Elliott Wave View: Bullish Outlook in AlibabaElliott Wave view in Alibaba ($BABA) suggests that stock rallies as a 5 waves impulsive Elliott Wave structure from August 5, 2019 low. On the 1 hour chart below, we can see wave 3 of this impulse ended at 202.71. Stock then pullback in wave 4 on December 3, 2019 low at 189.88. Stock has resumed higher in wave 5 with the internal subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree. Up from December 3 low, wave (i) ended at 203.43 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 197.09. Stock then extended higher in wave (iii) towards 207.85 and wave (iv) ended at 203.77.
Stock has scope to extend higher in the near term but expect wave (v) of ((i)) to end soon. It should then pullback in wave ((ii)) to correct the cycle from December 3, 2019 low before the rally resumes. We don’t like selling the proposed pullback and expect buyers to appear in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at 189.88 low stays intact. Potential target to the upside is 100% – 123.6% Fibonacci extension from January 3, 2019 low which comes at 213 – 229 area.
Alibaba
BABA (ALIBABA) is close to Historical Key Level!The price is close to Historical Key Level 211.70.
It a huge probability that it will bounce.
We can look for accurate Sell entry after the false breakout.
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Ali Baba looking for a new high.NYSE:BABA
With record sales achieved by Ali Baba last Xmas and looking for a good season this year as well,(price rallied from the begging of DEC 2018 till April 2019 (130-190))
Price was able to break the sym Triangle which is currently starting a really that is expected to take price towards 212 as an initial target (previous high) then with enough momentum can take price towards the 236 then the 255 if buyers continue to support price to the upside
Ali Baba testing trend lineGood potential for a long on the break of the downtrend line and resistance level. Buy on the break, or wait for retest for confirmation. Stop below the recent swing, or the low of the retest.
Target 200 and all-time high. This morning is quite risk-on so expectation is to the upside.
Good Luck!
BABA Projections EOYLikely levels for BABA to float to EOY to early 2020. Based mostly on Fibonacci levels and BABA's usual volatility.
I lean to the long side due mainly to the trend and CMF. I'm looking to buy calls due to the squeeze, after a pop I'll look to sell cheaper calls against it to take some profit.
BABA will also begin trading in Hong Kong this week I believe. We'll see if that has any affect. Will follow up.
- Thanks for reading!
Long Alibabathe only way is up. The volumes are good, trade war might be resolved soon, FED might cut the RATE by 0.25 points more. And the earnings are fast approaching. before earnings the TP is around 185 the way its rising. And if the earnings are really good then I expect it to reach 210-220 range. GL
Short $BABA - 1D TFI have opened a short position for $BABA on Friday. Friday's close broke and closed below 1D MA200 and DC20 with a bearish candle. RSI is below 40, PVO is increasing. Next target is at 152.
SL TBD and is moving as is driven by DC20 - if daily closes above DC20.
Please trade carefully and with money only you can afford to lose!
Alibaba: Potential rise to the 2019 High.Alibaba is trading inside a very standard 1W Channel Up since June (RSI = 52.639, MACD = 1.760, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) with the Low to High legs symmetrical at +21%. If the current leg is completed on equal strength then the peak (+21%) will reach 195.50 which is the 2019 High. So if the Higher High trend line of the Channel Up breaks, be ready to extend your long positions to 195.50.
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Alibaba testing heavy resistanceAs shown in the chart, we are testing a heavy resistance tested multiple times.
Technical indicators are showing mostly consolidation.
If I were thinking of getting into a position, I would wait. If I had Alibaba stock, I would strongly consider taking profits (selling 50% +)
Obviously breaking this resistance would be an important step towards a strong uptrend.
Alibaba - don't miss this train!Technicals
There has been no divergence with RSI and the OBV and trade price. They are steadily growing. ----> BULL
DI+>DI- (positive directional index just crossed above the negative) ---> BULL
MACD>MACsignal (MACD just crossed above the signal) -----> BULL
Fundamentals
Alibaba reported earnings yesterday (Aug15th) continued positive non-GAAP earnings of $1.84 per share, 45.98% above the same quarter a year ago, beating the mean consensus estimate of $1.51.
All analyst price target values are above $200 (17% above current price @$170)
Risks
JD.com who is a competitor, is doing great.
Trade war between China & USA.