of time for it to go up
Why Charlie Munger keep on averaging down Alibaba? 11/11/211)On Charts : Charts consist of 3-Dimensions - The X-factor ( Time or Cycle ), The Y- factor ( Price Geometry ), AND The Z-factor ( The Speed ).. 2)On Elliot Wave / Market Structure : Unlike Textbook written rule : ALL Impulsive wave comprise of ONLY a-b-c sub-waves NOT 1,2,3,4,5 waves.. AND there is NO Truncated 5th wave BUT ONLY wrong wave counts...
ALIBABA $BABA gift to you$BABA has been in a downtrend all year 2021. while this has being disappointing to investors, its also the one in 4 years opportunity to buy into this Chinese retail leader at these prices.
I mean 140 $ -160 is your buy zone. it will never be this cheap for a long time.
HARD SUPPORT is at I40$ and that represents the new foundation for this moon shoot. This is a long term play so allocate capital judiciously.
TAKE PROFIT zones should be about 210-220 and 260- 280.
GOODLUCK!!
$BABA | WEEKLY WATCHLIST 11/1Not my favorite setup into the week... but still worth mentioning here. A possible wave 1 is in and looking to retrace on this wave 2. I have indicated my ideal buy box in the $148-155 range is best. If we can hold there with volume, I will consider taking a small long swing, targeting the mid $190s area.
BABA descending channel - Jan 1 thoughtslooking at Fib retracement along the channel trying to gauge a reasonable scenario.
A $130 target for Jan 1 is well within the existing data trend. Looking at options for early Feb in that range.
One caveat is that our last two months are typically big for online retailers, which may buoy BABA a bit.
Alibaba Sheds USD 344 Bn Since October 2020Following the exile of Jack Ma, shares of BABA tumbled down from all-time highs a year ago.
No company has incurred more of a loss in market capitalization than Alibaba in the last year. None have come close to the large figure. Ever since Ma publicly expressed forthright discontent with the financial system of China, investor sentiment around the successful giant has dwindled. The price of shares consequently halved into late September and are still fairly dormant improving to USD 173.
Jack Ma has recently been photographed in the Netherlands browsing agriculture tech after his public reappearance in Spain a week ago. Shares have rallied around 7% ever since. The company's presentation of a new server chip on October 18 has further helped improve share price. The chip is based on advanced 5-nanometer technology designed to support the company's growing cloud computing business.
Alibaba will likely report earnings on November 4th where investors can expect strong business growth, and another revenue beat. Though there are still considerable risks that investors should not ignore, Alibaba should still be a solid pick for the coming years.
Alibaba Cloud to Launch New Data Center and AI-Powered AssistantAn exciting day arrived for Alibaba Cloud as the company unveiled its new meeting assistant AI and announced the launch of a new data center planned for next year in South Korea. The company is trying to end the year strong as it continues to roll out more innovations and future plans.
Alibaba Cloud announced the launch of its first data center in South Korea in the first half of 2022. The new data center will offer its clients in South Korea more reliable and secure cloud services as well as highlight the company's effort in its commitment to empowering South Korean businesses' digitalization.
Unique Song, the regional general manager of Japan and South Korea, said that "South Korea is a strategic market for Alibaba Cloud and we are building the new data center to address the increasing demand for cloud infrastructure services from local clients. Together with our global data network, we will continue to help our South Korean customers heighten their pace of digital transformation and global expansion through the latest cloud computing technologies and ecosystem support".
Alibaba Cloud also unveiled the brand-new AI-powered meeting assistant, Tingwu, and a new version of the company's cloud computing. These new enterprise solutions aim at the growing popularity and surging demand of working remotely. Tingwu was developed by the global research initiative Speech Lab of Alibaba DAMO Academy. The meeting assistant is able to convert spoken words during a meeting into writing with 98% accuracy. Tingwu can also distinguish up to 10 meeting participants' voices and can handle English, Mandarin and 14 other Chinese dialects as well as generate meeting summaries and highlights.
Alibaba Cloud Launches Premium DingTalk for 2022 Asian GamesAlibaba’s Premium DingTalk aims to help athletes, volunteers and organizers efficiently communicate at the upcoming 2022 Asian Games in Hangzhou.
On October 20, Alibaba Cloud unveiled the Premium DingTalk for sports games at the Apsara Conference 2021. The newly released DingTalk will provide a digital solution for organizing communications for large-scale sporting events and will be used by over 100,000 participants at the upcoming 2022 Asian Games to be held in Hangzhou.
The General Manager of the International Business Unit Selina Yuan said, "Alibaba Cloud's ambition is to transform the experience of sports in the digital era. As part of our continued efforts to achieve this goal, our new DingTalk solution is designed to help users manage and operate large-scale sports events in a more structured manner… Following our success in delivering technological solutions and services to digitalize the Olympics Games Tokyo 2020, we are excited about the opportunity to support the upcoming 2022 Asian Games in Hangzhou."
The app aims to streamline workflow as well as facilitate communications between different groups. Premium DingTalk also allows smooth real-time information exchange through functions including video conference, multi-language translation, and more.
BABABABA can be heating up here ..
As long as above 148 this one can maintain some steam back into the 200's and lead China stocks with it.. very oversold from highs -- can be looking at near 100% ROI back towards highs from here!
Over 170 -- 210 - 230 target is in tact.
Further R LVLs are 248 - 270.
Good buy along with NASDAQ:JD
( Pretty soon this account will become private for only paying subscribers.. to keep up with the plays subscribe to my newletter :) )
- nick
Alibaba | Fundamental Analysis + Next target 🔔Chinese e-commerce behemoth Alibaba Group Holding has become one of the top investment trends of 2021. Over the past year, the company's stock has dropped more than 50% of its value, almost inaudible for a company of this size and status.
The stock recently rebounded 15% from its 52-week lows, and investors are curious if the drama is over. And today's review will tell you just why you should be cautious about returning to the Alibaba rollercoaster.
The most interesting thing about Alibaba's troubled year is that it has scarcely anything to do with real business. It is the powerful e-commerce business in China's vast economy, and nearly 1.2 billion people worldwide have used its services in the past year. BABA posted revenues of $31.8 billion in its most recent quarter ended June 30, up 34% from the pandemic peak in mid-2020. The business is undoubtedly effective and brings a lot of free cash flow: $3.2 billion per quarter, or 10% of revenue.
Over the past year, the Chinese government has taken a decisive stance and has become more active in intervening in large Chinese technology companies. Chinese President Xi Jinping has stressed the need to distribute wealth from large corporations to the Chinese population through social programs, infrastructure, etc.
He is putting pressure on dominant Chinese technology companies because China has the regulatory authority to advance them with antitrust lawsuits. Chinese regulators have already fined Alibaba $2.5 billion in antitrust investigations. Perhaps, as a result of this pressure, Alibaba has agreed to donate 100 billion yuan ($15.5 billion) over the next five years to social needs. Given the company's free cash flow of $3.2 billion last quarter, this is a meaningful figure. That's less cash to invest in business development and less money for the company's shareholders.
In late 2020, Chinese regulators blocked an initial public offering by Chinese fintech company Ant Group, which would have valued the company at about $300 billion. Like Alibaba, Ant Group is another business headed by Jack Ma and owns China's largest digital payments platform. Regulators have forced Ant Group to restructure its business to comply with Chinese regulations, separating its Alipay platform from its lending business and sharing ownership of its newly created customer data business with the Chinese government. This definitely turns Ant Group into a bank and gives the Chinese state access to Ant Group's consumer data, the "secret sauce" of the business. Alibaba owns a third of Ant Group, and the halt of its IPO is a value-destroying event that probably played a role in Alibaba's stock decline.
China creates political problems for Alibaba and similar technology companies that are hard for investors to predict. What happens if the Chinese government decides to take more funds from tech companies? What if regulations become even stricter? Investors have little ability to assess these risks.
As a result, Alibaba's stock is selling off as investors try to factor in these risks. Analysts forecast revenues of $140 billion for the entire fiscal year 2022 (the calendar year 2021), resulting in a stock price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of just over 3.
Before the pandemic, the stock was trading at a P/S ratio of 10, so it's obvious how much the stock price has declined while the core business keeps expanding. If we go back even further, to three years ago, the P/S of the stock was 15. In other words, the stock's valuation has declined 80% over the past few years. Wow! Right?
Let's compare Alibaba to Amazon, a similar company: an e-commerce giant with additional segments like cloud services. Amazon's P/S has never surpassed 5 in the last five years, meaning that at the peak of the P/S ratio Alibaba was valued at five times the price of Amazon stock. Amazon's P/S is currently 3.4, which is only 10% higher than Alibaba's, which may be fair since they are very similar. Alibaba is smaller and may grow a little faster, but then you have to consider the political risks and the company's huge donations to China's social programs.
So it would be logical to argue that Alibaba should trade at a discount to Amazon, as it does now. But if you want to absolve doubts about Alibaba, it would still be difficult to justify a significant premium over Amazon's price. It may turn out that Alibaba has been expensive for years and that much of the fall was due to the stock coming to a more adequate valuation, rather than the fall being a once-in-a-lifetime buying opportunity, as some investors think. This means that Alibaba does not have as many prospects as it appears at first glance, and so investors might think twice before grasping Alibaba's recent bounce.