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Alibaba

BABA MOMENTUM POSITIVEWeekly Chart - BABA I am taking an interest in BABA here. It has been in a steep correction for well over a year and appears to have made a bullish wedge. What really has my attention is not only the price breakout above but also the momentum break. I may leave myself a little room and time here but I personally may take a heavier interest if it stays this cheap or drags sideways. These patterns are great for trading the spikes but there are no guarantees. It's not uncommon to see a large spike up (15-30%) only to correct and go nowhere for weeks or months. A breakout does not guarantee profit.. but for me the reward outweighs the risk in this zone. Let's see what happens.
NYSE:BABALong
by gghsusa
1
Did $BABA stock BOTTOM?My experience I owned shares of Alibaba for the last 10 months. I started buying when it dropped to $140 in November 2021, and then I started averaging costing during the downtrend, my average price was around $110 and I completely closed my position at the beginning of July 2022 when it traded at $120. In conclusion, made a small 10% during this period, assuming a lot of risks, having money stuck in there creating an opportunity cost for other investments. My first lesson here was "Never try to catch a falling knife" . I've read this quote many times, but I got pushed by the FOMO back in 2021, when I should have waited for some consolidation or lateral movements of the price, to show me some kind of demand at this level before jumping in. I'm sharing my experience in this situation with the idea to help someone with making better investment decisions. The truth is, you must always learn from your own mistakes. But learning from others' mistakes will save you time, stress and money. However, this is where experience lays, funny isn't it? Long-Term Forecast Alibaba is a very interesting business model, with incredible growth in the past. I think that the chart reflects an evolution from a Growth Company to a Stable Company , that's why the P/E valuation went from 30x in the past to 15x nowadays. The market included the growth slowdown to its market cap. Of course, there are many other risks related to Alibaba that also impacted its price during the last year. Some of them are: - Uncertainty Risk is related to the political pressure between the USA and China. - Delisting Risk from NYSE. - Monopoly fines from China. Changes in Chinese state policy regarding publicly traded enterprises , the warming of relations between the US and China, as well as current geopolitical developments where China is implied have created uncertainty for investors. This results in a negative impact on the price of the stock. There are factors that could influence the Chinese government to be tolerant and lower the pressure on publicly traded enterprises, particularly if they choose to give a higher priority to stronger GDP development . Taking everything into account, this could be a fantastic buying opportunity if China is becoming the next world's superpower. However, from my personal point of view, I would rather have companies like Alphabet, Amazon, Apple and Microsoft in my portfolio. I see better potential returns in them. Short-Term Forecast The price is showing consolidation in the zone between $80-$120, the lower part of the channel reflects a strong demand, which is easily spotted by the strong bounces that it has from there. You can also try to trade it by buying near the bottom of the lateral channel and selling it at the top. $BABA released good quarterly earnings, beating expectations in sales and EPS. We should also take into account that when your revenue stays flat in an inflationary environment, probably your income from operations is going to decrease, and that's what happened here. Bullish Scenario If the momentum stays and the market breaks and maintains the $4300 level we can see a significant upside in this stock. Taking it to 120-160 dollars per share. Which in my humble opinion is less likely due to the market conditions and economic challenges that we are facing. The RECESSION is here, and the INFLATION has to go straight down from these levels to prevent a crash in the financial markets. Bearish Scenario If the INFLATION is unstoppable at these interest rates, the market is going to be severely punished. Less consumer demand due to the recession will impact companies' margins. Profit warnings from companies will accelerate the crash. If we find ourselves in this situation, get your cash ready, many investment opportunities will be out there waiting for us. In this case, I would adapt my strategy, and I could consider buying some $BABA at $60 for sure. Alibaba is having strong buybacks from the management. The company has plenty of cash which is going to be used to reduce the outstanding amount of shares and to undertake investment projects. The Debt-Equity Ratio is around 15%, and the company has a healthy balance sheet. The Cloud Segment is getting bigger and it can also be a very important stream of income in the future for the firm. The company is actually trading at 10X Price / Cash Flow, which historically has meant that it is a good buy at this level. From a financial perspective, I think that $BABA is undervalued. The above mentioned characteristics made me start buying the stock at $140, my mistake was that I didn't properly analyse the risks this investment had. Not everything is in the accounting books! Keep your eyes open! I stand SHORT for the next 6-12 months and LONG for the next 3-5 years. Don't forget, I'm a random guy on the internet that is just sharing his point of view. Do not take my reflections as financial advice.
NYSE:BABAShort
by GenadiYankov
2
$BABA Can Go Up Watch Out For A BreakoutTraders and Investors, Alibaba (BABA) has completed the typical bubble stock M formation and is now trying to gather orders for a bullish momentum. This stage happens when most investors fall into Despair or hopelessness. The earnings report is expected, and we have a wedge pattern. If the price breaks above the pattern and we get a confirmation, this can go the first target of M patter which is around 160 but with an intermediate target of approx. 132. Please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍🙂 Rules: 1. Never trade too much 2. Never trade without a confirmation 3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too ✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums. ✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis ✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions. Take care and trade well -Vik ____________________________________________________ 📌 DISCLAIMER The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only. Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions. ____________________________________________________
NYSE:BABALong
by vikinsa
6
Alibaba Group Holding Analyze !!!BABA passed wave 5 in the Resistance Zone , and I expect that it will go DOWN to PRZ ( Price Reversal Zone ) & near the SMA 100 ( Daily Timeframe ) after breaking the Important Support Line . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence (RD-) between Price and MACD Indicator . Alibaba Group Holding Analyze ( BABAUSD ) Timeframe 4H ⏰ ( Heikin Ashi ) Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy , this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NYSE:BABAShort
by pejman_zwin
4
Alibaba Group Holding Analyze 🔄(Update)🔄!!!First, I have to back to my previous idea about Alibaba Group Holding. Do you remember it? 👇(it moved as I ✅expected✅). BABA passed main wave B in the Resistance Zone, and I expect it to go DOWN to the end of main wave C that I showed in my chart. Alibaba Group Holding Analyze (BABAUSD), Timeframe 4H⏰ (Heikin Ashi). Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NYSE:BABAShort
by pejman_zwin
10
Alibaba Group Holding Analyze 🔄(Update, 10/18/2022)🔄!!!First, I have to back to my previous idea about Alibaba Group Holding. Do you remember it? 👇(it moved as I ✅expected✅). BABA completed main wave C in the support zone, and I expect it to go UP at least until the end of microwave 4 of main wave C(Resistance zone). Alibaba Group Holding Analyze (BABAUSD), Timeframe 4H⏰ (Heikin Ashi). Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NYSE:BABALong
by pejman_zwin
5
$ACH china aluminum 👁‍🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management* Entry: $9.62 Take Profit: $13 (+35%) Stop Loss: $8.98 (-6.6%) *Stop loss is automatic* If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
ALong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
4
$CHINAH support should hold 👁‍🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks* *My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences* *Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management !! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !! This move will benefit $NIO and $BABA. They have been growing exponentially overseas in China and other countries. My team believes that the Chinese will continue to stimulate their economy financially in order to reverse the damages caused by the Covid-19 pandemic and lockdowns. If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
PEPPERSTONE:CHINAHLong
by SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Alibaba: more room to fall?Alibaba Short Term We look to Sell at 87.83 (stop at 92.37) We look to set shorts in the early trade. The medium term bias remains bearish. Short term bearish momentum has stalled. However, with the intraday chart now highlighting lower highs we are possibly forming a descending triangle pattern. Our profit targets will be 78.05 and 73.21 Resistance: 100.00 / 120.00 / 138.00 Support: 90.00 / 78.00 / 75.00 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NYSE:BABAShort
by Saxo
1
BABA Testing MA200 since Feb21The Last time BABA touch MA200 was in 22 Feb 2021. Since then, BABA has been trending downwards below MA200 line, struggling to even surpass the ichimoku cloud and the downwards channel Some Positive Signs of Reversal -break above parallel channel -Candlestick interact with MA 200 -Candlestick went above ichimoku cloud during june-july 2022 -Higher high(HH) formed -Higher Low(HL2) seems to retrace lesser than HL -Lagging span went above candlesticks(currently within the clouds) -High trading volume at 73.39(speculative support) Currently BABA still in bearish mode -moving under MA200 and underneath ichimoku cloud Some Strategies : Conservative: Wait for candlestick to go above both MA200 & ichimoku and enter during retracement. Stop loss 5-10% below 73. More Margin of Safety & Lesser Future Gain More Aggressive: Enter now(on the lower part of black parallel channel). Set TP at 136 or Expected uptrend of 1:1 of Line B from HL2. Stop loss 5-10% below 73. Lesser Margin of Safety & More Future Gain #ALIBABA #BABA
NYSE:BABA
by Inquiring_H
BABA Potential for Bearish Drop | 12th August 2022On H4, as there is a bearish divergence of price and MACD , and the price is almost breaking the ascending trend line , we have a bearish bias that the price may drop from our sell entry at 162.78, where the price is testing. If the price break the sell entry, we could take profit at 149.55, which is in line with the 38.2% fibonacci retracement . Alternatively, the price may rise to the stop loss at 173.01, which is in line with the pullback support and 78.6% fibonacci retracement . Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
NYSE:BAShort
by FXCM